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The UK Government-financed program, Building the Evidence on Forced Displacement, was the first broad research partnership between the World Bank and the UNHCR. The program was designed to finance research that could help finding lasting solutions for refugees and IDPs by leveraging the complementary strengths of the two organizations. It evolved into a seven-year program (2016-2023) that allocated over $16 million in research grants, leading to the undertaking of over 130 studies across five continents. During this same period, research on forced displacement within the social sciences has transitioned from being a minor sub-area of migration studies, with only a few studies rarely published in refereed journals, to becoming a major field of research. Today, thousands of studies on forced displacement are published in top social science journals. At the same time, all major organizations engaged in assisting displaced people, including the World Bank, UNHCR, WFP, ICRC, IOM, and others, have changed the way they use data and research to inform their operations. By any measure, this has been an epochal change which coincided with a major period of growth in the global number of displaced populations.
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00:00 Hello everyone.

00:00 Greetings and uh welcome to this uh this event.

00:04 Uh welcome to this World Refugee Day 3 event

00:07 on forced displacement and the role of research in the 21st century

00:12 which you may have seen is uh being recorded.

00:14 Uh,

00:15 this event is organized

00:16 by UNHCR,

00:17 the World Bank,

00:19 uh,

00:19 and UK Aid

00:20 to reflect on the experience of the UK funded program building the evidence

00:24 on forced displacement.

00:26 My name is Jeoli.

00:28 I am the senior advisor

00:30 on force displacement at the EU UNOP's

00:32 uh Lives in Dignity Grant Facility,

00:35 and I will be the moderator for,

00:37 uh,

00:37 this event today.

00:39 We have a,

00:40 a full program,

00:41 um,

00:42 and,

00:42 uh,

00:43 I,

00:43 I would say,

00:43 uh,

00:44 uh,

00:44 with a list of,

00:45 uh,

00:45 distinguished and very interesting topics,

00:47 distinguished speakers and very interesting topics to,

00:49 to,

00:49 uh,

00:50 to discuss and,

00:50 uh,

00:51 and hopefully,

00:52 uh,

00:52 a bit of time for interaction,

00:53 uh,

00:53 uh,

00:54 with the audience as well.

00:56 In a minute,

00:56 I will give the floor to our first speakers for the opening remarks.

01:00 Um,

01:01 uh,

01:02 and,

01:02 uh,

01:02 then we'll go to listen to 4 presentations

01:06 highlighting the work that has been done

01:08 by this research program.

01:10 We will then have a discussion,

01:12 uh,

01:12 and,

01:12 and of course at the end of the closing session.

01:14 Um,

01:15 uh,

01:16 and all of that will aim,

01:17 uh,

01:18 to assess the progress made in force displacement research,

01:21 uh,

01:21 especially over the past decade,

01:23 um,

01:23 identify,

01:24 uh,

01:24 obstacles in the effective use of research

01:27 and reflect more broadly

01:29 on the role of research in humanitarian context,

01:31 uh,

01:32 today and,

01:32 uh,

01:32 and in,

01:33 in the future.

01:35 Before we fully start the,

01:36 the usual,

01:37 uh,

01:37 uh,

01:38 housekeeping rules,

01:39 especially for,

01:40 for,

01:40 uh,

01:40 uh,

01:40 our colleagues online.

01:42 Um,

01:43 so for those online,

01:44 please make sure that you mute,

01:46 uh,

01:46 your microphone when you're not speaking.

01:49 Turn on your camera if you can,

01:50 uh,

01:51 especially when you speak,

01:52 and it depends maybe a bit on your bandwidth.

01:55 Um,

01:56 if you can use a headset that improves the,

01:58 uh,

01:59 the sound quality,

02:00 then for those in the room,

02:02 since we have a,

02:02 a few,

02:03 uh,

02:03 speakers in the room and also during the,

02:05 the Q&A,

02:06 the exchanges,

02:07 uh,

02:07 the only requirement is try to make sure that you speak loud enough

02:10 for everyone to,

02:11 uh,

02:12 be able to hear you,

02:13 especially our colleagues online

02:14 and not too far from the microphones in the room.

02:17 And then for everyone,

02:19 uh,

02:19 me included,

02:20 we'll try to

02:21 keep to the allocated time.

02:22 Uh,

02:23 I will try to be,

02:24 uh,

02:24 diplomatic about that,

02:25 but also,

02:26 uh,

02:26 make sure that,

02:27 uh,

02:27 that we keep on track and we don't run into too many delays.

02:31 Um,

02:32 no,

02:32 now that,

02:33 uh,

02:33 all those details are,

02:34 I hope,

02:35 clear,

02:36 um,

02:36 I am delighted to,

02:37 uh,

02:37 turn to our first speaker,

02:39 which,

02:40 uh,

02:40 is,

02:41 uh,

02:41 um,

02:42 Miss,

02:42 uh,

02:42 Ms.

02:43 uh Sukena Khan,

02:45 uh,

02:45 director of the Fragility,

02:47 Conflict and Violence Group at the World Bank,

02:50 uh,

02:50 who is joining us online.

02:53 And,

02:53 uh,

02:54 we're very happy to,

02:55 uh,

02:55 to have you,

02:57 I can,

02:57 as the first speaker of today.

02:59 Uh,

02:59 the floor is yours and you have about 5 minutes for your opening remarks.

03:05 Thank you.

03:06 Thank you so very much.

03:06 Can you see me and hear me very well?

03:10 We do.

03:11 Thank you.

03:11 All right,

03:11 thank you.

03:12 Thank you,

03:12 and warm,

03:13 uh,

03:13 welcome to all of you from Washington DC.

03:17 I'm delighted to be here and to,

03:20 uh,

03:20 uh,

03:21 be part of this seminar on forced displacement and the role of research

03:26 in the 21st century.

03:27 But before

03:29 I turn to the topic,

03:30 uh,

03:31 just I would like to take a couple of minutes to reflect on the broader context.

03:35 In

03:36 2022,

03:37 as you know,

03:38 the world has surpassed the sad record of 100 million forcibly displaced persons.

03:45 This is the highest number

03:47 ever recorded.

03:48 And this trend reflects not only intensification of conflict and violence,

03:54 but

03:55 also it's a reflection of the fact that we have

03:58 not been successful in breaking decades-long displacement situation,

04:03 leaving millions living in exile

04:06 for generations.

04:09 Now,

04:09 recognizing that

04:11 most refugee situations become protracted,

04:14 the World Bank,

04:15 um,

04:16 we do take a development approach and

04:18 emphasize the importance of addressing the socio-economic needs

04:22 and aspirations of refugees and their host communities.

04:26 And of course,

04:27 data

04:28 is an integral part of our strategy,

04:30 our policy,

04:32 our dialogue,

04:33 our advocacy

04:34 on forced displacement.

04:36 Under our financing mechanism uh called IDA,

04:40 in particular under IDA 20.

04:43 From mid 2022 to year 2025

04:47 $2.4 billion have been allocated to promote medium to

04:52 long-term development opportunities for refugees and the host communities.

04:57 We are now,

04:58 uh,

04:58 as we speak,

04:59 uh,

05:00 in,

05:01 uh,

05:01 in the process of conducting a midterm review of the fragility,

05:05 conflict and violence strategy of the World Bank.

05:07 And

05:09 in this exercise,

05:10 we have great input from many partners including agencies represented today.

05:15 And

05:16 many of you during the consultation of

05:18 the strategy have reinforced the importance of data

05:22 to support evidence-based intervention.

05:25 So,

05:26 and as some of you already know,

05:29 our 2022 World Development Report provides a pathway to

05:35 Uh,

05:35 uh,

05:36 continued engagement on the issue of forced displacement.

05:40 In my view,

05:41 it's really a valuable guide on inclusive policies,

05:44 financial instruments,

05:45 and more regional approaches

05:47 to address cross-border dimension of forced displacement.

05:51 So we are really grateful to all of you for

05:53 your contribution to the report and for your strategic insights.

05:58 Now,

05:59 turning to research on forced displacement,

06:02 one

06:03 thing that we could say that it has made huge progress in the past 10 years.

06:07 A key element of this development has been the

06:10 partnership established between the World Bank and the UNHCR

06:14 first formalized in 2016 with the creation of the

06:17 UK funded Building the Evidence of forced displacement.

06:21 Research program in Washington DC

06:24 and more

06:25 recently

06:28 with the creation of the multi-dor

06:30 funded Joint Data Center,

06:32 the so-called JDC based in Copenhagen.

06:36 So thanks to this research,

06:37 we are in a much better position than 10 years ago

06:41 to understand

06:42 forced displacement crises and design better programs and policies.

06:47 For example,

06:48 we know that

06:49 displacement crises have on average

06:51 and in the long run positive economic outcomes for host communities.

06:56 We

06:56 learned,

06:57 we have learned that the effects hide a more complex picture

07:01 with adverse effects being short term,

07:03 localized and constrained to vulnerable groups.

07:06 We've learned that programs that target

07:08 these vulnerable groups are effective in mitigating

07:12 or even at some time reversing

07:14 the negative effects.

07:16 We learned that policies

07:18 that foster freedom to movement and freedom of work

07:21 do reduce the range and duration of

07:24 the negative effects for the displaced population

07:27 and their hosts.

07:29 So this was just a quick snapshot in a

07:32 few minutes allocated uh uh for this intervention,

07:36 uh,

07:37 you will hear

07:38 certainly more from the building,

07:40 the evidence on forced displacement research program on this experience,

07:44 on its findings,

07:45 the lessons in designing,

07:47 financing,

07:48 and disseminating research on forced displacement.

07:51 We will

07:51 then hopefully use

07:53 this experience to discuss more broadly what

07:55 is the role of the research of cooperation

07:58 with a very distinguished set of panelists that joined us from

08:02 uh WFP,

08:03 ICRC,

08:04 Johns Hopkins University,

08:05 the World Bank,

08:06 and UNHCR.

08:08 So please join me in welcoming all speakers and panelists,

08:11 and let me hand over to our moderator,

08:13 Jerome,

08:13 Eli,

08:14 who will guide us during the next one hour and a half.

08:16 Thank you.

08:17 Over to you,

08:17 Jerome.

08:18 Excellent.

08:19 Thanks a lot and thanks a lot for

08:21 even being shorter than uh,

08:22 than us.

08:23 Um,

08:24 we can now turn to our second speaker for the,

08:27 for the opening uh uh session,

08:29 Ms.

08:30 Betsy Lippmann,

08:30 Deputy Director

08:32 for the division of Resilience and Solutions at UNHCR

08:36 and who is in the room,

08:37 uh,

08:37 with us.

08:38 Uh,

08:38 for your opening remarks,

08:40 uh,

08:40 you have about 3 minutes,

08:41 and,

08:41 uh,

08:42 the few is

08:42 is yours.

08:43 Thank you.

08:43 Great,

08:43 thank you.

08:44 So with many,

08:45 many thanks to FCDO Sukena,

08:48 Paulo,

08:49 and Paula and other World Bank colleagues,

08:52 this was the first World Bank UNHCR multi-year research partnership

08:57 and has really paved the way for a deeper collaboration across our two institutions

09:02 around evidence generation to inform programming and policy.

09:06 Moreover,

09:07 over the past few years,

09:08 UNHCR has invested significantly in improving our data collection,

09:12 approaches and uses,

09:14 including through the new UNHCR Global Data Services,

09:18 data transformation strategy,

09:20 and the work of the World Bank UNHCR Joint Data Center.

09:24 The value of this collaboration with the World Bank and FCDO on socioeconomic

09:29 data and research

09:30 is at the heart of building our partnership with development actors,

09:34 actors whom you know are data-driven

09:36 in their allocation of financing.

09:39 The FCDOHCR World Bank Trust fund has helped UNHCR improve its data,

09:45 research capacity,

09:46 and analytical culture.

09:48 The 5 global questions reports of the reports frame the current current

09:53 evidence on key topics in meta literature reviews on social cohesion,

09:58 gender,

09:59 health,

10:00 education,

10:00 and jobs.

10:01 And this was decided in,

10:03 in,

10:03 uh,

10:04 collaboration

10:05 when we first started on what were some of the key topics that we wanted to invest in.

10:10 It provided critical sectoral and thematic insights

10:13 to delivering thoughtful programming and informed more

10:16 coordinated policy approaches by diverse stakeholders,

10:20 including bilateral,

10:21 multilateral development actors,

10:23 government,

10:23 and humanitarian actors.

10:26 Working with the World Bank through the building

10:28 of evidence of forced displacement trust fund,

10:30 we pioneered the use of UNHCR system to capture

10:34 individual refugee data,

10:35 what we call progress,

10:37 expanding its use well beyond

10:39 the individual case management.

10:41 Thanks to investments from this trust fund,

10:43 we have collaborated with the World Bank on expanding

10:46 our investments to using innovative approaches to model poverty,

10:50 for example.

10:52 This is an important area of work

10:54 as poverty data for low and middle income countries is often outdated,

10:58 let alone for refugees living in these countries where we have even less data.

11:03 Using innovative approaches to enhance data on

11:07 forcibly displaced is essential for UNHCR.

11:11 The Building Evidence Enforced Displacement Trust Fund was

11:13 a valuable learning experience for us at UNHCR.

11:17 It has produced more than 100 studies across 36 countries

11:22 and has been a major force in improving the evidence base.

11:26 The digestion of this work is only beginning

11:29 from the humanitarian community,

11:30 and we are keen to ensure that the data and evidence informs program,

11:35 policy,

11:35 and advocacy.

11:37 Our efforts of,

11:38 of UNHCR and our partners,

11:40 including host

11:41 and return governments.

11:43 So,

11:43 we look forward to uh,

11:45 a great,

11:45 a great discussion today and thank you all very much for participating.

11:50 Thank you.

11:50 Thanks a lot,

11:51 uh,

11:51 Betsy,

11:51 and,

11:51 uh,

11:52 uh,

11:53 I think,

11:53 uh,

11:53 two very interesting and uh

11:56 first presentation setting the scene really,

11:58 uh,

11:59 for the,

11:59 for the,

12:00 uh,

12:00 the event to come.

12:02 Um,

12:02 we will now turn to the four presentations,

12:05 uh,

12:05 which are,

12:06 um,

12:06 uh,

12:06 aiming at sharing uh the key outcomes,

12:09 the findings,

12:10 and,

12:10 uh,

12:10 also a few selected examples,

12:12 I understand

12:13 from the program building the evidence,

12:15 uh,

12:15 on for displacement.

12:16 Uh,

12:17 each of the four speakers will have about 7 minutes for a focused,

12:21 uh,

12:21 presentation on the,

12:22 on the,

12:23 the,

12:23 the topics that I just mentioned,

12:25 and we will start with,

12:26 uh,

12:26 Mr.

12:27 Paolo Verme,

12:28 Program Manager at the World Bank here in the room with us,

12:31 to my right.

12:32 Uh,

12:32 we will talk,

12:33 uh,

12:33 we will talk about the,

12:34 um,

12:34 key findings of the programs.

12:36 We'll,

12:36 we'll start with the key findings.

12:38 Uh,

12:38 Mr.

12:38 Verme,

12:39 the,

12:39 the floor is yours.

12:40 I think there is a PowerPoint presentation ongoing.

12:45 15.

12:46 OK.

12:48 Thank you,

12:49 uh,

12:50 very much.

12:50 Thanks to Sukena for the nice introduction to Betsy

12:55 for the introduction and also being with us throughout the 17 years of this program.

13:01 Uh,

13:01 and,

13:02 uh,

13:02 thanks to the UNHC for hosting us today.

13:06 What I'm going to do in the next 15 minutes

13:10 is to give you a presentation on the program.

13:13 So I will give you some background,

13:16 why we decided to do this program at the time.

13:19 Uh,

13:19 I will give you a program's overview looking at the inputs and outputs,

13:23 what we produce,

13:23 what we did during these,

13:25 uh,

13:25 7 years.

13:27 Uh,

13:27 some of the key findings where we have a certain

13:30 amount of solid evidence that backed these findings by now.

13:35 Um,

13:36 I will say something about the state of research on forced displacement as of today,

13:41 and then,

13:42 uh,

13:42 concludes with,

13:43 uh,

13:43 what we think are some of the impacts,

13:46 uh,

13:46 on policies and programs,

13:48 and then my colleague will expand on these issues

13:51 with,

13:51 uh,

13:52 some examples.

13:54 So,

13:55 um,

13:56 what is the background?

13:57 Well,

13:58 the background

13:59 is,

13:59 uh,

13:59 2011 and the Syrian crisis first,

14:03 uh,

14:03 the Arab Spring,

14:04 this is the context where we started at the World Bank to think about refugees.

14:08 Remember,

14:09 the World Bank,

14:09 uh,

14:10 uh,

14:10 overarching goal is to reduce poverty.

14:13 Refugees were not the top of our agenda 10 years ago.

14:17 Uh,

14:18 but they quickly became along the Syrian crisis.

14:22 Uh,

14:23 and then the 2015,

14:24 uh,

14:25 peak of the EU migration crisis

14:28 where EU governments essentially panicked around the

14:32 inflow of refugees and other migrants,

14:35 uh,

14:36 from different routes,

14:38 um,

14:38 and that eventually led To what we call the new result,

14:42 uh,

14:43 increase the political commitment from leaders,

14:46 uh,

14:46 across the world,

14:47 particularly in Europe,

14:48 and also increase financial means.

14:50 You may remember

14:52 the amount of money that were granted to Turkey

14:54 to ensure that Turkey would not open the borders,

14:58 uh,

14:58 and let refugees flow,

15:00 uh,

15:01 north to the EU.

15:03 So there was a great

15:05 new resolve and financial commitment,

15:08 uh,

15:08 to back that.

15:10 But of course,

15:10 we had an old problem,

15:12 which is the lack,

15:13 which was the lack of microdata and quality research on forced displacement.

15:17 I will show you a graph later on

15:21 that shows how little there was of quality research back in 2015,

15:26 201616 when we started.

15:28 So,

15:29 we decided that together with the UNHCR to do a

15:32 first experiment where in the context of Jordan and Lebanon,

15:35 you know,

15:36 a mass inflow of refugees in these two countries.

15:39 We did not know,

15:40 never done a poverty assessment of refugees before as the World Bank.

15:45 So we got together with the World Bank and the UNHCR and say,

15:48 look,

15:49 uh,

15:49 we know about poverty,

15:50 you know about refugees,

15:51 why don't we get together and write a,

15:53 a piece about poverty,

15:56 uh,

15:56 among refugees?

15:58 And of course,

15:58 the UNHCR had the data at the time,

16:01 both administrative data and survey data,

16:03 but were not used for this purpose,

16:05 uh,

16:05 in this fashion.

16:07 And so we did and uh this ended up in a,

16:09 a book that we published in 2016 that became an immediate hit.

16:14 We had,

16:15 you know,

16:15 more than 34,000 downloads

16:17 for publication that

16:19 was considered at the time to be niche publication.

16:23 And that led after the,

16:24 the book to uh the realization that we needed something more.

16:28 We needed,

16:29 we need a big program on both data

16:31 and research

16:32 and we established these partnerships through a,

16:35 a trust fund

16:36 called uh the Building Evidence on Forced Displacement entirely funded by the UK.

16:43 Um,

16:44 so these are the resources that we had.

16:47 Um,

16:48 the UK was very generous initially with $12 million.

16:52 Later,

16:52 the program for 4 years.

16:54 The program was later expanded to 7 years and $16 million.

16:59 So,

17:00 uh,

17:00 substantial amount of money to do,

17:02 uh,

17:03 research.

17:03 We were really free at the beginning to organize the research the way we wanted.

17:08 And eventually,

17:08 we organized ourselves in 8 pillars.

17:11 We decided to,

17:12 to do global studies for global questions,

17:15 uh,

17:15 impact evaluations of specific programs of the UNHCR,

17:19 World Bank,

17:19 or government programs,

17:21 uh,

17:22 focused studies on compelling questions that could have a faster turnaround.

17:27 We established a young Fellows program to hire young uh postdoc

17:32 to do research on forced displacement from low and middle-income countries.

17:36 We had a microdata initiative,

17:38 uh,

17:39 established a data portal for FCV for fragility,

17:42 conflict and,

17:42 and violence data,

17:45 uh,

17:45 had an update dissemination program,

17:48 and lately we established a training program.

17:52 Uh,

17:53 what did we do with this money and this time?

17:56 Uh,

17:56 we

17:57 produced 6 global,

17:59 uh,

17:59 research projects.

18:00 We financed 6 global research projects,

18:03 15 impact evaluations,

18:05 12,

18:06 uh,

18:06 focused studies.

18:07 Uh,

18:07 we hired 24 young fellows out of the initial pool of 5.

18:11 Over 5000 applicants.

18:13 These were

18:14 exceptionally well-educated,

18:16 uh,

18:16 uh,

18:17 young fellows from low and middle-income countries.

18:20 We established a data portal and a microdata program

18:23 that eventually was developed into the Jordan Data Center,

18:26 which,

18:27 uh,

18:28 uh,

18:28 we know of today.

18:29 Uh,

18:30 we also had a seminar series,

18:31 newsletters,

18:32 policy notes,

18:33 a web portal,

18:34 social media,

18:35 and the training program that I mentioned.

18:36 All of these produced a

18:38 total as of today of 134 separate studies

18:43 covering 36 countries

18:45 and having 200+ uh involved uh researchers.

18:51 Uh,

18:52 this is the distribution of the study,

18:53 the 134 that we mentioned,

18:56 uh,

18:56 by theme and by geographical area.

19:00 As you can see,

19:00 we covered the most,

19:02 uh,

19:03 uh,

19:04 in,

19:04 in,

19:04 uh,

19:04 critical areas,

19:05 uh,

19:06 and,

19:06 uh,

19:06 uh,

19:07 geographical areas and thematic areas.

19:09 Uh,

19:10 a lot of the work that we did was on social cohesion,

19:13 on gender,

19:14 uh,

19:15 health,

19:15 and jobs.

19:16 These were the main,

19:17 uh,

19:18 topics that were covered,

19:19 uh,

19:20 throughout,

19:20 uh,

19:20 the studies.

19:24 Um

19:25 With some quality indicators,

19:27 all the studies have been peer-reviewed and published with the exception

19:31 of 4 studies that did not get clearance for publications.

19:34 Uh,

19:35 we have already,

19:36 uh,

19:36 35 publications in refereed journals within one year of production,

19:41 including top economic journals

19:43 and also journals like Nature,

19:45 American Economic Review,

19:47 Economic,

19:47 uh,

19:48 European Economic Review,

19:49 Journal of the Journal of Economics,

19:50 and others.

19:51 Uh,

19:51 we have two special issues,

19:54 one in World Development and one in the Journal of the Journal of Studies.

19:57 Uh,

19:57 we have hired 24 postdoc young fellows who published their

20:01 work and were subsequently hired by the World Bank,

20:04 UNHCR,

20:05 and other international organizations,

20:07 a microdata program that became the JDC as I mentioned,

20:11 and generally positive annual evaluation from the

20:14 donor and final evaluation from the stakeholders.

20:20 Um,

20:20 so what are the key findings if you have heard in anticipation from,

20:24 uh,

20:24 Sokena?

20:25 I'd like to re-highlight some of these findings

20:29 because you won't be able to hear them from

20:32 from from politicians

20:34 or.

20:35 From,

20:35 uh,

20:36 uh,

20:37 um,

20:38 you know,

20:38 governments,

20:40 displacement crises have

20:42 on average and in the long run positive economic outcomes.

20:46 This is the bulk of evidence that we have throughout the 134 studies

20:51 and beyond.

20:52 Uh,

20:53 these average and long-term effects hide the more complex picture.

20:58 We have,

20:58 uh,

20:59 um,

20:59 losers in this process,

21:01 and they tend to be

21:03 in the short term,

21:04 localized to certain geographical areas

21:07 and concentrated among vulnerable groups,

21:10 particularly low-skilled people,

21:13 people working in the informal sector,

21:15 uh,

21:15 females and youth,

21:17 so the usual suspects.

21:19 There is nothing inevitable among the

21:21 negative externality of forced displacement crisis.

21:24 It is how government and international actors

21:27 respond to these challenges that matters.

21:30 So we've seen as a sort of natural

21:32 controlled experiment where some countries applied certain policy,

21:36 others did not,

21:37 and it was clear that when

21:39 governments are proactive,

21:41 they do the right policies,

21:43 they manage this crisis and reduce the negative effects of.

21:48 Uh,

21:49 largely.

21:50 Uh,

21:51 programs that target these vulnerable groups are effective

21:53 in mitigating or reversing the negative effects,

21:56 and policies that foster freedom of movement and freedom of

21:59 work reduce the range and duration of the negative effects.

22:01 So I'm re-emphasizing some of the points that

22:04 Sokena had at the beginning

22:06 because now,

22:07 as opposed to 10 years ago,

22:08 we do have the evidence to support these statements.

22:14 Uh,

22:15 some sector-specific key findings,

22:17 we have them in the labor markets,

22:19 and we know that the impact on,

22:21 uh,

22:22 employment and wages,

22:23 for example,

22:23 is generally not significant.

22:26 We know that,

22:26 uh,

22:27 uh,

22:27 in terms of healthcare,

22:29 the main obstacles are lack of data and financial resources.

22:33 Uh,

22:34 we know that,

22:34 uh,

22:35 in the space of social protection,

22:38 Uh,

22:38 it's a,

22:38 it's,

22:39 uh,

22:39 essential

22:41 to see how the parallel system of uh support aligns with the social protection

22:47 service,

22:48 services of the host countries,

22:51 um,

22:52 and,

22:52 uh,

22:52 it's essential that social protection contributes to social cohesion,

22:57 not just within the two communities,

22:59 host communities and refugees,

23:00 but also between the two commu communities.

23:03 We know that there are educational programs that work and also for these,

23:07 uh,

23:08 uh,

23:08 type of beneficiaries.

23:10 And we know that,

23:11 uh,

23:11 um,

23:12 uh,

23:13 FDPs are poor and vulnerable by now,

23:15 we've done these poverty studies in multiple countries,

23:19 but we also know that there are significant

23:21 differences along the gender dimension that we need

23:24 to be aware of.

23:26 Uh,

23:27 some important areas for future research,

23:29 uh,

23:29 we have identified a few that really have very little research,

23:33 the macro macroeconomics of forced displacement.

23:36 Uh,

23:37 think about that,

23:38 you know,

23:38 the impact of forced displacement crisis on,

23:41 uh,

23:42 GDP,

23:42 for example,

23:43 is something that has been extremely little studied with,

23:46 you know,

23:46 very little,

23:47 and,

23:47 and yet it's so important for the host country.

23:50 The impact,

23:51 of course,

23:51 is placed on infrastructure and utilities.

23:53 We know there are negative effects,

23:54 but mostly these are

23:56 anecdotal examples,

23:58 and we don't have the quantitative evidence of what

24:01 that really means.

24:03 Uh,

24:04 we do have some environmental assessment,

24:06 assessments,

24:07 the impact,

24:08 uh,

24:09 of,

24:09 uh,

24:11 forced displacement crisis on the environment,

24:14 but there's a

24:15 tendency not to do this,

24:17 not to create negative perceptions of refugees,

24:19 but yet they're important to do,

24:21 and they're connected with climate change and they're connected with,

24:25 uh,

24:25 uh,

24:26 conflict and displacement studies,

24:27 so they're important in their own right.

