In the past 30 years, China has reached
the target of lifting 500 million people out of poverty. The
rate of increase in human development indicators has become
the... Show More +
second fastest in the world, allowing China to enter the
ranks of middle-income countries. As the most populous
country, accounting for one-fifth of the world's
population, its transformation has been unprecedented in
human history. Scientific evidence and international
experience in the past 10 years have found that early child
development (ECD) is key to human development, as it lays
the foundation for the rest of life. Early child development
includes physical, psychological, emotional, language,
behavioral, and social development. Experience in the early
years of life will determine healthy development and
happiness in the rest of life. Research has found that
investment in ECD is the most cost effective strategy to
improve human development. In China's demographic
transition, the population of children and youth is
declining in absolute numbers, and the investment of raising
them can increase on a per capita basis. This study has been
in the making since 2009. It was prepared during a time when
China was charting its course of development under the 12th
Five-Year Plan (2011-2015). The study began with an
agreement between the World Bank and China's National
Population and Family Planning Commission (NPFPC) for a
collaborative study on ECD. Concurrently, China's
Ministry of Education invited the World Bank to conduct an
overall review of the education sector, in order to provide
it with inputs and suggestions as it prepared China's
national plan for medium- and long-term education reform and
development (2010-2020). In reviewing achievements and
challenges in the education sector, the Bank found that
there was much room for expanding and improving preprimary
education for children ages 3-6. The Ministry of Education
appreciated the Bank's identification of this need and
set ambitious goals for preprimary education in the national
education plan. Show Less -
Type: Publication
Report#: 70983
Date: July 6, 2012
Author:
Young, Mary Eming ;
Cai, Jianhua ;
Wu, Kin Bing
Evidence from a range of different
sources suggests that Chinese workers lost 20-36 million
jobs because of the global financial crisis. Most of these
layoffs affected... Show More +
migrant workers, who have typically lacked
employment protection, tend to be concentrated in
export-oriented sectors, and were among the easiest to
dismiss when the crisis hit. Although it was severe, the
employment shock was short-lived. By mid-2009, the
macroeconomic stimulus and other interventions had succeeded
in boosting demand for migrant labor. By early 2010,
abundant evidence pointed to scarcity in China's labor
market, as labor demand was once again leading to brisk
growth in wages.The paper reviews different available
sources of evidence for the effects of the crisis, and notes
the biases associated with alternative ex post efforts to
measure the employment effects of the crisis. In particular,
the paper highlights the usefulness of household surveys
with employment histories relative to surveys based on
sampling through firms. Show Less -
Type: Policy Research Working Paper
Report#: WPS5984
Date: March 1, 2012
Author:
Giles, John ;
Cai, Fang ;
Du, Yang ;
Park, Albert
Using a new database on Chinese food
standards, this paper estimates the impact of volunta-ry and
mandatory standards on its agricultural and food exports.
The dataset... Show More +
covers seven Chinese products from 1992 to 2008.
The findings here indicate that standards have a posi-tive
effect on China's export performance. Standards signal
to customers that products meet certain quality measures and
promote information exchange. The benefits of increased
ex-ports outweigh compliance costs. Our results also show
that theses positive effects are larger when the standards
are consistent with international norms. Show Less -
Type: Policy Research Working Paper
Report#: WPS5976
Date: February 1, 2012
Author:
Mangelsdorf, Axel ;
Portugal-Perez, Alberto ;
Wilson, John S.
