00:00 So to kick us off,
00:01 we'll hear from
00:02 Init Gill,
00:03 our
00:04 host
00:05 and World Bank Group chief economist and
00:06 senior vice president for Development Economics.
00:09 In his remarks,
00:10 he'll set the tone for our conference,
00:12 offering his perspective on why,
00:14 on why the intersection of
00:16 populism and development is so critical right now
00:19 and what's at stake for policymakers and practitioners alike
00:22 in the
00:24 over to you.
00:34 Thank you very much,
00:35 uh,
00:36 to,
00:36 to,
00:36 uh,
00:38 thank you to everybody who is joining us online and who is here in person today.
00:43 Uh,
00:43 thank you to the teams that have put together the superb schedule
00:46 of subjects and speakers.
00:49 Uh,
00:49 and thank you to everybody who has traveled
00:51 from faraway places like Singapore and Cambridge,
00:54 England,
00:55 to be here today.
00:56 Uh,
00:56 so on behalf of the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy,
00:59 the Center for Global Development,
01:01 And the World Bank Group's Institute for Economic Development,
01:05 I'd like to extend a very,
01:06 very warm welcome
01:08 to all of you.
01:09 So normally in July,
01:11 actually,
01:11 it would be a hot welcome,
01:13 but as it turns out,
01:14 the next 4 days
01:16 will be very pleasant for this time of the year in Washington.
01:19 So our visitors have brought us very good weather.
01:22 So we have dedicated this conference to Stan Fisher,
01:26 who as Chief Economist of the World Bank between 1988 and 1990,
01:31 started the ABCDE.
01:33 So I never really met Stan,
01:35 but you didn't have to
01:38 meet him to be impressed by him or to be influenced by him.
01:41 Um,
01:42 just a quick thing about how he spanned,
01:45 uh,
01:47 He spanned the spectrum in terms of ideas,
01:49 but more importantly,
01:50 how he brought people with different ideas together.
01:52 So he taught both at the University of Chicago and MIT.
01:57 He worked both at the World Bank and the IMF.
02:00 He served in top positions both at the Bank of Israel
02:03 and the US Federal Reserve System.
02:06 And he,
02:06 and he worked both as a public servant and on Wall Street,
02:10 putting in a stint towards the end
02:12 at Citigroup.
02:13 So Stan brought ideas and people with competing ideas together,
02:18 um.
02:20 When he lived
02:21 and it looks like
02:23 he is still doing it today.
02:24 Uh,
02:25 so
02:26 today you'll actually start by hearing from
02:29 Muhammed El-Arian
02:31 and Massoud Ahmad,
02:32 who actually worked with him very,
02:33 very closely.
02:35 Uh,
02:36 uh,
02:36 tomorrow morning at this time you will hear
02:38 from
02:39 our,
02:39 our former president Bob Zelllick,
02:41 uh,
02:41 who also worked with Stan,
02:43 and Bob will give the Stan Memorial,
02:45 and the the Stan Fisher Memorial lecture.
02:47 Now,
02:47 ABCDE I think is a wonderful way to celebrate his life.
02:52 Uh,
02:52 I'm sure he's smiling as he's looking down on us.
02:55 So,
02:55 uh,
02:56 that's what I wanted to actually say today.
02:58 But then Kenan just before this told me that I had to,
03:01 uh,
03:02 he,
03:03 uh,
03:03 he had to tell,
03:04 uh,
03:05 that,
03:06 uh,
03:06 he wanted me to tell you why we picked the subject that we picked,
03:09 OK.
03:10 Uh,
03:11 so instead of words,
03:12 I'm going to just show you two pictures,
03:15 one each about the importance of the subject and the,
03:18 and
03:19 our ignorance about the subject.
03:21 OK.
03:22 Uh,
03:22 so this is the first slide
03:24 and it shows why
03:25 we are talking about populism today.
03:28 Uh,
03:28 that red line there is
03:30 the share of populist governments,
03:31 and as you see,
03:32 it's gone up to about 25%.
03:35 Of independent countries and if you look at
03:37 the dark part that's the that would be right
03:40 wing populism and if you look at the left and if you look at the lighter part
03:44 that would be
03:45 left-wing populism and you see that both of those things are
03:48 on the increase so it's not just one end of the spectrum
03:51 that is dominating the other
03:53 even though if you live in Washington you think it's just one of them,
03:55 right?
03:56 Um,
03:57 so that's the first one,
03:58 but the second one
04:00 is about,
04:00 I think our ignorance about it.
04:02 So if you look at the next slide.
04:05 Um,
04:06 So over the last few days I've been
04:09 I've been looking at
04:10 um
04:11 the web and so on and trying to learn about populism.
04:15 So I
04:16 gave this question to something called word hippo.
04:19 I,
04:19 I,
04:19 I didn't know about this thing,
04:20 yeah,
04:21 and I asked them,
04:22 what is the opposite of populism?
04:24 OK,
04:25 and look at the first thing that it says,
04:27 the noun is opposite of support for the concerns of ordinary people.
04:32 OK.
04:33 If you look at that list of things like elitism,
04:36 repression,
04:37 callousness,
04:38 exclusivity,
04:40 indifference,
04:41 etc.
04:42 it's hard to find a word there that you like,
04:45 OK,
04:46 which means
04:47 That I think that our beliefs about our negative beliefs,
04:50 I think most people have negative beliefs about populists
04:54 are based on something
04:56 that
04:57 that that
04:58 that I suspect it's either the fact that you're a moderate and populists are not.
05:04 Or you're an elitist
05:06 and populist or not.
05:09 Um,
05:09 so
05:10 that's all I'm going to say for now.
05:12 Uh,
05:12 and,
05:13 uh,
05:13 you'll hear a lot more from me over the next few days.
05:16 For now,
05:17 I'd like to hear what Masoud and Mohammed
05:19 and Danny and Rachel have to say.
05:22 So I'm not going to be talking
05:23 anymore.
05:25 I'm going to turn it over
05:26 to the next speaker.
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A video recording of the welcome remarks on Day 1 of The Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics 2025 "Development in the Age of Populism".
SPEAKER: Indermit S. Gill, Chief Economist of the World Bank Group and Senior Vice President for Development Economics.