Recent Economic Developments
Economic activity expanded by 8.3% (yoy) in the first half of 2025, driven by consumption. Domestic consumption was supported by rising real wages (+7.8% (yoy) in Q1) and strong credit growth (+14.6% (yoy) in real terms). On the supply side, ICT, trade, and construction were the main contributors to growth.
Annual Inflation accelerated to 4.8% in August, mainly due to higher food prices. The National Bank of Georgia has maintained its policy rate at 8% since May 2024, reflecting a cautious approach amid rising inflation and strong domestic demand.
Financial sector indicators remain sound. Non-performing loans remained broadly stable (NPLs) at 2.5%, return on equity was 22%, and return on assets reached 3.7%.
The current account deficit widened to 8.6% of GDP in Q1 2025, reflecting weaker exports of goods and lower remittances, partly offset by strong service exports. In H1, goods exports grew by 13.7% (yoy), driven by re-exports. Remittances increased by 3.6% (yoy), while tourism receipts grew by 3.8% (yoy). FDI inflows remained subdued at 2% of GDP in Q1. The lari appreciated by 0.5 % (yoy) against the USD by end-July, while reserves increased by 7.5% (yoy), reaching 3.2 months of imports.
The fiscal performance remained solid, with a deficit of 0.2% of GDP in H1 2025. Revenues rose by 9% (yoy), driven by strong economic activity and improved compliance. Current spending increased by 13.4% due to significant rises in wages, social programs, and subsidies, while capital outlays fell by 13% due to project execution delays. Public debt declined to 34 % of GDP at end-June.
In 2024, robust economic growth (9.4%) was accompanied by an estimated 3.4 percentage points reduction in poverty at the USD 8.3 line (2021 PPP), supported by higher employment and wage growth. Growth is projected to reach 7% in 2025, prior to easing to 5% in the medium term, as consumption growth normalizes. Poverty is expected to continue to decline.
Last Updated: Oct 09, 2025