24:30 And poverty and well-being measurement,

24:31 while we have advanced a lot in that is still a long way to go to have a full picture of,

24:37 of what is the situation in the

24:39 course and following the forced displacement crisis.

24:41 Long-term and secondary impacts is another aspect.

24:46 Um,

24:48 so,

24:49 long story short,

24:50 we've been part of a process of exceptional growth in research.

24:56 Uh,

24:56 this is not just us,

24:57 this is the number of papers published

24:59 in economic journals with the words refugees,

25:01 IDPs,

25:02 or migrants in keywords and titles.

25:05 You can see that the curves

25:07 are essentially flat,

25:09 uh,

25:10 before 2015.

25:12 And then they suddenly spike during the,

25:15 the last 7 to 8 years.

25:19 Uh,

25:19 this is exactly what happened as a result of

25:22 the Syrian crisis and the following EU migration crisis,

25:26 uh,

25:26 but also a result of the fact that now we have a lot more data and

25:30 microdata in particular to do quality research that we did not have 10 years ago.

25:35 So 10 years ago,

25:36 we could not make the statements we made before,

25:39 now we can.

25:42 Uh,

25:42 so,

25:43 so what?

25:43 OK,

25:43 we're,

25:43 we've been good.

25:44 We have produced lots of research,

25:46 we have more data,

25:47 quality research,

25:49 but the questions we want to address today is really

25:52 do governments make better policies because of this research?

25:56 Are refugees and IDPs better off as a result of

25:59 these efforts and our programs more effective and cost efficient?

26:03 Now when you ask these questions,

26:05 it turns out that it's not that easy to answer these

26:07 questions and so this is what we're trying to do.

26:10 Uh,

26:11 uh,

26:11 next.

26:12 Thank you.

26:14 Thank you.

26:14 Thank you,

26:15 Paulo,

26:15 and uh I think now we're

26:17 going to turn to uh Ms.

26:19 Paula Eliche

26:20 uh who will bring 11 element to,

26:23 uh,

26:23 to address those questions.

26:24 Uh,

26:25 Paola is the,

26:26 is the impact evaluation Specialist at the World Bank

26:29 and she will be talking about the,

26:31 the use of impact evaluations,

26:33 uh,

26:33 in,

26:34 in this program.

26:35 Thank

26:35 you.

26:35 Indeed,

26:36 uh,

26:36 thanks,

26:36 uh,

26:37 thanks,

26:37 Jerome.

26:38 Um,

26:38 I will be focusing a presentation on impact evaluations

26:42 and,

26:42 uh,

26:43 this was one of the pillars of the,

26:45 uh,

26:45 broader research program.

26:47 And,

26:47 uh,

26:48 I will look into,

26:49 um,

26:51 Try to present how they've been helpful for uh programming,

26:54 for policy,

26:56 um,

26:57 and uh uh and projects as well.

27:04 Uh,

27:04 so,

27:05 uh,

27:05 broadly,

27:06 we have identified four ways,

27:07 um,

27:09 in which,

27:09 uh,

27:10 uh,

27:10 we really in relations in our program have been,

27:13 uh,

27:13 informing,

27:14 uh,

27:14 programming.

27:15 Uh,

27:16 they've been helpful,

27:17 um,

27:17 to test at small scale before or to inform scaling.

27:21 Um,

27:22 they have been helpful to evaluate already a scale projects,

27:25 uh,

27:25 and they've been helpful as well to test low-cost complementary interventions,

27:30 and finally,

27:31 also to provide evidence,

27:32 uh,

27:33 that can support,

27:33 uh,

27:34 and be used in advocacy efforts.

27:36 So going into each of these four ways that we've been,

27:39 uh,

27:40 um,

27:41 having benefiting from,

27:42 uh,

27:43 impact evaluations.

27:51 And,

27:52 uh,

27:52 so we have two examples,

27:54 uh,

27:54 one from Afghanistan and one,

27:55 from Jordan,

27:56 uh,

27:57 of impact abulations that were used to test a small scale,

28:00 uh,

28:00 and informed scaling.

28:02 In Afghanistan,

28:03 uh,

28:03 uh,

28:04 government,

28:04 uh,

28:04 graduation program was,

28:06 uh,

28:06 tested in,

28:07 in one province,

28:07 um,

28:08 um,

28:09 with a sample of 1200 households.

28:12 And uh the results were,

28:14 um,

28:15 significant and large impacts were found across outcomes

28:18 including a 30 30% points

28:22 uh improvement in consumption in the treatment group compared to a control group

28:27 and um reduction in poverty by 20% points again

28:30 in the treatment compared to a control group.

28:33 These results were very timely

28:35 and they informed the IDA replenishment uh process uh in the World Bank

28:39 as well as at the country level,

28:41 they informed,

28:42 um,

28:42 the scale-up of the project to other provinces.

28:45 Similarly,

28:46 in Jordan,

28:47 um,

28:48 the,

28:48 the Ministry of Education tested a social-emotional learning

28:52 intervention.

28:53 And again,

28:54 this,

28:55 um,

28:56 this evaluation as well delivered,

28:58 uh,

28:58 uh,

28:58 positive effects,

28:59 um,

29:00 uh,

29:00 of this intervention and these

29:02 findings are informing ongoing discussions now about possibly scaling up,

29:07 um,

29:08 the program at the national level,

29:09 um,

29:10 including it in the national curriculum.

29:16 Um,

29:17 another example is that the evaluation of,

29:19 um,

29:20 of a project that was already being implemented but that,

29:23 uh,

29:23 was subject to a sudden change

29:26 and this was the,

29:27 um,

29:27 cash reintegration assistance provided by the UNHCR to returnees,

29:31 African returnees returning from Pakistan.

29:34 Um,

29:34 because of budget,

29:35 uh,

29:36 changes,

29:36 um,

29:37 the amount given was reduced,

29:39 uh,

29:40 from

29:40 $350 USD per person in the household to 150.

29:44 Um,

29:45 this sudden policy change was used to evaluate vigorously and look at,

29:49 uh,

29:49 households that received an amount,

29:51 uh,

29:51 versus households that received a different amount.

29:53 And,

29:54 um,

29:55 it was found that the larger amount of houses that received

29:57 a larger amount were more likely to invest in the.

30:00 assets

30:01 including a house

30:02 and also significantly more likely to have uh legal documentation

30:06 and all these relied entirely,

30:08 almost entirely on using administrative data from the UNHCR and

30:12 these are the registration and the return uh monitoring data.

30:15 Um,

30:16 so really,

30:17 uh,

30:17 kind of like looking at an intervention that's being implemented and how,

30:21 uh,

30:21 changing it could,

30:22 uh,

30:23 affect,

30:23 uh,

30:23 um,

30:24 outcomes

30:26 and

30:27 As I mentioned,

30:28 another,

30:29 uh,

30:29 another value we've seen from impact relations is in testing low-cost,

30:32 uh,

30:33 complementary interventions.

30:34 So in Uganda,

30:35 in the context of a business,

30:37 uh,

30:37 support project and,

30:38 uh,

30:38 uh,

30:39 to rural,

30:39 uh,

30:40 to urban,

30:40 uh,

30:41 excuse me,

30:41 businesses,

30:42 uh,

30:42 in the capital,

30:44 a messaging,

30:45 uh,

30:45 was tested,

30:46 um,

30:47 uh,

30:47 that looked,

30:48 that explained to

30:50 Um,

30:50 business owners,

30:51 um,

30:52 Uganda's,

30:53 uh,

30:53 favorable,

30:54 uh,

30:54 policy towards,

30:55 uh,

30:55 displaced people,

30:57 and,

30:57 um,

30:58 um,

30:59 and it was found that this was effective in building social cohesion.

31:02 Business owners were more likely to,

31:05 um,

31:05 be favorable to accepting more refugees in the

31:07 country to extending the right to work to,

31:09 uh,

31:10 to more refugees in the country.

31:12 And,

31:12 uh,

31:12 in Kenya instead,

31:13 um,

31:14 an information,

31:15 uh,

31:15 provision intervention was tested in the context of a bigger

31:19 Um,

31:19 community-driven development project,

31:21 uh,

31:21 that looked at,

31:22 uh,

31:22 can we

31:23 improve participation of women in this,

31:25 um,

31:26 in the decision making processes of these projects

31:28 and,

31:29 uh,

31:29 this evaluation found,

31:30 uh,

31:31 no impact,

31:32 uh,

31:32 so looking at,

31:33 uh,

31:33 the control and the

31:34 intervention group there was no difference in women's participation

31:38 and so it was decided not to,

31:40 um,

31:41 yeah,

31:42 not to,

31:43 uh,

31:43 scale and not to,

31:45 uh,

31:45 move forward with it.

31:47 Um,

31:47 in Ethiopia,

31:48 similarly,

31:48 uh,

31:49 um,

31:49 an intervention was tested,

31:51 um,

31:52 coming from the psychology field on positive mental imagery,

31:55 um,

31:55 again,

31:56 low cost.

31:56 Can it be,

31:57 um,

31:59 uh,

32:00 tagged along to,

32:01 uh,

32:01 the broader work permits roll out in the country and can it have

32:05 positive,

32:05 uh,

32:06 can it improve outcomes,

32:07 labor market outcomes for,

32:08 for refugees?

32:09 Um,

32:10 the results were promising and,

32:11 uh,

32:12 discussions are ongoing on how to be possibly scaling it.

32:18 Um,

32:20 uh,

32:20 thanks.

32:20 And so this is my last,

32:21 uh,

32:22 um,

32:24 Um,

32:25 kind of like way,

32:26 uh,

32:26 we've,

32:27 uh,

32:27 foundations useful.

32:29 Um,

32:30 this was a study done in,

32:31 uh,

32:31 in Bangladesh.

32:32 Uh,

32:32 uh,

32:33 it's,

32:33 it's the first time we have a causal

32:35 estimate of the psychosocial value of employment.

32:38 It was,

32:39 uh,

32:39 um,

32:40 implemented through an experiment with 3 arms of control at cash,

32:43 and employment.

32:44 The findings are that employment

32:47 improves psychosocial well.

32:48 Be substantially more than cash alone,

32:51 mental health 4 times more than cash alone,

32:54 and among the um people that engaged in uh uh work activities,

32:59 66% were willing to continue working an additional week

33:03 free of charge.

33:04 So meaning people realize uh the added value of um of working,

33:09 um,

33:10 beyond the cash they receive,

33:11 the payment they received.

33:12 I concluding,

33:14 um.

33:15 In the next slide.

33:17 And,

33:18 similarly to what Paulo has been describing,

33:20 um,

33:22 more broadly for the research that has been uh augmenting in size,

33:25 we,

33:26 we observed the same,

33:27 uh,

33:27 with impact evaluation

33:28 at baseline.

33:29 So when we started this program,

33:31 there were evaluations being done of humanitarian programs

33:34 and the project evaluations,

33:36 but,

33:36 uh,

33:37 um,

33:37 not as much,

33:38 uh,

33:39 in terms of impact evaluation.

33:40 So in terms of,

33:41 uh,

33:41 rigorous,

33:42 um,

33:42 evaluations.

33:44 And where we are now.

33:45 Uh,

33:46 is,

33:46 uh,

33:46 we see there's a growing body of evidence,

33:49 uh,

33:49 thanks to numerous initiatives beyond

33:52 our joint program,

33:53 of course.

33:54 And we have evidence on graduation programs from at least 5 countries,

33:58 um,

33:59 so findings are,

34:00 are always,

34:01 uh,

34:01 kind of like

34:02 Um,

34:02 yeah,

34:03 um,

34:04 confirming each other in one another in different contexts,

34:07 uh,

34:07 so that,

34:08 that is great to see,

34:09 uh,

34:09 investments,

34:10 uh,

34:10 there are imputation investments being made in,

34:13 uh,

34:13 specific sectors and themes such as early

34:16 Childhood development,

34:17 livelihoods,

34:18 and gender

34:19 and um the general improvement in the data ecosystem,

34:23 um,

34:24 and the hiring of dedicated staff as well in humanitarian organizations

34:28 we expect will boost further um the impact evaluation capacity

34:32 and also make it,

34:33 uh,

34:33 uh,

34:34 more,

34:34 more demand driven.

34:36 So,

34:36 um,

34:37 I will end there.

34:38 Thank you.

34:38 Thank you.

34:38 Thank you.

34:39 Thank you,

34:39 thanks a lot for that.

34:40 Very,

34:40 uh,

34:41 insightful,

34:42 uh,

34:42 uh,

34:42 presentation giving a lot of,

34:44 of details,

34:45 uh,

34:45 and,

34:45 uh,

34:46 I'm sure it's going to be the same with our

34:47 next speaker to my right,

34:49 um,

34:49 is,

34:50 uh,

34:50 Teresa Beltramo,

34:51 senior economist at UNHCR,

34:53 uh,

34:54 who will talk about our own experience,

34:56 uh,

34:56 conducting research,

34:57 uh,

34:57 in this program.

34:59 Lisa,

34:59 sure,

35:00 thanks.

35:00 I'd,

35:00 I'd like to just,

35:01 um,

35:02 cite two examples,

35:04 uh,

35:04 just building on

35:05 the work

35:06 already discussed,

35:07 so.

35:09 That,

35:09 you know,

35:09 where we've seen the impact of evidence on the ground and how it's impacted,

35:13 uh,

35:14 forcibly displaced,

35:15 uh,

35:15 their lives.

35:16 So one

35:17 example I'd like to give is,

35:18 uh,

35:19 is in Bangladesh.

35:20 So,

35:20 um,

35:22 the 900,000+ people who live in the Cox Bazaar refugee camps,

35:26 uh,

35:26 in,

35:26 in Bangladesh,

35:27 uh,

35:28 you know,

35:29 uh,

35:29 they,

35:29 they

35:30 depend heavily on assistance from UNHCR,

35:33 uh,

35:33 and other humanitarian actors,

35:34 um.

35:36 And in fact,

35:36 the only way that they can earn income is through

35:39 uh

35:40 this,

35:40 what's called the volunteer indoor cash for work

35:43 program that is managed by humanitarian and,

35:45 and the government.

35:46 Uh,

35:47 uh,

35:48 so,

35:49 you know,

35:49 some,

35:50 um,

35:50 90% of refugee families actually benefit from this program,

35:54 as it's the only income generation program in addition to assistance.

35:58 So,

35:58 um,

36:00 You know,

36:00 uh,

36:01 and then,

36:02 uh,

36:02 in 2021,

36:04 the government expressed concern about the,

36:06 the cash earned through the volunteer programs,

36:08 uh,

36:08 and we're considering,

36:10 uh,

36:10 you know,

36:10 a potential suspension of this program.

36:12 So,

36:13 you know,

36:13 following these concerns,

36:14 UNHCR and Yale University led a,

36:17 a survey that collected information

36:19 on the economic lives,

36:20 uh,

36:21 uh,

36:21 the cash for work and refugee volunteers,

36:24 uh,

36:24 and we quantified the impact,

36:26 um,

36:27 Of these programs on household welfare.

36:29 Um,

36:29 and the study published in 2022,

36:32 uh,

36:32 shows that 88% of refugees spent,

36:35 uh,

36:35 their incomes on basic family needs,

36:37 and,

36:38 you know,

36:39 uh,

36:39 that went unmet despite the humanitarian assistance.

36:42 So that this program was a critical,

36:44 uh,

36:44 element of completing the minimum expenditure basket for,

36:47 uh,

36:47 refugees in Bangladesh.

36:49 Um.

36:50 And uh this study was,

36:52 you know,

36:52 widely shared with the government,

36:54 uh,

36:54 and,

36:55 uh,

36:55 you know,

36:56 the,

36:56 the case was made that this program needs to be sustained,

36:59 uh,

37:00 and,

37:00 in fact,

37:01 the program was sustained,

37:02 and in fact,

37:03 the wages were actually revised upwards.

37:05 Uh,

37:05 so this is a successful example of how refugees

37:08 are benefiting from evidence,

37:10 uh,

37:12 you know,

37:12 we've,

37:12 we've generated it collectively,

37:14 uh.

37:15 Together.

37:16 So,

37:16 let me also focus,

37:17 uh,

37:18 a little bit more on the,

37:19 the work we've done on poverty,

37:21 and kind of underline a little bit more,

37:23 um,

37:24 You know,

37:25 how the,

37:25 the building,

37:26 uh,

37:26 the evidence on forced displacement trust fund has contributed,

37:28 I think,

37:29 um,

37:30 You know,

37:30 uh,

37:31 this,

37:31 this work we've done,

37:32 uh,

37:33 together between UNHCR and the World Bank has,

37:35 um,

37:35 really pioneered the use of UNHCR registration data,

37:39 as,

37:39 as Betsy has,

37:40 has,

37:40 has mentioned up front,

37:41 which,

37:42 uh,

37:42 UNHR,

37:43 uh,

37:43 in many countries collects,

37:44 uh,

37:45 uh,

37:45 uh,

37:45 administrative data,

37:47 uh,

37:48 for,

37:48 uh,

37:49 primarily case management activities.

37:51 This was the origin of,

37:52 of this data.

37:53 So,

37:53 uh,

37:53 this can be anything from refugee status determination to,

37:56 uh,

37:57 Uh,

37:58 you know,

37:59 um,

38:00 uh,

38:00 resettlement,

38:01 this can be,

38:01 you know,

38:02 identifying vulnerabilities,

38:03 but,

38:04 um,

38:05 We kind of recognize thanks uh to our partnership,

38:08 uh,

38:08 with the banking collaboration,

38:10 the value of this uh data in doing other things.

38:13 And so,

38:13 uh,

38:14 through the trust fund,

38:15 you know,

38:15 we've,

38:15 uh,

38:16 we've been able to invest on using some innovative approaches to,

38:20 uh,

38:21 assessing,

38:22 uh,

38:22 shining a light on,

38:23 uh,

38:24 key comparable socioeconomic data and,

38:26 and particularly in this case on poverty.

38:28 Um.

38:30 So,

38:30 to do that,

38:31 um,

38:32 you know,

38:33 uh,

38:34 it's really critical for us to,

38:35 to be able to measure poverty,

38:37 uh,

38:38 for,

38:38 for forcibly displaced and stateless,

38:39 as,

38:40 uh,

38:40 this is,

38:41 uh,

38:41 you know,

38:43 essential to be able to track the,

38:45 uh,

38:45 sustainable Development Goal one,

38:47 and the outcomes,

38:48 uh,

38:48 and

38:49 to leave no one behind.

38:50 Uh,

38:51 and then particularly measuring poverty can be especially important in,

38:55 in countries,

38:55 developing countries and other

38:57 settings where,

38:58 um,

38:58 governments need to determine

39:00 who the most vulnerable is,

39:01 um,

39:01 and to effectively target development programs.

39:04 So,

39:04 um,

39:06 And you know,

39:06 UNH by UNHR's latest estimates,

39:08 uh,

39:09 uh,

39:10 some 90% of forcibly displaced live in low and middle income countries.

39:14 And at the same time,

39:15 you know,

39:15 not only is it,

39:16 I mean,

39:17 there's still a tremendous dearth of,

39:18 of data on,

39:19 uh,

39:20 refugee or forced to be displaced in stateless poverty,

39:23 though we have been investing through,

39:25 uh,

39:26 the,

39:26 the,

39:26 the Joint Data Center,

39:27 this is uh definitely a core investment,

39:30 uh,

39:30 but still,

39:31 um,

39:32 You know,

39:33 not only is there,

39:33 there very limited data on poverty,

39:35 but there's very limited data even

39:37 uh in,

39:38 in low in in uh

39:40 low income countries that host refugees.

39:42 So,

39:42 some,

39:43 uh,

39:44 an estimate of some 500 million people.

39:46 Uh,

39:47 reside in,

39:48 uh,

39:48 fragility,

39:49 conflict,

39:49 and violence,

39:50 uh,

39:50 settings that,

39:51 um,

39:51 which includes the majority of displaced people,

39:54 uh,

39:54 that do not have poverty data or,

39:56 or have outdated poverty data.

39:58 So this is a,

39:58 a real issue.

39:59 So being able to

40:01 think creatively about generating this data is,

40:03 is really important for,

40:04 um,

40:05 both humanitarian development and,

40:06 and all actors,

40:07 government in the response.

40:09 Um,

40:10 so two critical evidence pieces have been generated from the FCDO

40:14 funded,

40:14 uh,

40:14 trust fund.

40:15 So in CHAD,

40:17 Uh,

40:17 at the time we were writing the paper,

40:18 uh,

40:18 UNHCR and the World Bank generated the first estimates,

40:21 uh,

40:21 for poverty,

40:22 uh,

40:23 among refugees in Chad,

40:24 um.

40:25 And to do that,

40:26 we combined,

40:27 again,

40:27 administrative data from UNHR and survey data,

40:30 and we estimate that some 90% of the refugees

40:33 living in Chad are below the national poverty line,

40:36 which is,

40:36 uh,

40:36 in comparison to the latest estimate of 42% of nationals.

40:40 Uh,

40:41 and in Jordan,

40:42 work funded by the Trust fund,

40:43 um,

40:44 Shows that imputation,

40:46 uh,

40:46 because they had,

40:47 uh,

40:48 the,

40:48 the colleagues at the bank who who led this work

40:51 were able to to,

40:51 to compare with actual poverty estimates,

40:54 so they were able to use this new

40:55 imputation approach,

40:56 this innovative approach to be able to,

40:58 uh,

40:59 to do more with less,

41:00 uh,

41:00 data essentially and try to,

41:02 uh,

41:02 generate the statistics,

41:04 uh,

41:05 on poverty,

41:05 and they're able to show that,

41:06 um,

41:08 the,

41:08 um.

41:09 Non-predicted consumption-based poverty rates,

41:11 uh,

41:12 were,

41:12 were robust to validation tests so that this method is,

41:16 is,

41:16 is working.

41:17 And so this is

41:18 really engenders a lot of,

41:20 um,

41:21 positive movement for the future.

41:22 And in fact,

41:23 uh,

41:24 this critical investment,

41:25 uh,

41:25 there's already ongoing work that we're following up on and,

41:28 uh,

41:28 we're,

41:28 we're doing work now in

41:30 estimating poverty among refugees in Colombia.

41:33 Uh,

41:33 also in Bangladesh,

41:35 and then in IDPs in Ukraine.

41:36 So I think

41:37 this new innovative method is,

41:39 uh,

41:40 you know,

41:40 very much,

41:41 uh,

41:42 something we will continue to pursue,

41:43 pursue,

41:44 and is part of our

41:46 efforts at UNHCR to do

41:48 more with less data and,

41:49 um,

41:50 to,

41:50 to be able to be creative.

41:52 Um.

41:54 We stop there

41:55 and I,

41:55 yeah,

41:56 turn back to you.

41:56 OK,

41:57 thanks.

41:58 Thanks a lot,

41:58 uh,

41:59 uh,

41:59 also for this,

41:59 uh,

42:00 this very interesting presentation.

42:01 Uh,

42:01 we're going to now,

42:03 uh,

42:04 move to the last,

42:05 uh,

42:05 presentation,

42:06 uh,

42:06 uh,

42:06 for this section,

42:08 uh,

42:08 going back to,

42:09 uh,

42:09 to the online,

42:10 uh,

42:10 speakers

42:11 with,

42:12 uh,

42:12 Mr.

42:12 Oscar Sanchez Pinheiro,

42:14 uh,

42:15 deputy UNHCR representative in Brazil.

42:18 be talking online.

42:19 I'm not seeing you yet,

42:21 but I,

42:21 I hope we'll see you when you start talking and you will be,

42:24 uh,

42:25 talking about the experience,

42:26 of course,

42:26 of the Braz Brazil,

42:27 uh,

42:28 UNHCR office

42:29 with the program.

42:30 Uh,

42:31 Mr.

42:32 Sanchez Pinero,

42:33 the floor is yours.

42:36 Thank you,

42:36 thank you so much.

42:37 How do you hear me?

42:39 Can you speak closer to the microphone?

42:40 We don't hear you.

42:42 Better is that any better?

42:43 Thank you.

42:44 Yeah,

42:45 great,

42:45 great.

42:46 So thank you so much.

42:47 Um,

42:48 apologies,

42:49 uh,

42:49 David,

42:50 who's the rep who couldn't be here,

42:51 uh,

42:52 today.

42:52 Uh,

42:52 you get,

42:53 uh,

42:54 slightly better looking version,

42:56 uh,

42:56 but probably not as smart,

42:57 but

42:58 please,

42:59 please don't tell him that because he's still my supervisor.

43:01 So,

43:02 um.

43:04 So,

43:04 thank you so much,

43:05 uh,

43:06 you know,

43:06 for the opportunity to present,

43:07 uh,

43:08 our work.

43:08 Uh,

43:09 we have,

43:10 um,

43:11 uh,

43:11 Nicolas online as well,

43:12 who's the lead economist that's helping us with much of this work,

43:16 uh,

43:16 from UNHTR perspective,

43:17 and this is part of the kind of,

43:19 uh,

43:19 building of capacity within UHTR to,

43:21 uh,

43:22 provide

43:22 better data and tackle problems.

43:25 Uh,

43:26 thank you,

43:26 uh,

43:27 Paulo,

43:27 for,

43:27 for the presentation and also,

43:29 uh,

43:29 Teresa and,

43:30 and Betsy for all the support.

43:32 Uh,

43:32 that you have provided throughout and of course,

43:35 UK Aid,

43:36 uh,

43:36 for,

43:36 for the wonderful,

43:38 uh,

43:38 contribution for us to be able to get better data.

43:41 Just out of context before I go into the,

43:44 the work that we have done,

43:45 uh,

43:45 we have over 500,000,

43:47 uh,

43:48 refugees and,

43:49 uh,

43:49 people in need of international protection in Brazil.

43:52 Out of those we have already 100,000

43:56 refugees that have been recognized as such by the Brazilian government,

44:01 so it is a country that has welcomed um uh

44:05 both from Venezuela but uh people as far as

44:08 Afghanistan that are now uh arriving,

44:10 um,

44:11 quite rapidly to,

44:12 to Brazil,

44:13 uh,

44:14 Ukrainians,

44:15 and also,

44:16 um,

44:16 uh,

44:17 refugees from the Middle East,

44:18 so it is a very diverse group.

44:21 And

44:22 it is a big country with a lot of um lack of data.

44:25 So,

44:26 I think,

44:27 uh,

44:27 our colleagues in OA have coined

44:30 uh the term that coordination saves lives.

44:32 I think,

44:33 uh,

44:33 for us,

44:34 data,

44:34 uh,

44:35 creates solutions

44:36 and the studies that we have been able to manage to conduct,

44:40 uh,

44:40 through the,

44:40 this wonderful support and collaboration

44:43 are critical for us to engage at a political level,

44:46 uh,

44:46 but also an operational level.

44:49 So,

44:49 the first one,

44:50 was about the,

44:51 the,

44:51 the local integration capacities.

44:54 Uh,

44:54 within,

44:55 within Brazil,

44:56 uh,

44:57 many of the people that are arriving from Venezuela particularly,

45:00 uh,

45:00 do so through the north,

45:02 uh,

45:02 with the Amazon region.

