BOT concessioning has dominated the Asian approach, while maintenance concessions are most common in Latin America. It is becoming clear that BOT concessions are most likely to be successful under the following conditions :
Some Governments, and even some public sector toll road authorities, have entered into contracts with the private sector simply for collection of tolls and daily operation of the road. This is the approach in Norway, where there are 26 toll companies.
All too often however the Government support for projects is increased far above expected levels when the sponsors are well connected politically, have better advisors, or threaten to withdraw at the last minute. To prevent this is not difficult¾it requires Government to be well prepared, with the specification and design of the Government support part of that preparation.
There is a range of options for the provision of Government assistance to projects including:
The most advantageous for the concessionaire are those which provide early funding streams (when revenues from the toll road are low or non existent during the construction period) and which give guarantees for unexpected problems (for example, exchange rate guarantees). The least significant are those which themselves are unpredictable i.e., additional rights for development around the road.
The bidding process. Once the road for tolling has been identified, the Government has decided to involve the private sector, and given a desire to introduce competition into the process , a bidding process needs to be determined. The key aspects for Government consideration are:
- Detailed development of the project. This must be set out clearly in the bidding documents, specifying the responsibilities of the concessionaire and the relevant Government departments.
- A draft concession agreement, to ensure that all bidders make similar assumptions. This should be prepared by the Government and included in the bidding documents.
- The maximum level and nature of Government support. Economic analysis of the project will have determined the appropriate level of Government support, and concurrent financial analyses will have determined whether this is feasible, given likely private sector requirements.
- The decision criteria. The most transparent approach is to select a single criterion, perhaps the lowest level of Government support required (if any) for a given toll. The decision should be made only following a technical evaluation, and only those bidders who meet the technical standards should be considered for the concession.
Where Governments have used several different criteria for selecting the preferred bidder, the outcome has been problematic since it makes economic evaluation of the scheme complex, and can be less transparent. In addition, where several variables are used in selection of the concessionaire, these variables are often important in regulation. This makes the process of regulation more complex, and perhaps less transparent.
The possible criteria include: the total capital cost of the project, the construction period, the toll rate at opening, the NPV of Government subsidy required, and the length of the concession. Click here to display a document illustrating some approaches used in European decision making. Click here to read about an alternative approach where the term of the concession is not fixed.
Without clear bidding documents and detailed specification of requirements of the project, the Government may find that either the bids are more costly for Government than expected or there are fewer bidders than expected. This is because bidders will view the transaction costs of preparing the bid as too high, or may fear that there will be significant regulatory difficulties during the course of the project that would reduce their expected return.
Unsolicited proposals have been particularly problematic in Asia. The typical approach is for a proposal to be submitted to one arm of Government, for the proponent to be given exclusive rights to develop a project in a defined corridor, and for a proposal subsequently to be submitted to Government. In some countries this proposal is then submitted to competition, following which the initial proponent may be allowed to match the highest bidders terms. In other countries the Government simply negotiates a deal directly with the proponent. Neither of these approaches is likely to achieve the most cost effective deal for the Government. The benefit of unsolicited proposals is that they allow the private sector to be part of the planning process. The danger is that without proper network consideration the full effects of the project may not be understood and the financial aspects will be paramount.
Risk sharing/responsibilities of different parties. The standard advice on risk sharing is that "the party best able to shoulder the risk should continue to bear it". A table which defines the different risk categories and attempts to define the party most able to shoulder the risk for BOT roads, is forthcoming (Annex 15)
However this statement does not acknowledge that the process of private sector participation itself introduces risks which are not present under a direct Government project. The risks of toll revenues not meeting required levels for supporting financial arrangements for example is one of these new risks. There are many reasons why this may be true in practice. Predicting them before signing of the concession, is complex, and suggests that thirty or more years can be understood in advance. However this is not the case as has been witnessed recently with the Asian financial crisis for example. It is therefore more pragmatic to develop a framework which establishes the robustness of project performance against realistic future scenarios. However if the parameters are too many or too wide, the scope for private sector evasion of responsibility and risk bearing can be great. This is a sensitive, complex area, and one which has been tested deeply of late through the Latin American and more recent Asian, financial crises. For details about a new approach adopted recently in Hong Kong, click here to read more.
