publicationJanuary 5, 2026

A Healthy Future: Primary Health Care and the Chronic Disease Epidemic in East Asia and Pacific

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In East Asia and Pacific (EAP), people are living longer but not necessarily healthier lives. An epidemic of chronic diseases is taking hold, affecting workers in their prime, eroding productivity, and escalating health care costs. The most effective strategies to address this health crisis are best implemented by a strong primary health care system early on. However, many EAP countries are using outdated models. This new report proposes reforms of primary health care to help deliver a healthier and more prosperous future for people in the EAP region.

The state of health in East Asia and Pacific (EAP) has improved, but challenges remain

Over the past 20 years, the EAP region has seen improvements in key health indicators. Life expectancy has increased, while under-5 mortality rates have fallen. However, the incidence of chronic, non-communicable diseases is growing, lowering quality of life and slowing income growth.

EAP faces a three-dimensional health care challenge across the life cycle:

  • Persistent reproductive, maternal, newborn, and child health (RMNCH) challenges in specific populations,
  • Increasing burden of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) among the working-age population,
  • Chronic health needs of older adults.

The likelihood of premature death is high

The likelihood of premature death (age 30-70) because of NCDs is more than 30 percent in some EAP countries. Population aging and urbanization—major risk factors for chronic disease—are happening at a faster rate in EAP than in other regions. Rising temperatures and increasing pollution are also contributing to the increase in NCDs. 

The promise of primary health care (PHC) lies in its effectiveness, efficiency, and equity

A strong PHC system is best suited to address countries’ current health care needs and future challenges effectively, efficiently, and equitably. NCDs that are not caught early are harder to treat and require lifetime management, resulting in poorer health outcomes, lower quality of life and productivity, and higher treatment costs.

Timor Leste Health
Photo: Tom Perry © 2020 Timor-Leste.

PHC services – from prevention and screening to treatment and disease management – reduce the need for more complex and costly treatments at hospitals, particularly for patients with NCDs. PHC services are based in communities, making them easily accessible to even the rural and marginalized populations. 

But the reality of PHC in EAP falls short of this promise

The Universal Health Coverage Service Coverage Index (UHC SCI)—a Sustainable Development Indicator measuring how well a country provides coverage for essential health services—shows overall improvements in EAP over the past 20 years. However, many countries in the region have lower NCD service coverage than is expected at their income level.

Six attributes of well-functioning PHC systems—accessibility, affordability, quality of care, comprehensiveness, continuity of care, and patient empowerment—also vary among countries in EAP.

Access to PHC services is affected by significant gaps and disparities in the density of health care professionals, particularly physicians, both across and within countries.

Although many EAP countries have policies to provide free PHC services to identified vulnerable populations, lower socioeconomic groups often report financial barriers to accessing care.

Poor quality of care accounts for more than one-third of avoidable mortality in EAP, higher than excess mortality from not receiving care at all.

Although most EAP countries include a range of health promotion, prevention, RMNCH, and NCD services in their PHC benefits package, the PHC workforce composition and allocation is generally inadequate to deliver them.

Indonesia Health Clinic
© Ahmad Satiri / World Bank, Indonesia, 2023.
 

Strategies to enhance this attribute are used to a limited extent in the region.

TABLE 4.4 Use of empanelment, referral requirements for specialized care, and availability of EHRs in PHC

Empanelment and gatekeeping practices are uncommon, and EHR availability varies across EAP.

CountryEmpanelment of populationReferral letter for specialized careAvailability of EHRs at PHC facilities
Brunei DarussalamMandatory for allRequired for specific populationsSome
CambodiaNo empanelmentRequiredSome
ChinaFor specific populationsNot requiredMost or all
IndonesiaMandatory for allRequiredSome
JapanNo empanelmentRequired but weakly enforcedMost or all
Korea, Rep.No empanelmentNot requiredMost or all
Lao PDRFor specific populationsRequiredSome
MalaysiaNo empanelmentRequiredSome
MongoliaNo empanelmentNot requiredMost or all
PhilippinesMandatory for allRequired but weakly enforcedSome
SingaporeFor specific populationsRequired for specific populationsMost or all
ThailandMandatory for allRequiredSome
Timor-LesteNo dataRequiredMost or all
Viet NamMandatory for allRequired but weakly enforcedMost or all
FijiFor specific populationsRequired for specific populationsMost or all
KiribatiNo empanelmentRequiredFew to none
Marshall IslandsNo empanelmentRequired for specific populationsFew to none
Micronesia, Fed. Sts.No dataRequired but weakly enforcedSome
NauruNo dataRequired for specific populationsFew to none
PalauNo dataRequired for specific populationsFew to none
Papua New GuineaNo empanelmentRequired but weakly enforcedSome
SamoaFor specific populationsRequiredSome
Solomon IslandsNo empanelmentRequired but weakly enforcedSome
TuvaluNo empanelmentRequired for specific populationsFew to none
VanuatuFor specific populationsRequiredFew to none

Source: World Bank expert survey.

