Sahel Adaptive Social Protection Program

ASP’s impact on Welfare, Resilience, and Social Cohesion

Focus Areas for SASPP Photos

© SASPP / World Bank

Poverty in the Sahel is shaped by structural deprivation, recurring lean-season stresses, population mobility, and frequent climate and economic shocks that can trap households in cycles of vulnerability. Adaptive social protection (ASP) helps break these cycles by improving welfare and productivity over time; by strengthening households’ ability to anticipate, absorb, and adapt to evolving risks; and by fostering community cohesion and trust between citizens and the state.

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    ASP helps match the chronic nature of poverty and vulnerability dynamics in the Sahel with tailored responses

     

    Sahel countries are home to some of the poorest and most vulnerable populations. The region is facing multiple challenges: rapid population growth (population sizes are expected to double by 2045), extremely low levels of human capital, inequality, geographical and climate vulnerability, food insecurity, and fragility. In a region where over 40% of the population already live below the poverty line, shocks such as droughts, food price spikes or conflict can further contribute to poverty persistence, which in turn makes it hard to deal with future shocks.

    Poverty compounded by shocks drive sharp fluctuations in welfare and have direct negative impacts on food security, education, and health spending. Sahelian households also experience large seasonal swings in monetary welfare and poverty, even in the absence of climate shocks.  In Burkina Faso, Niger, and Senegal, poverty rates rose by  13.7, 6.6 and 8.1 percentage points respectively during the lean season, even in an above average rainfall year. Households regularly fall below the poverty line at predictable times of the year, but importantly, these variations can be anticipated and addressed.

    Poverty and shocks affect men and women differently.  In the Sahel there are significant gaps between women and men, and girls and boys, across economic, social and empowerment dimensions. Inequality and exclusion hinder socioeconomic development and economic growth. Ultimately gender gaps in welfare, education, health and employment opportunities impact the well-being of entire communities and nations.  

    ASP in the Sahel offers a unique, transformational approach to reducing poverty. It helps change the trajectory of poor households and individuals by breaking the cycle in which structural poverty and repeated shocks reinforce one another. By combining, preventive, sustained support with early or rapid crisis response, ASP stabilizes household welfare in the short term while enabling longer-term gains in productivity, assets, and human capital with a gender-lens approach.

    At the core of ASP are national safety net programs, typically implemented over multiple years. By providing regular income support and activities that promote behavior change, these programs help the poorest households meet their immediate needs while also investing in their future: strengthening human capital, building productive assets, increasing resilience, and improving living conditions. Over time, safety nets offer a springboard, supporting people to build self‑reliance in a sustainable way.

    Evidence abounds: In Senegal, social safety nets reduced extreme poverty in rural settings by 5 percentage points in only three years (2016-2019). In Chad, the probability of a household often going a day without food has been reduced by 38% thanks to social safety nets. In Mali, 18 months after the end of the safety net program, participants were 57% more likely to save and 46% were more likely to invest in productive assets than non-participants. ASP helps promote more effective income generating activities, while also supporting investments in health, nutrition, education, and the knowledge and skills of the young generation.

    Understanding the risks households are most likely to face, as well as their chronic conditions, has been critical to guide program design. This includes informing approaches for the targeting of households, shaping the duration and frequency of support, or guiding the content and approaches of accompanying measures provided to beneficiaries. Comparative work supported by SASPP on targeting, for instance, showed that income-based methods were good at identifying households that are chronically poor, but that additional elements can help ensure food-insecure and shock-vulnerable households are also included. Understanding patterns of vulnerability and poverty is also critical to decide what entry and exit strategies can be applied to keep programs responsive to changing household conditions.

    Furthermore, adapting ASP programs and systems to the regional dynamic context is also reflected in how ASP can serve mobile populations, an aspect that can improve outcomes for households in the Sahel. In the Sahel, mobility can often be of a more voluntary nature and driven by economic, family, education, or cultural motivations. Indeed, most movements reflect livelihood strategies, such as seasonal labor, pastoralism, or rural-urban transitions, but some is a result of forced displacement and conflict. Recognizing and identifying the needs of populations that move is essential for inclusion and for boosting the impact of ASP on the poor and vulnerable.

    Applying a mobility lens to ASP requires reducing programmatic and administrative blind spots that exclude mobile households, including through the social registration process, as well as allowing for benefit portability across locations, and coordination across administrative boundaries. Programs must also adapt content and delivery to mobility realities, for instance, to ensure they can access transfers even when certain members are on the road by using digital payments that remain accessible across locations or tailoring payment dates to prevailing seasonal migration patterns, for instance.

