Overview
The World Bank Group (WBG) publishes annual country classifications to guide its strategic operations in fragile, conflict, and violence-affected environments. Beginning in July 2026 (FY2027), the WBG has revised its classification framework. Two separate lists are now published: the Public FCV List, based on the geographic prevalence of organized political violence, and the Institutional Fragility List, based on institutional and governance indicators (CPIA). The lists are independent — a country may appear on one, both, or neither.
Prior to FY2027, the WBG published a single Harmonized List of Fragile Situations (FCS List) that combined conflict and institutional fragility tiers into one document. The FCS terminology has been replaced by FCV (Fragility, Conflict, and Violence) to align with the Bank's broader operational framework. The complete historical FCS lists (FY2006–FY2026) are available in the archive section below.
1. FY2027 Public FCV List
The FY2027 Public FCV List identifies 24 countries where organized political violence is geographically widespread. A country is included when 20 percent or more of its population resides in subnational administrative units with elevated conflict-related fatalities during the reference period (June 2025–May 2026). The list is based entirely on publicly available data (ACLED) and is fully replicable.
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2. FY2027 Institutional Fragility List
The Institutional Fragility List identifies IDA-eligible countries with a CPIA Overall Score strictly below 3.0 (unrounded). This list captures structural institutional and governance fragility independently of conflict dynamics. It is published as a standalone document and is not part of the Public FCV List.
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3. Historical Reference — Previous FCS Methodology (FY2006–FY2026)
Prior to FY2027, the WBG published a single Harmonized List of Fragile Situations (later the FCS List) that combined conflict and institutional fragility tiers. The documents below describe the previous methodology and provide the complete historical country lists from FY2006 through FY2026. These are provided for archival and research purposes.
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Last Updated: Jul 01, 2026