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Workshop by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery administered by the World Bank about integrating Climate Resilience into Public Investment Management in the Irish Experience.
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00:01 So good morning.

00:01 I'm Bernard Meyers,

00:03 a senior public sector specialist at the World Bank's

00:06 Washington headquarters,

00:07 and I work with

00:10 colleagues in the governance practice,

00:12 including Erskazinsky to

00:14 support disaster resilience and responsive

00:17 public financial management in the Caribbean

00:19 through the Canada-Caribbean Resilience Facility.

00:23 Uh,

00:23 well,

00:23 one of our goals is to bring examples of international good

00:26 practice from both within and from outside the Caribbean region.

00:31 To give inspiration to policy reforms that

00:34 you may be considering in your countries.

00:36 This week we have the opportunity to hear Ireland's experience

00:40 in building capacity for Public Investment Management PIM

00:43 and integrating climate resilience into the planning and budgeting processes.

00:48 Um,

00:48 I'd like to welcome the officers from the Caribbean

00:53 who've really carved out time

00:55 today to connect

00:56 to the meeting,

00:57 and I hope that you will share your own suggestions for future,

01:00 um,

01:01 knowledge exchanges,

01:02 uh,

01:02 as we plan those.

01:04 A recording of this event will be available afterwards for those who joined,

01:07 uh,

01:07 and there's a second,

01:09 uh,

01:09 part of the series with Ireland that's going to take place Thursday,

01:13 and there'll be a reminder about that.

01:16 Perhaps I can give a just a brief

01:18 overview of the agenda.

01:20 In today's webinar,

01:22 we'll hear about Ireland's experience in building and sustaining

01:26 capacity for effective public investment management,

01:30 um,

01:30 the impact of economic volatility on planning capacity,

01:34 and how climate considerations are integrated in the planning process.

01:40 Well,

01:40 opening remarks from Gail Richardson,

01:43 the World Bank's portfolio Operations Manager for the Caribbean,

01:47 to be followed by a brief 10-minute presentation from Tom Ferris,

01:51 a former senior economist from the Department of Transport in Ireland,

01:54 to give some institutional context to

01:56 Ireland's evolution and public investment management.

01:59 And Tom will then lead a discussion with our 3 panelists from the Irish government,

02:04 Kevin Meaney,

02:06 And Ken Clearly from the Department of Public Expenditure,

02:09 National Plan

02:11 uh

02:12 Delivery

02:13 and Reform,

02:14 it's a long name.

02:15 And Evan McMahon from the Department of Environment,

02:18 Climate and Communications.

02:22 Then immediately after the panel,

02:24 we want to hand the floor to our officials from the Caribbean

02:27 to share

02:29 just a little bit of your own challenges and successes

02:32 in building capacity for effective PIMM and integrating

02:36 climate change considerations.

02:38 Uh,

02:38 we aim to save about 20 to 25 minutes for sharing country experiences

02:42 and any questions you have for the panelists,

02:44 and then Alberto Leighton,

02:45 the practice manager for governance and public sector institutions.

02:49 Uh,

02:49 we'll close the meeting with his observations

02:52 and reflections.

02:54 So with that,

02:55 I'd like to invite

02:57 Gyle

02:58 to give her

03:00 Uh,

03:01 opening remarks.

03:02 Uh,

03:03 Gayle,

03:04 over to you.

03:05 Thank you.

03:05 Can you hear me?

03:08 Yes,

03:08 we can.

03:08 OK,

03:09 terrific.

03:10 Glad to be a part of,

03:12 and given the list of speakers and uh discussions

03:16 that we're planning to have for this meeting,

03:18 I would very much like to keep my,

03:20 um,

03:21 opening remarks very short.

03:23 I'm eager to hear what you have to say.

03:25 So yes,

03:26 and Gail Richardson,

03:27 I manage the portfolio of the World Bank in the Caribbean,

03:31 and,

03:31 um.

03:32 I'm excited about this

03:34 panel discussion and this topic because it is the highest priority for us as the

03:41 World Bank Group and what we can do to support countries that are grappling.

03:46 We all saw the challenges that we faced just this year with

03:50 Hurricane Adalia,

03:52 Tropical Storm Ian,

03:54 the um

03:55 most recent one with

03:57 a Category 5 hurricane.

03:59 Otis in Mexico that led to the loss of,

04:02 of life.

04:04 I was in Dominica on October 21st when we had tropical storms Tammy come through and

04:12 although the damage was minimal,

04:14 uh,

04:14 the,

04:15 the pain or the fear that you experienced uh from,

04:19 from people living in Dominica was profound and

04:23 A real eye opener for me.

04:25 So we all know about the importance of quality infrastructure

04:29 and also mitigating the impacts of climate change more broadly,

04:33 but quality public infrastructure is really key to our strategy to

04:38 um

04:39 both minimize the impact of these storms and provide a,

04:43 a safe environment for the people on the ground.

04:47 So,

04:47 uh,

04:48 within this context,

04:49 I want to thank

04:51 Profusely,

04:52 the Canadian

04:53 Caribbean Resilience Facility,

04:55 CRF as we call it,

04:57 and it has been uh not only for hosting this this seminar,

05:02 but also for

05:03 the,

05:04 the

05:05 Um,

05:06 making available some extremely important resources that

05:09 have been used for providing technical assistance,

05:12 capacity building,

05:14 developing our partnerships,

05:16 and,

05:16 um,

05:17 it's been instrumental in delivering just in time

05:20 support to accelerate the implementation of projects and bolster the resiliency.

05:26 Uh,

05:27 so Canada's commitment obviously goes beyond the,

05:30 the CRI,

05:31 um,

05:31 the CRF,

05:32 and,

05:33 and we're very grateful for their public,

05:36 um,

05:37 and their public positions and reminders to the

05:40 global community about the importance of this topic.

05:43 Most recently,

05:44 Prime Minister Trudeau

05:46 in the meeting with the,

05:48 um,

05:48 last month's Canada CARICOM discussion summit in Ottawa.

05:52 Um,

05:53 reaffirming Canada's commitment and,

05:55 and indeed we,

05:56 we,

05:57 we are hopeful that more countries will join in this endeavor.

06:02 Um,

06:03 so I very much want to welcome to the government of Ireland to this conversation,

06:08 so we're very well aware of your commitment and dedication to

06:13 this topic,

06:14 and indeed,

06:15 we're,

06:15 I'm personally quite intrigued by

06:18 the A Better World,

06:20 which seems to provide a nice framework for engagement and,

06:24 and

06:24 a demonstration of the government of Ireland's commitment to the topic,

06:28 these topics,

06:29 a range of topics,

06:30 but

06:31 Not only having a better world

06:34 prepared and released,

06:35 but also the,

06:37 the commitment of the

06:38 government of Ireland to increase its

06:41 financing for development and,

06:44 um,

06:45 you know,

06:45 and,

06:46 and more broadly,

06:47 and we're,

06:48 we're eager to deepen our engagement on this particular topic.