Recent accidents have brought attention
in China to the issue of school transport safety. This note
reviews the practice in countries with established school
transport... Show More +
systems, takes a look at the current state of
school transport safety in China, and recommends specific
actions for China to improve its school transport services
and systems. Specifically, this note argues China's
school transport could be improved through changes to the
institutional framework, the strengthening and enforcement
of the legal and regulatory framework, as well as enhanced
communications and awareness. By adopting a national plan
with clear targets and milestones, safer school transport
could become a reality for China's primary and middle
school-aged children who travel to school on a daily basis. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 67697
Date: February 1, 2012
Author:
Deng, Fei ;
J. Kurgan, Geoffrey
This report stats that income gaps among
countries are largely explained by differences in
productivity. By raising the capital/labor ratio and rapidly
assimilating... Show More +
technologies across a wide range of activities,
China has increased factor productivity manifold since 1980
and joined the ranks of middle income countries. With the
launch of the 12th FYP, China has set its sights on becoming
a high income country by 2030 through a strategy combining
high levels of investment with rapid advances in technology
comparable to that of Japan from the 1960s through the
1970s, and Koreas from the 1980s through the end of the
century. The report concludes that the best bet is an
innovation system anchored to and drawing its energy from a
competitive national economy. Technological progress and the
flourishing of innovation in China will be the function of a
competitive, globally networked ecosystem constructed in two
stages during 2011- 2030. Government technology cum
competition policies will provide impetus in the first
stage, but success will hinge on the quality of the
workforce, the initiative and policies of firms, the
emergence of supporting services. Show Less -
Type: PSD, Privatization and Industrial Policy
Report#: 70178
Date: January 2, 2012
Author:
Yusuf, Shahid
The Poor Rural Communities Development
Project (PRCDP) is a rural development intervention covering
some of the poorest communities in Guangxi, Sichuan and
Yunnan Provinces... Show More +
in China. The project has a strong outreach
to ethnic minority areas and aims to improve livelihoods
security and achieve sustained participation of rural people
in project design, implementation, and monitoring and
evaluation. It does this by heavily involving farmers in
decisions on the kinds of rural infrastructure and
livelihood activities that will be implemented in their
communities. A facilitated process brings households
together to discuss the key challenges faced by their
communities and to identify solutions that can be carried
out with strong participation from the farmers'
themselves. The aim of the analysis was to identify entry
points for women's participation in the community-based
activities promoted by the project. Gender analysis also
focused on how the implementation arrangements proposed by
communities would impact men and women differently. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 67978
Date: January 1, 2012
The issue of measuring product variety
has received relatively little attention due to its inherent
difficulty. In the language of index numbers, an expansion
in the... Show More +
range of inputs or outputs is a 'new goods'
problem: a good that is newly available will have an
observed price and quantity, but no corresponding price or
quantity the year before. The availability of this new good
will yield a welfare gain to consumers, as well as a
productivity gain to firms buying the new input. In this
paper we show how product variety can be measured in the
case of a CES aggregator function. This paper is organized
as: after reviewing the literature on the 'new
goods' problem in section two, then discuss how to
measure export variety in section three. In sections four
and five discuss the empirical applications to export
variety growth in Mexico and China. Regression results
relating trade liberalization to industry export variety are
presented in section six, and conclusions are given in
section seven. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper
Report#: 66617
Date: December 31, 2011
Author:
Feenstra, Robert C. ;
Kee, Hiau Looi
The Poor Rural Communities Development
Project (PRCDP) is a rural development intervention covering
some of the poorest communities in Guangxi, Sichuan, and
Yunnan provinces... Show More +
in China. The project, which is led by the
Chinese provincial and county project offices (PMO), reaches
out to ethnic minority communities, usually in remote
villages, and provides sub grants for basic infrastructure
and loans for livelihood improvements. The project involves
farmers in important decisions about which kinds of
activities will be implemented, and aims to ensure
participation of both men and women in project design,
implementation, and evaluation. Community members are
brought together for discussions facilitated by the project
team to talk about key challenges facing the community and
to make sure that both women's and men's
priorities are heard when it comes to deciding how village
funds will be used. This smart lesson describes how a simple
'gender mainstreaming' approach was effectively
adopted in targeted villages in rural China and highlighting
the different ways men and women understand community priorities. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 64874
Date: August 1, 2011
Author:
Fernandes, Patricia
Neuroscience and longitudinal studies of
early childhood development and education (ECDE) found that
prenatal care and experiences from birth to the first six
years... Show More +
(0-6), affect physical and brain development of
children, and thereby the cognitive and socio-emotional
development in subsequent stages of their lives. Lack of
access to nutrition and health care, insufficient