Even where regulatory arrangements are well defined, Governments are reluctant to let private sector concessionaires fail. Hence for example, in France during the 1970s three of the four private sector providers of toll roads were nationalized when financial difficulties set in. In East Asia the recent financial crisis has meant that with exchange rate problems, and a reduction in toll revenues, the operators have looked for further Government assistance, which has often been forthcoming. The Asian situation is complicated by the extent to which Governments are guaranteeing loans taken out by the private sector investors, and therefore would be liable were the companies to fail, but the message is clear¾Governments don't tend to let toll road companies fail. The investments are too high profile and the tolls themselves too political, for that to happen. Of course it may also be that the economic crisis as it has developed is far outside the realm of prediction and therefore more akin to a "force majeure" event. If that is so, it is not in anyone's interests to bankrupt the concessionaires and Governments are taking a pragmatic line in continuing to provide support.
Duration. The most appropriate duration of the concession is affected by the:
- reason for revenue collection¾is it to cover construction costs? To internalize externalities of travel to the user?
- the financial instruments available¾in some markets there is no possibility of long term financing from the private sector,
- political imperatives/security concerns.
Typical BOT concessions are 20 to 30 years in length, whereas maintenance concessions tender to be shorter¾typically 5 to 15 years. They differ in length because of the different financial requirements.
The duration of the concession may either be set by the Government in advance or be part of the decision criteria in selecting the concessionaire. One of the problems for the Mexican program was that this was the sole criteria therefore forcing toll rates very high (which given the price elasticities did not increase revenues as expected) and eventually causing many toll road concessionaires to fail and require significant Government support.
Development of the private sector road industry. In some countries, where the private sector has built roads under standard Government direct procurement contracts, the objective of giving the private sector a greater role in road provision is to develop a new industry in road management. These techniques (such as marketing, revenue control, life cycle construction/maintenance costing) are not typically found in construction companies, and under the first BOT concessions, construction companies did not need to develop them. However under schemes such as the Design, Build, Finance and Operate (DBFO) approach used in Britain these skills are being developed and companies are emerging which can provide road management staff. Typically construction companies, who take their profits from the construction contract, dominate concessionaires. Hence the development of operating companies, who also view the operating period as a profitable business, prevents this focus on the construction period alone. For more information about the British approach, and the companies developing around it see "DBFO: Value in Roads" Case Study. To access a presentation on DBFO contracts given at a World Bank Seminar on Tolls Roads in February 2000, click here.
Regulation. It is important that the legal environment under which the concessions are granted is clearly structured. This may require general enabling legislation or can be achieved through specific concession arrangements. Whichever approach is selected the arrangements must make responsibilities of the different parties clear. There are instances in which, despite the enabling law being in place, it is still unclear where ultimate responsibilities lie. In the Philippines, for example, projects may be proposed by the Toll Regulatory Board, the Philippines National Construction Company (under the terms of their original concession), the Department of Public Works, or an unsolicited private sector bidder. The concession may be regulated by any of the first three. These competing interests mean that Government expertise is not collected together and that common evaluation of projects can be difficult to achieve. Similarly in Hungary the legal arrangements were not strong enough to prevent a legal challenge to the toll rate. These examples illustrate the importance of clear, well defined and complete legal arrangements. It also suggests that the Government must take external legal advice on the structure of these arrangements before introducing them.
Where international law is also to be considered, or where there are common legal arrangements within a trading block for example, these also need to be taken into account. (The EC directives stipulate, for example, that toll rates "must be linked to the construction, operating and development costs of the infrastructure network concerned" and that Government should seek to introduce distance related tolls.)
Without transparent processes, either at the bidding stage, or during the concession, problems in the regulation can mean long delays. Delays in the bidding stage can mean that the economic value of the project is reduced because of delayed implementation and higher transaction costs. Delays during the operating phase, particularly for example if Governments fail to authorize toll increases can simply mean that the required Government support for the project increases (and therefore perhaps the economic return is reduced).
Issues involved in regulation and contract management. The regulatory and contract management responsibilities and their differences must be clearly understood in Government and by the project sponsors. Typically regulatory bodies consider economic variables such as the toll rates while the contract management agency's considerations include:
- land acquisition and clearance,
- other Government contributions
- traffic/revenue levels,
- quality of construction,
- maintenance of the pavement,
- congestion levels on the road and at toll plazas,
- lane availability
- safety management systems,
- commercial activities, and
- payments to Government
The contract management body is typically an arm of the Government Roads Agency. It tends to rely heavily on the private sector for its information (since reporting by the concessionaire is a requirement of the agreement).
The regulatory body tends to be separate, often part of a general regulatory agency for transport or for infrastructure. It is responsible to reviewing the tariff changes under the contract, particularly where a maximum rate of return is permitted. It also deals with requests for additional Government support during the project and with requests for extension or widening of the road.
Either regulator or contract management agency can provide a point of contact for road users¾the information which they provide giving more information on which the agencies can act.
Both regulation and contract management tend to take place at the National level. China is the exception to this rule where local Governments have been heavily involved in toll road development.