45:04 And it's the,

45:05 the poorest states,

45:06 uh,

45:07 one of the poorest states in the,

45:09 in the federation.

45:10 So,

45:10 uh,

45:11 local capacities are quite,

45:12 uh,

45:13 weak.

45:14 Um,

45:14 the study,

45:15 uh,

45:15 concentrated on to see what is the access

45:18 for Venezuelan refugees on the formal labor market

45:21 and they had 70% less access to that labor market.

45:26 Uh,

45:26 likewise,

45:26 it was,

45:27 um,

45:28 uh,

45:29 uh,

45:29 impacting the,

45:30 the access to education.

45:31 So,

45:32 um,

45:32 children,

45:33 uh,

45:33 were asking 50% less access to education

45:37 in,

45:37 in that particular region.

45:39 And 30% access to social assistance.

45:42 So this was a very powerful study that allowed us to uh re-shift our focus and also to

45:48 be able to provide some uh policy guidelines for the government to,

45:52 to be able to tackle

45:53 uh uh accessing issues.

45:56 Mind you,

45:56 the,

45:57 the legal framework within Brazil is very welcoming,

45:59 um,

46:00 uh,

46:00 so there's no legal barriers for,

46:03 uh,

46:03 refugees to access any of those,

46:05 uh,

46:06 sectors,

46:06 not the labor market,

46:07 not the health,

46:08 uh,

46:08 not the education.

46:10 So it was more about what non,

46:12 uh,

46:13 you know,

46:13 uh,

46:14 non-formal uh barriers were

46:16 erected so we could tackle them from a policy,

46:19 uh,

46:19 level.

46:20 The second study that I think was,

46:21 uh,

46:21 also very impactful,

46:23 especially,

46:24 uh,

46:24 to work with the local authorities

46:26 was about,

46:27 uh,

46:27 and also the narrative,

46:28 uh,

46:28 that is often constructed.

46:31 And as Paulo mentioned,

46:32 uh,

46:33 not really recognized by politicians,

46:36 it's about the fiscal impact.

46:38 And the fiscal impact,

46:39 uh,

46:39 when we measure it,

46:40 we measured,

46:41 there was not,

46:42 uh,

46:43 a,

46:43 a significant increase

46:44 in expenditure of social assistance,

46:47 but there was,

46:47 uh,

46:48 uh,

46:48 an uptake on tax,

46:50 uh,

46:50 consumption,

46:51 and,

46:51 and so a balance,

46:53 uh,

46:53 there was a balance,

46:54 um,

46:55 uh,

46:55 on the full impact to,

46:56 to the local economy.

46:58 So these are uh very important uh studies that we,

47:02 we've done with the bank.

47:03 I think,

47:04 uh,

47:04 as we move forward and the,

47:06 the situation becomes protracted.

47:09 We need to,

47:09 to leverage additional

47:11 uh data that will be able to uh provide

47:14 indications for the uh national policy that we're

47:18 developing at the moment with the government.

47:20 So,

47:20 the new government,

47:21 as you know,

47:21 uh,

47:22 uh,

47:22 President Lula won an election,

47:24 uh,

47:24 late last year,

47:25 and,

47:26 uh,

47:26 came into office in January.

47:28 We've been working with the transition team even

47:31 Uh,

47:31 before,

47:32 uh,

47:32 he took office

47:34 and have been providing a lot of this data in order to,

47:37 uh,

47:37 um,

47:38 impact on the policy.

47:40 I'll go right to the,

47:42 uh,

47:42 sort of,

47:43 sort of the,

47:44 the question,

47:44 the so what questions that,

47:45 that Paulo uh proposed.

47:47 Uh,

47:48 do,

47:49 do governments enact uh better policies because of this research and Paulo,

47:53 I could confirm that it does.

47:56 So I can confirm that,

47:57 so we are working on this national

47:59 uh policy that,

48:00 uh,

48:01 hopefully will integrate

48:02 a lot of these,

48:03 uh,

48:03 barriers that I mentioned before into the design of the new,

48:06 the new law.

48:07 Um.

48:08 Are refugees and IDPs better off that,

48:10 that we,

48:11 you,

48:11 we challenge here the,

48:13 the PAC and also the,

48:14 all of us around the table to work with us because we've been

48:17 Uh,

48:18 promoting the,

48:18 the possibility to have a counterfactual,

48:20 which,

48:21 of course,

48:22 is very difficult to do,

48:23 we know,

48:23 but we have a natural

48:25 uh kind of case study which is the Haitians that

48:28 arrived uh after the earthquake in Brazil

48:31 and didn't receive um uh a lot of support at least from,

48:35 from UHTR initially because

48:37 they were not deemed to be

48:38 uh persons of concern according to the 51 convention.

48:42 Um,

48:43 and then the,

48:43 the one that I'm really,

48:44 uh,

48:45 and with the help of Nicholas,

48:47 uh,

48:47 working on is the,

48:48 the cost,

48:49 cost efficiency and,

48:50 and cost effectiveness of our programming.

48:52 And this is very tricky because usually,

48:54 uh,

48:55 uh,

48:55 UHR,

48:56 um,

48:58 I mean,

48:58 you were mentioning the,

48:59 the case that the rest of,

49:00 of Bangladesh.

49:01 I was there when we established that,

49:03 uh,

49:03 cash incentives and we did it very quickly because of the

49:06 Uh,

49:07 pressures we were having at that particular moment about,

49:09 you know,

49:10 uh,

49:10 providing,

49:11 uh,

49:12 CBI programs for,

49:13 for the refugees

49:14 and we didn't establish the,

49:15 the baseline.

49:16 So what we're trying to do now is to make sure we have baselines that we could

49:20 measure the impact in the future

49:22 of,

49:22 of our programs.

49:24 So this is the,

49:25 to,

49:26 to get back although this is only,

49:28 you know,

49:29 uh anecdotal evidence,

49:30 Paulo,

49:30 but I think we could work and we would love to work with you

49:33 a lot more

49:34 on,

49:35 on the,

49:35 those questions that you or those challenging questions you provided,

49:39 uh,

49:39 to be able to

49:40 uh to have a proper evidence uh based uh answers on that.

49:46 Um,

49:46 so yeah,

49:47 again,

49:47 uh,

49:48 for,

49:48 for us,

49:49 data is the,

49:50 the avenue to provide solutions,

49:52 especially working with administrations,

49:54 uh,

49:54 local policymakers,

49:56 and,

49:56 and local governments to be able to integrate rapidly,

49:59 uh,

50:00 refugees into their economy and into society.

50:03 Thank you so much.

50:05 Thank you.

50:06 Thanks a lot.

50:06 Uh,

50:07 and I think it was a

50:09 perfect alignment of,

50:10 uh,

50:10 of,

50:10 uh,

50:11 of interventions implementation.

50:12 And the last one,

50:13 getting a bit more into the,

50:15 the practical implications and how this research can actually help and

50:19 help answer the so what questions and help,

50:21 uh,

50:22 uh,

50:22 program.

50:23 Uh,

50:23 so that's,

50:23 uh,

50:24 that's an interesting element that will also be

50:27 a part of the next,

50:27 uh,

50:28 session that we are going to now,

50:30 which is,

50:30 uh,

50:31 uh,

50:31 a discussion.

50:33 Uh,

50:33 with,

50:33 uh,

50:33 with,

50:34 uh,

50:34 our,

50:35 uh,

50:35 uh,

50:36 high-level,

50:36 uh,

50:36 panel,

50:37 uh,

50:37 4 panelists on the role of research

50:40 for projects,

50:41 uh,

50:41 in force displacement context and the way forward,

50:43 uh,

50:43 in this field.

50:44 So again,

50:45 the way forward.

50:46 Uh,

50:46 so we'll have,

50:46 as I said,

50:47 uh,

50:48 4,

50:48 panelists here and it's,

50:50 we,

50:50 we hope to have something a bit,

50:51 uh,

50:52 a bit more dynamic,

50:53 although there are questions to be answered.

50:55 Uh,

50:56 so,

50:56 uh,

50:56 so also a bit scripted,

50:57 but,

50:58 uh,

50:58 also including,

50:59 um,

51:00 uh,

51:00 time for Q&A I think,

51:01 uh,

51:01 I hope at the end.

51:03 Uh,

51:03 4 panelists,

51:04 so I said,

51:04 so we will have,

51:05 I will introduce them,

51:06 uh,

51:07 uh,

51:07 now so that,

51:08 uh,

51:08 uh,

51:09 uh,

51:09 we are,

51:09 we are,

51:10 are clear about the,

51:11 the,

51:11 uh,

51:12 interventions.

51:13 Um,

51:13 we will

51:14 hear from,

51:15 uh,

51:15 Mr.

51:15 Arif Hussain,

51:17 uh,

51:17 Chief economist,

51:18 uh,

51:18 at the World Food Program,

51:19 who is

51:20 with us online.

51:21 We will,

51:22 uh,

51:22 also,

51:23 uh,

51:23 have Mr.

51:24 Paul Spiegel.

51:25 Uh,

51:26 director

51:27 at the Center for Humanitarian Health at

51:29 Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,

51:32 also online.

51:33 Uh,

51:34 we will,

51:34 uh,

51:35 again welcome,

51:36 uh,

51:37 Betsy,

51:37 Betsy Littmann.

51:38 Uh,

51:39 Deputy Director of the Division of Resilience and

51:41 Solutions at UNHCR here in the room,

51:44 and,

51:44 uh,

51:45 last but not least,

51:46 Mr.

51:46 Nazim Ayadat,

51:48 uh,

51:49 online,

51:49 joining online with the Global Advisor

51:51 on internal displacement at the International

51:54 Committee of the,

51:55 uh,

51:55 Red Cross ICRC

51:57 also online.

51:58 Um,

51:59 just a few,

52:00 uh,

52:00 a few elements before we start.

52:02 Uh,

52:02 so with the organizers,

52:04 we have prepared a kind of three sets of,

52:06 uh,

52:06 of questions,

52:08 uh,

52:08 that we would really like to,

52:10 to hear our panelists,

52:11 uh,

52:11 uh,

52:11 perspectives about.

52:13 Um,

52:13 I will go through,

52:14 3 rounds,

52:15 uh,

52:16 asking each panelist,

52:17 uh,

52:17 to provide reflections on those,

52:18 uh,

52:18 on those,

52:19 uh,

52:19 questions

52:20 for about 3 minutes if possible.

52:22 Um,

52:23 and then,

52:24 uh,

52:24 we will turn to the next round of questions.

52:26 Um,

52:27 at the end,

52:28 uh,

52:28 as I said,

52:29 we should have time for a,

52:30 for a Q&A,

52:31 uh,

52:32 with the audience

52:33 online and in the room.

52:34 So prepare your questions,

52:36 uh,

52:36 those online,

52:37 in particular,

52:37 you can,

52:38 uh,

52:39 type them in the chat and,

52:40 uh,

52:40 we'll make sure to,

52:41 uh,

52:42 to,

52:42 to,

52:42 uh,

52:42 alternate between,

52:43 uh,

52:43 uh,

52:44 the room and online,

52:45 uh,

52:47 depending also on the time we,

52:48 we have left.

52:50 So,

52:51 first question,

52:51 first set of questions that we have,

52:54 um,

52:54 is the following.

52:55 So as we've,

52:56 as we've seen and we've heard,

52:57 a researcher for displacement has significantly expanded

53:01 over the past 10 years.

53:04 Uh,

53:04 but as,

53:05 as this increased,

53:06 uh,

53:06 volume of research made,

53:07 uh,

53:08 a difference for operations,

53:09 so again,

53:10 linking to,

53:11 uh,

53:11 the last,

53:12 uh,

53:12 uh,

53:12 uh,

53:13 presentation we had.

53:14 Uh,

53:14 can you think of one illustrative example

53:17 where,

53:17 uh,

53:17 where,

53:18 when research findings

53:19 have been used to change

53:21 a policy program or a project,

53:23 uh,

53:23 and can you identify,

53:25 uh,

53:25 the factors that,

53:26 that made the,

53:26 uh,

53:26 uh,

53:27 that change happen?

53:28 So,

53:29 I'm going to ask,

53:31 uh,

53:31 in successive order our panelists to

53:34 address,

53:34 uh,

53:35 uh,

53:35 those,

53:35 those questions,

53:36 starting with you,

53:37 Mr.

53:38 uh Arif uh Hussain,

53:39 again,

53:40 Chief Economist from the World Food Program.

53:43 I think you were online before.

53:44 I hope you're still here with us.

53:46 Floor is yours.

53:46 Yeah,

53:47 um,

53:47 can you hear me OK?

53:49 OK.

53:49 Yeah.

53:50 All right.

53:51 No,

53:51 no,

53:52 thank you for having me,

53:52 and I think this is a,

53:54 this is a really,

53:55 um,

53:56 Extremely irrelevant question.

53:57 Um,

53:58 I will,

53:59 um,

54:00 Just to let you know that,

54:02 you know,

54:02 at,

54:02 at the World Food Program,

54:03 I mean,

54:04 we are,

54:04 we are working um quite seriously on this,

54:07 this,

54:08 this topic.

54:09 And,

54:10 um,

54:10 and I can say that most of our research uh

54:13 is applied research.

54:16 Um,

54:17 Obviously,

54:19 there's a lot more happening in this field,

54:22 uh,

54:22 both on the conflict side,

54:24 but also on the climate side.

54:26 Um,

54:27 and,

54:28 and,

54:28 uh,

54:28 and we are,

54:29 we are,

54:30 we are doing our own work,

54:31 but also we're learning from our partners,

54:33 uh,

54:33 many of them who are,

54:35 who are here.

54:36 Um,

54:37 in terms of the impact,

54:39 I'll just take you to the,

54:40 the,

54:41 the,

54:42 the first presentation even today on,

54:45 on,

54:45 on what happened in Syria.

54:47 And,

54:48 um,

54:49 and,

54:49 uh,

54:50 basically,

54:51 we,

54:51 we have also analyzed this and I remember youNHCR and World Bank studies,

54:55 uh,

54:55 um,

54:56 they were extremely helpful as well.

54:58 And

54:59 I think that was one example where

55:02 um

55:03 it had a huge

55:05 impact.

55:06 On,

55:07 uh,

55:08 on not only on operations,

55:10 but also on

55:12 refugee policy

55:14 or dealing with refugees

55:16 in Europe.

55:18 And our,

55:18 our,

55:19 our premise of that,

55:20 that discussion was that,

55:22 look,

55:22 I mean,

55:23 first and foremost,

55:24 um,

55:25 it is a myth that

55:27 everybody

55:29 wants to leave their homes and go to,

55:31 to,

55:32 to,

55:32 to Europe or to uh

55:35 North America,

55:37 uh,

55:38 because if that was the case,

55:39 then you wouldn't have a situation where the

55:41 migrant population of the world is only 3.5%.

55:45 Which is like what,

55:46 300 million people

55:47 out of 48 billion.

55:49 And if you even look into our own families,

55:51 I mean,

55:52 we see that,

55:52 you know,

55:53 not many people like to leave their homes.

55:55 It's no different for anybody else.

55:58 And in the Syrian case,

55:59 what we did was we said,

56:00 look,

56:00 I mean,

56:01 if the war started in 2011,

56:03 why did people have to wait

56:05 till 2015 to actually make this big move?

56:09 And we started to analyze

56:11 those reasons why,

56:13 you know,

56:14 one,

56:14 why people moved from Syria to in the neighborhood,

56:17 meaning to,

56:18 to Lebanon and Jordan and Turkey and Egypt and Iraq,

56:23 but also what changed in those places for them

56:26 to take these risks to actually move to Europe.

56:30 And we were able to essentially show

56:32 that,

56:33 uh,

56:34 you know,

56:35 in 1112,

56:36 when you went there,

56:37 these refugees were considered,

56:39 uh,

56:39 they were welcomed.

56:41 4 or 5 years down the road,

56:43 it was a burden.

56:43 It was a social burden.

56:44 It was a burden on the health sector,

56:46 on the education sector,

56:47 on the subsidy sector.

56:48 I mean,

56:49 you name it,

56:49 and it was a burden.

56:51 And at the same time,

56:52 what we started to see was that the,

56:55 the,

56:55 the

56:56 uh

56:57 cuts,

56:58 uh,

56:58 cuts in humanitarian assistance were coming.

57:01 Not only for,

57:03 from,

57:03 from World Food Program,

57:04 but also from all other partners including HCR.

57:07 This is early 2015.

57:09 So,

57:09 in a way,

57:10 people were

57:11 at the stage where it was like a decision time,

57:14 either,

57:14 like,

57:15 like,

57:15 let's say if you have $100

57:17 do I send,

57:18 stay here and spend that,

57:19 or do I take a risk

57:21 and,

57:22 and,

57:22 and try to get to Europe?

57:23 I mean,

57:24 I'm simplifying,

57:24 but that's,

57:25 that's really,

57:26 that,

57:27 that was really the,

57:28 the,

57:28 the essence.

57:30 And obviously,

57:32 many,

57:32 many people took the choice of,

57:34 or made the choice of going to,

57:37 to Europe.

57:38 But here's the kicker.

57:43 We now,

57:44 uh,

57:45 back in 2022,

57:46 look back,

57:48 and we saw how much,

57:49 what was the amount of money which

57:52 Only Germany,

57:54 federal government had spent on these 1 million refugees.

57:58 And that came out to about $125 billion

58:03 over five years.

58:06 That was

58:07 essentially 70 times more,

58:10 7070 times more.

58:13 What would have needed,

58:14 what was needed to provide the same benefit,

58:18 let's say in Lebanon or in Jordan,

58:21 right?

58:21 And I'm just talking money,

58:23 not politics,

58:24 not the,

58:25 you know,

58:26 um,

58:27 the,

58:28 you know,

58:29 I'm not even touching or,

58:30 or going into that space.

58:32 So very clearly,

58:34 when we started to make these points.

58:38 The governments started to look at this problem a little bit differently.

58:43 And the example of that,

58:45 OK,

58:45 for Syria,

58:46 OK,

58:46 too,

58:47 too late,

58:48 too little.

58:50 But in the Sahel,

58:52 we started to see programs

58:54 which were more towards building people's resilience.

58:58 So that they don't do the same thing.

59:02 Meaning getting out,

59:03 moving out of uh uh out through,

59:05 through,

59:05 through Sahara to Libya,

59:07 and then into Europe.

59:09 So,

59:10 all this not to say that,

59:11 you know,

59:12 uh,

59:12 migration is bad,

59:14 but all this to say that migration out of destitution is really bad.

59:19 And when we don't solve these problems in time where they happen,

59:25 later,

59:26 we spend millions and millions of dollars more to solve these problems,

59:30 which

59:31 don't help the,

59:32 the governments which are,

59:33 which had to spend that,

59:34 but doesn't also help

59:36 the people because in the,

59:37 they did not want to move in the very first place.

59:41 So this is for me,

59:42 one of the examples which I've used quite a bit

59:45 on the effectiveness of research.

59:48 But the same story applies to Central America

59:51 in the US.

59:52 Same story is playing out right now with Haiti in the US.

59:56 So,

59:56 it is not one isolated

59:58 issue.

59:59 Uh,

1:00:00 and it is,

1:00:01 it has happened,

1:00:02 it continues to happen,

1:00:03 and this is why the need to reinforce these messages

1:00:07 and start talking about not only the cost of action,

1:00:10 but also the cost of inaction,

1:00:13 uh,

1:00:14 both to the people who are suffering,

1:00:16 but also

1:00:17 the people who are supposed to take care of that.

1:00:22 Excellent.

1:00:22 Thanks a lot.

1:00:23 Thanks a lot,

1:00:23 and I think some of your points also uh may come back in the,

1:00:26 in the next questions.

1:00:28 Uh,

1:00:28 turning now to,

1:00:29 uh,

1:00:29 Mr.

1:00:30 Paul uh uh Spiegel,

1:00:31 uh,

1:00:32 the director of the Center for Humanitarian

1:00:34 Health at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Public School,

1:00:37 uh,

1:00:38 Public School of Public Health,

1:00:40 School of Public Health,

1:00:40 sorry.

1:00:41 Um,

1:00:42 Paul,

1:00:43 you are

1:00:44 on the line

1:00:45 and if you can,

1:00:46 uh,

1:00:47 again give us your,

1:00:48 uh,

1:00:48 Your perspective on the 1st,

1:00:50 1st set of questions,

1:00:51 maybe building on Mr.

1:00:52 Hussain's points as well.

1:00:55 Sure,

1:00:55 thank you.

1:00:56 Um,

1:00:56 it's a pleasure to see everyone and um incredible

1:00:59 to see what's been done on this program,

1:01:01 uh,

1:01:02 funded by UK

1:01:03 UK Action.

1:01:04 So congratulations to all.

1:01:06 I'll give just

1:01:07 two different,

1:01:08 very different examples,

1:01:09 and,

1:01:10 um,

1:01:10 but I'll I'll keep them brief because of time.

1:01:12 The first one is

1:01:14 research can be defined very,

1:01:15 very broadly.

1:01:16 So one is,

1:01:17 is,

1:01:18 was very time sensitive,

1:01:19 and this was,

1:01:20 uh,

1:01:20 the battle for Mosul.

1:01:22 Where

1:01:23 at the time the World Health Organization was

1:01:26 doing things differently in order to save lives.

1:01:29 They started embedding some equivalent of paramedics

1:01:32 with the Iraqi military,

1:01:34 and this caused understandably a lot of

1:01:36 consternation with amongst various groups,

1:01:38 ICRC,

1:01:39 MSF,

1:01:40 amongst others.

1:01:41 So we were asked to actually go there ASAP and

1:01:45 try to evaluate the situation to better understand humanitarian principles,

1:01:51 but also try to gauge the amount of lives saved through this,

1:01:55 through embedding,

1:01:56 if you will,

1:01:57 healthcare workers

1:01:58 with the Iraqi forces

1:02:01 at the front line,

1:02:01 how many civilian lives were saved.

1:02:04 And I won't go through too many details.

1:02:06 It was very,

1:02:06 it was very complex,

1:02:07 but it,

1:02:09 it,

1:02:09 we ended up due to that research,

1:02:12 the World Health Organization developed a different

1:02:15 manual for emergency medical teams called the Red Book

1:02:18 that took into account humanitarian principles

1:02:22 and had very large effects for the future of how this may or may not be done.

1:02:26 And why I think this was important and people

1:02:30 acted very quickly

1:02:32 was primarily because numerous organizations spoke out.

1:02:35 They were very,

1:02:35 very concerned at a very high level

1:02:37 and therefore action was required,

1:02:39 which is one of the certainly the lessons learned is

1:02:42 the acuity of a problem and the importance,

1:02:44 particularly at high levels.

1:02:47 And the second example I'll give is more recent with,

1:02:50 uh,

1:02:51 we did a large study on trying to understand the HIV and syphilis study,

1:02:55 the syphilis prevalence amongst

1:02:57 Venezuelans in,

1:02:59 in Colombia.

1:03:01 This was much more technical.

1:03:02 It took much,

1:03:03 a lot,

1:03:03 much longer,

1:03:05 so the results were not as

1:03:07 quick as we would have liked.

1:03:08 Um,

1:03:09 but on the other hand,

1:03:10 what the results were so important because we saw,

1:03:13 we saw both the prevalence of HIV,

1:03:15 which was significant but not that different from the Colombians,

1:03:19 which was very important.

1:03:20 But secondly,

1:03:21 there was a big difference between those that were.

1:03:24 Had a documented status within Venezuela and those

1:03:26 that within Colombia and those that did not,

1:03:29 and this led to

1:03:31 almost immediately

1:03:32 meetings with the Ministry of Health and others in Colombia

1:03:36 and policies have been changed accordingly.

1:03:40 I'll stop there just because of time.

1:03:41 Thank you.

1:03:43 Great,

1:03:43 thanks a lot.

1:03:44 Thanks for keep repeating short and,

1:03:45 uh,

1:03:46 and very,

1:03:47 uh,

1:03:47 very practical.

1:03:48 Um,

1:03:49 turning to,

1:03:49 to you,

1:03:50 Betsy,

1:03:50 uh,

1:03:51 I'm not going to reintroduce you for the third time.

1:03:53 I'm sorry you all have to hear me twice.

1:03:55 I'm,

1:03:55 I'm replacing my director who was supposed to be on the panel.

1:03:58 Uh,

1:03:59 so Oscar stole a little bit of my thunder because

1:04:01 one of my points was gonna be on Brazil,

1:04:04 but one of the,

1:04:04 the key facts that we took away from Brazil that we use is that.

1:04:08 What the government spent on integrating refugees there

1:04:11 is equal to

1:04:12 what they pay back in taxes currently,

1:04:14 and as they move up the job ladder,

1:04:16 obviously they'll be paying more in taxes than the government spends.

1:04:19 And that's,

1:04:19 that's a really big takeaway from us.

1:04:21 Um,

1:04:21 a couple other studies that were done in Kenya a couple of years ago,

1:04:24 a study called Yes in My Backyard

1:04:27 in the Turkana region

1:04:29 that shows that if refugees were given greater opportunities and freedoms,

1:04:33 as Paulo mentioned.

1:04:34 The GDP in that region would go up by 6%,

1:04:37 and that really influenced the governor in Turkana

1:04:40 to look at

1:04:41 refugees there in terms of more of a settlement approach than,

1:04:45 you know,

1:04:45 keeping refugees separate and,

1:04:47 and that has been huge,

1:04:48 and now,

1:04:49 Uh,

1:04:49 the policy in Kenya

1:04:51 has changed significantly,

1:04:53 and we're working with Kenya on something called,

1:04:55 um,

1:04:56 the Marshall Plan

1:04:57 to look at creating settlements with refugees and host communities,

1:05:00 and that's enormous for us.

1:05:02 Another study,

1:05:03 uh,

1:05:04 and Paulo mentioned this,

1:05:05 uh,

1:05:06 on

1:05:06 macrodata,

1:05:08 the IMF has just done,

1:05:09 done a study on Venezuelans,

1:05:10 and in Ecuador it just happens to be the same.

1:05:12 GDP would go up by 6%.

1:05:14 So these are very useful pieces of data when we

1:05:18 Uh,

1:05:18 speak with government in terms of,

1:05:20 you know,

1:05:21 having a,

1:05:21 a more informed discussion.

1:05:23 Finally,

1:05:23 another study that was done by the World Bank in Colombia

1:05:26 looking at the socioeconomic impact of Colombians that really led,

1:05:30 I think,

1:05:31 to the,

1:05:31 the government there

1:05:33 granting temporary protected status to the Colombian,

1:05:36 to the Venezuelans in Colombia,

1:05:38 allowing them access to the labor.

1:05:40 Market and to health services,

1:05:41 etc.

1:05:42 So those are

1:05:43 for me those are very huge policy

1:05:45 and programmatic impacts.

1:05:47 Thanks.

1:05:47 Thanks,

1:05:48 thanks a lot.

1:05:49 Uh,

1:05:49 11 thing I see on the chat,

1:05:51 uh,

1:05:52 questions that are coming,

1:05:54 great if you can identify yourself any type of question,

1:05:57 uh,

1:05:58 so that we know,

1:05:59 uh,

1:05:59 who is,

1:06:00 who is,

1:06:00 uh,

1:06:01 trying to intervene.

