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China Overview |
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China : Lending By Volume (Millions Of US Dollars) |
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China has experienced a remarkable period of rapid growth spanning three decades, shifting from a centrally planned to a market based economy with reforms begun in 1978. During this time, it grew at an average rate of about 9.7% per year, with exceptionally strong growth between 2003-2007 averaging about 11% per year. Growth remained strong during the recent global financial crisis, reflecting massive stimulus and strong underlying growth drivers. China became the world’s second largest economy in 2010; increasingly, it is playing an important and influential role in the global economy. The discussion now tends to focus on how China can avoid “the middle-income trap,” as experience shows that transitioning from middle-income to high-income status can be more difficult than moving up from low to middle income. Yet, with a per capita gross national income of about US$4,260 (2010), China is an upper middle-income country that has complex development needs. With the second largest number of consumption-poor in the world after India, poverty reduction remains a fundamental challenge. Rapid economic ascendance has brought on many challenges as well, including demographics – issues related to an aging population as well as the internal migration of labor; high inequality; rapid urbanization; challenges to environmental sustainability; and external imbalances. Significant policy adjustments are required in order for China’s growth to be sustainable. In its 11th Five Year Plan (2006 - 2010), the Government of China set forth a “people centered” strategy aiming to achieve a “harmonious society” that balances economic growth with distributional and ecological concerns. Under this plan, considerable progress was made in improving basic public services in social protection, education and health, but structural issues remain under the strong momentum of China’s traditional pattern of growth. The 12th Five Year Plan (2011 - 2015), recently approved by the National People’s Congress, comes at a time when the need to rebalance toward a more domestic demand-led, service sector-oriented pattern of growth is stronger than before, partly due to the less favorable global outlook. The Plan has set five main objectives:
Based on a cooperative relationship spanning 30 years, the Bank continues to play an important development role in China, supporting activities through a variety of instruments, including lending and analytical/advisory services. The current Country Partnership Strategy (CPS, 2006 - 2010) focuses on five thematic areas of engagement. In particular, the Bank aims to help:
A mid-term progress report in January 2009 found that the strategy is well on track to fulfill most targets, with intensified engagement in areas such as China’s integration into the world economy, especially regarding south-south learning, integrated urban-rural development, as well as energy efficiency, environment and climate change. As of June 30, 2010, Bank cumulative lending (IBRD and IDA) to China was more than $47.41 billion for 323 projects. In The portfolio is concentrated in environment, transportation, urban development, rural development, energy, water resources management, and human development. In line with the government’s increased emphasis on growth that is balanced with social and environmental concerns, the focus of the Bank’s activities in China has shifted significantly. Today, the majority of Bank-supported projects feature environmental objectives, many with global implications. About 75% of ongoing Bank-financed projects, and approximately 80% of planned projects, include a strong focus on the environment. The Bank also pays particular attention to the western and central provinces, where the poverty rates are significantly higher than in coastal provinces. About 80% of active projects are in the interior and western provinces. New approaches are also being introduced to address energy efficiency, renewable energy, air pollution reduction and climate change. This includes new models to finance energy efficiency, piloting and expanding the use of innovative renewable energy sources, and rehabilitating and modernizing urban district heating systems and building energy efficiency. Urban environmental management is also being strengthened to help cities meet challenges such as rapid motorization. As China develops, economic analysis, policy advice, technical assistance and training have become an essential part of the Bank’s engagement. To meet growing demand from other developing countries to learn from China, the Bank also plays the role of knowledge broker to support China in sharing its development experience. International Finance Corporation (IFC) China is IFC’s fourth largest portfolio country. Since its first investment in 1985, the IFC has invested in 193 projects in China as of June 30, 2010. For these projects, IFC has provided $4.73 billion: $3.7 billion from IFC’s own account, $754 million from participating banks and $249 million in guarantees provided by IFC. IFC’s strategic priorities in China focus on climate change, including renewable energy, energy efficiency, water efficiency, clean tech, green policy and green credit; balanced rural and urban development, including a focus on frontier regions, food safety, scaling up microfinance outreach and capacity, and agricultural linkages; and China’s outbound investment, including partnerships with Chinese firms to invest in other emerging economies, particularly in Africa, mobilizing capital, syndication loans, and sharing knowledge and standards.
China’s dramatic progress in reducing poverty over the past three decades is well known. Measured in terms of the World Bank poverty standard for China, the poverty rate fell from 65% to around 4% between 1981 and 2007, and the absolute number of poor fell by well over half a billion people. Substantial progress was made in human development indicators as well, contributing to global efforts to achieve the Millennium Development Goals. China began its partnership with the Bank in 1980, just as it embarked on its reforms. Starting as a recipient of support from the International Development Association (IDA), the Bank’s fund for the poorest, China graduated from IDA in 1999 and became a contributor in 2007. The country marked another important milestone when it became the Bank’s third largest shareholder in 2010 -- in the 30th anniversary year of its partnership. The Loess Plateau Watershed Rehabilitation Project set out to restore this area, home to more than 50 million people, where centuries of overuse and overgrazing had led to one of the highest erosion rates in the world and widespread poverty. More than 2.5 million people were lifted out of poverty; incomes doubled; natural resources were protected and perennial vegetation cover increased from 17% to 34%; employment rates increased; food supplies were secured with per capita grain output increasing from 365 kg to 591 kg per year; and ecological balance was restored in a vast area considered by many to be beyond help. The Renewable Energy Development Project, also supported by the Global Environment Facility, promoted the development of a sustainable photovoltaic market to provide reliable, affordable and environment-friendly energy to villagers who live off the electric grid. The project supported the sale of solar systems to approximately 400,000 rural households and institutions, and the supply of solar electricity to isolated semi-nomadic populations translated into improved access to communications and education, improved indoor air quality, and reduced CO2 emissions. The project helped combine international technology advances with China’s proven low-cost production capabilities, which, in turn, helped make China the number one producer of solar equipment and components around the world. |
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