East Asia and Pacific Chief Economist Office Research

• Dreams and Barriers: Aspirations, Expectations, and Schooling Outcomes of Indonesian Students. Hillary Johnson and Noel Muller. Policy Research Working Paper; no.10267. World Bank.
• Learning Losses in Cambodia and the Use of EdTech During COVID-19. World Bank.

2020

• Can Teaching Growth Mindset and Self-Management at School Shift Student Outcomes and Teacher Mindsets? Evidence From a Randomized Controlled Trial in Indonesia. Hillary C. Johnson, Daniel Pinzon Hernandez, Kali Trzesnieuwski James, Taufik Indrakesuma, Renos Ramadhan Vakis, Elizaveta Perova, Noel Muller, Samantha Ashley De Martino and Diego Catalan Molina. Policy Research Working Paper; no. 149073. World Bank.

2024

• Can Public Credit Schemes Improve Access to Finance for Small Businesses? Evidence from Indonesia. Salman Alibhai, Hillary C. Johnson, Cecile Thioro Niang, and Francesco Strobbe. Policy Research Working Paper; no. 10894. World Bank.

2023

• Assessing the Impact of the March 2023 US and Europe Banking Turmoil on East Asia's Financial Sector. Daisuke Fukuzawa, Ergys Islamaj, and Yusha Li. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 63. World Bank.
• Do Cash Transfer Programs Protect from Poverty in the Case of Aggregate Shocks? A Study on Typhoon Yolanda in the Philippines. Tobias Pfutze. Policy Research Working Paper; no. 10281. World Bank.

2022

• Non-financial Corporates in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Evaluating Liquidity and Solvency Risk. Daisuke Fukuzawa and Ergys Islamaj. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 59. World Bank. 

2021

• How Financial Market Development Can Encourage Innovation Activity. Yu Cao. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 52. World Bank.
• The Role of Existing Social Protection Programs in Alleviating Poverty Caused by Large-Scale Negative Shocks. Tobias Pfutze. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 50. World Bank.
• Long-Term Impacts of Short Exposure to Conditional Cash Transfers in Adolescence: Evidence from the Philippines. Erin Dervisevic, Elizaveta Perova and Abhilasha Sahay. Policy Research working paper; no. 9617. World Bank.

2024

• Online and On Point: How Can We Help Female Entrepreneurs in Indonesia Digitize?. EAPGIL Policy Brief. World Bank Group.
• Health Insurance Coverage Changes under Affordable Care Act among High Housing Cost Households, 2010–18. Yu Cao, Yuxin Su, Guan Wang, and Chengcheng Zhang. Health Economics, Volume 34, Issue 3.
• Gendered impacts of climate change: evidence from weather shocks. Anna Fruttero, Daniel Halim, Chiara Broccolini, Bernardo Coelho, Horace Gninafon, and Noël Muller. Environmental Research: Climate, Volume 3, Number 4.
• Supply of and Demand for Accessible and Affordable Childcare Services in Cambodia. World Bank (with contributions from Forest Jarvis and Hillary Johnson).            
• Long-Term and Lasting Impacts of Personal Initiative Training on Entrepreneurial Success. Francisco Campos, Michael Frese, Leonardo Iacovone, Hillary C. Johnson, David McKenzie, and Mona Mensmann. Policy Research Working Paper; no. 10938. World Bank.
• What Have We Learned from EAPGIL Research?. Forest Jarvis and Hillary C. Johnson. World Bank.
• When Does Decision-Making Reflect Agency? Evidence from the Rural Philippines. Aries Arugay, Aletheia Donald, Forest Jarvis, Hillary C. Johnson, and Aletheia Valenciano. World Bank.

