Digital Progress and Trends Report: Strengthening AI Foundations

Select a EDS Sub navigation page selecting option, leaving this page

Download overview   |  Download full report
 

The Digital Progress and Trends Report 2025: Strengthening AI Foundations offers a data-driven snapshot of the global AI divide and outlines how countries can harness AI’s potential responsibly, turning opportunities into progress, before the gap grows wider. 

Key Findings

  • AI is unlocking access to information and services while boosting productivity and expanding markets around the world.

  • High-income countries dominate AI innovation, compute infrastructure, and startup funding.

  • Adoption is rising in middle-income countries but remains very limited in low-income economies.

  • Gaps in connectivity, compute capacity, locally relevant data, and digital skills gaps are barriers to inclusive progress.

  • Proactive government policies that embrace emerging opportunities and mitigate risks are essential to ensure the AI divide does not grow wider.   

  • Foundational investments in the “four Cs”—connectivity, compute, context (data), and competency (skills)—are critical to building inclusive and effective AI ecosystems.

Chapter 1

AI innovation, adaptation, and adoption are uneven across countries.

AI innovation is still concentrated in high-income countries, though some low- and middle-income countries are beginning to catch up. The rapid pace and concentration of breakthroughs make effective adaptation and localization challenging, but open-source technologies open doors for broader participation, enabling developing countries to tailor AI to local contexts without reinventing foundational technologies. AI adoption has grown quickly, with individuals in middle-income countries driving much of the global uptake, but its adoption by businesses and governments is still in its nascent stages.

Explore the chapter  |  Download infographic

Chapter 2

Connectivity is the gateway to AI participation.

Internet access continues to expand, and satellites are opening new possibilities for closing remaining gaps. Despite this progress, huge disparities in affordability, speed, and data usage remain between richer and poorer countries. A cohesive policy approach is essential to expand affordable connectivity, including reliable electricity, and lay the groundwork for AI-ready economies. 

Explore the chapter  |  Download infographic

Chapter 3

The transformative power of AI is fundamentally reliant on compute.

Compute is the new electricity in the AI era—essential but unevenly distributed. Supply is concentrated among a few firms. While many countries access compute through importing cloud services, this trade remains imbalanced. Governments face a strategic decision: whether to build domestic compute capacity (e.g. data centers) or secure affordable access to international cloud infrastructure.

Explore the chapter  |  Download infographic

Chapter 4

Context determines the capabilities of AI.

AI model capabilities hinge on the quantity, quality and diversity of the data that trains them, and the growing data industry shows strong investor appetite for these assets. While English dominates training data today, emerging formats like video create new opportunities for low- and middle-income countries to participate. Developing countries are navigating AI adoption of open-source and proprietary models. The key  is ensuring models can be adapted to local economic, cultural, and institutional contexts—turning global data resources into locally relevant AI solutions. 

Explore the chapter  |  Download infographic

Chapter 5

Competency is a pre-requisite for AI participation and jobs.

Digital skills are now a baseline across many occupations, and AI is reshaping labor markets globally. Skills gaps are uneven, but AI-related jobs are growing faster in middle-income countries than high-income countries, and generative AI skills are expanding beyond ICT roles. Many low- and middle-income countries still face challenges in building and retaining talent, including supply shortage—due to the lack of quality, industry-aligned education and training programs —and brain drain, key barriers to fully participating in the AI-driven economy.

Explore the chapter  |  Download infographic 

Chapter 6

Conclusion.

As AI becomes part of the fabric of everyday lives across the world, millions cannot be left on the sidelines to watch as innovation transforms society. Investing in the 4Cs—connectivity, compute, context, and competency—represents a strategic, largely no-regret approach for LICs and MICs although specific priorities must be tailored to each nation’s unique circumstances.

Explore the chapter