06:54 So,

06:54 um,

06:55 we're,

06:56 we're happy to have this knowledge exchange

06:59 experience

07:00 being

07:01 taking place,

07:02 and I'm very grateful to Bernard and the team for

07:05 organizing it.

07:06 I'm eager to hear from the countries themselves too about

07:10 their thoughts and reflections and what we can do to,

07:13 to better assist them.

07:15 Um,

07:15 so I wanna just end by reaffirming our commitment to the Caribbean countries to

07:24 support their efforts in this agenda of greater resiliency.

07:28 Um,

07:29 express again our appreciation to the government of Canada for their

07:33 tremendous support and

07:36 interest in our part on

07:38 expanding our,

07:39 the,

07:39 our engagement with the government of Ireland.

07:42 So let's have this seminar be a,

07:44 a terrific and important step forward.

07:47 Thank you so much.

07:48 I'm eager to hear the panelists.

07:59 Tom,

08:00 uh,

08:01 feel free to,

08:01 I think,

08:02 uh,

08:03 Mark will be projecting your slides.

08:06 Well,

08:06 that's fine.

08:07 Yeah,

08:07 great.

08:07 So we start with the first.

08:09 Good morning everybody,

08:10 uh,

08:10 lovely to be here.

08:12 Um,

08:13 and

08:14 so we start with the first slide.

08:21 And the second slide,

08:23 in,

08:24 in,

08:24 in making my short presentation,

08:26 this little 6 sections.

08:29 Two little sections on the EU,

08:31 2 on the fiscal crisis,

08:33 one on significant changes that I think

08:36 people will be interested in,

08:38 and the last is planning for the future.

08:40 My big point there is,

08:42 uh,

08:42 things keep moving,

08:44 things don't stand still.

08:45 But let me give you a very

08:47 quick historical context.

08:49 60 years ago,

08:50 the Irish economy was very inward looking.

08:52 Net emigration and population were in decline.

08:56 And that reflected limited employment and weak income generating capacity.

09:01 But,

09:01 there was a seminal report in 1957

09:04 written by

09:05 Doctor Ken Whittaker,

09:06 who was head of the Department of Finance,

09:09 and he argued that,

09:10 quote,

09:10 sooner or later,

09:12 protection will have to go

09:14 and the challenge of free trade,

09:15 accepted.

09:17 And that's what happened.

09:18 It did take some time.

09:19 It wasn't easy.

09:21 Free trade agreement with

09:23 Britain,

09:24 membership of the EU

09:26 in 1973,

09:27 and

09:28 they helped transform the Irish economy,

09:31 helped greatly by inward foreign direct investment.

09:34 That was quite a catalyst.

09:36 And Ireland's Industrial Development Authority played

09:39 an extremely important role in attracting

09:42 foreign firms into Ireland.

09:45 Also,

09:45 the raising educational attainment of the labor force

09:49 influenced greatly the growth of the economy.

09:52 But it was the EU membership that was that extra ingredient slide to.

09:57 And

09:59 there

10:00 is this phrase we use a lot,

10:02 capacity building,

10:04 but it was the opening up of markets,

10:06 the single market in the European Union,

10:08 and then some

10:10 significant funds from the EU as well as the adoption of the euro currency.

10:15 But let you,

10:16 let me give you my definition of capacity building.

10:19 It's the ability of people and organizations to improve

10:23 their management skills and expertise

10:26 in order to manage the areas of work for which they're responsible,

10:30 but we can all do better in terms of improving,

10:34 creating,

10:35 and adapting our professional capacity over time.

10:38 And that's where the advent of the EU meant that

10:40 many changes and innovations impacted on the Irish public sector.

10:45 Take just one innovation,

10:47 the EU

10:48 set up a dedicated evaluation unit in the late 1990s in Ireland,

10:53 and that was used to oversee the allocation of EU funds

10:56 for the national development and operational program.

11:00 But more importantly,

11:01 that unit advised and assisted

11:04 the Irish civil servants and the commission

11:06 on the evaluation of EU structural Funds,

11:10 and that unit also coordinated and promoted best practice.

11:14 When I was preparing this seminar,

11:16 I went and dug around,

11:17 still could find a hard copy of

11:19 Working rules and Cost-benefit analysis 1999.

11:23 Next slide,

11:23 please.

11:26 And

11:26 that's where

11:27 the real

11:30 benefit

11:31 had come.

11:31 The funds are great,

11:33 but it's the fact that institutional changes had to occur as well.

11:37 That's where the Irish civil services got their wake-up call,

11:41 and I was

11:42 one

11:43 there at that stage.

11:45 We had to quickly learn what was required

11:48 to manage EU funds to be part of a process that hadn't been there previously.

11:52 So it was a transformative effect

11:55 that was

11:57 experienced by the Irish Civil Service.

11:59 As the poorest member of the then EU,

12:02 Ireland in 1993 had been weak in terms of negotiating ability,

12:07 but its rights

12:08 as a member state were enshrined in the EU laws that they'd signed up to,

12:13 and the diverse membership of the EU meant that

12:15 conditions could be formed to further Irish economic interest.

12:18 So that participation in the structures

12:21 of the European Union helped develop

12:24 a broad awareness and capability.

12:26 lessons were learned,

12:28 experiences were gained.

12:30 In short,

12:31 capacity was being built up through the Irish public sector.

12:36 On the next slide.

12:39 If I may.

12:40 And that just,

12:41 I will very briefly,

12:42 it's to look at it to show that where one had been in,

12:45 in a stovepipe to an extent in,

12:48 in a ministry doing work,

12:49 suddenly you had to engage

12:51 using the guidelines,

12:53 doing the appraisal,

12:54 doing the planning,

12:55 and having

12:56 uh coordinating committees widely represented

13:00 at meetings where

13:02 things were evaluated.

13:03 So the circle was there in terms of the planning.

13:07 Uh,

13:07 the appraisal,

13:09 the building,

13:10 and then the back check to see how did we do.

13:13 And so we can move to the next slide.

13:17 The next slide is

13:18 recognizing that things didn't go perfectly for Ireland at all,

13:22 at all.

13:23 Well,

13:23 we're doing very well up to 2008,

13:26 export,

13:27 export-led growth was doing very well.

13:30 There came a change with the fact that from the year 2000,

13:35 growth was continuing,

13:36 but there was a property price and construction

13:40 bubble taking place.