Note: Data not available for Myanmar and Tonga. EAP = East Asia and Pacific; EHR = electronic health record; PHC = primary health care.

Strategies to enhance this attribute are used to a limited extent in the region.

Why has PHC not realized its potential?

Public health spending as a share of GDP is low in many countries in the region (except in the PICs), which shifts the cost burden to patients, limits availability of services, or both.

Although inadequate financing is a major constraint, inefficient use of current resources is also a challenge, and together they lead to four types of problems: inadequate services, teams, and tools; poor quality monitoring; weak incentives for providers; and a poorly motivated population.

 

Reform actions in four key areas can help achieve the promise of PHC

Enhancing PHC is the most cost-effective strategy to address current and emerging health challenges. Countries should consider actions within the following four reform areas.

Actions to reorient PHC include:

  • Tailor the package of services to population needs and make targeted investments in the teams and tools needed to delivery those services
  • Employ task shifting, telemedicine, and mobile medical clinics
  • Use public financing to purchase essential, high-quality PHC services from the private sector
  • Connect PHC with specialized services using digital technology.

TABLE 6.2 Prioritizing the scope of PHC services according to needs

The scope of PHC services should be prioritized according to each country’s unique population health needs.

CountryUnder-5 mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)Premature mortality from four NCDs (% of deaths ages 30–70)Aging (% of the population age ≥65)
Kiribati5650.83.8
Timor-Leste4919.95.2
Papua New Guinea4136.03.2
Lao PDR4026.84.5
Myanmar4024.96.8
Marshall Islands294.5
Fiji2837.75.9
Philippines2724.55.4
Nauru262.5
Cambodia2422.55.8
Micronesia, Fed. Sts.2446.36.2
Palau229.9
Indonesia2124.86.9
Tuvalu206.4
Viet Nam2021.29.1
Solomon Islands1839.23.5
Vanuatu1839.73.7
Samoa1631.25.2
Mongolia1335.04.6
Tonga1124.86.2
Malaysia818.47.5
Thailand813.715.2
China715.913.7

Source: Original table for this publication.

Note:  — = data not available; NCDs = noncommunicable diseases; PHC = primary health care.

Countries should introduce accountability and transparency in quality monitoring by:

  • Regularly monitoring a broader range of quality indicators
  • Using data systems and digital technologies to enhance real-time quality monitoring
  • Engaging patients and communities in monitoring health services.

 

Community-based monitoring of PHC improved children’s nutritional outcomes in Uganda.

Community-based monitoring of PHC and children’s nutritional outcomes, Uganda
Source: Bjorkman Nyqvist, de Walque, and Svensson 2017.  Note: The left vertical dashed line denotes the mean z score in the control group, and the right vertical line denotes the mean z score in the treatment group. The higher average z score for the treatment group shows better nutritional outcomes.

Using improved data, countries can compel providers to improve care delivery by:

  • Using empanelment and performance-based capitation to incentivize proactive prevention and health promotion:
  • Incorporating lessons from the private sector to inform incentive programs in the public sector.

Countries can drive consumer demand for PHC by:

  • Utilizing digital platforms to promote proactive public health measures;
  • Sending reminders and nudging people to increase uptake of screenings
  • Using financial incentives to promote healthy behaviors

Longer-term improvements

Though many of the reforms described in this report can be implemented today within existing budget and institutional constraints, creating future-ready PHC will require additional resources and investments in infrastructure (digital and physical), medical equipment, and well-trained health workers. Countries must also establish or strengthen public sector institutions to better monitor quality and expand the use of performance-based financing.

Successful reforms will require sustained and cooperative efforts by a range of stakeholders. Evidence-based, credible, and well-sequenced reform agendas developed by ministries of health are crucial. Buy-in and resource allocation by ministries of finance, with emphasis on PHC financing, are critical. Tackling existing and emerging health challenges matters profoundly for both public health and economic growth. 

Authors

Zelalem Debebe

Zelalem Debebe
Senior Economist

Damien de Walque

Damien de Walque
Lead Economist

Young Eun Kim

Young Eun Kim
Economist

Sang Minh Le

Sang Minh Le
Senior Health Specialist

Picture of Aaditya Mattoo

Aaditya Mattoo
Chief Economist

Aakash Mohpal

Aakash Mohpal
Senior Economist

Ronald Mutasa

Ronald Mutasa
Practice Manager

Somil Nagpal

Somil Nagpal
Lead Health Specialist

Son-Nam Nguyen

Son-Nam Nguyen
Lead Health Specialist

Elina Pradhan

Elina Pradhan
Senior Health Specialist

Erin Lyons Sowers

Erin Sowers
Health Consultant

Ajay Tandon

Ajay Tandon
Lead Economist