1:06:02 Um,

1:06:03 so now turning to you,

1:06:04 Mr.

1:06:04 uh Nazim Ayadat,

1:06:06 uh,

1:06:06 global advisor,

1:06:07 uh,

1:06:08 on internal displacement at ICRC,

1:06:10 uh,

1:06:10 for your take on this,

1:06:11 uh,

1:06:11 on this question.

1:06:14 Thank you very much.

1:06:15 Um,

1:06:16 so thanks for having me and uh indeed impressive program.

1:06:20 Congrats for,

1:06:21 for that.

1:06:22 I have in mind,

1:06:23 uh,

1:06:23 a few examples.

1:06:24 I'll,

1:06:24 I'll focus on uh the study that we made,

1:06:28 um,

1:06:29 on urban displacement,

1:06:31 which

1:06:32 actually

1:06:33 really helped us.

1:06:35 Uh,

1:06:37 Multidisciplinarily address some of the,

1:06:41 some of the

1:06:43 Big issues uh when it comes to urban displacement.

1:06:46 So,

1:06:46 indeed,

1:06:47 the increased volume of,

1:06:48 of research has helped us to,

1:06:50 to drive the adoption of an evidence-based

1:06:52 approach to internal displacement in our operations.

1:06:55 Um,

1:06:56 taking that very example,

1:06:58 uh,

1:06:58 it's true that it was not always easy to,

1:07:01 to sort of exit our comfort zone,

1:07:03 uh,

1:07:04 question program design,

1:07:05 uh,

1:07:06 what's your added value as a humanitarian organization.

1:07:09 And I believe the role of research in this aspect is,

1:07:11 is really absolutely fundamental and,

1:07:13 and help you ask yourself,

1:07:15 uh,

1:07:15 tough questions.

1:07:17 Um,

1:07:18 so it has

1:07:20 definitely,

1:07:21 uh,

1:07:22 closed some gaps in understanding.

1:07:24 Uh,

1:07:24 so it's a research,

1:07:25 uh,

1:07:26 from 2018,

1:07:27 uh,

1:07:28 that basically

1:07:30 Took place in Somalia,

1:07:32 Nigeria,

1:07:33 Iraq,

1:07:33 and Honduras.

1:07:35 So this the displaced in city report,

1:07:37 the public one,

1:07:39 importantly as well,

1:07:40 the internal one,

1:07:42 informed a lot of our operational managers.

1:07:45 Um,

1:07:46 and it has indeed refocused the organization's efforts for displaced and

1:07:51 host community and is now also part of our training packages.

1:07:55 Um,

1:07:56 another example I can think of is the,

1:07:59 the roots of Restraint,

1:08:00 uh,

1:08:01 study,

1:08:02 which was led by,

1:08:03 uh,

1:08:03 my colleague,

1:08:04 uh,

1:08:04 Fiona Terry,

1:08:06 um,

1:08:07 very important one in which we,

1:08:09 uh,

1:08:10 investigated the,

1:08:11 um,

1:08:12 the,

1:08:12 the

1:08:13 How formal and informal norms

1:08:16 condition the behavior of soldiers and fighters,

1:08:19 um,

1:08:20 depending on the kind of armed organization to which they belong.

1:08:23 So ultimately,

1:08:23 it provided,

1:08:24 it provides a framework of analysis

1:08:27 to help identify the,

1:08:29 the best approaches.

1:08:31 Um,

1:08:31 so this was particularly useful to recalibrate,

1:08:35 adjust our approaches and engagement with military forces and armed groups.

1:08:39 Uh,

1:08:39 and turning progressively,

1:08:41 uh,

1:08:41 those findings,

1:08:42 uh,

1:08:43 into,

1:08:43 into,

1:08:44 into practice.

1:08:45 Um,

1:08:46 I think we also gained,

1:08:47 I mean,

1:08:47 there,

1:08:48 there was a quantic jump,

1:08:50 if I compare my,

1:08:51 my,

1:08:51 my first assignments in,

1:08:52 in eastern Chad back in 2008 and the last one in Afghanistan,

1:08:57 in 2021.

1:08:59 Um,

1:09:00 we gained also more confidence,

1:09:01 I,

1:09:02 I believe in engaging,

1:09:03 uh,

1:09:04 responsible authorities,

1:09:06 including,

1:09:06 of course,

1:09:06 municipal,

1:09:07 local governments,

1:09:09 and,

1:09:09 and here,

1:09:10 Um,

1:09:11 I,

1:09:11 I think an important point is,

1:09:14 is really how much,

1:09:15 uh,

1:09:16 embedded we were also,

1:09:19 uh,

1:09:19 within,

1:09:19 uh,

1:09:19 displaced community

1:09:21 to

1:09:22 feed,

1:09:23 uh,

1:09:23 that dialogue with,

1:09:24 uh,

1:09:24 with responsible authorities.

1:09:27 So indeed,

1:09:28 um,

1:09:30 we are more capable,

1:09:32 even though there is still a lot to do,

1:09:36 um,

1:09:36 but I believe

1:09:38 Uh,

1:09:38 the experience as well of,

1:09:40 of displaced people is key in,

1:09:42 in,

1:09:42 in developing some programs and,

1:09:44 and,

1:09:45 and for that,

1:09:47 I believe research has also helped keeping uh a people-centric uh

1:09:54 organization.

1:09:55 Over to you.

1:09:57 Thanks.

1:09:57 I think it's a very interesting point that,

1:09:59 uh,

1:10:00 that

1:10:01 I think has been raised also in some questions

1:10:03 that we've received in advance and maybe on the,

1:10:05 on the chat as well.

1:10:06 So uh these people centered,

1:10:07 uh,

1:10:08 uh,

1:10:08 motion and how the,

1:10:09 the research can help is,

1:10:10 uh,

1:10:10 is,

1:10:11 is interesting.

1:10:12 Um,

1:10:12 we are

1:10:14 A bit late,

1:10:14 so what I would suggest to the,

1:10:16 the organizers is,

1:10:17 uh,

1:10:18 maybe we,

1:10:19 we put together the last two questions which are basically about constraints,

1:10:23 uh,

1:10:23 and the way forward.

1:10:25 Uh,

1:10:25 and so I will read them and I will ask again our panelists to,

1:10:30 uh,

1:10:30 Give their perspective on those two questions together

1:10:33 or maybe you would prefer to address one

1:10:35 or the other.

1:10:36 So,

1:10:36 uh,

1:10:37 the second question we had was,

1:10:39 uh,

1:10:40 around what are the current constraints

1:10:42 uh in making research relevant uh for policymakers,

1:10:46 programs,

1:10:47 uh,

1:10:47 and project administrators,

1:10:49 so.

1:10:50 How is it,

1:10:50 uh,

1:10:50 uh,

1:10:51 uh,

1:10:51 for,

1:10:51 for,

1:10:52 for those that are doing

1:10:53 implementing programs on the ground

1:10:54 and how,

1:10:55 how can we increase the programmatic relevance

1:10:57 of research operations kind of the interface between research and,

1:11:00 and practice.

1:11:02 Um,

1:11:02 and the last one

1:11:03 is about looking forward,

1:11:05 um,

1:11:06 what are your priorities,

1:11:07 each of you,

1:11:08 in terms of research,

1:11:09 uh,

1:11:09 for making research relevant for operations,

1:11:12 uh,

1:11:12 and can you provide concrete examples of reforms,

1:11:15 uh,

1:11:16 you would support to address,

1:11:17 uh,

1:11:18 those priorities?

1:11:19 Um,

1:11:19 so again,

1:11:20 uh,

1:11:21 feel free to address,

1:11:22 I mean,

1:11:22 I think they are quite connected,

1:11:23 so,

1:11:24 uh,

1:11:24 uh,

1:11:25 feel free to address,

1:11:25 uh,

1:11:26 one or the other or both

1:11:28 and start again with you,

1:11:29 uh,

1:11:29 Mr.

1:11:30 Arif Hus Hussain.

1:11:33 Over to you.

1:11:33 Thank you,

1:11:34 um.

1:11:35 Look,

1:11:36 I mean,

1:11:36 basically,

1:11:37 what um

1:11:40 Even today,

1:11:41 we are,

1:11:42 you know,

1:11:42 there is,

1:11:43 I don't think there is any shortage of research.

1:11:45 I don't think there is any shortage of

1:11:48 understanding the,

1:11:49 the problem statement.

1:11:51 I also don't think

1:11:52 that it is,

1:11:53 uh,

1:11:54 through the research,

1:11:55 it is an issue of,

1:11:56 you know,

1:11:57 convincing people that,

1:11:58 you know,

1:11:58 uh,

1:11:59 the,

1:11:59 the benefits of,

1:12:02 of,

1:12:02 uh,

1:12:03 of assisting uh refugees.

1:12:06 Uh,

1:12:07 But when you start to,

1:12:08 where we are going is that when you start to look at

1:12:12 the people you need to convince,

1:12:13 uh,

1:12:14 whether it is operational people,

1:12:16 whether it's policy

1:12:17 makers.

1:12:19 Um,

1:12:19 they also understand,

1:12:21 one,

1:12:21 we have to make sure that they understand what are the benefits,

1:12:24 right?

1:12:25 But the second thing is

1:12:28 They uh have

1:12:29 to,

1:12:30 for the research to understand their constraints.

1:12:33 Meaning you can say that,

1:12:34 look,

1:12:34 I mean,

1:12:35 you know,

1:12:35 yes,

1:12:36 it will,

1:12:36 uh,

1:12:37 for a particular community,

1:12:39 or,

1:12:39 or for a particular region,

1:12:40 it will increase GDP by 10%.

1:12:43 Uh,

1:12:46 But

1:12:47 that will require

1:12:48 investments.

1:12:50 And if the decision makers,

1:12:51 policy

1:12:53 makers don't have those investments,

1:12:55 that is not going to happen.

1:12:57 So,

1:12:57 in

1:12:58 our own research,

1:13:00 in dissemination of that research,

1:13:03 if we can talk about the benefits,

1:13:05 if we can talk about the costs of not doing it,

1:13:08 but also if we can give suggestions in terms of how it could be funded,

1:13:12 which would be acceptable to the decision makers.

1:13:16 Or would be viable for the decision makers,

1:13:19 there is a chance that that would happen.

1:13:21 Otherwise,

1:13:22 we get into a situation where,

1:13:24 you know,

1:13:24 it is one of the things,

1:13:25 yeah,

1:13:25 it's nice to have,

1:13:26 to do.

1:13:28 But it's not going to happen because I simply don't have the resources.

1:13:31 I think our research has to start moving more into the applied space.

1:13:38 Not only from the side of understanding the problem,

1:13:41 but also understanding how that problem can be resolved.

1:13:45 Within the means and resources

1:13:48 of the people

1:13:49 who are supposed to do that.

1:13:52 That's,

1:13:52 that's where

1:13:54 I think we are lacking and we need to sort of

1:13:56 get better.

1:13:57 I'll stop here.

1:13:58 Thank you.

1:13:59 Thanks,

1:14:00 thanks a lot.

1:14:01 Very interesting.

1:14:02 Um,

1:14:03 Paul.

1:14:06 Your turn,

1:14:07 uh,

1:14:07 on those two questions.

1:14:08 Thank you,

1:14:09 um.

1:14:10 Constraints are,

1:14:12 the constraints are enormous,

1:14:13 I would say,

1:14:14 and it,

1:14:14 it,

1:14:14 it's a mixture if I divide them into two sides.

1:14:17 One,

1:14:17 the researchers

1:14:20 themselves

1:14:20 who um

1:14:23 Many have not actually been in the operations,

1:14:26 have managed or responded to operations,

1:14:29 and so sometimes the research can be very strong,

1:14:32 but then the recommendations and or the context is insufficient.

1:14:36 I think that's easily addressed if

1:14:40 if the researchers are working with organizations and we

1:14:43 make sure that the organizations that we're working with

1:14:46 are very involved in in both at least

1:14:50 contextualizing the analysis and then the recommendations.

1:14:55 The converse though is that what we find is

1:14:58 that those that are in operations are so busy,

1:15:01 particularly in the last while where there's just crisis after crisis,

1:15:05 it can be very,

1:15:06 very difficult for researchers to get the actual

1:15:08 time needed to be able to better understand

1:15:12 the results themselves.

1:15:13 And so there has to be a bit of give and take,

1:15:16 I would say,

1:15:16 on both sides.

1:15:18 Another big problem I would say is

1:15:21 there is so much research and there are so many recommendations coming out

1:15:26 that it's very difficult for

1:15:28 organizations,

1:15:29 NGOs,

1:15:30 UN,

1:15:30 and others to be able to prioritize.

1:15:32 And so I think there needs to be

1:15:34 a more concerted effort to better understand what's out there,

1:15:37 to better prioritize,

1:15:38 because it's

1:15:39 probably not possible to operationalize everything that's coming out.

1:15:43 So there should be a methodology to be able to do that.

1:15:46 Um,

1:15:47 I think that would be extremely helpful.

1:15:49 And then finally for the future.

1:15:53 There is a lot of research going out there but coming out,

1:15:56 but the quality can really,

1:15:58 really vary of that research.

1:16:00 And so I think there should be more,

1:16:02 and this is self-serving coming from a university,

1:16:04 of course,

1:16:05 but more dedicated funding streams for quality research

1:16:09 and also longer term research in these humanitarian settings,

1:16:13 we're often getting

1:16:14 funding for a year to do research,

1:16:16 which makes it extremely

1:16:17 difficult.

1:16:19 I think we need to do more qualitative and quantitative and longer term.

1:16:23 Um,

1:16:24 sometimes their qualitative is hugely important,

1:16:26 but it's often easier

1:16:28 to do in certain settings and or there just is enough,

1:16:31 not enough baseline quantitative to actually,

1:16:34 uh,

1:16:34 move forward and then try to.

1:16:37 the research.

1:16:38 Another area,

1:16:39 perhaps I'll last two areas,

1:16:41 one would be to really try to focus on access in some of the more insecure areas.

1:16:46 That makes it doubly difficult because the methodologies and undertaking

1:16:50 more stringent methodologies can be more difficult,

1:16:53 and generally there are fewer people allowed to go into

1:16:56 these areas and of course operations will supersede research.

1:16:59 And then finally,

1:17:00 the donors,

1:17:01 um,

1:17:02 what we find often is that there is still a lack of

1:17:06 at a minimum monitoring and evaluation and at

1:17:09 the best case scenario some component within the

1:17:13 the donors for operations

1:17:15 to better understand by having some research and lessons

1:17:18 learned and if that could be more systematically prioritized,

1:17:21 I think we can do,

1:17:22 we can do a lot.

1:17:24 Thank you.

1:17:25 Thanks,

1:17:25 thanks a lot.

1:17:26 Uh,

1:17:26 got a few,

1:17:27 uh,

1:17:27 very interesting proposals and,

1:17:29 uh,

1:17:29 I'm going to,

1:17:30 to keep with,

1:17:31 uh,

1:17:31 take with me at least the,

1:17:33 the multi-year funding for research as well,

1:17:35 and it's been an argument

1:17:37 in

1:17:37 the,

1:17:37 in my time sector for,

1:17:38 for some time,

1:17:39 um,

1:17:40 and,

1:17:40 uh,

1:17:40 and what you said also made me think about the,

1:17:42 the,

1:17:43 what I've seen as a more and more,

1:17:44 uh,

1:17:45 long,

1:17:45 longitudinal studies,

1:17:47 uh,

1:17:47 which I think is,

1:17:48 is really something that,

1:17:49 uh,

1:17:49 that warrants,

1:17:50 uh,

1:17:50 uh,

1:17:51 a bit more uh

1:17:52 investment.

1:17:53 Uh,

1:17:53 Betsy,

1:17:54 great,

1:17:54 great to come after Arif and Paul because I,

1:17:57 I agree with,

1:17:58 with what they're saying.

1:18:00 Just,

1:18:00 just to note that we do have two longitudinal panel studies,

1:18:04 first time ever in UNHCR

1:18:06 with the World Bank and Gauge and,

1:18:08 and Yale in Bangladesh and the JDC

1:18:10 and in Kenya,

1:18:11 and this is something that we

1:18:14 Exactly for the reason that Paul said.

1:18:17 We know that this is important to have baseline and

1:18:19 to be able to measure over time what's happening,

1:18:21 and,

1:18:22 and this will,

1:18:23 I mean,

1:18:23 these are very large populations,

1:18:26 and I think this will give us really important data

1:18:30 over many years which we haven't been able to have in the past.

1:18:33 So,

1:18:33 I fully agree that,

1:18:35 that we need to do more of these and it's,

1:18:36 it's really valuable.

1:18:38 Um,

1:18:39 I wouldn't say that,

1:18:40 that we have all the research we need.

1:18:41 We know that,

1:18:42 for example,

1:18:42 there are enormous gaps on IDPs.

1:18:45 We have very,

1:18:45 very little data on IDPs.

1:18:47 So,

1:18:47 I think there are some populations that

1:18:49 there's more research on now.

1:18:50 The JDC is helping us on,

1:18:52 on getting more data on IDPs.

1:18:55 Um,

1:18:55 in terms of,

1:18:57 um,

1:18:58 I think one of the other challenges that,

1:19:00 that we see,

1:19:01 and,

1:19:01 and Paul alluded to this in a way,

1:19:04 I don't think that,

1:19:04 for example,

1:19:05 in our own operations that our colleagues are able

1:19:07 to identify what's the problem they want to solve.

1:19:10 And if you don't understand really what the problem is you want to solve,

1:19:12 you don't know what the question is,

1:19:14 you don't know how to pose it as a research question.

1:19:17 And that's a challenge very much in a humanitarian organization

1:19:20 because we're not used to thinking in that way.

1:19:22 So really helping operations formulate the right question,

1:19:26 is it around policy changes in policy that we're looking for?

1:19:29 Is it around

1:19:30 changes in,

1:19:31 in program,

1:19:32 how we use

1:19:33 funding to

1:19:34 You know,

1:19:35 impact a particular program.

1:19:37 And so this,

1:19:37 this has been a real challenge.

1:19:39 Um,

1:19:40 and then I would say one of the other challenges we face

1:19:43 is

1:19:44 even when we actually have the research and it tells you what to do,

1:19:47 and I think Arif was referring to this,

1:19:50 how do you bring the whole

1:19:52 ecosystem of those that

1:19:54 fund,

1:19:55 for example,

1:19:56 education.

1:19:57 To be able to say,

1:19:58 OK,

1:19:58 we're going to take this,

1:19:59 and now we're going to use it,

1:20:00 because there's

1:20:02 political reasons why,

1:20:04 you know,

1:20:05 being very frank,

1:20:05 why somebody has funding to do X,

1:20:07 Y,

1:20:07 or Z.

1:20:08 Are they going to be able to change their approach to programming

1:20:11 in this cycle,

1:20:12 or will they have to wait 3 years?

1:20:13 And I think that's,

1:20:14 that's a really big challenge is to bring them,

1:20:17 you know.

1:20:18 All the agencies around,

1:20:20 um,

1:20:21 you know,

1:20:21 a particular impact,

1:20:23 so I'll stop there.

1:20:23 Thanks,

1:20:24 thanks a Betsy,

1:20:25 and

1:20:25 I,

1:20:26 I

1:20:26 really appreciated the comment on the,

1:20:27 on,

1:20:28 on internal placement.

1:20:29 I think that was one of the recommendation of the,

1:20:31 the high panel,

1:20:32 uh,

1:20:32 uh,

1:20:32 a few years ago.

1:20:34 more should be done

1:20:35 on research,

1:20:36 uh,

1:20:36 uh,

1:20:36 in this,

1:20:37 uh,

1:20:37 in this realm.

1:20:37 So hopefully that's

1:20:39 coming up,

1:20:40 um,

1:20:41 now Nazim for your,

1:20:42 uh,

1:20:43 your last,

1:20:44 uh.

1:20:45 Thank you very much.

1:20:46 So yes,

1:20:47 uh,

1:20:48 I,

1:20:48 I fully agree that uh research is a victim of its success.

1:20:52 And then one constraint or one

1:20:54 challenge uh with the multiplication of,

1:20:57 uh,

1:20:58 of excellent uh research is the,

1:21:00 the absorption capacity and for humanitarians,

1:21:03 time and resources to adequately

1:21:06 and,

1:21:06 and timely infuse those findings,

1:21:08 those research findings into program design.

1:21:11 Uh,

1:21:12 this is particularly true for hard to reach areas,

1:21:15 uh,

1:21:16 and at the onset of,

1:21:17 of active hostilities,

1:21:18 uh,

1:21:18 such as,

1:21:19 uh,

1:21:20 the,

1:21:20 the cases is now in,

1:21:21 in Sudan.

1:21:22 Um.

1:21:24 I also agree with Paul,

1:21:26 uh,

1:21:26 absolutely on,

1:21:27 on the recommendations.

1:21:28 So,

1:21:29 uh,

1:21:29 many researchers very solid,

1:21:31 uh,

1:21:32 lacking a bit of,

1:21:33 of practical,

1:21:34 realistic,

1:21:36 understandable recommendation.

1:21:37 So it doesn't mean that we,

1:21:39 we should not set ambitious goals,

1:21:41 uh,

1:21:42 for research,

1:21:42 but to,

1:21:43 to strike that,

1:21:44 that balance,

1:21:45 um,

1:21:46 maybe the involvement of practitioners along with theoreticians,

1:21:51 uh,

1:21:51 is,

1:21:51 is critical at,

1:21:52 at every stage.

1:21:54 Um,

1:21:55 so policymakers often require timely information to make informed decisions.

1:22:00 Uh,

1:22:00 research findings may take time to gather,

1:22:03 analyze,

1:22:04 publish,

1:22:04 disseminate.

1:22:05 Um,

1:22:06 and this can,

1:22:07 can create a gap,

1:22:08 uh,

1:22:08 between the availability of research and,

1:22:10 and policymaking processes.

1:22:12 And the other side of that coin,

1:22:14 uh,

1:22:14 is naturally that,

1:22:15 uh,

1:22:16 a robust and,

1:22:17 and solid research has its own life cycle,

1:22:19 a maturation process,

1:22:21 review mechanisms.

1:22:22 So there's also a,

1:22:24 a balance to strike there and a,

1:22:25 and a continuous challenge.

1:22:27 Um,

1:22:28 increasing the programmatic relevance,

1:22:30 uh,

1:22:32 Of research for operations.

1:22:34 Uh,

1:22:35 so,

1:22:35 of course,

1:22:36 um,

1:22:38 Research and recommendation must be relevant

1:22:40 to a specific displacement situation.

1:22:42 If I,

1:22:43 if I talk about internal displacement,

1:22:45 uh,

1:22:46 considering all different actors,

1:22:47 parties to the conflict,

1:22:49 resources,

1:22:49 external environment,

1:22:51 um,

1:22:52 this is not to say that,

1:22:53 that all research should be narrow in scope,

1:22:55 uh,

1:22:56 but the more contextualized and focused,

1:22:59 uh,

1:22:59 the more findings influence,

1:23:01 influence infinite,

1:23:02 uh,

1:23:03 quality,

1:23:04 uh,

1:23:04 programming.

1:23:06 Uh,

1:23:06 another point that is linked to the previous one,

1:23:09 research and recommendation need to include,

1:23:12 uh,

1:23:12 and reflect the perspective and voices of,

1:23:15 of people affected by displacement.

1:23:17 Um,

1:23:18 and,

1:23:18 and,

1:23:18 and

1:23:19 I,

1:23:19 I often say that IDPs are not a static,

1:23:23 faceless group.

1:23:24 Uh,

1:23:25 but rather a myriad of resourceful and often very innovative citizens.

1:23:29 Uh,

1:23:30 and I believe by including them at each stage of research,

1:23:33 we are using the,

1:23:34 the right compass.

1:23:35 And this,

1:23:36 I,

1:23:36 I land again on the,

1:23:37 the people-centric approach.

1:23:39 And,

1:23:40 and I'll stop there.

1:23:43 Great.

1:23:43 Thanks.

1:23:44 Thanks a lot.

1:23:45 Uh,

1:23:45 I think there's been,

1:23:46 uh,

1:23:46 quite a,

1:23:47 quite a number of,

1:23:48 uh,

1:23:48 of very interesting suggestions and,

1:23:50 uh,

1:23:50 and,

1:23:50 you know,

1:23:51 this is recorded.

1:23:52 We're taking most of us

1:23:54 not so,

1:23:54 uh,

1:23:54 I think it's going to be,

1:23:55 uh,

1:23:55 inspiring for the,

1:23:57 for the,

1:23:57 the reflections going forward.

1:23:59 And now we,

1:24:00 we are a bit of time,

1:24:01 we're still a bit late,

1:24:02 but we have a bit of time,

1:24:03 we'll make sure,

1:24:04 uh for questions or suggestions,

1:24:07 uh,

1:24:08 on those questions,

1:24:09 reactions also to the,

1:24:10 the,

1:24:10 the initial presentations,

1:24:11 of course.

1:24:12 Um,

1:24:13 so feel free to raise your hand.

1:24:15 I've seen also a few questions on the chat.

1:24:19 Um.

1:24:21 So let's start,

1:24:22 maybe,

1:24:23 is there anyone in the room,

1:24:24 since we've had a lot of interventions

1:24:26 online,

1:24:27 maybe you can

1:24:28 start in the room for once.

1:24:30 To look at

1:24:32 around me if there's a

1:24:33 and no

1:24:36 oh sorry,

1:24:36 so go ahead,

1:24:37 introduce yourself.

1:24:38 Yes,

1:24:38 I'm from the Korean mission.

1:24:41 uh,

1:24:41 and I talked about the Ali to saying about the,

1:24:45 the refugeehia refugee in the,

1:24:48 uh,

1:24:48 Germany.

1:24:50 How,

1:24:51 what is the,

1:24:52 uh,

1:24:53 impact on the social cohesion among,

1:24:55 uh,

1:24:56 German,

1:24:57 uh,

1:24:57 people,

1:24:57 general German people's recognition on the refugees.

1:25:00 And also he said that there is a lot of huge amount of benefits comes from this uh

1:25:06 uh accepting the those Syrian people.

1:25:09 What is,

1:25:10 what

1:25:11 I want to know from what exactly what point of the benefits are occurring

1:25:16 and what cause of this uh benefit.

1:25:20 And also there is,

1:25:21 I heard that there is a huge amount of Syrian refugees in Turkey,

1:25:25 Turkey now.

1:25:26 So probably if

1:25:28 like the size it would be mean a huge amount of people go to inside another society,

1:25:34 it would be the effect on the social cohesion would

1:25:37 be somewhat different from compared to small refugees there.

1:25:41 So I don't know what is the impact on the,

1:25:44 the society impact on

1:25:46 of those people to go there.

1:25:48 And

1:25:49 also probably it would be somewhat different,

1:25:52 would be that

1:25:53 like the Pope Francis,

1:25:54 they received a huge amount of almost 6 million people from their old colonies.

1:26:01 Then

1:26:01 several 10 years or 2 years there's some kind of social

1:26:05 like uh

1:26:06 turmoils.