13:42 And while the boom sustained employment and output growth until 2007,

13:47 when the banks fueled the boom,

13:49 they exposed themselves both to the funding and solvency pressures.

13:53 And then in

13:54 throughout the world,

13:55 there were fiscal crises.

13:58 Ireland's governments had brought about industrial peace with tax reductions,

14:02 but that

14:05 reduction in tax meant that the tax base was increasingly vulnerable to a turndown.

14:11 So,

14:11 among the triggers of a property bubble

14:14 was the sharp fall in interest rates followed by Euro membership.

14:18 And the Eurozone didn't serve Ireland well at that stage.

14:21 Signs that should have been there about excesses

14:24 were not

14:26 distributed

14:27 significantly.

14:29 And without those prompts,

14:30 Irish policymakers

14:31 neglected the basics of public finance,

14:34 wage policy,

14:35 and bank regulation.

14:37 And so we were badly hit by the financial crisis.

14:40 So I'll show you this slide,

14:41 we now move to the next one.

14:43 My,

14:44 my main reason for giving

14:46 this particular one because here we are back to capacity again.

14:50 Capacity

14:51 badly dented in that employment fell by 14% between 2007 and

14:56 2011.

14:58 The rate of unemployment soared,

15:00 an increase of 10%

15:02 between 2007 and 2011,

15:04 so

15:05 lots of emigration.

15:08 Lots of losses of skilled people.

15:11 And these negative developments affected Ireland greatly.

15:16 The loss of corporate memory,

15:18 the loss of skilled jobs and emigration.

15:21 Now,

15:21 recovery did take place.

15:23 Before I say something on that,

15:25 let me

15:26 go to the next slide,

15:27 which is

15:29 Ireland had to tolerate the troika.

15:31 The Troika came to town,

15:33 and the Troika being the IMF,

15:35 European Central Bank,

15:36 European Commission,

15:37 on a bailout of

15:38 nearly 70 billion.

15:41 Ireland met all the targets,

15:43 so there's a very

15:45 perceptible track record there.

15:46 Targets were set,

15:47 some of them quite onerous.

15:49 But they were met and Ireland successfully exited at the end of 2013,

15:55 and so the recovery started.

15:57 But it had had to

15:59 take on board many changes in terms of budgetary management,

16:02 multi-year fiscal planning,

16:05 and

16:06 a return to planning

16:09 in a national development planning context,

16:12 because of course investment had suffered during the fiscal crisis.

16:17 The very last line of that slide is significant

16:20 because it was with a piece of legislation,

16:22 the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council was set up,

16:25 and this is a body that still plays

16:28 a very important role in the Irish context.

16:30 Putting my own language on it,

16:32 there's a healthy tension

16:33 between the Irish Fiscal

16:35 Advisory Council and Irish government,

16:37 but it's there,

16:38 it,

16:38 it,

16:38 it is set in legislation

16:40 and it provides an independent assessment of official budgetary forecasts.

16:46 And fiscal policy objectives,

16:48 and indeed in very recent times

16:51 has produced a significant paper on climate change,

16:54 which allows me to move to my next slide.

16:58 And,

16:59 and we here it is

17:01 a new government

17:02 after the fiscal crisis.

17:05 And

17:05 since Gay used an acronym,

17:07 I,

17:07 I get,

17:08 I am allowed the freedom to use an acronym.

17:11 I would call thisender

17:13 because it's the Department of Public Expendituturn and Reform with the

17:16 added name of National Development Plan in the middle of it.

17:18 So.

17:19 At this juncture in 2011,

17:21 it was set up for the first time

17:23 following a splitting of the old Department of Finance into two.

17:27 Finance

17:28 continuing to do its important work on the economy,

17:31 fiscal and financial policy goals.

17:35 Deepender or as it was then,

17:37 deeper,

17:38 managing public expenditure

17:40 and also a very good innovation,

17:42 the Irish Government Economic and

17:44 Evaluation Service IGS

17:46 and I would suggest to people they may well like to visit that website

17:50 by Googling it after this seminar

17:53 because it's quite

17:55 a useful library of documents that they have produced in their work.

17:59 And that lets me move to my next slide.

18:03 And in my next slide,

18:04 we,

18:05 we do come to tender

18:07 and and it makes for this seminar being very topical and timely

18:12 because

18:14 so much continues to happen in this context.

18:17 The fact that the tender

18:19 uh with this new title

18:21 has a new function in terms of financing climate action

18:27 er

18:27 in particular.

18:29 Has been responsible as well for the

18:33 National Development plan,

18:35 because National Development Plan is a an important

18:39 tool

18:40 in the overall development of economic and fiscal policy.

18:45 The spending code,

18:47 and again,

18:49 having to think about language,

18:52 I felt it was worth

18:53 saying

18:54 a little about this so this clarity about what it is in Ireland.

18:58 It is a code.

19:00 Yes,

19:00 and it has rules,

19:02 procedures and guidance

19:04 for money stand

19:05 and value for money standards.

19:07 So it's guidance on how to carry out economic appraisal,

19:11 apply

19:12 the values one does in terms of test discount rates,

19:15 etc.

19:16 and it's incumbent on each accounting officer and each state agency

19:20 to ensure they comply with it

19:22 and and that they manage

19:24 capital budgets

19:25 overall and capital

19:28 individual projects as well.

19:30 And so to the next uh slide.

19:34 Which is my last slide.

19:36 And it is again capturing the fact that for the first time,

19:39 Ireland has a Climate Action Act,

19:42 which sets down specifically

19:45 responsibilities right through the public sector and indeed

19:49 into the private sector.

19:50 And for this,

19:51 I'm mentioning a third department,

19:53 Department of the Environment,

19:54 Climate and Communications,

19:56 and we're very happy to have

19:57 a representative from that department at this seminar.

20:01 Again,

20:01 in terms of timeliness,

20:02 it's very interesting

20:04 that in the budget

20:06 for 2024,

20:08 on the 10th of October,

20:09 there are two funds.

20:11 Which have been

20:13 introduced and they will be set down on legislation,

20:15 and there's a reference there,

20:17 people may wish to look afterwards at the

20:20 regulatory impact assessment carried out on them.

20:22 Basically,

20:23 in very simple terms,

20:24 it is

20:25 to

20:26 have a

20:28 means over a period of time in the economy to counteract and smooth

20:34 out any

20:36 downturns that might occur in the economy.

20:42 Thank you,

20:42 Bernard.

20:43 I have stuck to my 10 minutes.

20:48 Thank you very much,

20:49 Tom.

20:50 Uh,

20:50 before you begin the pan panel,

20:52 I just wanted to encourage,

20:53 uh,

20:54 our participants

20:55 to add any comments or questions in the chat.

