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1. Study the information in Chart 3.1 for low-
and high-income economies in 2000. Then, answer the following questions
about the population trends shown.
- In low-income
countries, which age range(s) contained the largest percentage of
the population? the lowest? [The highest: under age 30; the lowest:
above age 50]
- In high-income
countries, which age range(s) contained the largest percentage of
the population? the lowest? [The highest: between 25 and 50; the
lowest: between 55 and 74]
- In a brief statement,
compare the age composition of the populations for low- and high-income
countries for 2000. [In low-income countries, a large percentage
of the overall population is under age 30, so the largest portion
of the population is either in childbearing years or will soon enter
childbearing years. In high-income countries, the largest segments
of the population are middle-aged or older, and have either moved
beyond childbearing years or will soon do so.]
- Considering your
answer to question 1c, what type of social programs might be important
to meet the future needs of the largest age groups of each country
income group? [Possible answers: To help care for and educate a
young population, it might be important for low-income countries to
invest in health programs for expectant mothers and children, family
planning services, education and training programs, and housing. To
help care for an aging population, it might be important for high-income
countries invest in health services for the elderly, pension plans,
and assisted living programs.]
2. Study the information
in Chart 3.2 for low- and high-income economies in
2030. Then, answer the following questions about the population trends
shown.
Chart
3.2. Composition of Population in Low- and High-income Economies,
2030
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- In low-income
countries, which age range(s) contained the largest percentage of
the projected population? the lowest? [The highest: below age 39;
the lowest: above age 64]
- In high-income
countries, which age range(s) contained the largest percentage of
the projected population? the lowest? [The highest: above age 50,
particulary above age 75; the lowest: below age 25]
- Compare the age
composition of the populations for low- and high-income countries
shown in Chart 3.2 with those shown in Chart
3.1. [In the 2030 projections for low-income countries, there
is less of a pronounced difference between the old and the young groups
than in 2000, but there is still a large percentage of the overall
population in childbearing years. The population in low-income countries
is stabilizing. In high-income countries, the largest segments of
the population have moved beyond childbearing and have entered retirement
years. The trends that were in place in 2000 have become more pronounced.]
- Compare the gender
composition for low- and high-income countries shown in Chart
3.2. with those shown in Chart 3.1. [In
2000, the percentage of men and women is roughly the same in both
low- and high-income countries up to age 75 where there is a dramatic
increase in the number of women as a percentage of the overall population
in high-income economies This same trend continues for men and women
in 2030.]
3. Read the definition
of population momentum
in the glossary. Using Charts 3.1 and 3.2
as a reference, in which economic groups and years do you think this
phenomenon exists? Why? [In low-income economies in 2000 and 2030.
Because of the youthful age structure which is typical of developing
countries in these years, population growth will not stop for several
decades.]
4. Look at the shapes
of the charts in Charts 3.1 and 3.2.
What would a stabilized population look like? Explain. [It would
be a rectangle, because the percentage of the population dying would
be approximately equal to the percentage of people being born.]
5. What impact might
population momentum have on the care of small children in a country
where a large proportion of the childcare duties are performed by daycare
centers? [Population momentum may cause childcare to become scarce
or over-crowded because the size of the population needing the services
could outnumber the size of the population able to provide the service.]
What about a population where elderly relatives provide childcare? [Again,
childcare may be difficult to find since the number of babies is so
much greater than the number of older people available to take care
of them.] Who are the caretakers of small children in your country?
[Answers will vary.] What effect might population momentum have
on these arrangements? [Answers will vary.]
6. What impact might
an aging population have on the care of elderly people in a country
where a large proportion of these people live in nursing homes or elderly
housing? [An aging population may cause elderly housing and nursing
home care to become scarce because the ever-increasing numbers of elderly
people needing the services could grow to outnumber the portion of the
population able to provide care.] How are elderly people cared for
in your country? [Answers will vary.] What impact might an aging
population have on this care? [Answers will vary.]
7. Match each of
the following descriptions with the country below that illustrates the
trend described.

- The death rate
is high, the birth rate is high, and there are a large number of children
in the population. [Yemen]
- There has been
a sustained decline in the birth rate, but the proportion of the elderly
population has not yet become large. [Korea]
- The birth rate
has been low for a long period, and the elderly proportion of the
population is increasing. [ Italy]
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