1:26:07 So

1:26:08 that could make some probably like a

1:26:10 failure to the dealing with the refugee people.

1:26:14 So probably from

1:26:16 those

1:26:17 instances we could do learn lessons

1:26:19 to prevent that kind of thing.

1:26:21 So

1:26:22 those are my questions on this man.

1:26:25 Thank you very much.

1:26:25 I'm not sure whether this is proper for.

1:26:28 Thank you.

1:26:29 Thanks a lot.

1:26:29 Uh,

1:26:30 I,

1:26:30 I think

1:26:31 you directed this question to,

1:26:33 um,

1:26:34 to,

1:26:34 uh,

1:26:36 uh,

1:26:36 our first panelist,

1:26:37 uh,

1:26:37 Mr.

1:26:37 Hussain.

1:26:38 Um,

1:26:39 but I'm sure others also can,

1:26:41 uh,

1:26:41 can,

1:26:42 can bring,

1:26:42 uh,

1:26:43 their,

1:26:43 their part to the answers.

1:26:45 Maybe,

1:26:45 uh,

1:26:45 Mr.

1:26:45 Hussain,

1:26:46 first to you,

1:26:47 and then I'll see if other

1:26:48 panelists or presenters want to,

1:26:50 to,

1:26:50 to add that

1:26:52 to that.

1:26:52 OK.

1:26:53 Uh,

1:26:53 I'm afraid that it was,

1:26:54 uh,

1:26:55 the connection was kind of breaking,

1:26:57 so I,

1:26:57 I got parts of it.

1:26:58 I didn't get the whole,

1:27:00 uh,

1:27:01 whole question.

1:27:02 Um,

1:27:03 so,

1:27:04 so first and foremost,

1:27:06 Um,

1:27:06 basically,

1:27:09 This was,

1:27:09 uh,

1:27:10 this,

1:27:10 this was like,

1:27:11 uh,

1:27:11 the 3rd quarter of 2015 when this movement happened.

1:27:15 Um,

1:27:17 and initially it was,

1:27:18 um,

1:27:19 you know,

1:27:19 um,

1:27:20 Germany welcomed these,

1:27:21 these,

1:27:21 these,

1:27:22 these,

1:27:22 these refugees.

1:27:24 Um,

1:27:24 and

1:27:26 Then when they came there,

1:27:28 there was a lot of stuff which needed to happen.

1:27:30 Uh,

1:27:31 meaning from,

1:27:32 from language issues to cultural issues to religious issues,

1:27:35 to job issues,

1:27:37 all of these things needed to be resolved.

1:27:39 And

1:27:40 for that,

1:27:41 this is why over the course of several years,

1:27:44 assimilation takes a while,

1:27:46 uh,

1:27:48 you know,

1:27:48 literally,

1:27:49 like I said,

1:27:49 $125 billion were spent just by the federal government.

1:27:54 Um

1:27:55 Did it happen?

1:27:56 Does it have economic returns?

1:27:58 Uh,

1:27:59 did people stimulate,

1:28:00 uh,

1:28:00 stimulate?

1:28:01 Yes.

1:28:02 Uh,

1:28:03 but just compare that.

1:28:05 To

1:28:07 spending $125 billion

1:28:10 on 1 million refugees,

1:28:12 to looking at just World Food Program in its record year,

1:28:16 where we assisted 160 million people around the world.

1:28:21 With about $14 billion.

1:28:25 So,

1:28:25 you see the,

1:28:25 the,

1:28:26 the,

1:28:26 the,

1:28:26 the,

1:28:27 the,

1:28:27 the disconnect on,

1:28:28 on,

1:28:29 on that side.

1:28:30 Now,

1:28:30 the problem is that

1:28:32 that's not only the,

1:28:33 the,

1:28:34 the place where this has happened.

1:28:36 If you look at the dry corridor of Central America,

1:28:38 and if you look at uh the western border of the United States,

1:28:43 I think I can think of at least 3 studies

1:28:47 which looked at this displacement of uh people

1:28:51 moving from,

1:28:52 from Central America from the dry corridor to the,

1:28:54 the US.

1:28:56 There was a study done to show

1:28:58 That

1:28:59 the people who were leaving were leaving from the places which were the most

1:29:05 Um,

1:29:06 severely impacted by both food insecurity and poverty.

1:29:11 That part.

1:29:12 Now,

1:29:13 if you look back,

1:29:14 again,

1:29:14 the same reason,

1:29:15 looking back,

1:29:16 if we could have helped those people where they were,

1:29:19 so they did not have to leave,

1:29:21 it would solve two problems.

1:29:23 One,

1:29:24 people are not leaving their home,

1:29:25 which they didn't want to do in the first place.

1:29:27 And second,

1:29:28 where they were going,

1:29:29 it wasn't like,

1:29:30 uh,

1:29:30 you know,

1:29:31 they weren't,

1:29:31 uh.

1:29:33 It was,

1:29:33 it,

1:29:33 it was not a

1:29:35 migration which was accepted because it was

1:29:37 out of,

1:29:38 you know,

1:29:38 out of destitution,

1:29:39 basically.

1:29:40 So,

1:29:40 this is why billions upon billions of dollars were spent

1:29:43 to keep those people up.

1:29:45 So,

1:29:45 my point is that

1:29:47 First and foremost,

1:29:49 our research.

1:29:51 Needs to,

1:29:53 and coming to Betsy's point,

1:29:55 needs to get the wrong right,

1:29:57 meaning

1:29:57 you need to get the problem statement right.

1:30:00 And that problem statement right is not only from the,

1:30:04 the side of the people who are getting affected,

1:30:07 but also the side of people,

1:30:08 again,

1:30:09 who are supposed to help,

1:30:11 or places where they're supposed to go.

1:30:13 And if we can do that,

1:30:15 Then we can solve the correct problem.

1:30:17 If we don't do that,

1:30:19 then yes,

1:30:19 we are solving a problem,

1:30:20 but it's just not the right problem.

1:30:22 And believe me,

1:30:23 this happens more often

1:30:25 than,

1:30:25 uh,

1:30:26 than,

1:30:26 than not.

1:30:28 Uh,

1:30:28 I hope I answered your question.

1:30:30 Um,

1:30:30 thank you.

1:30:32 Thank you,

1:30:32 thank you.

1:30:33 I don't know,

1:30:34 uh,

1:30:34 if

1:30:35 someone wants to address this question as well,

1:30:38 or maybe we turn to

1:30:39 a few other questions.

1:30:42 Just,

1:30:43 just a word on,

1:30:44 uh,

1:30:44 the social cohesion question because this is an area where

1:30:48 I think we have at least 40 studies that looked,

1:30:50 uh,

1:30:51 different dimensions of social cohesion.

1:30:54 And social cohesion as these three dimensions between,

1:30:57 uh,

1:30:57 within the refugee or displaced community,

1:31:01 within the host communities,

1:31:02 and between the two communities.

1:31:04 And I think one of the,

1:31:05 the lessons that we are very comfortable in

1:31:08 channeling

1:31:09 is that um

1:31:11 no matter the size of the displacement crisis,

1:31:15 I think about Lebanon,

1:31:16 20% of the population.

1:31:19 Um,

1:31:20 if

1:31:21 proper policies are in place,

1:31:24 the mitigating effect

1:31:25 of these policies can be very,

1:31:27 very large.

1:31:28 So we have municipalities that received,

1:31:31 uh,

1:31:31 in terms of percentage of,

1:31:34 uh,

1:31:34 refugees over the local populations,

1:31:37 the same amounts in Turkey and Lebanon,

1:31:39 for example.

1:31:41 So the share of refugees in those municipalities were the same.

1:31:45 But we have very different impacts of these refugees on these host communities

1:31:49 because of the policies in place in the two places at the same time.

1:31:54 So we have a sort of natural control experiments that tell us

1:31:58 that if you do have policies in place for freedom of movement,

1:32:03 freedom of work,

1:32:04 and access to,

1:32:05 uh,

1:32:05 services,

1:32:07 the impacts are much shorter term.

1:32:10 They're much more localized

1:32:12 and uh uh they can be,

1:32:14 the negative impact,

1:32:15 impacts can be reabsorbed in a relatively short period of time.

1:32:19 So,

1:32:19 policies matter.

1:32:20 It's not just the size of the crisis,

1:32:22 the matter for social cohesion.

1:32:25 Maybe just another point,

1:32:26 the bank had done a study in Turkey early on

1:32:28 that shows that those Syrians who came to Turkey,

1:32:32 so initially the lower level Turks were displaced from employment,

1:32:37 certain level at the lowest level of employment,

1:32:40 but actually what happened was that they retooled

1:32:43 and they moved up the employment ladder,

1:32:45 so they actually got better jobs than they had before

1:32:48 when the Syrians came in.

1:32:49 So

1:32:50 there,

1:32:50 there's lots of things that that happened.

1:32:53 Thanks,

1:32:54 thanks a lot.

1:32:55 Um,

1:32:55 I hope that answered the,

1:32:57 the question.

1:32:58 Um,

1:32:59 what I'm going to do is read and give you one question from the,

1:33:01 the chart,

1:33:02 and then I think there's uh one hand,

1:33:04 uh,

1:33:05 raised and one here,

1:33:06 uh,

1:33:07 and then we'll probably have to,

1:33:08 to go to the,

1:33:09 the closing,

1:33:10 unfortunately.

1:33:11 There's a lot of very interesting questions in the,

1:33:12 in the chat.

1:33:13 The one I will read was,

1:33:15 was

1:33:15 typed,

1:33:16 uh,

1:33:16 uh,

1:33:17 some time ago,

1:33:18 which is,

1:33:19 um,

1:33:19 which are some of the socioeconomic

1:33:21 repercussions that are associated with displacement.

1:33:24 Uh,

1:33:24 and which are some of the challenges encountered

1:33:26 as the refugees are repatriated back home.

1:33:28 So

1:33:29 a question about the,

1:33:30 uh,

1:33:30 the socioeconomic,

1:33:31 uh,

1:33:32 repercussions,

1:33:33 uh,

1:33:33 and,

1:33:34 and the dynamics with,

1:33:35 uh,

1:33:35 with return.

1:33:37 Um,

1:33:37 the question online,

1:33:40 uh,

1:33:41 is from,

1:33:42 uh,

1:33:43 Laurie Bell,

1:33:43 if I'm not mistaken,

1:33:44 I don't see the,

1:33:45 the hand

1:33:46 up anymore,

1:33:47 but Laurie,

1:33:48 head of evaluation Service at UNHCR wanted to ask a question.

1:33:54 If not,

1:33:58 If not,

1:33:59 I will turn to,

1:34:00 to you for the question,

1:34:00 uh,

1:34:01 uh,

1:34:01 here in the room.

1:34:02 Sure,

1:34:03 thank you very much.

1:34:04 My name is Maya Lazic.

1:34:05 I'm the deputy head of the World Bank

1:34:07 UNHCR Joint Data Center on Forced Displacement,

1:34:09 and

1:34:10 of course this conversation today,

1:34:11 needless to say,

1:34:12 resonates hugely with us and then we're very pleased to be,

1:34:16 to be working together,

1:34:17 all of us,

1:34:18 uh,

1:34:18 um,

1:34:19 uh,

1:34:19 here discussing today,

1:34:21 um,

1:34:22 across the,

1:34:22 the different,

1:34:23 uh,

1:34:24 elements of the partnership between World Bank and UNHHCS,

1:34:26 yeah.

1:34:27 And

1:34:28 what I want to,

1:34:29 it's really a comment,

1:34:30 it's not a question,

1:34:31 and,

1:34:31 and it's a comment that's spurred by what,

1:34:33 what we just heard in this uh uh last round of,

1:34:36 of,

1:34:36 uh,

1:34:37 Of,

1:34:37 uh,

1:34:38 of responses to constraints and,

1:34:40 and to,

1:34:41 to the way forward because what I heard particularly from,

1:34:44 from the colleague Nazim from ICRC and,

1:34:46 and also from Paul,

1:34:47 but from all of you really,

1:34:49 uh,

1:34:49 resonates so extremely well with the,

1:34:52 with where we are right now in,

1:34:53 in our work progress and where we're going to in the next 4 years.

1:34:58 The Joint Data Center has been

1:34:59 in,

1:35:00 in working for,

1:35:02 for 4 years really looking at sort of the infrastructure of data,

1:35:06 uh,

1:35:06 stimulating data production with operational relevance,

1:35:10 uh,

1:35:10 um,

1:35:11 and,

1:35:11 uh,

1:35:12 and also trying to,

1:35:13 to push out data and evidence,

1:35:15 uh,

1:35:15 um,

1:35:16 uh,

1:35:18 as part,

1:35:18 as part of that first strategy

1:35:20 and now we're,

1:35:21 we're taking learners.

1:35:22 And,

1:35:23 and we're looking towards the next 4 years

1:35:25 where it's absolutely clear that everything that you say is,

1:35:29 uh,

1:35:29 is,

1:35:29 uh,

1:35:30 is evidently something that needs a concerted effort

1:35:33 in partnership with others but also

1:35:36 uh really stimulating,

1:35:37 um,

1:35:38 and in that sense,

1:35:39 we,

1:35:39 we are,

1:35:40 we have been developing a,

1:35:41 a knowledge agenda we call it in,

1:35:43 in,

1:35:43 in the Jordan Data Center.

1:35:45 Uh,

1:35:45 where we particularly look at some of those elements that were highlighted,

1:35:49 uh,

1:35:49 um,

1:35:50 in the responses

1:35:51 in terms of,

1:35:52 uh,

1:35:53 getting research relevant for practitioners,

1:35:56 getting practitioners

1:35:57 involved in,

1:35:58 in the research so that it can be applied,

1:36:00 gapping some of,

1:36:01 uh,

1:36:02 pardon me,

1:36:03 identifying some of those data and evidence gaps to make that connection

1:36:07 and,

1:36:08 um.

1:36:09 And then having effective and diverse ways of

1:36:12 disseminating that of serving it up to the,

1:36:14 to the uh policymakers and practitioners,

1:36:17 uh,

1:36:17 who need this,

1:36:18 and I think,

1:36:19 uh,

1:36:20 it was,

1:36:20 it was really wonderful to hear your responses because it goes right into,

1:36:24 to,

1:36:24 to,

1:36:25 to the strategy conversations that we will have and consult on more widely.

1:36:29 So thank you very much.

1:36:30 Excellent,

1:36:31 really having an impact.

1:36:34 Thanks,

1:36:34 thanks a lot for the,

1:36:35 for the,

1:36:36 the comments then,

1:36:37 uh,

1:36:37 not the question.

1:36:38 I don't know if anyone would want to,

1:36:40 uh,

1:36:40 address the question about the returns.

1:36:43 You,

1:36:43 Paula,

1:36:43 you wanted to,

1:36:45 yeah,

1:36:45 if I understood it was a two-part question or um in general socioeconomic,

1:36:49 uh,

1:36:49 um,

1:36:50 characteristics,

1:36:51 challenges of this place,

1:36:52 and then,

1:36:52 uh,

1:36:52 the connection to the return,

1:36:54 right?

1:36:55 Um,

1:36:55 yeah,

1:36:56 so,

1:36:56 um.

1:36:58 Um,

1:36:59 yeah,

1:36:59 we have a paper actually in the program that looks at,

1:37:01 uh,

1:37:02 um,

1:37:03 what are the challenges of,

1:37:04 uh,

1:37:05 that specifically displaced people face,

1:37:07 um,

1:37:07 um,

1:37:08 if we look at them and compare them with economic migrants,

1:37:11 for instance.

1:37:12 So,

1:37:12 um,

1:37:14 key,

1:37:14 key findings from the study

1:37:16 are the,

1:37:17 um,

1:37:18 challenges in terms of the assets,

1:37:20 assets or possessions,

1:37:21 and dispossession that happened during displacement.

1:37:23 Um,

1:37:24 arrival,

1:37:24 um,

1:37:25 to,

1:37:26 um,

1:37:27 a new context with the,

1:37:28 all the,

1:37:28 uh,

1:37:29 mental health,

1:37:29 um,

1:37:30 consequences of,

1:37:31 uh,

1:37:32 having been displaced and of course facing

1:37:34 Uh,

1:37:35 lack of rights,

1:37:35 uh,

1:37:36 such as the right to,

1:37:37 uh,

1:37:38 that was mentioned a lot,

1:37:38 the right to work,

1:37:39 the right,

1:37:39 uh,

1:37:39 the right to move.

1:37:41 Uh,

1:37:41 so a lot of,

1:37:42 um,

1:37:42 um,

1:37:43 very many different aspects that are specific to the displacement experience.

1:37:46 On the return,

1:37:47 uh,

1:37:48 specifically,

1:37:49 I think,

1:37:49 uh,

1:37:50 this is another area actually where that deserves,

1:37:52 uh,

1:37:53 further,

1:37:53 uh,

1:37:53 further research hasn't been,

1:37:55 uh,

1:37:55 as,

1:37:55 uh,

1:37:56 as prominent.

1:37:57 Um,

1:37:57 however,

1:37:58 um,

1:38:00 I can think back,

1:38:01 back about one of the impact evaluations that I actually,

1:38:03 uh,

1:38:03 was presenting

1:38:04 and I looked at,

1:38:05 uh,

1:38:06 how,

1:38:06 uh,

1:38:06 different receiving a different amount of cash,

1:38:09 a bigger amount

1:38:10 allowed returnees to retrieve their documentation

1:38:14 and also to rebuild back their assets and so,

1:38:16 um,

1:38:17 uh,

1:38:17 people that had received a um bigger amount.

1:38:20 Um,

1:38:20 in the,

1:38:21 in terms of cash,

1:38:22 uh,

1:38:22 cash assistance upon return,

1:38:24 we're able to,

1:38:26 uh,

1:38:26 have,

1:38:26 um,

1:38:27 more property and,

1:38:28 um,

1:38:28 especially

1:38:29 a house.

1:38:30 Um

1:38:31 So,

1:38:32 um,

1:38:32 yeah,

1:38:32 I'll,

1:38:33 I'll stop there for the sake of time.

1:38:35 Thanks a lot.

1:38:36 Uh,

1:38:36 we are almost back on track,

1:38:38 so I will

1:38:39 just sneak in one last question,

1:38:41 uh,

1:38:41 and I think it will be more for the,

1:38:43 uh,

1:38:43 for the program,

1:38:44 uh,

1:38:45 uh,

1:38:45 uh,

1:38:46 stuff to,

1:38:46 to,

1:38:47 to address that because it's,

1:38:48 uh,

1:38:48 it's been asked by,

1:38:49 uh,

1:38:50 Ms.relia Larome,

1:38:52 um.

1:38:53 Complimenting the presentations and then saying how much of the

1:38:57 uh research the BOFP uh

1:38:59 uh research

1:39:01 works um have uh been applied to,

1:39:03 have applied a child lens.

1:39:05 Uh,

1:39:06 so how can we better address the particular socioeconomic needs

1:39:09 uh of possibly displaced children.

1:39:11 Uh,

1:39:12 as against general population and how can we strengthen our data and evidence,

1:39:16 uh,

1:39:16 for this highly,

1:39:17 uh,

1:39:18 vulnerable population groups.

1:39:20 Just thought I would,

1:39:21 uh,

1:39:21 would be good to bring this,

1:39:22 uh,

1:39:23 this perspective that

1:39:24 I don't think

1:39:25 was,

1:39:25 uh,

1:39:25 was in the meeting so far,

1:39:27 um.

1:39:28 Clo is yours.

1:39:29 What does this last,

1:39:30 uh,

1:39:31 last question,

1:39:31 if you can elaborate quickly on that

1:39:34 or point people in the right direction.

1:39:36 Uh,

1:39:37 yeah,

1:39:37 that's a good question,

1:39:39 and,

1:39:39 um,

1:39:40 I don't think it would be honest to say that

1:39:42 we have a line of research that specifically looked at,

1:39:45 uh,

1:39:46 uh,

1:39:47 children's needs

1:39:48 and,

1:39:49 and mothers of children's needs.

1:39:52 Um,

1:39:53 but what

1:39:54 Certainly came out from the research program is the fact

1:39:57 that when you're looking at the uh household poverty,

1:40:00 you're looking at household inequality

1:40:03 and you're trying to,

1:40:04 uh,

1:40:04 assess,

1:40:05 uh,

1:40:06 the,

1:40:06 um,

1:40:07 uh,

1:40:08 situation with well-being,

1:40:10 uh,

1:40:10 the inequality and the poverty we measure at the household level is

1:40:14 not the same as if we would measure at the children's level,

1:40:18 right.

1:40:20 So,

1:40:20 uh,

1:40:20 and that is for a simple reason.

1:40:22 It's that we measure well-being as,

1:40:24 uh,

1:40:25 household consumption per capita,

1:40:27 which,

1:40:28 uh,

1:40:28 essentially gives the same value to every member of the households.

1:40:32 So if we want to start really measuring the well-being of children,

1:40:36 we need to apply different lens,

1:40:38 which is that,

1:40:39 uh,

1:40:39 children are different in age,

1:40:41 they're different gender,

1:40:42 they have different needs,

1:40:44 uh,

1:40:44 and,

1:40:45 uh,

1:40:45 and therefore we need to adapt our measures and our measurement tools,

1:40:50 uh,

1:40:50 to be able to measure these differences.

1:40:53 So I don't think we are even at the beginning of that process,

1:40:56 but it's something that we need to do,

1:40:58 uh,

1:40:58 to,

1:40:59 uh,

1:40:59 begin that process.

1:41:02 Yeah,

1:41:02 good,

1:41:02 I'll just say one thing is that UNHCR,

1:41:04 you know,

1:41:05 we,

1:41:05 this is obviously a critical importance for us and,

1:41:08 you know,

1:41:08 in our work,

1:41:09 and in fact we have a new piece of work out with

1:41:11 Rice University and the University of Geneva where we do relax,

1:41:15 uh,

1:41:16 the assumption that,

1:41:17 uh,

1:41:17 households share equally among that person.

1:41:19 We find that,

1:41:20 uh,

1:41:21 with

1:41:22 Uh,

1:41:22 data,

1:41:22 poverty data in Uganda,

1:41:24 and any of the children,

1:41:25 the refugee children are the poorest members of the household,

1:41:28 uh,

1:41:28 and disproportionately so,

1:41:30 and that in fact actually also

1:41:32 less

1:41:33 so,

1:41:34 but still more proportionate disproportionately are also hosting.

1:41:37 So I think what that says is not that

1:41:39 children,

1:41:40 um,

1:41:41 The takeaway is that these are very poor communities and

1:41:44 that you know the most vulnerable within poor communities are children

1:41:47 so I think more work definitely needs to be focused

1:41:49 there but I'll put that link into the chat for excellent

1:41:53 excellent.

1:41:53 Thank you.

1:41:54 Thank you for that.

1:41:55 Um,

1:41:56 so now,

1:41:56 uh,

1:41:56 I'm sorry we,

1:41:57 we have a lot of,

1:41:57 uh,

1:41:58 very good questions on the,

1:41:59 on the chat,

1:41:59 but,

1:42:00 uh,

1:42:00 we'll have to move,

1:42:01 uh,

1:42:01 uh,

1:42:01 to the closing remarks.

1:42:03 Uh,

1:42:03 thanks a lot for the,

1:42:04 the active participation.

1:42:06 I think it was a very interesting and enlightening,

1:42:08 uh,

1:42:09 conversation.

1:42:10 Um,

1:42:10 and now,

1:42:11 uh,

1:42:11 I will turn to,

1:42:12 uh,

1:42:12 uh,

1:42:13 Mr.

1:42:13 uh,

1:42:13 Dylan Winder,

1:42:14 uh,

1:42:14 for his closing remarks.

1:42:16 Mr.

1:42:16 Winder is a deputy director and head of,

1:42:18 uh,

1:42:19 the humanitarian

1:42:20 department at the UK,

1:42:22 uh,

1:42:22 Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office.

1:42:25 Uh,

1:42:25 he joins us online,

1:42:27 and,

1:42:28 uh,

1:42:28 Mr.

1:42:28 Winder,

1:42:29 the,

1:42:29 the floor is yours for your,

1:42:30 uh,

1:42:31 your,

1:42:31 uh,

1:42:31 your,

1:42:31 uh,

1:42:31 closing remarks.

1:42:33 Over.

1:42:34 Great,

1:42:34 thank,

1:42:34 thanks very much,

1:42:35 and uh it,

1:42:36 it's great to be here,

1:42:37 uh,

1:42:37 and I,

1:42:37 and

1:42:38 I would like to thank um all the panelists and participants for a

1:42:41 really great and interesting discussion which touches on a lot of the,

1:42:44 the issues that also we're talking about within FCDO back in the UK

1:42:48 uh,

1:42:48 and I,

1:42:49 so I won't attempt to summarize any of the sort of key things from the,

1:42:52 the,

1:42:52 the,

1:42:52 the range of,

1:42:53 uh,

1:42:54 discussions,

1:42:54 but I thought the level of interest and,

1:42:55 and the,

1:42:56 the,

1:42:56 the,

1:42:57 the range of questions

1:42:58 really does show us how important the issues raised are.

1:43:01 Um,

1:43:02 I,

1:43:02 I think

1:43:03 what's key to,

1:43:04 to certainly for FCDO is,

1:43:05 is that this linkage that you really brought out between research,

1:43:08 policy and operations.

1:43:09 And we have heard some great examples today on what,

1:43:11 where that work has worked,

1:43:13 but I do think,

1:43:14 you know,

1:43:14 this is something that we also try to improve all the time,

1:43:16 so we need to really maximize

1:43:18 the impact that,

1:43:19 that research has on,

1:43:20 on our programs,

1:43:21 and maybe I should just say something very briefly.

1:43:23 Um,

1:43:24 so the department I manage covers,

1:43:26 it has the

1:43:27 responsibility for all the core funding to all of our humanitarian agencies.

1:43:31 It has,

1:43:31 uh,

1:43:32 all of the UK government's,

1:43:33 uh,

1:43:33 humanitarian policy and all of our

1:43:35 rapid onset tools,

1:43:36 and we do use,

1:43:37 uh,

1:43:38 data and research quite a lot.

1:43:39 I mean,

1:43:39 some,

1:43:40 some examples have been,

1:43:41 um,

1:43:41 the work we,

1:43:42 we are now promoting on anticipatory action and resilience came out of research,

1:43:46 the work we've.

1:43:47 Uh,

1:43:47 championed in the past around cash

1:43:49 has come out of research,

1:43:50 uh,

1:43:51 and,

1:43:51 and also we're,

1:43:52 we're great,

1:43:53 uh,

1:43:53 supportive of,

1:43:54 of things like the,

1:43:54 the data center that has,

1:43:56 has been mentioned.

1:43:57 We're working very closely with Otter and others on the JAF,

1:44:00 and we use a lot of that data in our own decision making.

1:44:02 So where do we,

1:44:03 where do we spend money in humanitarian response

1:44:05 globally.

1:44:06 Of course that's accompanied by M&E and,

1:44:08 and we have various mechanisms for that.

1:44:10 Uh,

1:44:11 but I should go back to the program.