20:59 Uh,

21:00 they will be seen by everyone.

21:01 If you

21:02 don't want them to be seen,

21:03 you could send them to BA,

21:05 BEA,

21:06 and,

21:07 um,

21:08 and she will,

21:08 uh,

21:09 share them anonymously.

21:11 Uh,

21:11 I also just wanna,

21:13 um,

21:14 Take a moment just to encourage you also uh to think about

21:18 after the panel,

21:19 uh,

21:19 to share your own country experiences,

21:21 uh,

21:22 perhaps you've had similar experiences as the Irish experience,

21:25 feel free to share those,

21:26 or also,

21:27 uh,

21:28 just challenges you may experience,

21:29 successes you may have experienced in building capacity

21:32 and integrating,

21:33 uh,

21:33 climate considerations.

21:34 So,

21:35 and with that,

21:35 uh,

21:36 over back to you,

21:37 Tom,

21:37 with the panel.

21:39 Thank you very much.

21:40 Um,

21:42 and I want to

21:43 thank our three panelists.

21:45 Uh,

21:45 they've been very helpful to me in preparing for this.

21:49 And so let me start into it with with with

21:52 a question

21:53 to Ken Cleary from Deepender using that acronym acronym again.

21:59 It is very interesting to note that your

22:02 minister Pascal Donoghue announced in the recent budget

22:06 that

22:08 New infrastructure guidelines will be published in

22:11 the coming weeks to ease the administrative burden

22:14 of approving the National Development Plan.

22:18 Unquote

22:19 Hey,

22:20 Ken,

22:20 could you tell us what impact the new guidelines are likely to have?

22:25 Yeah,

22:26 thanks,

22:26 Tom.

22:27 Uh,

22:27 first of all,

22:28 I'll just introduce myself to everyone if that's OK.

22:30 Hi everyone,

22:31 my name is Ken Cleary.

22:32 I'm a principal officer at the Department of Public Expenditure,

22:35 National Development Plan Delivery and Reform,

22:38 or,

22:38 uh,

22:38 as Tom calls itender,

22:40 which,

22:40 which is we also do here.

22:42 Um,

22:43 I'm responsible for the department's climate research

22:45 unit and I'm also responsible for expenditure management

22:48 on energy and environment and climate change matters,

22:51 uh,

22:52 in,

22:52 in the department,

22:53 so.

22:54 We tend to work very closely with uh my,

22:56 my climate research side and with my responsibility

22:59 for expenditure on energy and climate matters.

23:01 We work very closely with colleagues in the National Investment Office,

23:04 uh,

23:04 in,

23:05 in two respects.

23:06 One,

23:06 it's making sure that the public spending code,

23:08 these rules that we've talked about

23:09 here adequately incorporate climate considerations.

23:13 But to tend to make sure that they're fit

23:15 for purpose and that they can actually be used

23:17 uh effectively and efficiently by departments

23:20 as developing capital expenditure proposals.

23:22 And I think I get a really interesting view on that,

23:25 on the sort of the,

23:26 the

23:26 theory side of it working uh on climate research,

23:30 ensuring that it takes account of those climate considerations.

23:33 But then also with my role

23:34 dealing with the departments on energy and climate change,

23:37 making sure that what's actually developed

23:39 can be

23:40 workable and implementable.

23:41 In the time frame that we needed

23:42 to be for developing complex capital infrastructure projects

23:46 and really that's what the minister's quotes were all about.

23:49 It's making sure

23:52 that the thresholds

23:53 in terms of which the point at which we employ the level of analysis that we apply

23:58 is appropriate for the size of the project.

24:01 But then also making sure that the steps

24:03 and the accountability

24:04 for completing those various steps

24:06 are,

24:07 are,

24:07 are appropriately aligned and appropriately balanced.

24:10 So what we've changed really in the code and,

24:13 and are in the process of finalizing that at the moment

24:16 is to move it back to just two consent stages

24:19 for government

24:20 for those most significant projects.

24:23 The government will only look at projects twice.

24:25 They look at the preliminary business case.

24:27 And then they will look at the final business case.

24:30 And that's very important and it was a very

24:31 deliberate strategy to look at those two cases,

24:34 because the preliminary business case

24:36 is effectively

24:37 has the department settled on the right option to solve the policy

24:42 issue in question.

24:43 So this should be right at the start of the process

24:46 when the department is considering,

24:47 well we have a policy problem here,

24:50 we have a host of options here,

24:52 and here's our preliminary business case.

24:55 To select which one we think is the most appropriate

24:58 tool to solve the problem in question.

25:01 So that's where we want government approval,

25:03 so to ensure that that the entire government system is bought into this,

25:07 the proposed solution by the department being the

25:09 right one to address the policy point in,

25:12 in,

25:12 in,

25:12 in question.

25:13 And secondly then,

25:14 the only time the government will then be asked to look at the project again

25:17 is at the final business case stage of it,

25:20 when we've gone through the tendering

25:22 for the works

25:23 to support um the project in question.

25:25 So again,

25:26 when we're absolutely sure

25:27 this is the project we're delivering,

25:29 here's all the risks,

25:31 costs,

25:31 benefits,

25:32 and here's the pre-tender or here's the post tender actual prices

25:37 that

25:37 the government is going to pay for this project in question.

25:41 So simplifying that down to two steps.

25:43 Uh,

25:43 we're still going to have external reviews of major projects,

25:47 but we're changing the threshold

25:48 for those to be above 200 million.

25:51 And then the departments themselves

25:53 will be the approving authorities,

25:55 and they will have just 3 steps

25:58 in terms of that preliminary business case that

26:00 I've talked about will go to government.

26:01 Then also a step on pre-tender,

26:04 again,

26:05 are we certain that what we're selecting here in terms

26:07 of the works is the right mix of them,

26:09 and then at that final business case.

26:11 So 3 steps for the approving authority,

26:14 2 steps for government,

26:15 with an additional step at external review.

26:17 Where it's above 200 million.

26:18 So those are the main changes.

26:20 We think that still retains the core elements of what the code is seeking to do,

26:24 which is to lead to better policymaking

26:26 and better projects.

26:28 But we do think this streamlined approach will be more effective at doing that

26:33 and insurers,

26:34 um,

26:35 should streamline the pro the process of projects through the code.

26:38 The other changes that we're making to the code are largely climate related.

26:42 And in particular,

26:43 we're proposing to very significantly increase the shadow price of carbon

26:47 that we apply to investment appraisal.

26:51 We're doing this

26:52 because we price carbon in the,

26:54 in our public spending code and the new infrastructure guidelines

26:58 according to the marginal cost of abatement.

