Food Price Watch, June 2015: Prices Hit Five-Year Low; Impact of Low Oil Price on Global Food Prices, Poverty and Inequality

Latest Issue: 
  • Issue 19, Year 6


Key Findings:
  • International food prices declined by 14% between August 2014 and May 2015, sliding into a five-year low.
  • Abundant food stocks and prospects of a bumper crop are keeping food prices low.
  • El Nino, an appreciating dollar and oil price increases could drive up food prices in coming months.

International food prices decreased by 14% between August 2014 and May 2015, dropping to a five-year low, according to the latest Food Price Watch. Cheap oil contributed to abundant global supplies of food in 2014 and prospects of a bumper crop for wheat, maize and rice in 2015—factors that are driving the sharp decline in international food prices. The agriculture and food sector continue to benefit from less expensive chemical fertilizer, fuel and transportation costs brought on by the previous year’s oil price declines, with food prices holding steady despite recent oil price hikes. Between August 2014 and May 2015, wheat prices plunged by 18%, rice prices dropped by 14% and maize prices declined by 6%. Uncertainties remain, however, with the arrival of El Nino, the appreciation of the U.S. dollar and the recent increase in oil prices potentially having an impact on food prices in coming months.

Domestic grain prices mostly remained stable during the last year due to large food supplies and global food price declines.  However, domestic food prices increased in Ebola-hit countries, areas affected by conflict and weather-related disasters and in countries whose currencies depreciated. 

" “The decline in food prices is welcome, because more poor people can potentially afford to buy food for their families. However, unexpected domestic food price fluctuations remain a possibility so it is crucial that countries are prepared to address dangerous food price hikes when and if they unfold.” "

Jose Cuesta

Senior Economist, Poverty Global Practice, The World Bank Group

Food Price Watch is followed by development professionals, students, journalists, economists and others with an interest in global food markets and nutrition.
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José Cuesta

Yeon Soo Kim