1:44:12 So we,

1:44:12 we're,

1:44:13 we're really delighted to have,

1:44:14 have,

1:44:14 uh,

1:44:15 supported the,

1:44:15 uh,

1:44:16 building the evidence on pro

1:44:17 protracted forced displacement program.

1:44:20 Um,

1:44:21 we do think this is a really significant,

1:44:22 uh,

1:44:23 program,

1:44:23 and,

1:44:23 and it's both increased the overall body of research on forced displacement,

1:44:28 as well as,

1:44:29 uh,

1:44:29 how the programs used this research to support

1:44:31 better outcomes for people affected by displacement.

1:44:34 The other thing that we,

1:44:35 we,

1:44:35 I wanted to flag was really the deep collaboration between UNHCR,

1:44:38 World Bank and FCDO

1:44:40 on the research and how this has led both

1:44:42 to high quality research and very strong policy impact,

1:44:46 uh,

1:44:46 with the results of the research clearly disseminated and used by country teams,

1:44:49 and hopefully this will continue beyond the lifetime of the program.

1:44:53 Um,

1:44:54 a lot of the examples,

1:44:55 uh,

1:44:56 of impact were very interesting to us,

1:44:58 including those around education,

1:45:00 the emerging cash transfers,

1:45:01 health systems for forced displaced people.

1:45:03 And uh supporting effective program design uh

1:45:06 by testing some of the interventions and,

1:45:08 and looking at how that can be taken to scale.

1:45:11 Um,

1:45:12 overall,

1:45:13 I think we felt that the importance of,

1:45:15 um,

1:45:16 the understanding that this research has brought to the experiences of

1:45:20 forced displaced people or forcedly displaced people,

1:45:22 but,

1:45:23 but also how services,

1:45:24 uh,

1:45:24 when they're weak or not present,

1:45:26 are unable to serve all communities and,

1:45:27 and again I think we heard today from the,

1:45:29 the work in Chad

1:45:30 and also in Venezuela,

1:45:32 uh,

1:45:32 just to sort of.

1:45:33 To highlight some of the kind of practicalities of,

1:45:35 of where that research has really made a difference.

1:45:39 Um.

1:45:41 I think also,

1:45:42 you know,

1:45:42 it's really important that

1:45:44 um the,

1:45:45 the,

1:45:45 the finding from the research

1:45:47 that highlighted particularly the difficult environment

1:45:50 uh for people unable to access their right to freedom of movement

1:45:53 and also the importance of refugees being able to choose where they live,

1:45:56 work,

1:45:56 and,

1:45:57 and access services was,

1:45:59 was really critical.

1:46:00 And I was also

1:46:01 struck by a 0.1 of the panelists made about the different,

1:46:03 the difficulties in

1:46:05 accessing some areas.

1:46:07 So,

1:46:07 so,

1:46:08 you know,

1:46:08 how,

1:46:08 how do we.

1:46:09 How do we really understand

1:46:11 what the kind of challenges are for those areas where,

1:46:14 which are difficult for,

1:46:14 for researchers to access,

1:46:16 but also for,

1:46:16 for humanitarian operations.

1:46:18 So just,

1:46:19 just in conclusion from my side,

1:46:20 cos I realize we're running out of time,

1:46:25 um,

1:46:25 for us this event better outcomes for people affected by forced displacement

1:46:27 and has provided lessons for future researchers and,

1:46:29 and within SADO and,

1:46:31 and broader.

1:46:32 And I do hope that this discussion and collaboration can continue,

1:46:37 and I wonder whether there's opportunities to highlight some of

1:46:39 the work at the Global Refugee Forum later this year,

1:46:42 uh,

1:46:43 so we can sort of really demonstrate the importance of

1:46:47 a focus on

1:46:49 research

1:46:50 that is as an.

1:46:52 Uh the panelists mentioned is timely

1:46:56 and is able to influence,

1:46:57 uh,

1:46:57 some of,

1:46:58 some of the operational um work.

1:47:00 So thanks very much again for having us.

1:47:02 It's great to see uh a really successful outcome.

1:47:05 Uh,

1:47:05 back to you.

1:47:07 Thank you,

1:47:07 thank you,

1:47:08 and thank you for,

1:47:08 for

1:47:09 mentioning the,

1:47:09 the GRF at the end of the year.

1:47:11 That's probably

1:47:12 an actual uh uh space also that has a,

1:47:16 you know,

1:47:16 research component with the,

1:47:18 the game

1:47:19 and the measuring the impact of uh hosting uh uh and

1:47:22 protecting uh uh refugees if I remember well.

1:47:25 Um,

1:47:26 but,

1:47:26 uh,

1:47:27 that,

1:47:27 that will

1:47:28 be discussed,

1:47:29 I suppose,

1:47:29 in the,

1:47:29 in the months to come.

1:47:31 Uh,

1:47:31 on my side,

1:47:32 thanks again,

1:47:33 uh,

1:47:33 to all the participants,

1:47:34 Mr.

1:47:34 Winder,

1:47:35 for your,

1:47:35 uh,

1:47:36 concluding remarks.

1:47:37 Uh,

1:47:37 very interesting.

1:47:38 Uh,

1:47:39 to the participants and,

1:47:40 uh,

1:47:41 one thing I need to

1:47:42 tell you,

1:47:43 uh,

1:47:43 before I let you go is that,

1:47:44 uh,

1:47:45 uh,

1:47:45 there is,

1:47:46 it's not

1:47:47 the end of the program yet.

1:47:48 There is a training,

1:47:49 uh,

1:47:49 for practitioners and policymakers,

1:47:52 uh,

1:47:52 that is being developed jointly with the,

1:47:54 uh,

1:47:54 the Joint Data Center,

1:47:55 uh,

1:47:56 based on the findings of the program and,

1:47:58 uh,

1:47:58 it will be launched in the fall,

1:47:59 uh,

1:48:00 when the program's activity,

1:48:02 uh,

1:48:02 uh,

1:48:03 close.

1:48:04 Um,

1:48:04 so,

1:48:04 uh,

1:48:05 uh,

1:48:05 stay tuned and,

1:48:06 uh,

1:48:07 probably you will have,

1:48:08 uh,

1:48:08 an interest in this,

1:48:09 uh,

1:48:09 in this training program,

1:48:10 uh,

1:48:11 and maybe as a way to stay informed on that and encourage you all to,

1:48:15 uh,

1:48:16 um,

1:48:16 sign up on the program's website.

1:48:18 Uh,

1:48:18 I think that,

1:48:19 well,

1:48:19 you have on the,

1:48:20 on the slide,

1:48:21 the,

1:48:21 um,

1:48:22 the,

1:48:22 uh,

1:48:23 the URLs,

1:48:24 the website address,

1:48:25 where you can subscribe and get updates and

1:48:28 keep yourself informed with the,

1:48:29 with this,

1:48:30 uh,

1:48:30 this program.

1:48:31 Um,

1:48:32 thank you all.

1:48:33 Thanks to the,

1:48:33 the,

1:48:34 the panelists,

1:48:35 all the participants and contributions,

1:48:37 and have a good rest of your day,

1:48:38 uh,

1:48:39 wherever you are.

1:48:41 Bye thank you.