27:00 So in other words,

27:01 we look at the infrastructure over the lifetime of its of its existence,

27:06 um,

27:07 20 to 30 years is,

27:08 is,

27:08 is typical,

27:09 and we assess the impact on emissions that project will have

27:12 over that timeline.

27:14 We then price those emissions

27:16 according to what it will cost the government

27:19 to abate any extra greenhouse gas emissions that the project

27:22 may give rise to that marginal abatement cost of,

27:26 of abatement.

27:27 And that marginal cost then is linked to our climate targets.

27:31 Um,

27:31 we have very aggressive climate targets in Ireland,

27:34 which you'll hear a lot more from Evan,

27:36 uh

27:36 uh

27:37 uh

27:37 later,

27:38 and we have worked with research institutes and universities in Ireland.

27:42 To,

27:43 to know what the marginal abatement cost will be for achieving those targets,

27:47 and I said we're working that now into our public spending code,

27:50 and because our targets

27:51 have very significantly increased since the last time

27:54 we looked at our public spending code,

27:56 so too will the shadow price of carbon.

27:58 And we're proposing a shadow price of carbon that is,

28:01 I suppose,

28:01 multiples of the current level it is at the moment.

28:04 We've also been working with the OECD and

28:07 with some others on valuing climate adaptation.

28:09 Sounds like it'll be of a lot of interest to the,

28:12 to the Caribbean.

28:13 And we're also then going to look

28:15 at the role that ecosystem services and biodiversity

28:19 can play in the public spending code.

28:21 Although that will not be ready for this version of the public spending code,

28:24 that's a more medium term task,

28:27 but one that we do think

28:28 is,

28:28 is necessary

28:30 because with climate mitigation.

28:32 As I said,

28:32 it's quite easy to link monetary values to our climate targets.

28:36 Well,

28:36 easy is probably the wrong word,

28:37 but there's a theoretical framework for doing so,

28:40 and one that's readily understandable

28:42 by the practitioners of this code.

28:44 Um,

28:45 but in terms of how we might

28:46 provide for climate adaptation,

28:48 how we might value ecosystem services,

28:50 and how we might value biodiversity,

28:52 these are thornier problems,

28:53 which will not be in this round of revision of the code,

28:56 but something we've committed to,

28:57 to working to over,

28:58 over time.

28:59 So

28:59 that's a very quick favor,

29:01 Tom,

29:01 but I hope it gives you some sense

29:02 of,

29:03 of what we're doing at the moment.

29:06 That that's,

29:06 that's very helpful.

29:07 I'll just make one comment because it's something that I,

29:10 I keep an eye on,

29:12 and,

29:12 and it is.

29:14 Deepender,

29:14 forgive me for using the depender,

29:17 and your minister haven't been afraid to make changes when they have seen

29:22 under the heading of fit for purpose to make those changes,

29:25 albeit there have been changes made in December 2019

29:28 in the rollout.

29:30 Now these are changes that are required

29:32 and they are going to be made.

29:34 So let me move on to Kevin Meaney.

29:36 Kevin,

29:37 And the topicality on my question is that last Friday,

29:41 the IMF staff's concluding statement,

29:44 having

29:45 been on their mission to Ireland,

29:47 they stated that strengthening

29:49 public investment,

29:50 efficiency

29:52 and ensuring timely execution of the capital budget

29:56 will be critical to deliver

29:58 on the government's ambitious goals

30:00 in the national development plan

30:02 while ensuring value for money,

30:05 unquote.

30:06 Is your department doing enough to meet these aspirations from the IMF?

30:12 Tom,

30:13 yeah,

30:13 yeah,

30:13 and,

30:14 uh,

30:14 just give a quick introduction.

30:15 Yeah,

30:15 so Kevin Meaney,

30:16 uh,

30:17 from the same department as,

30:18 as,

30:18 as Ken,

30:19 so the Department of Public Expenditure,

30:21 NDP Delivery and reform.

30:23 So yeah,

30:24 no,

30:24 no thanks,

30:25 Tom.

30:25 Um,

30:25 yeah,

30:26 the,

30:27 so that particular question,

30:28 you know,

30:29 I say we,

30:29 we actually had a meeting with the IMF,

30:31 uh,

30:31 uh,

30:31 last week when they're,

30:32 they're over on their,

30:34 their,

30:34 uh,

30:35 visit,

30:36 uh,

30:36 uh,

30:36 and,

30:37 and reviewing,

30:38 I suppose,

30:38 the Irish

30:39 system and finances and,

30:40 uh.

30:41 So,

30:42 yeah,

30:42 I know,

30:42 we had a,

30:42 we had a chance to kind of go through

30:44 some of the issues as we see it and,

30:45 and maybe some of the solutions that we are trying to,

30:48 to put in place.

30:48 So,

30:49 yeah,

30:49 to your question,

30:50 absolutely,

30:51 um,

30:52 we're in the,

30:53 I suppose in,

30:53 in the initial process of,

30:55 of,

30:55 of reviewing and,

30:56 and,

30:57 and definitely reforming some of our processes.

30:59 So,

31:00 uh,

31:00 since,

31:01 uh,

31:02 around this time last year,

31:03 there was,

31:03 there was,

31:03 there was a change of government,

31:05 um,

31:06 the same party stayed in,

31:07 but the,

31:07 in terms of the,

31:08 the personnel.

31:09 They,

31:09 they changed roles.

31:10 So,

31:11 uh,

31:11 in particular,

31:12 our current ministers,

31:13 uh,

31:13 Mr.

31:13 Pascal Donoghue,

31:15 and he

31:15 came back to this department,

31:17 uh,

31:17 in,

31:17 in December of last year,

31:19 uh,

31:19 and alongside

31:21 the,

31:21 uh,

31:21 the,

31:22 um,

31:22 I suppose the,

31:23 the role,

31:23 the existing role,

31:25 uh,

31:25 as you,

31:25 you said out Tom earlier in your slides,

31:27 that the name of the department changed,

31:29 so we had the additional

31:31 term national Development Plan delivery.

31:32 So it was added into the title of our,

31:34 of our department.

31:36 So over

31:37 opening three months of this year,

31:39 um,

31:39 we set out,

31:40 um,

31:41 to,

31:41 to do a,

31:42 a,

31:42 a proposed approach to government exactly how we are

31:45 going to boost essentially national development plan delivery,

31:48 boost,

31:49 uh,

31:49 you know,

31:50 the efficiency,

31:51 uh,

31:51 and,

31:51 and the delivery of our national development plan and our,

31:54 and our public capital projects.