2023

• Can Prosocial Incentives and Self-Chosen Goals Improve Performance? An Online Real Effort Experiment. Yu Cao, C. Monica Capra, and Yuxin Su. Oxford Economic Papers. Vol. 75(4), pages 973-992.
• Opening Opportunities: The Economic Cost of Gender Gaps in Entrepreneurship in Indonesia. Salman Alibhai, Aufa Doarest, Jescinta Isimeme Izevbigie, Forest Jarvis, and Hillary C. Johnson. World Bank.
• Do Prosocial Incentives Motivate Women to Set Higher Goals and Improve Performance?. Yu Cao, C. Monica Capra, and Yuxin Su. Journal of Economic Psychology. Vol. 99.
• Maternal Work and Children's Development: Examining 20 Years of Evidence
  Maria C. Lo Bue, Elizaveta Perova, and Sarah Reynolds. Policy Research working paper; no. 10305. World Bank.

2022

• Against the Challenges: Stories of Female Entrepreneurs in Cambodia and Vietnam
  Pingann Oung and Hillary C. Johnson. World Bank.
• Conditional Cash Transfers and Gender-Based Violence - Does the Type of Violence Matter?. Ervin Dervisevic, Elizaveta Perova, and Abhilasha Sahay. Policy Research working paper; no. WPS 10122. Impact Evaluation series.  World Bank
• Childcare and Women's Labor Market Outcomes in Lower- and Middle-Income Countries: A Policy Brief. Daniel Zefanya Halim, Elizaveta Perova, and Sarah Reynolds. (EAPGIL) Series. World Bank
• Breaking Barriers: Female Entrepreneurs Who Cross Over to Male-Dominated Sectors. Naira Kalra, Markus P. Goldstein, Maria Emilia Cucagna, Fannie Delavelle, Leonardo Iacovone, Hillary C. Johnson, Paula Lorena Gonzalez Martinez, Eliana Carolina Rubiano Matulevich, Elizaveta Perova, Rachael Susan Pierotti, Gareth Arthur Roberts, and Jose Daniel Trujillo. World Bank

2021

• Lost in Interpretation: Why Spouses Disagree on Who Makes Decisions
  Sundas Liaqat, Aletheia Amalia Donald, Forest Brach Jarvis, Elizaveta Perova, and Hillary C. Johnson. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9883. World Bank.
• Inequality Under Covid-19: Taking Stock of High-Frequency Data for East Asia and the Pacific. Lydia Y. Kim, Maria Ana Lugo, Andrew D. Mason, and Ikuko Uochi. Policy Research working paper|no. WPS 9859. World Bank.
• Exploring the Potential of Gender Parity to Promote Economic Growth
  Sharmila Devadas and Young Eun Kim. Research and Policy Brief;No. 39. World Bank.
• Childcare and Mothers’ Labor Market Outcomes in Lower- and Middle-Income Countries. Daniel Zefanya Halim, Elizaveta Perova, and Sarah Reynolds. Policy Research working paper|no. WPS 9828. World Bank.
• Public Work Programs and Gender-Based Violence: Evidence from LAO PDR
  Elizaveta Perova, Erik Caldwell Johnson, Aneesh Mannava, Sarah Anne Reynolds, and Alana Hinda Teman. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9691. World Bank.
• How to Better Capture Women's Agency Through Decision-Making Measures: Five tips from Research in the Philippines. Forest Brach Jarvis, Hillary C. Johnson, and Elizaveta Perova. East Asia and Pacific Gender Innovation Lab (EAPGIL) Series. World Bank.
• Preschool Availability and Women’s Employment : Evidence from Indonesia
  Daniel Zefanya Halim, Hillary C. Johnson, and Elizaveta Perova. Economic Development and Cultural Change. Volume 71, Number 1.
• Who Benefits from Better Roads and Why Mixed Methods Analysis of the Gender-Disaggregated Impacts of a Rural Roads Project in Vietnam
  Aneesh Mannava, Elizaveta Perova, and Phuong Thi Minh Tran. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9216. World Bank.

2020

• What Factors Exacerbate and Mitigate the Risk of Gender-Based Violence During COVID-19?: Insights from a Phone Survey in Indonesia. Daniel Zefanya Halim, England Rhys Can, and Elizaveta Perova. East Asia and Pacific Gender Innovation Lab (EAPGIL) Series. World Bank.
• Can We Capture Exposure to Gender-Based Violence (GBV) through Phone Surveys during a Pandemic. Elizaveta Perova, Forest Brach Jarvis, Diana Jimena Arango, and Amber Peterman. Measurement Note. World Bank.
• Can Boosting Savings and Skills Support Female Business Owners in Indonesia: Evidence From a Randomized Controlled Trial. Mayra Lourdes Buvinic, Hillary C. Johnson, Elizaveta Perova, and Firman Witoelar. Working Papers 530, Center for Global Development.