1:48:43 Yeah

showAllTimestamps
no
transcript
Hello everyone. Greetings and uh welcome to this uh this event. Uh welcome to this World Refugee Day 3 event on forced displacement and the role of research in the 21st century which you may have seen is uh being recorded. Uh, this event is organized by UNHCR, the World Bank, uh, and UK Aid to reflect on the experience of the UK funded program building the evidence on forced displacement. My name is Jeoli. I am the senior advisor on force displacement at the EU UNOP's uh Lives in Dignity Grant Facility, and I will be the moderator for, uh, this event today. We have a, a full program, um, and, uh, I, I would say, uh, uh, with a list of, uh, distinguished and very interesting topics, distinguished speakers and very interesting topics to, to, uh, to discuss and, uh, and hopefully, uh, a bit of time for interaction, uh, uh, with the audience as well. In a minute, I will give the floor to our first speakers for the opening remarks. Um, uh, and, uh, then we'll go to listen to 4 presentations highlighting the work that has been done by this research program. We will then have a discussion, uh, and, and of course at the end of the closing session. Um, uh, and all of that will aim, uh, to assess the progress made in force displacement research, uh, especially over the past decade, um, identify, uh, obstacles in the effective use of research and reflect more broadly on the role of research in humanitarian context, uh, today and, uh, and in, in the future. Before we fully start the, the usual, uh, uh, housekeeping rules, especially for, for, uh, uh, our colleagues online. Um, so for those online, please make sure that you mute, uh, your microphone when you're not speaking. Turn on your camera if you can, uh, especially when you speak, and it depends maybe a bit on your bandwidth. Um, if you can use a headset that improves the, uh, the sound quality, then for those in the room, since we have a, a few, uh, speakers in the room and also during the, the Q&A, the exchanges, uh, the only requirement is try to make sure that you speak loud enough for everyone to, uh, be able to hear you, especially our colleagues online and not too far from the microphones in the room. And then for everyone, uh, me included, we'll try to keep to the allocated time. Uh, I will try to be, uh, diplomatic about that, but also, uh, make sure that, uh, that we keep on track and we don't run into too many delays. Um, no, now that, uh, all those details are, I hope, clear, um, I am delighted to, uh, turn to our first speaker, which, uh, is, uh, um, Miss, uh, Ms. uh Sukena Khan, uh, director of the Fragility, Conflict and Violence Group at the World Bank, uh, who is joining us online. And, uh, we're very happy to, uh, to have you, I can, as the first speaker of today. Uh, the floor is yours and you have about 5 minutes for your opening remarks. Thank you. Thank you so very much. Can you see me and hear me very well? We do. Thank you. All right, thank you. Thank you, and warm, uh, welcome to all of you from Washington DC. I'm delighted to be here and to, uh, uh, be part of this seminar on forced displacement and the role of research in the 21st century. But before I turn to the topic, uh, just I would like to take a couple of minutes to reflect on the broader context. In 2022, as you know, the world has surpassed the sad record of 100 million forcibly displaced persons. This is the highest number ever recorded. And this trend reflects not only intensification of conflict and violence, but also it's a reflection of the fact that we have not been successful in breaking decades-long displacement situation, leaving millions living in exile for generations. Now, recognizing that most refugee situations become protracted, the World Bank, um, we do take a development approach and emphasize the importance of addressing the socio-economic needs and aspirations of refugees and their host communities. And of course, data is an integral part of our strategy, our policy, our dialogue, our advocacy on forced displacement. Under our financing mechanism uh called IDA, in particular under IDA 20. From mid 2022 to year 2025 $2.4 billion have been allocated to promote medium to long-term development opportunities for refugees and the host communities. We are now, uh, as we speak, uh, in, uh, in the process of conducting a midterm review of the fragility, conflict and violence strategy of the World Bank. And in this exercise, we have great input from many partners including agencies represented today. And many of you during the consultation of the strategy have reinforced the importance of data to support evidence-based intervention. So, and as some of you already know, our 2022 World Development Report provides a pathway to Uh, uh, continued engagement on the issue of forced displacement. In my view, it's really a valuable guide on inclusive policies, financial instruments, and more regional approaches to address cross-border dimension of forced displacement. So we are really grateful to all of you for your contribution to the report and for your strategic insights. Now, turning to research on forced displacement, one thing that we could say that it has made huge progress in the past 10 years. A key element of this development has been the partnership established between the World Bank and the UNHCR first formalized in 2016 with the creation of the UK funded Building the Evidence of forced displacement. Research program in Washington DC and more recently with the creation of the multi-dor funded Joint Data Center, the so-called JDC based in Copenhagen. So thanks to this research, we are in a much better position than 10 years ago to understand forced displacement crises and design better programs and policies. For example, we know that displacement crises have on average and in the long run positive economic outcomes for host communities. We learned, we have learned that the effects hide a more complex picture with adverse effects being short term, localized and constrained to vulnerable groups. We've learned that programs that target these vulnerable groups are effective in mitigating or even at some time reversing the negative effects. We learned that policies that foster freedom to movement and freedom of work do reduce the range and duration of the negative effects for the displaced population and their hosts. So this was just a quick snapshot in a few minutes allocated uh uh for this intervention, uh, you will hear certainly more from the building, the evidence on forced displacement research program on this experience, on its findings, the lessons in designing, financing, and disseminating research on forced displacement. We will then hopefully use this experience to discuss more broadly what is the role of the research of cooperation with a very distinguished set of panelists that joined us from uh WFP, ICRC, Johns Hopkins University, the World Bank, and UNHCR. So please join me in welcoming all speakers and panelists, and let me hand over to our moderator, Jerome, Eli, who will guide us during the next one hour and a half. Thank you. Over to you, Jerome. Excellent. Thanks a lot and thanks a lot for even being shorter than uh, than us. Um, we can now turn to our second speaker for the, for the opening uh uh session, Ms. Betsy Lippmann, Deputy Director for the division of Resilience and Solutions at UNHCR and who is in the room, uh, with us. Uh, for your opening remarks, uh, you have about 3 minutes, and, uh, the few is is yours. Thank you. Great, thank you. So with many, many thanks to FCDO Sukena, Paulo, and Paula and other World Bank colleagues, this was the first World Bank UNHCR multi-year research partnership and has really paved the way for a deeper collaboration across our two institutions around evidence generation to inform programming and policy. Moreover, over the past few years, UNHCR has invested significantly in improving our data collection, approaches and uses, including through the new UNHCR Global Data Services, data transformation strategy, and the work of the World Bank UNHCR Joint Data Center. The value of this collaboration with the World Bank and FCDO on socioeconomic data and research is at the heart of building our partnership with development actors, actors whom you know are data-driven in their allocation of financing. The FCDOHCR World Bank Trust fund has helped UNHCR improve its data, research capacity, and analytical culture. The 5 global questions reports of the reports frame the current current evidence on key topics in meta literature reviews on social cohesion, gender, health, education, and jobs. And this was decided in, in, uh, collaboration when we first started on what were some of the key topics that we wanted to invest in. It provided critical sectoral and thematic insights to delivering thoughtful programming and informed more coordinated policy approaches by diverse stakeholders, including bilateral, multilateral development actors, government, and humanitarian actors. Working with the World Bank through the building of evidence of forced displacement trust fund, we pioneered the use of UNHCR system to capture individual refugee data, what we call progress, expanding its use well beyond the individual case management. Thanks to investments from this trust fund, we have collaborated with the World Bank on expanding our investments to using innovative approaches to model poverty, for example. This is an important area of work as poverty data for low and middle income countries is often outdated, let alone for refugees living in these countries where we have even less data. Using innovative approaches to enhance data on forcibly displaced is essential for UNHCR. The Building Evidence Enforced Displacement Trust Fund was a valuable learning experience for us at UNHCR. It has produced more than 100 studies across 36 countries and has been a major force in improving the evidence base. The digestion of this work is only beginning from the humanitarian community, and we are keen to ensure that the data and evidence informs program, policy, and advocacy. Our efforts of, of UNHCR and our partners, including host and return governments. So, we look forward to uh, a great, a great discussion today and thank you all very much for participating. Thank you. Thanks a lot, uh, Betsy, and, uh, uh, I think, uh, two very interesting and uh first presentation setting the scene really, uh, for the, for the, uh, the event to come. Um, we will now turn to the four presentations, uh, which are, um, uh, aiming at sharing uh the key outcomes, the findings, and, uh, also a few selected examples, I understand from the program building the evidence, uh, on for displacement. Uh, each of the four speakers will have about 7 minutes for a focused, uh, presentation on the, on the, the, the topics that I just mentioned, and we will start with, uh, Mr. Paolo Verme, Program Manager at the World Bank here in the room with us, to my right. Uh, we will talk, uh, we will talk about the, um, key findings of the programs. We'll, we'll start with the key findings. Uh, Mr. Verme, the, the floor is yours. I think there is a PowerPoint presentation ongoing. 15. OK. Thank you, uh, very much. Thanks to Sukena for the nice introduction to Betsy for the introduction and also being with us throughout the 17 years of this program. Uh, and, uh, thanks to the UNHC for hosting us today. What I'm going to do in the next 15 minutes is to give you a presentation on the program. So I will give you some background, why we decided to do this program at the time. Uh, I will give you a program's overview looking at the inputs and outputs, what we produce, what we did during these, uh, 7 years. Uh, some of the key findings where we have a certain amount of solid evidence that backed these findings by now. Um, I will say something about the state of research on forced displacement as of today, and then, uh, concludes with, uh, what we think are some of the impacts, uh, on policies and programs, and then my colleague will expand on these issues with, uh, some examples. So, um, what is the background? Well, the background is, uh, 2011 and the Syrian crisis first, uh, the Arab Spring, this is the context where we started at the World Bank to think about refugees. Remember, the World Bank, uh, uh, overarching goal is to reduce poverty. Refugees were not the top of our agenda 10 years ago. Uh, but they quickly became along the Syrian crisis. Uh, and then the 2015, uh, peak of the EU migration crisis where EU governments essentially panicked around the inflow of refugees and other migrants, uh, from different routes, um, and that eventually led To what we call the new result, uh, increase the political commitment from leaders, uh, across the world, particularly in Europe, and also increase financial means. You may remember the amount of money that were granted to Turkey to ensure that Turkey would not open the borders, uh, and let refugees flow, uh, north to the EU. So there was a great new resolve and financial commitment, uh, to back that. But of course, we had an old problem, which is the lack, which was the lack of microdata and quality research on forced displacement. I will show you a graph later on that shows how little there was of quality research back in 2015, 201616 when we started. So, we decided that together with the UNHCR to do a first experiment where in the context of Jordan and Lebanon, you know, a mass inflow of refugees in these two countries. We did not know, never done a poverty assessment of refugees before as the World Bank. So we got together with the World Bank and the UNHCR and say, look, uh, we know about poverty, you know about refugees, why don't we get together and write a, a piece about poverty, uh, among refugees? And of course, the UNHCR had the data at the time, both administrative data and survey data, but were not used for this purpose, uh, in this fashion. And so we did and uh this ended up in a, a book that we published in 2016 that became an immediate hit. We had, you know, more than 34,000 downloads for publication that was considered at the time to be niche publication. And that led after the, the book to uh the realization that we needed something more. We needed, we need a big program on both data and research and we established these partnerships through a, a trust fund called uh the Building Evidence on Forced Displacement entirely funded by the UK. Um, so these are the resources that we had. Um, the UK was very generous initially with $12 million. Later, the program for 4 years. The program was later expanded to 7 years and $16 million. So, uh, substantial amount of money to do, uh, research. We were really free at the beginning to organize the research the way we wanted. And eventually, we organized ourselves in 8 pillars. We decided to, to do global studies for global questions, uh, impact evaluations of specific programs of the UNHCR, World Bank, or government programs, uh, focused studies on compelling questions that could have a faster turnaround. We established a young Fellows program to hire young uh postdoc to do research on forced displacement from low and middle-income countries. We had a microdata initiative, uh, established a data portal for FCV for fragility, conflict and, and violence data, uh, had an update dissemination program, and lately we established a training program. Uh, what did we do with this money and this time? Uh, we produced 6 global, uh, research projects. We financed 6 global research projects, 15 impact evaluations, 12, uh, focused studies. Uh, we hired 24 young fellows out of the initial pool of 5. Over 5000 applicants. These were exceptionally well-educated, uh, uh, young fellows from low and middle-income countries. We established a data portal and a microdata program that eventually was developed into the Jordan Data Center, which, uh, uh, we know of today. Uh, we also had a seminar series, newsletters, policy notes, a web portal, social media, and the training program that I mentioned. All of these produced a total as of today of 134 separate studies covering 36 countries and having 200+ uh involved uh researchers. Uh, this is the distribution of the study, the 134 that we mentioned, uh, by theme and by geographical area. As you can see, we covered the most, uh, uh, in, in, uh, critical areas, uh, and, uh, uh, geographical areas and thematic areas. Uh, a lot of the work that we did was on social cohesion, on gender, uh, health, and jobs. These were the main, uh, topics that were covered, uh, throughout, uh, the studies. Um With some quality indicators, all the studies have been peer-reviewed and published with the exception of 4 studies that did not get clearance for publications. Uh, we have already, uh, 35 publications in refereed journals within one year of production, including top economic journals and also journals like Nature, American Economic Review, Economic, uh, European Economic Review, Journal of the Journal of Economics, and others. Uh, we have two special issues, one in World Development and one in the Journal of the Journal of Studies. Uh, we have hired 24 postdoc young fellows who published their work and were subsequently hired by the World Bank, UNHCR, and other international organizations, a microdata program that became the JDC as I mentioned, and generally positive annual evaluation from the donor and final evaluation from the stakeholders. Um, so what are the key findings if you have heard in anticipation from, uh, Sokena? I'd like to re-highlight some of these findings because you won't be able to hear them from from from politicians or. From, uh, uh, um, you know, governments, displacement crises have on average and in the long run positive economic outcomes. This is the bulk of evidence that we have throughout the 134 studies and beyond. Uh, these average and long-term effects hide the more complex picture. We have, uh, um, losers in this process, and they tend to be in the short term, localized to certain geographical areas and concentrated among vulnerable groups, particularly low-skilled people, people working in the informal sector, uh, females and youth, so the usual suspects. There is nothing inevitable among the negative externality of forced displacement crisis. It is how government and international actors respond to these challenges that matters. So we've seen as a sort of natural controlled experiment where some countries applied certain policy, others did not, and it was clear that when governments are proactive, they do the right policies, they manage this crisis and reduce the negative effects of. Uh, largely. Uh, programs that target these vulnerable groups are effective in mitigating or reversing the negative effects, and policies that foster freedom of movement and freedom of work reduce the range and duration of the negative effects. So I'm re-emphasizing some of the points that Sokena had at the beginning because now, as opposed to 10 years ago, we do have the evidence to support these statements. Uh, some sector-specific key findings, we have them in the labor markets, and we know that the impact on, uh, employment and wages, for example, is generally not significant. We know that, uh, uh, in terms of healthcare, the main obstacles are lack of data and financial resources. Uh, we know that, uh, in the space of social protection, Uh, it's a, it's, uh, essential to see how the parallel system of uh support aligns with the social protection service, services of the host countries, um, and, uh, it's essential that social protection contributes to social cohesion, not just within the two communities, host communities and refugees, but also between the two commu communities. We know that there are educational programs that work and also for these, uh, uh, type of beneficiaries. And we know that, uh, um, uh, FDPs are poor and vulnerable by now, we've done these poverty studies in multiple countries, but we also know that there are significant differences along the gender dimension that we need to be aware of. Uh, some important areas for future research, uh, we have identified a few that really have very little research, the macro macroeconomics of forced displacement. Uh, think about that, you know, the impact of forced displacement crisis on, uh, GDP, for example, is something that has been extremely little studied with, you know, very little, and, and yet it's so important for the host country. The impact, of course, is placed on infrastructure and utilities. We know there are negative effects, but mostly these are anecdotal examples, and we don't have the quantitative evidence of what that really means. Uh, we do have some environmental assessment, assessments, the impact, uh, of, uh, forced displacement crisis on the environment, but there's a tendency not to do this, not to create negative perceptions of refugees, but yet they're important to do, and they're connected with climate change and they're connected with, uh, uh, conflict and displacement studies, so they're important in their own right. And poverty and well-being measurement, while we have advanced a lot in that is still a long way to go to have a full picture of, of what is the situation in the course and following the forced displacement crisis. Long-term and secondary impacts is another aspect. Um, so, long story short, we've been part of a process of exceptional growth in research. Uh, this is not just us, this is the number of papers published in economic journals with the words refugees, IDPs, or migrants in keywords and titles. You can see that the curves are essentially flat, uh, before 2015. And then they suddenly spike during the, the last 7 to 8 years. Uh, this is exactly what happened as a result of the Syrian crisis and the following EU migration crisis, uh, but also a result of the fact that now we have a lot more data and microdata in particular to do quality research that we did not have 10 years ago. So 10 years ago, we could not make the statements we made before, now we can. Uh, so, so what? OK, we're, we've been good. We have produced lots of research, we have more data, quality research, but the questions we want to address today is really do governments make better policies because of this research? Are refugees and IDPs better off as a result of these efforts and our programs more effective and cost efficient? Now when you ask these questions, it turns out that it's not that easy to answer these questions and so this is what we're trying to do. Uh, uh, next. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, Paulo, and uh I think now we're going to turn to uh Ms. Paula Eliche uh who will bring 11 element to, uh, to address those questions. Uh, Paola is the, is the impact evaluation Specialist at the World Bank and she will be talking about the, the use of impact evaluations, uh, in, in this program. Thank you. Indeed, uh, thanks, uh, thanks, Jerome. Um, I will be focusing a presentation on impact evaluations and, uh, this was one of the pillars of the, uh, broader research program. And, uh, I will look into, um, Try to present how they've been helpful for uh programming, for policy, um, and uh uh and projects as well. Uh, so, uh, broadly, we have identified four ways, um, in which, uh, uh, we really in relations in our program have been, uh, informing, uh, programming. Uh, they've been helpful, um, to test at small scale before or to inform scaling. Um, they have been helpful to evaluate already a scale projects, uh, and they've been helpful as well to test low-cost complementary interventions, and finally, also to provide evidence, uh, that can support, uh, and be used in advocacy efforts. So going into each of these four ways that we've been, uh, um, having benefiting from, uh, impact evaluations. And, uh, so we have two examples, uh, one from Afghanistan and one, from Jordan, uh, of impact abulations that were used to test a small scale, uh, and informed scaling. In Afghanistan, uh, uh, government, uh, graduation program was, uh, tested in, in one province, um, um, with a sample of 1200 households. And uh the results were, um, significant and large impacts were found across outcomes including a 30 30% points uh improvement in consumption in the treatment group compared to a control group and um reduction in poverty by 20% points again in the treatment compared to a control group. These results were very timely and they informed the IDA replenishment uh process uh in the World Bank as well as at the country level, they informed, um, the scale-up of the project to other provinces. Similarly, in Jordan, um, the, the Ministry of Education tested a social-emotional learning intervention. And again, this, um, this evaluation as well delivered, uh, uh, positive effects, um, uh, of this intervention and these findings are informing ongoing discussions now about possibly scaling up, um, the program at the national level, um, including it in the national curriculum. Um, another example is that the evaluation of, um, of a project that was already being implemented but that, uh, was subject to a sudden change and this was the, um, cash reintegration assistance provided by the UNHCR to returnees, African returnees returning from Pakistan. Um, because of budget, uh, changes, um, the amount given was reduced, uh, from $350 USD per person in the household to 150. Um, this sudden policy change was used to evaluate vigorously and look at, uh, households that received an amount, uh, versus households that received a different amount. And, um, it was found that the larger amount of houses that received a larger amount were more likely to invest in the. assets including a house and also significantly more likely to have uh legal documentation and all these relied entirely, almost entirely on using administrative data from the UNHCR and these are the registration and the return uh monitoring data. Um, so really, uh, kind of like looking at an intervention that's being implemented and how, uh, changing it could, uh, affect, uh, um, outcomes and As I mentioned, another, uh, another value we've seen from impact relations is in testing low-cost, uh, complementary interventions. So in Uganda, in the context of a business, uh, support project and, uh, uh, to rural, uh, to urban, uh, excuse me, businesses, uh, in the capital, a messaging, uh, was tested, um, uh, that looked, that explained to Um, business owners, um, Uganda's, uh, favorable, uh, policy towards, uh, displaced people, and, um, um, and it was found that this was effective in building social cohesion. Business owners were more likely to, um, be favorable to accepting more refugees in the country to extending the right to work to, uh, to more refugees in the country. And, uh, in Kenya instead, um, an information, uh, provision intervention was tested in the context of a bigger Um, community-driven development project, uh, that looked at, uh, can we improve participation of women in this, um, in the decision making processes of these projects and, uh, this evaluation found, uh, no impact, uh, so looking at, uh, the control and the intervention group there was no difference in women's participation and so it was decided not to, um, yeah, not to, uh, scale and not to, uh, move forward with it. Um, in Ethiopia, similarly, uh, um, an intervention was tested, um, coming from the psychology field on positive mental imagery, um, again, low cost. Can it be, um, uh, tagged along to, uh, the broader work permits roll out in the country and can it have positive, uh, can it improve outcomes, labor market outcomes for, for refugees? Um, the results were promising and, uh, discussions are ongoing on how to be possibly scaling it. Um, uh, thanks. And so this is my last, uh, um, Um, kind of like way, uh, we've, uh, foundations useful. Um, this was a study done in, uh, in Bangladesh. Uh, uh, it's, it's the first time we have a causal estimate of the psychosocial value of employment. It was, uh, um, implemented through an experiment with 3 arms of control at cash, and employment. The findings are that employment improves psychosocial well. Be substantially more than cash alone, mental health 4 times more than cash alone, and among the um people that engaged in uh uh work activities, 66% were willing to continue working an additional week free of charge. So meaning people realize uh the added value of um of working, um, beyond the cash they receive, the payment they received. I concluding, um. In the next slide. And, similarly to what Paulo has been describing, um, more broadly for the research that has been uh augmenting in size, we, we observed the same, uh, with impact evaluation at baseline. So when we started this program, there were evaluations being done of humanitarian programs and the project evaluations, but, uh, um, not as much, uh, in terms of impact evaluation. So in terms of, uh, rigorous, um, evaluations. And where we are now. Uh, is, uh, we see there's a growing body of evidence, uh, thanks to numerous initiatives beyond our joint program, of course. And we have evidence on graduation programs from at least 5 countries, um, so findings are, are always, uh, kind of like Um, yeah, um, confirming each other in one another in different contexts, uh, so that, that is great to see, uh, investments, uh, there are imputation investments being made in, uh, specific sectors and themes such as early Childhood development, livelihoods, and gender and um the general improvement in the data ecosystem, um, and the hiring of dedicated staff as well in humanitarian organizations we expect will boost further um the impact evaluation capacity and also make it, uh, uh, more, more demand driven. So, um, I will end there. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, thanks a lot for that. Very, uh, insightful, uh, uh, presentation giving a lot of, of details, uh, and, uh, I'm sure it's going to be the same with our next speaker to my right, um, is, uh, Teresa Beltramo, senior economist at UNHCR, uh, who will talk about our own experience, uh, conducting research, uh, in this program. Lisa, sure, thanks. I'd, I'd like to just, um, cite two examples, uh, just building on the work already discussed, so. That, you know, where we've seen the impact of evidence on the ground and how it's impacted, uh, forcibly displaced, uh, their lives. So one example I'd like to give is, uh, is in Bangladesh. So, um, the 900,000+ people who live in the Cox Bazaar refugee camps, uh, in, in Bangladesh, uh, you know, uh, they, they depend heavily on assistance from UNHCR, uh, and other humanitarian actors, um. And in fact, the only way that they can earn income is through uh this, what's called the volunteer indoor cash for work program that is managed by humanitarian and, and the government. Uh, uh, so, you know, some, um, 90% of refugee families actually benefit from this program, as it's the only income generation program in addition to assistance. So, um, You know, uh, and then, uh, in 2021, the government expressed concern about the, the cash earned through the volunteer programs, uh, and we're considering, uh, you know, a potential suspension of this program. So, you know, following these concerns, UNHCR and Yale University led a, a survey that collected information on the economic lives, uh, uh, the cash for work and refugee volunteers, uh, and we quantified the impact, um, Of these programs on household welfare. Um, and the study published in 2022, uh, shows that 88% of refugees spent, uh, their incomes on basic family needs, and, you know, uh, that went unmet despite the humanitarian assistance. So that this program was a critical, uh, element of completing the minimum expenditure basket for, uh, refugees in Bangladesh. Um. And uh this study was, you know, widely shared with the government, uh, and, uh, you know, the, the case was made that this program needs to be sustained, uh, and, in fact, the program was sustained, and in fact, the wages were actually revised upwards. Uh, so this is a successful example of how refugees are benefiting from evidence, uh, you know, we've, we've generated it collectively, uh. Together. So, let me also focus, uh, a little bit more on the, the work we've done on poverty, and kind of underline a little bit more, um, You know, how the, the building, uh, the evidence on forced displacement trust fund has contributed, I think, um, You know, uh, this, this work we've done, uh, together between UNHCR and the World Bank has, um, really pioneered the use of UNHCR registration data, as, as Betsy has, has, has mentioned up front, which, uh, UNHR, uh, in many countries collects, uh, uh, uh, administrative data, uh, for, uh, primarily case management activities. This was the origin of, of this data. So, uh, this can be anything from refugee status determination to, uh, Uh, you know, um, uh, resettlement, this can be, you know, identifying vulnerabilities, but, um, We kind of recognize thanks uh to our partnership, uh, with the banking collaboration, the value of this uh data in doing other things. And so, uh, through the trust fund, you know, we've, uh, we've been able to invest on using some innovative approaches to, uh, assessing, uh, shining a light on, uh, key comparable socioeconomic data and, and particularly in this case on poverty. Um. So, to do that, um, you know, uh, it's really critical for us to, to be able to measure poverty, uh, for, for forcibly displaced and stateless, as, uh, this is, uh, you know, essential to be able to track the, uh, sustainable Development Goal one, and the outcomes, uh, and to leave no one behind. Uh, and then particularly measuring poverty can be especially important in, in countries, developing countries and other settings where, um, governments need to determine who the most vulnerable is, um, and to effectively target development programs. So, um, And you know, UNH by UNHR's latest estimates, uh, uh, some 90% of forcibly displaced live in low and middle income countries. And at the same time, you know, not only is it, I mean, there's still a tremendous dearth of, of data on, uh, refugee or forced to be displaced in stateless poverty, though we have been investing through, uh, the, the, the Joint Data Center, this is uh definitely a core investment, uh, but still, um, You know, not only is there, there very limited data on poverty, but there's very limited data even uh in, in low in in uh low income countries that host refugees. So, some, uh, an estimate of some 500 million people. Uh, reside in, uh, fragility, conflict, and violence, uh, settings that, um, which includes the majority of displaced people, uh, that do not have poverty data or, or have outdated poverty data. So this is a, a real issue. So being able to think creatively about generating this data is, is really important for, um, both humanitarian development and, and all actors, government in the response. Um, so two critical evidence pieces have been generated from the FCDO funded, uh, trust fund. So in CHAD, Uh, at the time we were writing the paper, uh, UNHCR and the World Bank generated the first estimates, uh, for poverty, uh, among refugees in Chad, um. And to do that, we combined, again, administrative data from UNHR and survey data, and we estimate that some 90% of the refugees living in Chad are below the national poverty line, which is, uh, in comparison to the latest estimate of 42% of nationals. Uh, and in Jordan, work funded by the Trust fund, um, Shows that imputation, uh, because they had, uh, the, the colleagues at the bank who who led this work were able to to, to compare with actual poverty estimates, so they were able to use this new imputation approach, this innovative approach to be able to, uh, to do more with less, uh, data essentially and try to, uh, generate the statistics, uh, on poverty, and they're able to show that, um, the, um. Non-predicted consumption-based poverty rates, uh, were, were robust to validation tests so that this method is, is, is working. And so this is really engenders a lot of, um, positive movement for the future. And in fact, uh, this critical investment, uh, there's already ongoing work that we're following up on and, uh, we're, we're doing work now in estimating poverty among refugees in Colombia. Uh, also in Bangladesh, and then in IDPs in Ukraine. So I think this new innovative method is, uh, you know, very much, uh, something we will continue to pursue, pursue, and is part of our efforts at UNHCR to do more with less data and, um, to, to be able to be creative. Um. We stop there and I, yeah, turn back to you. OK, thanks. Thanks a lot, uh, uh, also for this, uh, this very interesting presentation. Uh, we're going to now, uh, move to the last, uh, presentation, uh, uh, for this section, uh, going back to, uh, to the online, uh, speakers with, uh, Mr. Oscar Sanchez Pinheiro, uh, deputy UNHCR representative in Brazil. be talking online. I'm not seeing you yet, but I, I hope we'll see you when you start talking and you will be, uh, talking about the experience, of course, of the Braz Brazil, uh, UNHCR office with the program. Uh, Mr. Sanchez Pinero, the floor is yours. Thank you, thank you so much. How do you hear me? Can you speak closer to the microphone? We don't hear you. Better is that any better? Thank you. Yeah, great, great. So thank you so much. Um, apologies, uh, David, who's the rep who couldn't be here, uh, today. Uh, you get, uh, slightly better looking version, uh, but probably not as smart, but please, please don't tell him that because he's still my supervisor. So, um. So, thank you so much, uh, you know, for the opportunity to present, uh, our work. Uh, we have, um, uh, Nicolas online as well, who's the lead economist that's helping us with much of this work, uh, from UNHTR perspective, and this is part of the kind of, uh, building of capacity within UHTR to, uh, provide better data and tackle problems. Uh, thank you, uh, Paulo, for, for the presentation and also, uh, Teresa and, and Betsy for all the support. Uh, that you have provided throughout and of course, UK Aid, uh, for, for the wonderful, uh, contribution for us to be able to get better data. Just out of context before I go into the, the work that we have done, uh, we have over 500,000, uh, refugees and, uh, people in need of international protection in Brazil. Out of those we have already 100,000 refugees that have been recognized as such by the Brazilian government, so it is a country that has welcomed um uh both from Venezuela but uh people as far as Afghanistan that are now uh arriving, um, quite rapidly to, to Brazil, uh, Ukrainians, and also, um, uh, refugees from the Middle East, so it is a very diverse group. And it is a big country with a lot of um lack of data. So, I think, uh, our colleagues in OA have coined uh the term that coordination saves lives. I think, uh, for us, data, uh, creates solutions and the studies that we have been able to manage to conduct, uh, through the, this wonderful support and collaboration are critical for us to engage at a political level, uh, but also an operational level. So, the first one, was about the, the, the local integration capacities. Uh, within, within Brazil, uh, many of the people that are arriving from Venezuela particularly, uh, do so through the north, uh, with the Amazon region. And it's the, the poorest states, uh, one of the poorest states in the, in the federation. So, uh, local capacities are quite, uh, weak. Um, the study, uh, concentrated on to see what is the access for Venezuelan refugees on the formal labor market and they had 70% less access to that labor market. Uh, likewise, it was, um, uh, uh, impacting the, the access to education. So, um, children, uh, were asking 50% less access to education in, in that particular region. And 30% access to social assistance. So this was a very powerful study that allowed us to uh re-shift our focus and also to be able to provide some uh policy guidelines for the government to, to be able to tackle uh uh accessing issues. Mind you, the, the legal framework within Brazil is very welcoming, um, uh, so there's no legal barriers for, uh, refugees to access any of those, uh, sectors, not the labor market, not the health, uh, not the education. So it was more about what non, uh, you know, uh, non-formal uh barriers were erected so we could tackle them from a policy, uh, level. The second study that I think was, uh, also very impactful, especially, uh, to work with the local authorities was about, uh, and also the narrative, uh, that is often constructed. And as Paulo mentioned, uh, not really recognized by politicians, it's about the fiscal impact. And the fiscal impact, uh, when we measure it, we measured, there was not, uh, a, a significant increase in expenditure of social assistance, but there was, uh, uh, an uptake on tax, uh, consumption, and, and so a balance, uh, there was a balance, um, uh, on the full impact to, to the local economy. So these are uh very important uh studies that we, we've done with the bank. I think, uh, as we move forward and the, the situation becomes protracted. We need to, to leverage additional uh data that will be able to uh provide indications for the uh national policy that we're developing at the moment with the government. So, the new government, as you know, uh, uh, President Lula won an election, uh, late last year, and, uh, came into office in January. We've been working with the transition team even Uh, before, uh, he took office and have been providing a lot of this data in order to, uh, um, impact on the policy. I'll go right to the, uh, sort of, sort of the, the question, the so what questions that, that Paulo uh proposed. Uh, do, do governments enact uh better policies because of this research and Paulo, I could confirm that it does. So I can confirm that, so we are working on this national uh policy that, uh, hopefully will integrate a lot of these, uh, barriers that I mentioned before into the design of the new, the new law. Um. Are refugees and IDPs better off that, that we, you, we challenge here the, the PAC and also the, all of us around the table to work with us because we've been Uh, promoting the, the possibility to have a counterfactual, which, of course, is very difficult to do, we know, but we have a natural uh kind of case study which is the Haitians that arrived uh after the earthquake in Brazil and didn't receive um uh a lot of support at least from, from UHTR initially because they were not deemed to be uh persons of concern according to the 51 convention. Um, and then the, the one that I'm really, uh, and with the help of Nicholas, uh, working on is the, the cost, cost efficiency and, and cost effectiveness of our programming. And this is very tricky because usually, uh, uh, UHR, um, I mean, you were mentioning the, the case that the rest of, of Bangladesh. I was there when we established that, uh, cash incentives and we did it very quickly because of the Uh, pressures we were having at that particular moment about, you know, uh, providing, uh, CBI programs for, for the refugees and we didn't establish the, the baseline. So what we're trying to do now is to make sure we have baselines that we could measure the impact in the future of, of our programs. So this is the, to, to get back although this is only, you know, uh anecdotal evidence, Paulo, but I think we could work and we would love to work with you a lot more on, on the, those questions that you or those challenging questions you provided, uh, to be able to uh to have a proper evidence uh based uh answers on that. Um, so yeah, again, uh, for, for us, data is the, the avenue to provide solutions, especially working with administrations, uh, local policymakers, and, and local governments to be able to integrate rapidly, uh, refugees into their economy and into society. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thanks a lot. Uh, and I think it was a perfect alignment of, uh, of, uh, of interventions implementation. And the last one, getting a bit more into the, the practical implications and how this research can actually help and help answer the so what questions and help, uh, uh, program. Uh, so that's, uh, that's an interesting element that will also be a part of the next, uh, session that we are going to now, which is, uh, uh, a discussion. Uh, with, uh, with, uh, our, uh, uh, high-level, uh, panel, uh, 4 panelists on the role of research for projects, uh, in force displacement context and the way forward, uh, in this field. So again, the way forward. Uh, so we'll have, as I said, uh, 4, panelists here and it's, we, we hope to have something a bit, uh, a bit more dynamic, although there are questions to be answered. Uh, so, uh, so also a bit scripted, but, uh, also including, um, uh, time for Q&A I think, uh, I hope at the end. Uh, 4 panelists, so I said, so we will have, I will introduce them, uh, uh, now so that, uh, uh, uh, we are, we are, are clear about the, the, uh, interventions. Um, we will hear from, uh, Mr. Arif Hussain, uh, Chief economist, uh, at the World Food Program, who is with us online. We will, uh, also, uh, have Mr. Paul Spiegel. Uh, director at the Center for Humanitarian Health at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, also online. Uh, we will, uh, again welcome, uh, Betsy, Betsy Littmann. Uh, Deputy Director of the Division of Resilience and Solutions at UNHCR here in the room, and, uh, last but not least, Mr. Nazim Ayadat, uh, online, joining online with the Global Advisor on internal displacement at the International Committee of the, uh, Red Cross ICRC also online. Um, just a few, uh, a few elements before we start. Uh, so with the organizers, we have prepared a kind of three sets of, uh, of questions, uh, that we would really like to, to hear our panelists, uh, uh, perspectives about. Um, I will go through, 3 rounds, uh, asking each panelist, uh, to provide reflections on those, uh, on those, uh, questions for about 3 minutes if possible. Um, and then, uh, we will turn to the next round of questions. Um, at the end, uh, as I said, we should have time for a, for a Q&A, uh, with the audience online and in the room. So prepare your questions, uh, those online, in particular, you can, uh, type them in the chat and, uh, we'll make sure to, uh, to, to, uh, alternate between, uh, uh, the room and online, uh, depending also on the time we, we have left. So, first question, first set of questions that we have, um, is the following. So as we've, as we've seen and we've heard, a researcher for displacement has significantly expanded over the past 10 years. Uh, but as, as this increased, uh, volume of research made, uh, a difference for operations, so again, linking to, uh, the last, uh, uh, uh, presentation we had. Uh, can you think of one illustrative example where, uh, where, when research findings have been used to change a policy program or a project, uh, and can you identify, uh, the factors that, that made the, uh, uh, that change happen? So, I'm going to ask, uh, in successive order our panelists to address, uh, uh, those, those questions, starting with you, Mr. uh Arif uh Hussain, again, Chief Economist from the World Food Program. I think you were online before. I hope you're still here with us. Floor is yours. Yeah, um, can you hear me OK? OK. Yeah. All right. No, no, thank you for having me, and I think this is a, this is a really, um, Extremely irrelevant question. Um, I will, um, Just to let you know that, you know, at, at the World Food Program, I mean, we are, we are working um quite seriously on this, this, this topic. And, um, and I can say that most of our research uh is applied research. Um, Obviously, there's a lot more happening in this field, uh, both on the conflict side, but also on the climate side. Um, and, and, uh, and we are, we are, we are doing our own work, but also we're learning from our partners, uh, many of them who are, who are here. Um, in terms of the impact, I'll just take you to the, the, the, the first presentation even today on, on, on what happened in Syria. And, um, and, uh, basically, we, we have also analyzed this and I remember youNHCR and World Bank studies, uh, um, they were extremely helpful as well. And I think that was one example where um it had a huge impact. On, uh, on not only on operations, but also on refugee policy or dealing with refugees in Europe. And our, our, our premise of that, that discussion was that, look, I mean, first and foremost, um, it is a myth that everybody wants to leave their homes and go to, to, to, to Europe or to uh North America, uh, because if that was the case, then you wouldn't have a situation where the migrant population of the world is only 3.5%. Which is like what, 300 million people out of 48 billion. And if you even look into our own families, I mean, we see that, you know, not many people like to leave their homes. It's no different for anybody else. And in the Syrian case, what we did was we said, look, I mean, if the war started in 2011, why did people have to wait till 2015 to actually make this big move? And we started to analyze those reasons why, you know, one, why people moved from Syria to in the neighborhood, meaning to, to Lebanon and Jordan and Turkey and Egypt and Iraq, but also what changed in those places for them to take these risks to actually move to Europe. And we were able to essentially show that, uh, you know, in 1112, when you went there, these refugees were considered, uh, they were welcomed. 