31:56 So we came forward in March of this year,

31:58 uh,

31:58 with,

31:58 with a proposed approach,

32:00 uh,

32:00 with 6 priority actions,

32:02 uh.

32:02 So Ken actually quite eloquently covered in

32:05 in the main action one,

32:06 which was

32:07 very much around our public spending code and,

32:09 and infrastructure guidelines,

32:11 Essentially trying to simplify the process,

32:13 uh,

32:14 but keeping all the rigor,

32:15 uh,

32:15 of,

32:16 you know,

32:16 the appraisal processes.

32:18 It was,

32:18 it was the amount of times I think it had to go for

32:20 external reviews and the amount of times I had to go for decision

32:23 was causing

32:24 some blockages,

32:25 uh,

32:25 particularly for big projects,

32:27 uh,

32:27 in the system and.

32:29 We had a review.

32:30 We,

32:30 we had quite a lot of dialogue with,

32:32 with

32:32 partner organizations,

32:34 departments,

32:34 uh,

32:35 and as Ken said,

32:36 I,

32:36 you know,

32:37 we,

32:37 we,

32:37 we put in some substantial changes

32:39 around the process.

32:41 Uh,

32:41 so hopefully that will see some,

32:43 you know,

32:43 as I say,

32:44 in terms of timelines to bring projects to approval for government,

32:48 some shortening of that process.

32:50 The second action was,

32:51 was centered very much on,

32:53 on public procurement,

32:54 uh,

32:54 and,

32:54 and,

32:54 and the kind of.

32:56 Dynamic between the public agencies and,

32:58 and,

32:58 and the private sector,

33:00 uh,

33:00 so

33:01 this seems to be a common issue

33:02 with many countries we've talked to,

33:04 talked to,

33:04 and I'm sure it may be an issue in,

33:06 in the Caribbean,

33:07 particularly

33:08 around,

33:09 you know,

33:09 the amount of construction inflation we've seen,

33:12 uh,

33:12 in recent,

33:13 particularly the last two years.

33:15 Uh,

33:15 there have been a lot of challenges to

33:17 delivery of public capital projects that were underway,

33:19 that,

33:20 that contracts have been signed on,

33:21 but even those that were close to,

33:23 you know,

33:23 close to signing or close to delivery.

33:25 So there's been substantial changes made to our,

33:27 our,

33:27 our procurement processes to

33:30 allow a greater level of price variation within,

33:32 within the clauses,

33:33 you know,

33:34 absolutely,

33:35 we want to get the best value for money,

33:36 uh,

33:37 for,

33:37 for projects,

33:38 but

33:39 in a,

33:39 in a,

33:39 in a state where there is double

33:41 figure inflation,

33:43 it's,

33:43 it's only fair that,

33:44 you know,

33:44 the public does share.

33:46 Some of that burden with,

33:46 with the,

33:47 with the,

33:47 with the developers and the and the and the

33:49 the construction industry,

33:51 uh,

33:51 so that there had to be essentially some move from,

33:53 from the public side.

33:55 And then there's,

33:56 there's a,

33:56 there's a longer term,

33:57 I think,

33:58 uh,

33:58 pathway of work

33:59 to kind of simplify the processes,

34:02 allow for more,

34:03 we would,

34:03 we would say more collaborative engagement between the two sides.

34:06 Uh,

34:07 and the final,

34:08 uh,

34:08 is the final stage is to,

34:10 you know,

34:11 try to increase productivity and efficiency,

34:13 particularly through digitization of the sector.

34:15 So,

34:16 in our contracts,

34:16 we will be demanding,

34:17 you know,

34:18 um,

34:19 The type of things such as building information modeling and,

34:22 and,

34:22 and,

34:22 you know,

34:22 good digital processes to allow us to understand

34:25 exactly what is going into our,

34:27 our buildings and,

34:28 and,

34:28 and,

34:28 and our infrastructure,

34:30 uh,

34:30 it will not only allow us to kind of track program delivery,

34:34 uh,

34:34 better,

34:35 but even touching on some of the points Ken raised,

34:37 it will actually allow us to track carbon embodiment,

34:40 uh,

34:40 better also.

34:41 And then the final,

34:42 just the final key action,

34:44 uh,

34:44 it's,

34:45 it's,

34:45 it's centered around our ministers now come.

34:48 Pretty much on board.

34:49 He,

34:49 he's now chairing this,

34:50 uh,

34:51 it's essentially the National Development Plan delivery board.

34:54 Previously it was,

34:55 it was at official level.

34:55 It was secretaries general,

34:57 but now it's the minister himself,

34:59 uh,

34:59 is chairing this group.

35:01 So actions that really are key to delivery and,

35:04 and I think one of the,

35:05 the critiques,

35:06 I think the IMF centered on was

35:09 our planning system.

35:10 So there's a series of actions around our,

35:12 under our planning system to try and improve.

35:15 Uh,

35:15 it's delivery improved the,

35:17 you know,

35:17 the decision making process and,

35:19 and the,

35:19 the speed at which it comes to decisions.

35:21 Um,

35:22 there's a new bill,

35:23 a new,

35:23 sort of new legislative underpinning for our planning system.

35:25 It

35:26 expected to go through the parliament

35:28 in the next couple of weeks,

35:29 uh,

35:30 and it will probably take a bit of time getting through the parliament,

35:32 but

35:33 it will be commenced very shortly.

35:35 Uh,

35:36 we're reviewing our national planning framework,

35:39 which is essentially our spatial strategy for,

35:41 for the country.

35:42 Uh,

35:43 uh,

35:43 that,

35:43 that's to be done every 6 years,

35:44 but we're commencing that this year,

35:46 uh,

35:46 and it's due to be

35:48 reviewed,

35:49 uh,

35:49 by around April next year.

35:51 And then very much there's a look at the wider,

35:54 uh,

35:54 capability within the planning system.

35:56 Do we have enough planners?

35:57 Do we have enough ecologists,

35:59 uh,

35:59 those types of skill sets.

36:01 To allow us to kind of make timely decisions,

36:04 uh,

36:04 on,

36:05 on planning

36:06 just to,

36:06 to give some context of the people are not,

36:09 uh,

36:09 as aware of Ireland's,

36:11 uh,

36:12 particular challenge we've had

36:13 is

36:14 we actually had a planning system.

36:16 Our,

36:16 our main consenting body is,

36:18 is on board for all the planning board.

36:20 It did,

36:21 uh,

36:22 it had a lot of personnel issues,

36:23 uh,

36:24 for,

36:24 for,

36:24 in the last 18 months,

36:25 and

36:26 it really,

36:26 uh,

36:27 it was whittled down to a very short amount of people on,

36:29 on that board.

36:31 Uh,

36:31 so decisions weren't happening,

36:32 happening in a timely manner.