2018

• Women Farmers in Timor-Leste: Bridging the Gender Gap in Agricultural Productivity. Elizaveta Perova and Sunita Caminha. ast Asia and Pacific Gender Innovation Lab (EAPGIL) Series | no. 4. World Bank.
• Gender Gap in Earnings in Vietnam: Why Do Vietnamese Women Work in Lower Paid Occupations. Iffat Ara Chowdhury, Hillary C. Johnson, Aneesh Mannava, and Elizaveta Perova. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 8433. World Bank.
• Gender Streaming in Vietnam. Iffat Ara Chowdhury, Hillary C. Johnson, Aneesh Mannava, and Elizaveta Perova. World Bank.

2023

• From Food Security to Nutrition Security in the East Asia and Pacific Region. Mateo Ambrosio Albala, David Charles Dawe, Ergys Islamaj, Aaditya Mattoo, Alban Pablo Mas Aparisi, Aka Kyaw Min Maw, and Animesh Shrivastava. EAPCE Research Center Policy Research Brief no. 61.

2022

• COVID Vaccinations in East Asia and the Pacific: Situations and Constraints. Young Eun Kim, Tonny Brian Mungai Muthee, and Aneesa Arur. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 55.  World Bank.

2021

• Managing Long Covid in East Asia and the Pacific . Aneesa Arur, Ergys Islamaj, Young Eun Kim, Duong Trung Le, Aaditya Mattoo, and Aparnaa Somanathan. Research & Policy Briefs | no. 51. World Bank.
• Lives versus Livelihoods During the COVID-19 Pandemic: How Testing Softens the Trade-Off . Ergys Islamaj, Duong Trung Le, and Aaditya Mattoo. Policy Research working paper | No. WPS 9696. World Bank.
  
• The Spread of COVID-19 and Policy Responses. Ergys Islamaj, Young Eun Kim, and Duong Trung Le.  Research & Policy Briefs | No. 40. World Bank.

2025

• Trade Effects of Industrial Policies: Are Preferential Agreements a Shield?. Alessandro Barattieri, Aaditya Mattoo, and Daria Taglioni. Journal of Policy Modeling. Forthcoming.
• Enduring dependence: De minimis, transshipment, and US-China trade. Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic, Michele Ruta and Karolina Wilczynska, in Richard Baldwin and Michele Ruta (eds.). The State of Globalisation, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
• Trade cooperation under geopolitical rivalry. Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic, Michele Ruta and Karolina Wilczynska, in Richard Baldwin and Michele Ruta (eds.). The State of Globalisation, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

2024

• Geopolitics and the World Trading System. Aaditya Mattoo, Michele Ruta and Robert W. Staiger. NBER Working Paper 33293 and World Bank Policy Research Working Paper WPS11009.
• Is US Trade Policy Reshaping Global Supply Chains?. Carolyn Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic and Michele Ruta. Journal of International Economics, Volume 152.
• Technological Decoupling? The Impact on Innovation of US Restrictions on Chinese Firms. Yu Cao, Francesca de Nicola, Aaditya Mattoo and Jonathan Timmis. Policy Research Working Paper; no. 10950. World Bank.

2023

• Sub-Saharan Africa's participation in global value chains: 1995–2021. Aaditya Mattoo, Michele Mancini, Daria Taglioni and Deborah Winkler. World Economy, Volume 46(11), pp. 3192-3207.
• Are Trade Preferences a Panacea? The Export Impact of the African Growth and Opportunity Act. Ana Fernandes, Alejandro Forero, Hibret Maemir and Aaditya Mattoo. World Development, Volume 162.

• The Aggregate Effects of Global and Local Supply Chain Disruptions: 2020-2022
  George Alessandria, Shafaat Yar Khan, Armen Khederlarian, Carter Mix, and Kim J. Ruhl. Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 10303. World Bank.