stimulating human interaction, and non-enrollment in
pre-primary education are associated with lower educational
attainment and achievement, which, in turn, reduce life-time
earnings and potentially contribute to disruptive behavior
to society. Investing in ECDE yields the highest economic
returns because early learning and formation of good habits
and social skills are far more productive than later,
remedial education and training. The internal rates of
return of rigorously evaluated ECDE programs range from 7
percent to 18 percent, which are higher than the rates of
return to financial capital. Investments in ECDE are one of
the most cost-effective strategies to break the
inter-generational transmission of poverty, and to improve
productivity and social cohesion in the long run. The report
considers it highly desirable to universalize ECDE for the
0-6 age group in the long run because it equalizes
opportunities and enhances the country's future
competitiveness. But the report focuses on the medium term
and advocates a two-pronged, pro-poor approach in the 12th
Five Year Plan (2011-2015). Show Less -
Type: Policy Note
Report#: 53746
Date: January 1, 2011
Author:
Wu, Kin Bing
Brain drain has long been a common
concern for migrant-sending countries, particularly for
small countries where high-skilled emigration rates are
highest. However,... Show More +
while economic theory suggests a number of
possible benefits, in addition to costs, from skilled
emigration, the evidence base on many of these is very
limited. Moreover, the lessons from case studies of benefits
to China and India from skilled emigration may not be
relevant to much smaller countries. This paper presents the
results of innovative surveys which tracked academic
high-achievers from five countries to wherever they moved in
the world in order to directly measure at the micro level
the channels through which high-skilled emigration affects
the sending country. The results show that there are very
high levels of emigration and of return migration among the
very highly skilled; the income gains to the best and
brightest from migrating are very large, and an order of
magnitude or more greater than any other effect; there are
large benefits from migration in terms of postgraduate
education; most high-skilled migrants from poorer countries
send remittances; but that involvement in trade and foreign
direct investment is a rare occurrence. There is
considerable knowledge flow from both current and return
migrants about job and study opportunities abroad, but
little net knowledge sharing from current migrants to home
country governments or businesses. Finally, the fiscal costs
vary considerably across countries, and depend on the extent
to which governments rely on progressive income taxation. Show Less -
Type: Policy Research Working Paper
Report#: WPS5394
Date: August 1, 2010
Author:
Gibson, John ;
McKenzie, David
China opened its economy and introduced
economic reforms in 1978 that over the next three decades
produced unprecedented economic growth sharply reducing
household poverty,... Show More +
but also increasing spatial income
inequality with higher median incomes in urban areas and the
coastal region. This paper traces China's growth story
and the contributing role of education and training. It
highlights policies behind the development of education and
training that have influenced the pattern of rising income
inequality. It reviews China's efforts to provide
universal basic education of 9 years, its expansion of
secondary education and the emphasis on vocational and
technical secondary education, and its movement to mass
higher education. The paper identifies policies behind this
expansion whose implementation contributed to spatial
inequalities. These policies include: restrictions on labor
mobility through residence permits; a low level of public
expenditure on education by international standards, the
commercialization of post-basic education to fill the
spending gap, the decentralization of fiscal responsibility
to local governments for education without sufficient
attention to variance in fiscal capacity, and the addition
of resources from private education and training that
favored cities and highly developed markets. The paper also
identifies differences in returns to rural and urban education. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper (Numbered Series)
Report#: 52712
Date: December 1, 2009
Author:
Adams, Arvil Van
This paper tests a neo-Schumpeterian
model with industry-level data to analyze how Brazil, India,
and China are catching up with South Koreas technological
frontier... Show More +
in a globalized world. The paper validates Aghion
et al.s inverted-U hypothesis that industries that are
closer to the technological frontier innovate to escape
competition while longer distances discourage innovating. It
suggests that for effective catching up, distance-shortening
(or innovation-enhancing) policies may be a necessary
complement to liberalization. South Korea and China combined
a variety of distance-shortening policies with financial
subsidies to promote high tech industries and an export-led
growth strategy. Post-liberalization, they leveraged swift
competition to spur catch-up. In comparison, Brazil, which
was as rich as South Korea, and India, which was as rich as
China in 1980, are catching up more slowly.
Import-substitution industrialization strategies saddled
Brazil and India with a large anti-export bias, and
unfocused attention to innovation-enhancing policies
dampened global competitiveness. Post liberalization, many
of their industries were too far behind the technological
frontier to effectively benefit from competition. The
catch-up experiences of Brazil, India, and China with South
Korea illustrate that distance from the technological
frontier matters and that the design of country-specific
distance- shortening policies can be an important complement
to trade liberalization in promoting catching up with richer countries. Show Less -
Type: Policy Research Working Paper
Report#: WPS5101
Date: October 1, 2009
Author:
Braga, C. A. Primo ;
V. Chandra ;
Osorio-Rodarte , I.
