We study future outcomes of poverty, inequality, and shared prosperity measures as a function of country typologies using a panel dataset with 123 countries over the period 1970–2014. Despite poverty reduction, resource-output oriented countries are expected to hold high shares of extreme poverty in 2030. Countries with low rates of income per capita growth are expected to reduce poverty headcount but maintain high poverty rates up to 2030. In contrast, economies with high growth rates are expected to decrease extreme poverty levels below 2030 targets in a timely manner. Decreasing levels of the Gini coefficient are expected across studied country aggregations over the period 2015–2030 except in economies of high-income growth where inequality is predicted to increase. Besides, estimates of shared prosperity gaps indicate large variability of potential outcomes throughout the studied country aggregations.
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