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Debt & Fiscal Risks Toolkit

Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA)

The World Bank Group and the IMF work with low-income countries to produce regular Debt Sustainability Analyses, which are structured examinations of developing country debt based on the Debt Sustainability Framework. Our two institutions use this framework to guide the borrowing decisions of low-income countries in a way that balances their financing needs with their ability to repay—both in the present and in the future.

This area of work has three goals:

  • Ensure that countries that have received debt relief are on a sustainable development track.
  • Allow creditors to better anticipate future risks and tailor their financing terms accordingly.
  • Help client countries balance their needs for funds with the ability to repay their debts.

The following table summarizes the information available for each of the low-income countries included in the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (LIC DSF).

Latest Publicly Available Debt Sustainability Analyses Under the Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for Low Income Countries (LIC-DSF)1

CountryRisk of external debt distress2Risk of overall debt distress2Date of Publication
AfghanistanHighHighApr-20
BangladeshLowLowMay-20
Benin4ModerateModerateDec-19
BhutanModerateOct-18
Burkina FasoModerateModerateApr-20
BurundiHighApr-15
Cabo VerdeHighHighApr-20
CambodiaLowLowDec-19
CameroonHighHighMay-20
Central African RepublicHighHighApr-20
ChadHighHighApr-20
ComorosModerateModerateApr-20
Democratic Republic of the CongoModerateModerateApr-20
Republic of CongoIn distressIn distressJan-20
Côte d'IvoireModerateModerateApr-20
Djibouti4HighHighOct-19
Dominica3HighSep-18
Eritrea3
EthiopiaHighHighApr-20
The GambiaHighHighApr-20
GhanaHighHighApr-20
GrenadaIn distressIn distressApr-20
GuineaModerateModerateAug-19
Guinea-Bissau4ModerateJun-18
GuyanaModerateModerateSep-19
HaitiHighHighApr-20
HondurasLowLowJun-20
KenyaHighHighMay-20
KiribatiHighHighJan-19
Kyrgyz RepublicModerateModerateMar-20
Lao P.D.R.HighHighAug-19
LesothoModerateModerateApr-19
LiberiaModerateHighJun-20
MadagascarLowModerateApr-20
MalawiModerateHighMay-20
MaldivesHighHighApr-20
MaliModerateModerateApr-20
Marshall IslandsHighSep-18
MauritaniaHighHighApr-20
MicronesiaHighHighSep-19
MoldovaLowLowApr-20
MozambiqueIn distressIn distressApr-20
MyanmarLowLowMar-20
NepalLowLowMay-20
NicaraguaModerateModerateFeb-20
NigerModerateModerateApr-20
Papua New Guinea4ModerateModerateDec-18
RwandaLowLowApr-20
SamoaHighHighApr-20
São Tomé and PríncipeIn distressIn distressApr-20
SenegalModerateModerateApr-20
Sierra Leone4HighHighDec-18
Solomon IslandsModerateModerateFeb-20
Somalia4In distressIn distress Mar-20
South SudanIn distressIn distressJun-19
St. Vincent and the GrenadinesHighHighMay-20
Sudan4In distressDec-17
TajikistanHighHighMay-20
Tanzania3LowJan-18
Timor-LesteLowLowMay-19
TogoModerateHighApr-20
TongaHighJan-18
TuvaluHighJul-18
UgandaLowLowMay-20
UzbekistanLowLowMay-20
VanuatuModerateModerateJun-19
Yemen3
ZambiaHighHighAug-19
ZimbabweIn distressMar-20

1The list includes only IDA countries subject to the LIC DSF. The table doesn’t cover the recent DSAs for the Rapid Credit Facility.

2Reflects only explicit DSA ratings when available.

3The latest DSA is not publicly available as of June 2020.

4May reflect usual lags in the publication.


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