36:34 And

36:35 in addition to that,

36:36 uh,

36:36 we've had some challenges,

36:38 uh,

36:38 and when we're focusing on climate,

36:39 we've had some challenges in the interaction between the planning system and

36:43 the environmental assessments and regulations that

36:46 need to be met,

36:47 uh.

36:48 As part of a planning process,

36:50 uh,

36:50 with

36:51 a lot of,

36:51 a significant level,

36:52 uh,

36:53 greater level of kind of legal

36:54 challenge and judicial reviews of planning decisions

36:57 that have been an issue.

36:58 So the planning,

36:59 the new planning bill,

37:00 you know,

37:01 some of the key targets is to obviously set a kind of

37:04 more,

37:04 uh,

37:04 critical timelines and,

37:05 and,

37:06 uh,

37:06 timely processes

37:07 by which those,

37:08 those approvals can take place.

37:10 And then just,

37:10 just

37:11 center on two final actions that,

37:13 that the minister himself is kind of leading on.

37:16 One is around for very much around public sector delivery,

37:18 and I know Tom,

37:19 you've,

37:19 you know,

37:20 touched on

37:21 things like IGs and,

37:22 and

37:22 the skill sets that we do have,

37:23 uh,

37:23 in the public system.

37:25 We still have,

37:26 it's,

37:26 it,

37:26 it,

37:26 it's fair to say a shortage of critical skill set in the public system.

37:31 Now this comes after the financial crisis that we did have,

37:34 um,

37:35 you know,

37:35 construction,

37:36 essentially in the country did.

37:38 Grind down to very bare maintenance essentially,

37:41 uh,

37:42 in terms of the public system.

37:43 So a lot of our skill sets and,

37:45 and the people like engineers,

37:46 architects,

37:47 uh,

37:47 all the trades people,

37:49 uh,

37:49 a lot,

37:50 a lot left the country,

37:51 uh,

37:51 and,

37:52 and haven't come back since.

37:53 So it has been a gradual process of,

37:55 of trying to build that back up,

37:56 both in the private sector and the public sector.

37:59 Uh,

37:59 so we have

38:00 many key actions around,

38:01 you know,

38:02 what can we do to encourage people into the sector,

38:04 uh,

38:05 with,

38:05 with support from

38:06 the education system,

38:07 with support from our social protection system,

38:10 trying to,

38:10 uh,

38:10 you know,

38:11 boost the,

38:11 the labor supply more broadly

38:13 and to get some of that obviously into,

38:15 into the public sector as well.

38:16 So I,

38:17 I might,

38:17 I might leave that there,

38:18 Tom.

38:18 That's kind of just some of the key actions that we have underway.

38:22 Thank you very much.

38:23 A very quick.

38:25 Addendum is,

38:26 it it it was very interesting that

38:29 Minister Pascal Donoghue,

38:31 who had been minister in Deer in

38:34 December 2019,

38:35 then moved to Minister for Finance,

38:37 so that he was coming back with a very fresh view at the end of 2022,

38:41 and

38:41 he certainly is making his,

38:43 his mark that in terms of making the needed adjustments.

38:47 So I'll move on at this

38:50 stage to ask.

38:52 Evan,

38:53 and you can introduce yourself.

38:54 Evan,

38:55 who's from,

38:57 well,

38:57 introduce yourself and then I'll ask you a question.

38:59 Is that OK?

39:01 That's fine,

39:02 yeah.

39:02 So Evan McMahon is my name.

39:04 I'm a senior economist in the Department of the Environment,

39:06 Climate and Communications.

39:10 Sorry,

39:11 did you get that?

39:11 I just realized I didn't hold the microphone up to my mouth,

39:14 so I can,

39:14 I can speak again.

39:15 Everybody hear that your,

39:17 your hand.

39:18 They don't know what a is.

39:20 I heard you.

39:21 Evan McMahon anyway,

39:22 Department of Environment,

39:23 Climate and Communications.

39:24 Thank you very much.

39:26 And again,

39:26 it was looking around,

39:27 and I had mentioned in my opening

39:30 statement

39:31 about the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council and the advent of that council.

39:34 But they,

39:35 on their website,

39:36 they have a report on climate change,

39:38 a very recent report.

39:40 And in it,

39:41 they Suggest that quote,

39:43 more work is needed to improve the modeling and precision

39:47 of the climate change impacts we estimate in this paper,

39:51 unquote.

39:52 Would you agree with that statement

39:54 is your department actively engaged in such work?

39:58 Yeah,

39:59 well,

39:59 I mean,

39:59 listen,

39:59 you know,

40:00 um,

40:01 what is it they say,

40:02 all models are wrong,

40:03 but some are useful,

40:04 so I think the more,

40:05 the more the better.

40:07 I have no issue with that.

40:08 I suspect,

40:09 you know,

40:09 the IFAC who you mentioned in your presentation,

40:12 are a fiscal advisory group.

40:13 So,

40:14 um,

40:15 I think where their perspective was coming from was like,

40:18 Traditionally,

40:20 organizations of that nature wouldn't have

40:22 particularly dipped their toe into this

40:24 area,

40:25 but everyone now realizes,

40:26 central banks,

40:27 anyone who's involved with,

40:29 with thinking about,

40:30 um,

40:31 just,

40:31 you know,

40:32 investment needs,

40:34 understands the climate isn't isn't somewhere

40:36 peripheral in a department like mine.

40:38 It's,

40:39 it's an issue that

40:41 you know,

40:41 is ubiquitous,

40:43 because it's going to impact everything.

40:44 So I think where they were coming from was,

40:46 you know,

40:47 They in IFAC need to

40:50 kind of think about this more,

40:51 but,

40:52 but quite apart from them,

40:53 I think we or anyone involved,

40:55 uh,

40:56 probably,

40:56 it's a highly complex area.

40:58 So,

40:59 um,

41:00 so I wouldn't,

41:00 I certainly wouldn't have any difficulty with that statement.

41:05 I come back then

41:07 Uh,

41:09 right,

41:09 right through

41:10 Ken and,

41:10 and

41:11 maybe either yourself.

41:13 Or Kevin in terms of,

41:16 I'd,

41:16 I'd like to hear a little bit more

41:18 for our

41:19 people who are

41:20 on this seminar to

41:22 the significance of the advent of IGS as an instrument in the public sector.