2021

• Trade-Policy Dynamics: Evidence from 60 Years of U.S.-China Trade
  George Alessandria, Shafaat Yar Khan, Armen Khederlarian, Kim J. Ruhl, and Joseph B. Steinberg. Research working paper|no. WPS 9741. World Bank.
• Natural Disasters and the Reshaping of Global Value Chains
  Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic, and Michele Ruta. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9719. World Bank.
• How Does Trade Respond to Anticipated Tariff Changes: Evidence from NAFTA
  Shafaat Yar Khan and Armen Khederlarian. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9646. World Bank.
• Inventories, Input Costs and Productivity Gains from Trade Liberalizations 
  Shafaat Yar Khan and Armen Khederlarian. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9564. World Bank.
• Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence From China's Pre-WTO Accession. George Alessandria, Shafaat Yar Khan, and Armen Khederlarian. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9551. World Bank.
• Pandemic Trade: Covid-19, Remote Work and Global Value Chains
  Álvaro Raúl Espitia Rueda, Aaditya Mattoo, Nadia Rocha, Michele Ruta, and Deborah Elisabeth Winkler. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9508.  World Bank.

2020

• Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements. Aaditya Mattoo, Nadia Patrizia Rocha Gaffurri, and Michele Ruta. World Bank.
• The Evolution of Deep Trade Agreements. Aaditya Mattoo, Nadia Rocha, and Michele Ruta. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9283. World Bank.
• The Possible Impact of Covid-19 on GDP and Trade: A Preliminary Assesment . Maryla Maliszewska, Aaditya Mattoo, and Dominique Van Der Mensbrugghe. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 921. World Bank.
• When Elephants Make Peace: The Impact of the China-U.S. Trade Agreement on Developing Countries. Caroline Freund, Maryla Maliszewska, Aaditya Mattoo, and Michele Ruta. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9173. World Bank.

2024

• Implications of Heightened Global Uncertainty for the East Asia and Pacific Region. Jongrim Ha, Ergys Islamaj and Aaditya Mattoo. EAPCE Research Center. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 64. World Bank.
• Shedding Light on the Local Impact of Temperature. Da Hoang, Duong Trung Le, Ha Nguyen and Nikola Spatafora. IMF Working Papers Series No. 2024/178.
• The Sovereign Spread Compressing Effect of Fiscal Rules during Global Crises. Ergys Islamaj, Agustin Samano Penaloza and Scott Sommer. Policy Research Working Paper; no. 10741. World Bank.
• A diverse portfolio of marine protected areas can better advance global conservation and equity. Duong Trung Le, David Gill et al. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Volume 121, No. 10.

2023

• The heterogeneous impact of social distancing on household-level economic performances: evidence from a large survey in Vietnam. Dao Le-Van, Daisuke Fukuzawa, and Duong Trung Le. Journal of Asian Public Policy, Volume 18, Issue 2: Riding the Tide of Generative Artificial Intelligence in Higher Education
• Long-Run Economic Consequences of Firm Avoidance in the Threshold Regulation for Financial Reporting. Yu Cao and Lisa Yao Liu. Columbia Business School 

• How Do Rising US Interest Rates Affect Developing East Asian Economies? 
  Daisuke Fukuzawa, Ergys Islamaj, and Franz Ulrich Ruch. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 62. World Bank.

2022

• Drivers of Public Debt in East Asia and Pacific Economies 
  Ergys Islamaj and Agustin Samano Penaloza. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 60 Washington, D.C. World Bank.
• The Road Not Taken?: Responding to the Energy Price Shock in East Asia
  Hector Ben Politt, Ergys Islamaj, Rahul Kitchlu, Duong Trung Le, and Aaditya Mattoo. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 58. World Bank.
• Temporary Price Controls as a Second-Best Option to Control Sudden Spikes in the Prices of Basic Necessities . Undral Batmunkh and Tobias Pfutze. Research & Policy Briefs; no. 56. World Bank.
• In the Developing World, Covid-19 Was a Job Destruction Shock. Jose Maria Barrero Sanclemente, Francesca De Nicola, Jonathan David Timmis, Jesica Torres Coronado, and Trang Tran Minh Pham. World Bank.