China's recent economic growth has
expanded industrialization and urbanization, upgraded
consumption, increased social mobility, and initiated a
shift from an economy... Show More +
based on agriculture to one based on
industry and services. Still more than half of China's
people still live in rural areas where average income per
capita is less than a third of the urban average, a gap that
is among the largest in the world. Reducing these
differences is critical to building a harmonious, inclusive
society. This report draws from background research
conducted by the advisory committee for state
informatization, and attempts to provide an overview of
China's rural information and communications technology
(ICT) development primarily in the past 15 years. The report
first describes the status of China's rural
informatization infrastructure. It then reviews existing
rural ICT initiatives in China and summarizes them by
organizational models. International examples are included
to draw lessons from. Finally, the challenges of rural
informatization are examined, and policy recommendations
identified to address them. Show Less -
Type: Publication
Report#: 49320
Date: July 1, 2009
Author:
Hanna, Nagy K. ;
Sudan, Randeep ;
Zhen-Wei Qiang, Christine ;
Bhavnani, Asheeta ;
Kimura, Kaoru
This report is structured in three
volumes: competition provisions; environment provisions; and
labor mobility provisions. The main messages of this three
volumes are... Show More +
as follows: 1) competition laws and policies are
increasingly being established at the regional level, as
they could be instrumental in supporting the benefits of
trade and investment liberalization; 2) China may want to
use the opportunity of these negotiations to: (a) further
discipline its state-owned enterprises;(b) carefully
consider the possible role of antidumping policies; and (c)
promote and lock-in domestic reforms aimed at improving its
domestic competition policies; 3) with a shift of the
development agenda from primarily pursuing growth to
achieving a more balanced and sustainable development and
taking into account China's high reliance on trade, it
may be increasingly in China's interest to pro-actively
engage its partners on environmental issues in its regional
trade agreement (RTA) negotiations; and 4) while the world
economy stands to gain massively from liberalization in the
mobility of labor, adverse popular reaction to the economic
and social impacts of immigrants has kept progress in
enhancing global labor mobility well below progress in trade
and capital liberalization. Show Less -
Type: Foreign Trade, FDI, and Capital Flows Study
Report#: 51316
Date: June 30, 2009
In broad terms, the sources of economic
growth are well understood but relatively few countries have
succeeded in effectively harnessing this knowledge for
policy purposes... Show More +
so as to sustain high rates of growth over
an extended period of time (commission on growth and
development 2008; Yusuf 2009). Among the ones that have done
so, China stands out. Its Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
growth rate averaging almost ten percent between 1978 and
2007 is unmatched. Even more remarkable is the performance
of China's two leading industrial regions: the Yangtze
River (Changjiang) delta area and the Pearl River delta.
Both these regions have averaged growth rates well above
eleven percent since 1985. Shanghai, the focus of this
study, is the urban axis of the Yangtze River delta's
thriving economy. Its future performance and that of a
handful of other urban regions will determine China's
economic fortunes in the coming decades. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper
Report#: 50208
Date: April 22, 2009
Author:
Yusuf, Shahid ;
Nabeshima, Kaoru
In broad terms, the sources of economic
growth are well understood but relatively few countries have
succeeded in effectively harnessing this knowledge for
policy purposes... Show More +
so as to sustain high rates of growth over
an extended period of time (commission on growth and
development 2008; Yusuf 2009). Among the ones that have done
so, China stands out. Its Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
growth rate averaging almost ten percent between 1978 and
2007 is unmatched. Even more remarkable is the performance
of China's two leading industrial regions: the Yangtze
River (Changjiang) delta area and the Pearl River delta.
