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Overview

Chile has a track record of sound macroeconomic policies and robust institutions and has effectively managed recent global volatility. However, the country faces mounting challenges owing to low growth, subdued investment, and a decade-long productivity stagnation. Mining is expected to support growth over the medium term. On the fiscal front, the government is making additional efforts to achieve its medium-term fiscal balance target, as structural shifts have led to a revenue shortfall. Poverty in Chile is the lowest in the region and has been steadily declining. However, significant regional disparities persist and progress in non-monetary indicators remains limited.

GDP grew by 2.6 percent in 2024, driven by rising mining exports. Investment fell by 1.4 per cent, while consumption grew by a mere 1.0 percent. Unemployment declined slightly to 8.5 percent but remained above the 7.2 percent rate recorded in 2019. Labor informality rates remained high, especially among women, reaching 28.4 percent compared to 24.8 percent among men. Inflation eased to 4.3 percent in 2024, down from 7.6 percent in 2023, but remained above the central bank’s target of 3 percent.

Real GDP growth is expected to be 2.1 percent in 2025, driven by recovering investment and ongoing support for exports, although uncertainty around global trade dynamics could weigh on investment decisions and dampen growth prospects. Short-term cost pressures are expected to keep inflation at about 5 percent in early 2025, but these pressures should ease over the medium term, reaching 4.6 percent by end-2025. Poverty (US$6.85/day, 2017 PPP) and income inequality rates are projected to remain at about 4.6 percent and 43 GINI points in 2025, respectively, and then decline gradually thereafter.

Lower global demand stemming from changing trade policies and heightened uncertainty could have significant indirect effects on Chile, through less demand for its exports and lower copper prices.  Other external risks include tighter credit conditions, which could hinder investment recovery. Domestic risks stem from political uncertainty ahead of the November 2025 elections, with potential policy shifts impacting investor confidence and triggering currency fluctuations.

Last Updated: Apr 29, 2025

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Country Office Contacts

CHILE +562 239 82400
Apoquindo 2929, 1300-A, Las Condes, Santiago
For general information and inquiries, as well as for project-related issues and complaints