4 or 5 years down the road, it was a burden. It was a social burden. It was a burden on the health sector, on the education sector, on the subsidy sector. I mean, you name it, and it was a burden. And at the same time, what we started to see was that the, the, the uh cuts, uh, cuts in humanitarian assistance were coming. Not only for, from, from World Food Program, but also from all other partners including HCR. This is early 2015. So, in a way, people were at the stage where it was like a decision time, either, like, like, let's say if you have $100 do I send, stay here and spend that, or do I take a risk and, and, and try to get to Europe? I mean, I'm simplifying, but that's, that's really, that, that was really the, the, the essence. And obviously, many, many people took the choice of, or made the choice of going to, to Europe. But here's the kicker. We now, uh, back in 2022, look back, and we saw how much, what was the amount of money which Only Germany, federal government had spent on these 1 million refugees. And that came out to about $125 billion over five years. That was essentially 70 times more, 7070 times more. What would have needed, what was needed to provide the same benefit, let's say in Lebanon or in Jordan, right? And I'm just talking money, not politics, not the, you know, um, the, you know, I'm not even touching or, or going into that space. So very clearly, when we started to make these points. The governments started to look at this problem a little bit differently. And the example of that, OK, for Syria, OK, too, too late, too little. But in the Sahel, we started to see programs which were more towards building people's resilience. So that they don't do the same thing. Meaning getting out, moving out of uh uh out through, through, through Sahara to Libya, and then into Europe. So, all this not to say that, you know, uh, migration is bad, but all this to say that migration out of destitution is really bad. And when we don't solve these problems in time where they happen, later, we spend millions and millions of dollars more to solve these problems, which don't help the, the governments which are, which had to spend that, but doesn't also help the people because in the, they did not want to move in the very first place. So this is for me, one of the examples which I've used quite a bit on the effectiveness of research. But the same story applies to Central America in the US. Same story is playing out right now with Haiti in the US. So, it is not one isolated issue. Uh, and it is, it has happened, it continues to happen, and this is why the need to reinforce these messages and start talking about not only the cost of action, but also the cost of inaction, uh, both to the people who are suffering, but also the people who are supposed to take care of that. Excellent. Thanks a lot. Thanks a lot, and I think some of your points also uh may come back in the, in the next questions. Uh, turning now to, uh, Mr. Paul uh uh Spiegel, uh, the director of the Center for Humanitarian Health at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Public School, uh, Public School of Public Health, School of Public Health, sorry. Um, Paul, you are on the line and if you can, uh, again give us your, uh, Your perspective on the 1st, 1st set of questions, maybe building on Mr. Hussain's points as well. Sure, thank you. Um, it's a pleasure to see everyone and um incredible to see what's been done on this program, uh, funded by UK UK Action. So congratulations to all. I'll give just two different, very different examples, and, um, but I'll I'll keep them brief because of time. The first one is research can be defined very, very broadly. So one is, is, was very time sensitive, and this was, uh, the battle for Mosul. Where at the time the World Health Organization was doing things differently in order to save lives. They started embedding some equivalent of paramedics with the Iraqi military, and this caused understandably a lot of consternation with amongst various groups, ICRC, MSF, amongst others. So we were asked to actually go there ASAP and try to evaluate the situation to better understand humanitarian principles, but also try to gauge the amount of lives saved through this, through embedding, if you will, healthcare workers with the Iraqi forces at the front line, how many civilian lives were saved. And I won't go through too many details. It was very, it was very complex, but it, it, we ended up due to that research, the World Health Organization developed a different manual for emergency medical teams called the Red Book that took into account humanitarian principles and had very large effects for the future of how this may or may not be done. And why I think this was important and people acted very quickly was primarily because numerous organizations spoke out. They were very, very concerned at a very high level and therefore action was required, which is one of the certainly the lessons learned is the acuity of a problem and the importance, particularly at high levels. And the second example I'll give is more recent with, uh, we did a large study on trying to understand the HIV and syphilis study, the syphilis prevalence amongst Venezuelans in, in Colombia. This was much more technical. It took much, a lot, much longer, so the results were not as quick as we would have liked. Um, but on the other hand, what the results were so important because we saw, we saw both the prevalence of HIV, which was significant but not that different from the Colombians, which was very important. But secondly, there was a big difference between those that were. Had a documented status within Venezuela and those that within Colombia and those that did not, and this led to almost immediately meetings with the Ministry of Health and others in Colombia and policies have been changed accordingly. I'll stop there just because of time. Thank you. Great, thanks a lot. Thanks for keep repeating short and, uh, and very, uh, very practical. Um, turning to, to you, Betsy, uh, I'm not going to reintroduce you for the third time. I'm sorry you all have to hear me twice. I'm, I'm replacing my director who was supposed to be on the panel. Uh, so Oscar stole a little bit of my thunder because one of my points was gonna be on Brazil, but one of the, the key facts that we took away from Brazil that we use is that. What the government spent on integrating refugees there is equal to what they pay back in taxes currently, and as they move up the job ladder, obviously they'll be paying more in taxes than the government spends. And that's, that's a really big takeaway from us. Um, a couple other studies that were done in Kenya a couple of years ago, a study called Yes in My Backyard in the Turkana region that shows that if refugees were given greater opportunities and freedoms, as Paulo mentioned. The GDP in that region would go up by 6%, and that really influenced the governor in Turkana to look at refugees there in terms of more of a settlement approach than, you know, keeping refugees separate and, and that has been huge, and now, Uh, the policy in Kenya has changed significantly, and we're working with Kenya on something called, um, the Marshall Plan to look at creating settlements with refugees and host communities, and that's enormous for us. Another study, uh, and Paulo mentioned this, uh, on macrodata, the IMF has just done, done a study on Venezuelans, and in Ecuador it just happens to be the same. GDP would go up by 6%. So these are very useful pieces of data when we Uh, speak with government in terms of, you know, having a, a more informed discussion. Finally, another study that was done by the World Bank in Colombia looking at the socioeconomic impact of Colombians that really led, I think, to the, the government there granting temporary protected status to the Colombian, to the Venezuelans in Colombia, allowing them access to the labor. Market and to health services, etc. So those are for me those are very huge policy and programmatic impacts. Thanks. Thanks, thanks a lot. Uh, 11 thing I see on the chat, uh, questions that are coming, great if you can identify yourself any type of question, uh, so that we know, uh, who is, who is, uh, trying to intervene. Um, so now turning to you, Mr. uh Nazim Ayadat, uh, global advisor, uh, on internal displacement at ICRC, uh, for your take on this, uh, on this question. Thank you very much. Um, so thanks for having me and uh indeed impressive program. Congrats for, for that. I have in mind, uh, a few examples. I'll, I'll focus on uh the study that we made, um, on urban displacement, which actually really helped us. Uh, Multidisciplinarily address some of the, some of the Big issues uh when it comes to urban displacement. So, indeed, the increased volume of, of research has helped us to, to drive the adoption of an evidence-based approach to internal displacement in our operations. Um, taking that very example, uh, it's true that it was not always easy to, to sort of exit our comfort zone, uh, question program design, uh, what's your added value as a humanitarian organization. And I believe the role of research in this aspect is, is really absolutely fundamental and, and help you ask yourself, uh, tough questions. Um, so it has definitely, uh, closed some gaps in understanding. Uh, so it's a research, uh, from 2018, uh, that basically Took place in Somalia, Nigeria, Iraq, and Honduras. So this the displaced in city report, the public one, importantly as well, the internal one, informed a lot of our operational managers. Um, and it has indeed refocused the organization's efforts for displaced and host community and is now also part of our training packages. Um, another example I can think of is the, the roots of Restraint, uh, study, which was led by, uh, my colleague, uh, Fiona Terry, um, very important one in which we, uh, investigated the, um, the, the How formal and informal norms condition the behavior of soldiers and fighters, um, depending on the kind of armed organization to which they belong. So ultimately, it provided, it provides a framework of analysis to help identify the, the best approaches. Um, so this was particularly useful to recalibrate, adjust our approaches and engagement with military forces and armed groups. Uh, and turning progressively, uh, those findings, uh, into, into, into practice. Um, I think we also gained, I mean, there, there was a quantic jump, if I compare my, my, my first assignments in, in eastern Chad back in 2008 and the last one in Afghanistan, in 2021. Um, we gained also more confidence, I, I believe in engaging, uh, responsible authorities, including, of course, municipal, local governments, and, and here, Um, I, I think an important point is, is really how much, uh, embedded we were also, uh, within, uh, displaced community to feed, uh, that dialogue with, uh, with responsible authorities. So indeed, um, we are more capable, even though there is still a lot to do, um, but I believe Uh, the experience as well of, of displaced people is key in, in, in developing some programs and, and, and for that, I believe research has also helped keeping uh a people-centric uh organization. Over to you. Thanks. I think it's a very interesting point that, uh, that I think has been raised also in some questions that we've received in advance and maybe on the, on the chat as well. So uh these people centered, uh, uh, motion and how the, the research can help is, uh, is, is interesting. Um, we are A bit late, so what I would suggest to the, the organizers is, uh, maybe we, we put together the last two questions which are basically about constraints, uh, and the way forward. Uh, and so I will read them and I will ask again our panelists to, uh, Give their perspective on those two questions together or maybe you would prefer to address one or the other. So, uh, the second question we had was, uh, around what are the current constraints uh in making research relevant uh for policymakers, programs, uh, and project administrators, so. How is it, uh, uh, uh, for, for, for those that are doing implementing programs on the ground and how, how can we increase the programmatic relevance of research operations kind of the interface between research and, and practice. Um, and the last one is about looking forward, um, what are your priorities, each of you, in terms of research, uh, for making research relevant for operations, uh, and can you provide concrete examples of reforms, uh, you would support to address, uh, those priorities? Um, so again, uh, feel free to address, I mean, I think they are quite connected, so, uh, uh, feel free to address, uh, one or the other or both and start again with you, uh, Mr. Arif Hus Hussain. Over to you. Thank you, um. Look, I mean, basically, what um Even today, we are, you know, there is, I don't think there is any shortage of research. I don't think there is any shortage of understanding the, the problem statement. I also don't think that it is, uh, through the research, it is an issue of, you know, convincing people that, you know, uh, the, the benefits of, of, uh, of assisting uh refugees. Uh, But when you start to, where we are going is that when you start to look at the people you need to convince, uh, whether it is operational people, whether it's policy makers. Um, they also understand, one, we have to make sure that they understand what are the benefits, right? But the second thing is They uh have to, for the research to understand their constraints. Meaning you can say that, look, I mean, you know, yes, it will, uh, for a particular community, or, or for a particular region, it will increase GDP by 10%. Uh, But that will require investments. And if the decision makers, policy makers don't have those investments, that is not going to happen. So, in our own research, in dissemination of that research, if we can talk about the benefits, if we can talk about the costs of not doing it, but also if we can give suggestions in terms of how it could be funded, which would be acceptable to the decision makers. Or would be viable for the decision makers, there is a chance that that would happen. Otherwise, we get into a situation where, you know, it is one of the things, yeah, it's nice to have, to do. But it's not going to happen because I simply don't have the resources. I think our research has to start moving more into the applied space. Not only from the side of understanding the problem, but also understanding how that problem can be resolved. Within the means and resources of the people who are supposed to do that. That's, that's where I think we are lacking and we need to sort of get better. I'll stop here. Thank you. Thanks, thanks a lot. Very interesting. Um, Paul. Your turn, uh, on those two questions. Thank you, um. Constraints are, the constraints are enormous, I would say, and it, it, it's a mixture if I divide them into two sides. One, the researchers themselves who um Many have not actually been in the operations, have managed or responded to operations, and so sometimes the research can be very strong, but then the recommendations and or the context is insufficient. I think that's easily addressed if if the researchers are working with organizations and we make sure that the organizations that we're working with are very involved in in both at least contextualizing the analysis and then the recommendations. The converse though is that what we find is that those that are in operations are so busy, particularly in the last while where there's just crisis after crisis, it can be very, very difficult for researchers to get the actual time needed to be able to better understand the results themselves. And so there has to be a bit of give and take, I would say, on both sides. Another big problem I would say is there is so much research and there are so many recommendations coming out that it's very difficult for organizations, NGOs, UN, and others to be able to prioritize. And so I think there needs to be a more concerted effort to better understand what's out there, to better prioritize, because it's probably not possible to operationalize everything that's coming out. So there should be a methodology to be able to do that. Um, I think that would be extremely helpful. And then finally for the future. There is a lot of research going out there but coming out, but the quality can really, really vary of that research. And so I think there should be more, and this is self-serving coming from a university, of course, but more dedicated funding streams for quality research and also longer term research in these humanitarian settings, we're often getting funding for a year to do research, which makes it extremely difficult. I think we need to do more qualitative and quantitative and longer term. Um, sometimes their qualitative is hugely important, but it's often easier to do in certain settings and or there just is enough, not enough baseline quantitative to actually, uh, move forward and then try to. the research. Another area, perhaps I'll last two areas, one would be to really try to focus on access in some of the more insecure areas. That makes it doubly difficult because the methodologies and undertaking more stringent methodologies can be more difficult, and generally there are fewer people allowed to go into these areas and of course operations will supersede research. And then finally, the donors, um, what we find often is that there is still a lack of at a minimum monitoring and evaluation and at the best case scenario some component within the the donors for operations to better understand by having some research and lessons learned and if that could be more systematically prioritized, I think we can do, we can do a lot. Thank you. Thanks, thanks a lot. Uh, got a few, uh, very interesting proposals and, uh, I'm going to, to keep with, uh, take with me at least the, the multi-year funding for research as well, and it's been an argument in the, in my time sector for, for some time, um, and, uh, and what you said also made me think about the, the, what I've seen as a more and more, uh, long, longitudinal studies, uh, which I think is, is really something that, uh, that warrants, uh, uh, a bit more uh investment. Uh, Betsy, great, great to come after Arif and Paul because I, I agree with, with what they're saying. Just, just to note that we do have two longitudinal panel studies, first time ever in UNHCR with the World Bank and Gauge and, and Yale in Bangladesh and the JDC and in Kenya, and this is something that we Exactly for the reason that Paul said. We know that this is important to have baseline and to be able to measure over time what's happening, and, and this will, I mean, these are very large populations, and I think this will give us really important data over many years which we haven't been able to have in the past. So, I fully agree that, that we need to do more of these and it's, it's really valuable. Um, I wouldn't say that, that we have all the research we need. We know that, for example, there are enormous gaps on IDPs. We have very, very little data on IDPs. So, I think there are some populations that there's more research on now. The JDC is helping us on, on getting more data on IDPs. Um, in terms of, um, I think one of the other challenges that, that we see, and, and Paul alluded to this in a way, I don't think that, for example, in our own operations that our colleagues are able to identify what's the problem they want to solve. And if you don't understand really what the problem is you want to solve, you don't know what the question is, you don't know how to pose it as a research question. And that's a challenge very much in a humanitarian organization because we're not used to thinking in that way. So really helping operations formulate the right question, is it around policy changes in policy that we're looking for? Is it around changes in, in program, how we use funding to You know, impact a particular program. And so this, this has been a real challenge. Um, and then I would say one of the other challenges we face is even when we actually have the research and it tells you what to do, and I think Arif was referring to this, how do you bring the whole ecosystem of those that fund, for example, education. To be able to say, OK, we're going to take this, and now we're going to use it, because there's political reasons why, you know, being very frank, why somebody has funding to do X, Y, or Z. Are they going to be able to change their approach to programming in this cycle, or will they have to wait 3 years? And I think that's, that's a really big challenge is to bring them, you know. All the agencies around, um, you know, a particular impact, so I'll stop there. Thanks, thanks a Betsy, and I, I really appreciated the comment on the, on, on internal placement. I think that was one of the recommendation of the, the high panel, uh, uh, a few years ago. more should be done on research, uh, uh, in this, uh, in this realm. So hopefully that's coming up, um, now Nazim for your, uh, your last, uh. Thank you very much. So yes, uh, I, I fully agree that uh research is a victim of its success. And then one constraint or one challenge uh with the multiplication of, uh, of excellent uh research is the, the absorption capacity and for humanitarians, time and resources to adequately and, and timely infuse those findings, those research findings into program design. Uh, this is particularly true for hard to reach areas, uh, and at the onset of, of active hostilities, uh, such as, uh, the, the cases is now in, in Sudan. Um. I also agree with Paul, uh, absolutely on, on the recommendations. So, uh, many researchers very solid, uh, lacking a bit of, of practical, realistic, understandable recommendation. So it doesn't mean that we, we should not set ambitious goals, uh, for research, but to, to strike that, that balance, um, maybe the involvement of practitioners along with theoreticians, uh, is, is critical at, at every stage. Um, so policymakers often require timely information to make informed decisions. Uh, research findings may take time to gather, analyze, publish, disseminate. Um, and this can, can create a gap, uh, between the availability of research and, and policymaking processes. And the other side of that coin, uh, is naturally that, uh, a robust and, and solid research has its own life cycle, a maturation process, review mechanisms. So there's also a, a balance to strike there and a, and a continuous challenge. Um, increasing the programmatic relevance, uh, Of research for operations. Uh, so, of course, um, Research and recommendation must be relevant to a specific displacement situation. If I, if I talk about internal displacement, uh, considering all different actors, parties to the conflict, resources, external environment, um, this is not to say that, that all research should be narrow in scope, uh, but the more contextualized and focused, uh, the more findings influence, influence infinite, uh, quality, uh, programming. Uh, another point that is linked to the previous one, research and recommendation need to include, uh, and reflect the perspective and voices of, of people affected by displacement. Um, and, and, and I, I often say that IDPs are not a static, faceless group. Uh, but rather a myriad of resourceful and often very innovative citizens. Uh, and I believe by including them at each stage of research, we are using the, the right compass. And this, I, I land again on the, the people-centric approach. And, and I'll stop there. Great. Thanks. Thanks a lot. Uh, I think there's been, uh, quite a, quite a number of, uh, of very interesting suggestions and, uh, and, you know, this is recorded. We're taking most of us not so, uh, I think it's going to be, uh, inspiring for the, for the, the reflections going forward. And now we, we are a bit of time, we're still a bit late, but we have a bit of time, we'll make sure, uh for questions or suggestions, uh, on those questions, reactions also to the, the, the initial presentations, of course. Um, so feel free to raise your hand. I've seen also a few questions on the chat. Um. So let's start, maybe, is there anyone in the room, since we've had a lot of interventions online, maybe you can start in the room for once. To look at around me if there's a and no oh sorry, so go ahead, introduce yourself. Yes, I'm from the Korean mission. uh, and I talked about the Ali to saying about the, the refugeehia refugee in the, uh, Germany. How, what is the, uh, impact on the social cohesion among, uh, German, uh, people, general German people's recognition on the refugees. And also he said that there is a lot of huge amount of benefits comes from this uh uh accepting the those Syrian people. What is, what I want to know from what exactly what point of the benefits are occurring and what cause of this uh benefit. And also there is, I heard that there is a huge amount of Syrian refugees in Turkey, Turkey now. So probably if like the size it would be mean a huge amount of people go to inside another society, it would be the effect on the social cohesion would be somewhat different from compared to small refugees there. So I don't know what is the impact on the, the society impact on of those people to go there. And also probably it would be somewhat different, would be that like the Pope Francis, they received a huge amount of almost 6 million people from their old colonies. Then several 10 years or 2 years there's some kind of social like uh turmoils. So that could make some probably like a failure to the dealing with the refugee people. So probably from those instances we could do learn lessons to prevent that kind of thing. So those are my questions on this man. Thank you very much. I'm not sure whether this is proper for. Thank you. Thanks a lot. Uh, I, I think you directed this question to, um, to, uh, uh, our first panelist, uh, Mr. Hussain. Um, but I'm sure others also can, uh, can, can bring, uh, their, their part to the answers. Maybe, uh, Mr. Hussain, first to you, and then I'll see if other panelists or presenters want to, to, to add that to that. OK. Uh, I'm afraid that it was, uh, the connection was kind of breaking, so I, I got parts of it. I didn't get the whole, uh, whole question. Um, so, so first and foremost, Um, basically, This was, uh, this, this was like, uh, the 3rd quarter of 2015 when this movement happened. Um, and initially it was, um, you know, um, Germany welcomed these, these, these, these, these refugees. Um, and Then when they came there, there was a lot of stuff which needed to happen. Uh, meaning from, from language issues to cultural issues to religious issues, to job issues, all of these things needed to be resolved. And for that, this is why over the course of several years, assimilation takes a while, uh, you know, literally, like I said, $125 billion were spent just by the federal government. Um Did it happen? Does it have economic returns? Uh, did people stimulate, uh, stimulate? Yes. Uh, but just compare that. To spending $125 billion on 1 million refugees, to looking at just World Food Program in its record year, where we assisted 160 million people around the world. With about $14 billion. So, you see the, the, the, the, the, the, the disconnect on, on, on that side. Now, the problem is that that's not only the, the, the place where this has happened. If you look at the dry corridor of Central America, and if you look at uh the western border of the United States, I think I can think of at least 3 studies which looked at this displacement of uh people moving from, from Central America from the dry corridor to the, the US. There was a study done to show That the people who were leaving were leaving from the places which were the most Um, severely impacted by both food insecurity and poverty. That part. Now, if you look back, again, the same reason, looking back, if we could have helped those people where they were, so they did not have to leave, it would solve two problems. One, people are not leaving their home, which they didn't want to do in the first place. And second, where they were going, it wasn't like, uh, you know, they weren't, uh. It was, it, it was not a migration which was accepted because it was out of, you know, out of destitution, basically. So, this is why billions upon billions of dollars were spent to keep those people up. So, my point is that First and foremost, our research. Needs to, and coming to Betsy's point, needs to get the wrong right, meaning you need to get the problem statement right. And that problem statement right is not only from the, the side of the people who are getting affected, but also the side of people, again, who are supposed to help, or places where they're supposed to go. And if we can do that, Then we can solve the correct problem. If we don't do that, then yes, we are solving a problem, but it's just not the right problem. And believe me, this happens more often than, uh, than, than not. Uh, I hope I answered your question. Um, thank you. Thank you, thank you. I don't know, uh, if someone wants to address this question as well, or maybe we turn to a few other questions. Just, just a word on, uh, the social cohesion question because this is an area where I think we have at least 40 studies that looked, uh, different dimensions of social cohesion. And social cohesion as these three dimensions between, uh, within the refugee or displaced community, within the host communities, and between the two communities. And I think one of the, the lessons that we are very comfortable in channeling is that um no matter the size of the displacement crisis, I think about Lebanon, 20% of the population. Um, if proper policies are in place, the mitigating effect of these policies can be very, very large. So we have municipalities that received, uh, in terms of percentage of, uh, refugees over the local populations, the same amounts in Turkey and Lebanon, for example. So the share of refugees in those municipalities were the same. But we have very different impacts of these refugees on these host communities because of the policies in place in the two places at the same time. So we have a sort of natural control experiments that tell us that if you do have policies in place for freedom of movement, freedom of work, and access to, uh, services, the impacts are much shorter term. They're much more localized and uh uh they can be, the negative impact, impacts can be reabsorbed in a relatively short period of time. So, policies matter. It's not just the size of the crisis, the matter for social cohesion. Maybe just another point, the bank had done a study in Turkey early on that shows that those Syrians who came to Turkey, so initially the lower level Turks were displaced from employment, certain level at the lowest level of employment, but actually what happened was that they retooled and they moved up the employment ladder, so they actually got better jobs than they had before when the Syrians came in. So there, there's lots of things that that happened. Thanks, thanks a lot. Um, I hope that answered the, the question. Um, what I'm going to do is read and give you one question from the, the chart, and then I think there's uh one hand, uh, raised and one here, uh, and then we'll probably have to, to go to the, the closing, unfortunately. There's a lot of very interesting questions in the, in the chat. The one I will read was, was typed, uh, uh, some time ago, which is, um, which are some of the socioeconomic repercussions that are associated with displacement. Uh, and which are some of the challenges encountered as the refugees are repatriated back home. So a question about the, uh, the socioeconomic, uh, repercussions, uh, and, and the dynamics with, uh, with return. Um, the question online, uh, is from, uh, Laurie Bell, if I'm not mistaken, I don't see the, the hand up anymore, but Laurie, head of evaluation Service at UNHCR wanted to ask a question. If not, If not, I will turn to, to you for the question, uh, uh, here in the room. Sure, thank you very much. My name is Maya Lazic. I'm the deputy head of the World Bank UNHCR Joint Data Center on Forced Displacement, and of course this conversation today, needless to say, resonates hugely with us and then we're very pleased to be, to be working together, all of us, uh, um, uh, here discussing today, um, across the, the different, uh, elements of the partnership between World Bank and UNHHCS, yeah. And what I want to, it's really a comment, it's not a question, and, and it's a comment that's spurred by what, what we just heard in this uh uh last round of, of, uh, Of, uh, of responses to constraints and, and to, to the way forward because what I heard particularly from, from the colleague Nazim from ICRC and, and also from Paul, but from all of you really, uh, resonates so extremely well with the, with where we are right now in, in our work progress and where we're going to in the next 4 years. The Joint Data Center has been in, in working for, for 4 years really looking at sort of the infrastructure of data, uh, stimulating data production with operational relevance, uh, um, and, uh, and also trying to, to push out data and evidence, uh, um, uh, as part, as part of that first strategy and now we're, we're taking learners. And, and we're looking towards the next 4 years where it's absolutely clear that everything that you say is, uh, is, uh, is evidently something that needs a concerted effort in partnership with others but also uh really stimulating, um, and in that sense, we, we are, we have been developing a, a knowledge agenda we call it in, in, in the Jordan Data Center. Uh, where we particularly look at some of those elements that were highlighted, uh, um, in the responses in terms of, uh, getting research relevant for practitioners, getting practitioners involved in, in the research so that it can be applied, gapping some of, uh, pardon me, identifying some of those data and evidence gaps to make that connection and, um. And then having effective and diverse ways of disseminating that of serving it up to the, to the uh policymakers and practitioners, uh, who need this, and I think, uh, it was, it was really wonderful to hear your responses because it goes right into, to, to, to the strategy conversations that we will have and consult on more widely. So thank you very much. Excellent, really having an impact. Thanks, thanks a lot for the, for the, the comments then, uh, not the question. I don't know if anyone would want to, uh, address the question about the returns. You, Paula, you wanted to, yeah, if I understood it was a two-part question or um in general socioeconomic, uh, um, characteristics, challenges of this place, and then, uh, the connection to the return, right? Um, yeah, so, um. Um, yeah, we have a paper actually in the program that looks at, uh, um, what are the challenges of, uh, that specifically displaced people face, um, um, if we look at them and compare them with economic migrants, for instance. So, um, key, key findings from the study are the, um, challenges in terms of the assets, assets or possessions, and dispossession that happened during displacement. Um, arrival, um, to, um, a new context with the, all the, uh, mental health, um, consequences of, uh, having been displaced and of course facing Uh, lack of rights, uh, such as the right to, uh, that was mentioned a lot, the right to work, the right, uh, the right to move. Uh, so a lot of, um, um, very many different aspects that are specific to the displacement experience. On the return, uh, specifically, I think, uh, this is another area actually where that deserves, uh, further, uh, further research hasn't been, uh, as, uh, as prominent. Um, however, um, I can think back, back about one of the impact evaluations that I actually, uh, was presenting and I looked at, uh, how, uh, different receiving a different amount of cash, a bigger amount allowed returnees to retrieve their documentation and also to rebuild back their assets and so, um, uh, people that had received a um bigger amount. Um, in the, in terms of cash, uh, cash assistance upon return, we're able to, uh, have, um, more property and, um, especially a house. Um So, um, yeah, I'll, I'll stop there for the sake of time. Thanks a lot. Uh, we are almost back on track, so I will just sneak in one last question, uh, and I think it will be more for the, uh, for the program, uh, uh, uh, stuff to, to, to address that because it's, uh, it's been asked by, uh, Ms.relia Larome, um. Complimenting the presentations and then saying how much of the uh research the BOFP uh uh research works um have uh been applied to, have applied a child lens. Uh, so how can we better address the particular socioeconomic needs uh of possibly displaced children. Uh, as against general population and how can we strengthen our data and evidence, uh, for this highly, uh, vulnerable population groups. Just thought I would, uh, would be good to bring this, uh, this perspective that I don't think was, uh, was in the meeting so far, um. Clo is yours. What does this last, uh, last question, if you can elaborate quickly on that or point people in the right direction. Uh, yeah, that's a good question, and, um, I don't think it would be honest to say that we have a line of research that specifically looked at, uh, uh, children's needs and, and mothers of children's needs. Um, but what Certainly came out from the research program is the fact that when you're looking at the uh household poverty, you're looking at household inequality and you're trying to, uh, assess, uh, the, um, uh, situation with well-being, uh, the inequality and the poverty we measure at the household level is not the same as if we would measure at the children's level, right. So, uh, and that is for a simple reason. It's that we measure well-being as, uh, household consumption per capita, which, uh, essentially gives the same value to every member of the households. So if we want to start really measuring the well-being of children, we need to apply different lens, which is that, uh, children are different in age, they're different gender, they have different needs, uh, and, uh, and therefore we need to adapt our measures and our measurement tools, uh, to be able to measure these differences. So I don't think we are even at the beginning of that process, but it's something that we need to do, uh, to, uh, begin that process. Yeah, good, I'll just say one thing is that UNHCR, you know, we, this is obviously a critical importance for us and, you know, in our work, and in fact we have a new piece of work out with Rice University and the University of Geneva where we do relax, uh, the assumption that, uh, households share equally among that person. We find that, uh, with Uh, data, poverty data in Uganda, and any of the children, the refugee children are the poorest members of the household, uh, and disproportionately so, and that in fact actually also less so, but still more proportionate disproportionately are also hosting. So I think what that says is not that children, um, The takeaway is that these are very poor communities and that you know the most vulnerable within poor communities are children so I think more work definitely needs to be focused there but I'll put that link into the chat for excellent excellent. Thank you. Thank you for that. Um, so now, uh, I'm sorry we, we have a lot of, uh, very good questions on the, on the chat, but, uh, we'll have to move, uh, uh, to the closing remarks. Uh, thanks a lot for the, the active participation. I think it was a very interesting and enlightening, uh, conversation. Um, and now, uh, I will turn to, uh, uh, Mr. uh, Dylan Winder, uh, for his closing remarks. Mr. Winder is a deputy director and head of, uh, the humanitarian department at the UK, uh, Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office. Uh, he joins us online, and, uh, Mr. Winder, the, the floor is yours for your, uh, your, uh, your, uh, closing remarks. Over. Great, thank, thanks very much, and uh it, it's great to be here, uh, and I, and I would like to thank um all the panelists and participants for a really great and interesting discussion which touches on a lot of the, the issues that also we're talking about within FCDO back in the UK uh, and I, so I won't attempt to summarize any of the sort of key things from the, the, the, the range of, uh, discussions, but I thought the level of interest and, and the, the, the, the range of questions really does show us how important the issues raised are. Um, I, I think what's key to, to certainly for FCDO is, is that this linkage that you really brought out between research, policy and operations. And we have heard some great examples today on what, where that work has worked, but I do think, you know, this is something that we also try to improve all the time, so we need to really maximize the impact that, that research has on, on our programs, and maybe I should just say something very briefly. Um, so the department I manage covers, it has the responsibility for all the core funding to all of our humanitarian agencies. It has, uh, all of the UK government's, uh, humanitarian policy and all of our rapid onset tools, and we do use, uh, data and research quite a lot. I mean, some, some examples have been, um, the work we, we are now promoting on anticipatory action and resilience came out of research, the work we've. Uh, championed in the past around cash has come out of research, uh, and, and also we're, we're great, uh, supportive of, of things like the, the data center that has, has been mentioned. We're working very closely with Otter and others on the JAF, and we use a lot of that data in our own decision making. So where do we, where do we spend money in humanitarian response globally. Of course that's accompanied by M&E and, and we have various mechanisms for that. Uh, but I should go back to the program. So we, we're, we're really delighted to have, have, uh, supported the, uh, building the evidence on pro protracted forced displacement program. Um, we do think this is a really significant, uh, program, and, and it's both increased the overall body of research on forced displacement, as well as, uh, how the programs used this research to support better outcomes for people affected by displacement. The other thing that we, we, I wanted to flag was really the deep collaboration between UNHCR, World Bank and FCDO on the research and how this has led both to high quality research and very strong policy impact, uh, with the results of the research clearly disseminated and used by country teams, and hopefully this will continue beyond the lifetime of the program. Um, a lot of the examples, uh, of impact were very interesting to us, including those around education, the emerging cash transfers, health systems for forced displaced people. And uh supporting effective program design uh by testing some of the interventions and, and looking at how that can be taken to scale. Um, overall, I think we felt that the importance of, um, the understanding that this research has brought to the experiences of forced displaced people or forcedly displaced people, but, but also how services, uh, when they're weak or not present, are unable to serve all communities and, and again I think we heard today from the, the work in Chad and also in Venezuela, uh, just to sort of. To highlight some of the kind of practicalities of, of where that research has really made a difference. Um. I think also, you know, it's really important that um the, the, the finding from the research that highlighted particularly the difficult environment uh for people unable to access their right to freedom of movement and also the importance of refugees being able to choose where they live, work, and, and access services was, was really critical. And I was also struck by a 0.1 of the panelists made about the different, the difficulties in accessing some areas. So, so, you know, how, how do we. How do we really understand what the kind of challenges are for those areas where, which are difficult for, for researchers to access, but also for, for humanitarian operations. So just, just in conclusion from my side, cos I realize we're running out of time, um, for us this event better outcomes for people affected by forced displacement and has provided lessons for future researchers and, and within SADO and, and broader. And I do hope that this discussion and collaboration can continue, and I wonder whether there's opportunities to highlight some of the work at the Global Refugee Forum later this year, uh, so we can sort of really demonstrate the importance of a focus on research that is as an. Uh the panelists mentioned is timely and is able to influence, uh, some of, some of the operational um work. So thanks very much again for having us. It's great to see uh a really successful outcome. Uh, back to you. Thank you, thank you, and thank you for, for mentioning the, the GRF at the end of the year. That's probably an actual uh uh space also that has a, you know, research component with the, the game and the measuring the impact of uh hosting uh uh and protecting uh uh refugees if I remember well. Um, but, uh, that, that will be discussed, I suppose, in the, in the months to come. Uh, on my side, thanks again, uh, to all the participants, Mr. Winder, for your, uh, concluding remarks. Uh, very interesting. Uh, to the participants and, uh, one thing I need to tell you, uh, before I let you go is that, uh, uh, there is, it's not the end of the program yet. There is a training, uh, for practitioners and policymakers, uh, that is being developed jointly with the, uh, the Joint Data Center, uh, based on the findings of the program and, uh, it will be launched in the fall, uh, when the program's activity, uh, uh, close. Um, so, uh, uh, stay tuned and, uh, probably you will have, uh, an interest in this, uh, in this training program, uh, and maybe as a way to stay informed on that and encourage you all to, uh, um, sign up on the program's website. Uh, I think that, well, you have on the, on the slide, the, um, the, uh, the URLs, the website address, where you can subscribe and get updates and keep yourself informed with the, with this, uh, this program. Um, thank you all. Thanks to the, the, the panelists, all the participants and contributions, and have a good rest of your day, uh, wherever you are. Bye thank you. Yeah
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