2021

• What Types of Capital Flows Help Improve International Risk Sharing . Ergys Islamaj and Ayhan Kose. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9846. World Bank.
• International Reserves and Central Bank Independence. Agustin Samano Penaloza. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9832. World Bank.
• Demand and Supply Dynamics in East-Asia during the Covid-19 Recession. Ergys Islamaj, Franz Ulrich Ruch, and Ekaterine T. Vashakmadze. Research & Policy Briefs | no. 47. World Bank 

2020

• Malaysia's Economic Growth and Transition to High Income: An Application of the World Bank Long Term Grwoth Model (LTGM). Sharmila Devadas, Jorge P. Guzman, Young Eun Kim, Norman V. Loayza, and Steven Michael Pennings. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9278. World Bank.

2025

• How does state-ownership affect firm innovation? Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing Firms. Yu Cao, Caroline Betts. World Bank Economic Review

2024

• Financial Constraints, Innovation Quality, and Growth. Yu Cao. Kuala Lumpur Research Seminar Series. World Bank.

2022

• Caring for Children and Firms? The Impact of Preschool Expansion on Firm Productivity. Massimiliano Cali, Hillary C. Johnson, Elizaveta Perova, and Nabil Rizky Ryandiansyah. Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 10193; CRWJ; Care Work and Care Economy. World Bank.
• Assessing the Impact of Covid-19 on Businesses in Columbia: Preliminary Results. Leonardo Iacovone and Jonathan David Timmis. World Bank.
• Firm Entry, Exit and Suspension: Evidence from Household Businesses in Vietnam
  Ergys Islamaj, Duong Trung Le, and Thanh Minh Pham. Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 10223. World Bank.

2021

• Agglomeration Economies in Developing Countries: A Meta-Analysis. Arti Goswami Grover, Somik V. Lall, and Jonathan David Timmis. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9730. World Bank.
• Productivity in the Time of Covid-19: Evidence from East Asia and Pacific. Francesca De Nicola, Aaditya Mattoo, Jonathan David Timmis, and Trang Thu Tran. Research & Policy Briefs | no. 46. World Bank.

2020

• Small and Medium Enterprises in the Pandemic: Impact, Responses and the Role of Development Finance . Ikmal Adian, Djeneba Doumbia, Neil Gregory, Alexandros Ragoussis, Aarti Reddy, and Jonathan David Timmis. Policy Research working paper|no. WPS 9414. World Bank.
• Land Rights in Transition: Preliminary Experimental Evidence on How Changes in Formal Tenure Affect Agricultural Outcomes, Perceptions, and Decision-Making in the Philippines. Rosa Castro-Zarzur, Prudenciano Uljer Gordoncillo, Snaebjorn Gunnsteinsson, Forest Brach Jarvis, Hillary C. Johnson, Elizaveta Perova, and Peter Gabriel Srouji. World Bank.

2025

• Decarbonizing Air Transport : Insights from a Quasi-Experiment. Megersa Abera Abate, Alessandro Barattieri, Alberto Brugnoli, and Flavio Porta. Policy Research Working Paper No. WPS11183. World Bank.

2024

• Industrial automation as a driver of job creation through greater integration into GVCs. Andrés Manuel César, Omar Arias, Daisuke Fukuzawa and Le Duong Trung. Working Papers 4717. Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.

2023

• Global value chains and domestic innovation. Antonin Bergeaud, Chiara Criscuolo, Kenta Ikeuchi, Keiko Ito, Jonathan Timmis. Research Policy. Volume 52, Issue 3.

2022

• Global Transition Online. Alexandros Ragoussis and Jonathan David Timmis. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9951. World Bank.

2021

• Robots and Export Quality. Timothy DeStefano and Jonathan David Timmis. Research working paper | no. WPS 9678. World Bank.

2019

• How Technology Adoption and Trade Are Shaping Indonesian Labor Markets. Mariana Viollaz, Francis Addeah Darko, and Andrew D. Mason. Policy Research working paper | no. WPS 9095. World Bank.