     

    Last Updated: Feb 28, 2026

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    ASP strengthens households’ capacity to stay on a stable trajectory of opportunity, despite shocks

     

    Climate volatility shapes daily life in the Sahel. Up to 13.5 million Sahelians could be pushed into poverty due to climate shocks by 2050 if no urgent measures are taken. This reality makes resilience a core priority for ASP: strengthening households’ capacity to withstand shocks, recover, and keep moving forward. ASP reinforces the anticipatory, absorptive, and adaptive capacities of households, all critical to climate resilience. These capacities help households prepare for shocks; cope by safeguarding consumption, productive assets and human capital; and adjust to crises by adopting more sustainable solutions. Households become equipped to face climate change and shocks, not merely endure them.

    Evidence shows the power of ASP in efforts protecting the poorest and most impacted by climate change. In Senegal, the national safety net cut by 8 percent the share of households negatively affected by shocks. In Mauritania, social safety nets helped increased by 25% the proportion of households that were able to preserve their health and education expenditure following a shock. And in Niger, when a drought occurred, beneficiary households maintained their consumption levels, in contrast to non-beneficiaries who had to reduce it by 24%. In particular, productive inclusion interventions can promote the adoption of climate‑smart alternatives instead of relying exclusively on farm‑based livelihoods, a diversification that increases incomes and reduces exposure to future shocks.

    Given the climate-related nature of ASP interventions, a collaboration between CGAP and SASPP has shown how ASP can be a strategic outlet to channel climate finance towards the poorest populations. Because ASP programs are able to reach those most affected by climate change, they can be harnessed by climate finance to scale resilience faster. Global funds such as the Green Climate Fund and the Adaptation Fund need scalable and transparent delivery systems to reach vulnerable households—ASP already provides that reach, impact, and efficiency.

    SASPP’s ongoing work is strengthening this bridge: connecting social protection and climate stakeholders and improving their alignment. By supporting countries to embed ASP within Nationally Determined Contributions, National Adaptation Plans, and other national climate frameworks, SASPP is positioning them to access climate finance that will directly reach the most vulnerable.

    Last Updated: Feb 28, 2026

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    ASP strengthens relations within groups, between groups, and with government – key drivers of peace and job creation

     

    Vulnerability, poverty, and competition over resources erode trust and strained social bonds, fueling fragility and conflict across the Sahel. Globally, evidence shows that social protection can play a significant role in strengthening social cohesion by building institutional trust and improving citizen–state relations (linking dimension of social cohesion) and fostering cooperation within groups (bonding dimension) and across groups (bridging dimension). ASP has shown potential to reverse these dynamics by intentionally promoting critical dimensions such as trust, inclusive identity, and cooperation for the common good - cornerstones of progress, forming the invisible human infrastructure that holds societies together.

     

    Social cohesion is critical for building resilience and sustainably reducing vulnerability and poverty. It is also essential for prosperity – catalyzing job creation and boosting productivity. At the community level, it means confidence that neighbors and suppliers will honor their commitments; at the institutional level, it reflects belief that public authorities will act fairly and keep their promises. ASP can play a pivotal role in reinforcing this social contract.

    Reviews of safety nets in the Sahel show their promising effects on social cohesion: beneficiaries were more likely to trust their community, share resources, support other community members, or invest in public goods. Yet impacts vary by context. In some contexts, programs could trigger local tensions if the identification of beneficiaries was perceived as opaque or unfair. Transparency, the perception of fairness, and the visibility of the state’s role all matter for positive impacts. Where programs were clearly communicated as government-led, trust in institutions grew stronger; where programs clearly communicated on selection processes and addressed the needs of different groups in a balanced manner, links within groups and across groups were strengthened.

    The current evidence base in the Sahel remains uneven, with gaps on relations between groups (e.g., between host and displaced populations) and on relations between citizens and the state. SASPP and its partners UNICEF and WFP are investing in new research to identify which ASP program design and implementation features best promote social cohesion in the Sahel. In parallel, SASPP teams are also exploring how informal ‘mutual aid’ systems—local solidarity mechanisms—interact with and complement formal programs, to ensure no household remains unprotected, even in fragile, remote, or crisis-affected areas.

    Last Updated: Feb 28, 2026




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Sahel Adaptive Social Protection
saspp@worldbank.org