Both these regions have averaged growth rates well above
eleven percent since 1985. Shanghai, the focus of this
study, is the urban axis of the Yangtze River delta's
thriving economy. Its future performance and that of a
handful of other urban regions will determine China's
economic fortunes in the coming decades. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper
Report#: 50208
Date: April 22, 2009
Author:
Yusuf, Shahid ;
Nabeshima, Kaoru
There has been increased interest
throughout the world in improving transit services through
the introduction of intelligent transportation systems
(ITS). ITS can be... Show More +
defined as a set of technologies intended
to improve the quality or efficiency of transit services
primarily by providing the appropriate information at the
appropriate time in an appropriate form to transit staff and
transit customers. The World Bank has participated in the
financing of several ITS systems in China. Given the
complexity of these projects and their potential for
dramatic transformation of transit operating agencies, it is
worthwhile to provide some guidance to senior staff from
transit systems contemplating ITS projects as well as
decision-makers external to the transit operating
organizations The World Bank commissioned a series of three
papers to assist in this effort. This first paper is a
description of the key ITS applications for transit
operations and where they are most beneficial. This second
paper reviews a number of previous installations and reports
on lessons learned, both positive and negative, in the hope
of maximizing the effectiveness of technology in improving
transit services. The third is a set of Terms of Reference
(TOR's) for professional services associated with ITS
project management to assist in project implementation these
papers focus more on the organizational and planning issues
associated with ITS. This guidance is primarily directed to
bus transit operators, including those with bus rapid
transit (BRT) services. However, the sections on fare
collection and traffic signal priority may have some
application to streetcar or light rail transit. Vehicle
location on such systems is usually accomplished by a signal
system used to control switching between tracks. This note
serves as an introduction to the topic of ITS for transit.
In it, we introduce the various ITS technologies, identify
their benefits, and the range of applications where their
use is most appropriate. The interaction among technologies
in providing information useful to transit system management
is also discussed. Of equal importance, we have found that
successful implementation of ITS depends not only on the
technology but also on the institutional environment in
which they are implemented. Since the introduction of
technology fundamentally changes the nature of traditional
managerial and staff processes, organizations which are able
to embrace change and alter their methods of doing business
will be more likely to fully benefit from these
installations. Accordingly, this paper discusses some of the
institutional and organizational factors associated with ITS
implementation. From the outset, this note does not advocate
for the implementation of specific ITS technologies. Show Less -
Type: Policy Note
Report#: 69262
Date: February 1, 2009
The Annual Bank Conference on
Development Economics (ABCDE) is one of the best-known
conferences for the presentation and discussion of new
knowledge on development.... Show More +
It is an opportunity for many of
the world's finest development thinkers to present
their ideas. The papers in this volume were presented at the
ABCDE that was held on January 16-17, 2007, in Beijing,
China. Each year the topics selected for the conference
represent either new areas of concern for future research or
areas that the author believes will benefit from a
reexamination. The topic of the 2007 conference was
'higher education and development,' which
encompassed five themes: higher education and migration,
private-public provision of higher education, financing of
higher education, technological innovation (linkages between
universities and industry), and higher education and labor
markets in Asia. Show Less -
Type: Publication
Report#: 45490
Date: September 15, 2008
Author:
Yifu Lin, Justin ;
Pleskovic, Boris
In determining whether a country's
higher education system should be expanded, it is important
for policymakers first to determine the extent to which high
private returns... Show More +
to post-secondary education are an
indication of the scarcity of graduates instead of the high
unobserved ability of students who choose to attend
post-secondary education. To this end, the paper identifies
the returns to schooling in urban China using
individual-level variation in educational attainment caused
by exogenous city-wide disruptions to education during the
Cultural Revolution from 1966 to 1976. For city-cohorts who
experienced greater disruptions, children's educational
attainment became less correlated with that of their fathers
and more influenced by whether their fathers held
administrative positions. The analysis calculates returns to
college education using data from the China Urban Labor
Survey conducted in five large cities in 2001. The results
are consistent with the selection of high-ability students
into higher education. The analysis also demonstrates that
these results are unlikely to be driven by sample selection
bias associated with migration, or by alternative pathways
through which the Cultural Revolution could have affected
adult productivity. Show Less -
Type: Policy Research Working Paper
Report#: WPS4729
Date: September 1, 2008
Author:
Wang, Meiyan ;
Park, Albert ;
Giles, John
Do rural areas benefit when their
residents migrate to cities? A new national identity card
and a program to facilitate legal temporary residence in the
cities have... Show More +
made migration easier for rural residents in
China. Research on the effects of rural to urban migration
in China shows a positive relationship between consumption
and income of households in migrant home communities, but no
significant relationship between migration and investments
in non-agricultural productive assets. The ability to
migrate is also associated with a drop in secondary school
enrollment. This brief includes the following headings:
domestic migration is changing the nature of China's
labor market; migration is positively associated with
household consumption and income growth; the ability to
migrate is associated with a drop in secondary school
enrollment; migration rose with the distribution of identity
cards; notes; and further reading. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 53910
Date: April 1, 2008