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Population Growth Rate
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1. Read and study the text and the definition of population growth rate and answer the following questions.
  a. What does population growth rate measure?
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  b. If you wanted to get an accurate picture of population growth trends in a country, would you look at the average annual growth rate for a single year, or for a period of years? Explain why.
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2. Answer each of the following questions briefly, referring back to the text if necessary.
  a. Why have death rates and birth rates declined?
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  b. What causes population momentum? What are its consequences?
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  c. How might increasing urbanization affect environmental conditions in a country?
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  d. To what extent does migration between your country and others, or from rural to urban areas within your country affect your country's economic, environmental, or social situation?
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  e. What sorts of services and support can a government provide to its citizens that will help slow the population growth rate? Explain why you think these strategies may help.
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  f. What might be some reasons why women with a basic education tend to have fewer children?
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3. Calculate the annual population growth rate for countries A, B, and C using data provided in the table below and this formula:

Population increase in a year
____________________________

Population at the start of the year

X

100

=

Annual population growth rate %

Note: Average annual population growth rates for a period of years provide a better picture than annual rates. For this reason, they are used in the Data Table. Calculating any growth rate for a period longer than a year requires more complicated mathematical formulas than the one used to calculate an annual rate.

Country
Population
at the start
of the year
Population
at the end
of the year
Population
increase
during the
year
Annual
population
growth
rate (%)
Country A
22,000,000
22,400,000
Country B
8,500,000
8,800,000
Country C
400,000,000
410,000,000
4. Population growth rates are small numbers, but they have large effects on population. To see what this means, do the following:
  a.

Assume the world population at the beginning of 2000 was about 6 billion. If the projected 2000 average annual population growth rate for the world was 1.1%, how many more people would be added to the world by 2001.

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  b. If the 2000 world population grew at .2%, the same projected rate as the France, how many more people would be added to the world by 2001.
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  c. If the 2000 world population grew at 1.7%, the same projected rate as Kenya, how many more people would be added to the world by 2000.
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  d. Use your answers to questions 3a,b, and c to make a general statement about the relationship between population growth rates and the change in the size of a population.
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5. Use the calculations and data in the table below to calculate the birth rates, death rates, and population growth rates for three countries and fill in the missing information.

 Number of births
(%)

Population

X

100

=

Birth rate

Number of deaths (%)

Population

X

100

=

Death rate

Birth rate
(%)

Death rate
(%)

=

Population
growth rate
(%)


Births

Deaths

Population

Birth
rate

Death
rate

Population
growth rate

Country A

662,000

297,000

33,100,000

Country B

411,000

191,800

27,400,000

Country C

211,200

96,800

4,400,000

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6. If a population growth rate is low, population is growing slowly. If it is high, population is growing rapidly. To understand what "slow" and "rapid" mean, it helps to look at how long it will take different countries growing at different rates to double their population.
  a.

The number of years it takes a population to double can be estimated by dividing the number 70 by that population's growth rate. Calculate the doubling time of populations growing at the rates shown in the key to the Population Growth Rate Map, 1980–1998.

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  b. Is three percent a rapid growth rate? Explain. Is two percent a rapid growth rate? Explain. Is one percent a rapid growth rate? Explain
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  c. Use the projected population data in column 2 of the Social Data Table for 1998–2015 to calculate the population doubling time for these countries: your country, Canada, Chile, Finland, India, Zambia.
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  d. Assume that your country has an average annual population growth rate of 1.8%. It will take 39 years for your country’s population to double. What changes will your country need to make to deal with this growth in population? Consider such issues as housing, health care, food supplies, transportation, employment, education, and the environment. Do you think your country presently has the resources to handle this rate of population growth? Why or why not?
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7. What consequences might a declining population growth rate have on a country’s economy and environment?
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