41:29 Which would,

41:29 which of you would like to,

41:32 sure,

41:32 well,

41:32 Tom,

41:32 I might come in on that and give,

41:33 give you my take on it,

41:34 and then Kevin can feel free to jump in afterwards if,

41:37 if,

41:37 if that suits,

41:38 because again I think we have slightly differing models,

41:41 even though we're from the same department like we,

41:43 we,

41:43 we look at these policy issues with,

41:45 with slightly different lenses sometimes,

41:47 um,

41:47 and just really to follow up on Evan's previous point as well,

41:49 um,

41:50 in terms of fiscal Advisory council,

41:51 obviously in the finance ministry here in the Public Expenditure ministry.

41:55 Um,

41:55 the pronouncements of the fiscal Advisory council are,

41:58 are something that we pay attention to.

42:00 And again,

42:01 what it really showed up for me,

42:03 I,

42:03 I think was

42:04 even more so than their projections of the kind of investment requirements

42:08 was how,

42:09 how strikingly they differed

42:11 depending on the policy mix adopted by government.

42:14 Um,

42:14 that the outcomes were,

42:15 were quite,

42:16 quite different,

42:17 and again that was backed up by recent IMF and World Bank reports that,

42:21 that shows,

42:21 you know,

42:21 getting the policy mix wrong on this

42:23 can lead to public debt levels that are kind

42:25 of 45% higher than they would be otherwise.

42:28 And again,

42:29 I'm not sure there's many countries in the world that will be able to

42:31 service debt levels that are 45% in excess of where they are today,

42:35 given that we're still adjusting from,

42:36 from,

42:37 from COVID and everything else,

42:39 so.

42:40 How do we go about doing this?

42:41 Um,

42:42 well,

42:42 I think that brings it right back down to your question.

42:45 How we start getting comfortable in terms of

42:48 building the models,

42:49 understanding the models,

42:50 making these projections is by leaning on resources like IGs

42:54 that are there and were established for exactly this kind of reason.

42:58 It's not that the Irish government never recruited economists before,

43:01 before 2000,

43:01 before the creation of ISIS.

43:03 It was just that there was never a centralized channel for them,

43:06 and there was never the kind of permanent centralized economic

43:10 uh experiences broadly based across departments,

43:14 uh,

43:14 in a way that it hasn't been in,

43:16 in the past.

43:17 So in that regard,

43:18 I think that IIS has,

43:19 has been a,

43:20 a,

43:20 a,

43:20 a,

43:21 a critical resource for the government.

43:23 And I'll give you a couple of practical examples from that.

43:26 I mean,

43:26 one is we,

43:28 I just undertake a series of expost spending reviews of,

43:31 of policy programs on a,

43:33 on a periodic basis.

43:34 And we do,

43:35 particularly in the climate research unit,

43:37 we generally engage with departments and development of

43:40 these and we've published a few very,

43:41 very significant papers

43:43 that have changed kind of policy uh development

43:46 in Ireland and changed policy outcomes from,

43:48 for the better.

43:49 And some of these can only be done from the center.

43:52 One example is looking at the supports that are available for electric vehicles.

43:56 I mean,

43:56 when we looked at this,

43:57 we saw that there were supports coming from a finance ministry,

43:59 our transport ministry,

44:00 our energy ministry,

44:02 from local authorities,

44:03 and from,

44:04 from a whole host of these.

44:05 So trying to accumulate how much

44:07 the government was actually spending on EVs,

44:10 and then weigh this against the emission savings

44:13 that the purchase of an EV was giving us over time,

44:16 allowed us to put a value on the cost per ton being that was being saved.

44:21 But then also it allowed us to put this cost against,

44:23 well,

44:24 here's the projected uptake pathway

44:26 we have for the deployment of,

44:27 of electric vehicles in Ireland,

44:29 and we can see from that then

44:31 we can see that we're going to lose billions in taxation revenues

44:34 in,

44:35 in terms of vehicle sales.

44:37 But also then if the supports were unchanged,

44:40 we'd have a massive liability on the public expenditure side,

44:43 and from that we're able to draw policy conclusions to say that look,

44:47 um,

44:47 the supports,

44:48 the current level of supports as it was at the time are unaffordable.

44:52 But,

44:53 you know,

44:53 an appropriate policy outcome

44:55 is to start toning down those supports for which we achieve the

44:58 least benefit in terms of supporting hybrid vehicles or things like this,

45:02 so there's a pathway or a glide path downwards

45:05 from,

45:05 from those high,

45:06 high subsidies.

45:07 So that's just one practical example in terms of an

45:09 ex post policy review that I just have contributed to,

45:12 but also in terms of the IIS resources that we

45:15 have with the department and backed against that IFAC question.

45:18 We're currently building a CGE model

45:20 um with one of our economic think tanks,

45:23 so that again,

45:24 when the government

45:25 is considering or implementing a climate policy,

45:28 we can plug that into the CGE model and see the economy-wide impacts

45:32 uh of,

45:33 of this proposal before we adopt it,

45:35 and that essentially gives us an early warning,

45:37 particularly to the distributional consequences

45:40 of some of the climate policies that the,

45:42 that the government might be contemplating,

45:44 because again,

45:44 for a finance ministry.

45:46 Knowing who the losers in a particular policy are going to be,

45:50 gives you an insight into where the sort of

45:52 the the the requests or the demands or the calls

45:55 for additional funding are,

45:56 are likely to come from.

45:57 So,

45:59 That's just a flavor of some of the work that I've just been doing on the climate side.

46:03 Would we be able to do this without IIS?

46:06 I'm,

46:06 I'm not sure,

46:07 but certainly we wouldn't be able to do it in this structured way.

46:09 And again,

46:10 having the structure of,

46:11 of,

46:11 of ISIS and the tradition of publishing policy documents like this

46:16 allows us to say.

46:18 You know,

46:18 so it's not government saying that we have to come

46:20 out and cut electric vehicle grants or anything like this.

46:22 It's saying that,

46:23 you know,

46:24 independent economic expertise from the

46:26 Irish government's evaluation services suggests

46:29 that these things are unaffordable in the long run.

46:31 It maybe smooths the passage

46:33 towards policy decisions that might otherwise be be politically unpalatable,

46:37 so it has a real practical benefit

46:39 as well as that theoretical and empirical benefit it has as well,

46:43 so.

46:43 I'm not sure I've gone on a fair bit there,

46:45 I'm not sure Evan or Kevin,

46:47 if you'd like to add anything to that on your,

46:48 on your perspective.

46:51 Yeah,

46:51 no,

46:51 thanks,

46:51 thanks,

46:52 Ken and Tom.

46:52 Yeah,

46:53 I would,

46:55 sorry,

46:55 Tom,

46:55 yeah,

46:56 no,

46:56 no,

46:56 yes,

46:57 please,

46:57 yeah,

46:58 just,

46:58 just,

46:58 uh,

46:58 in the strictly in the,

47:00 I think the public investment space and,

47:02 and,

47:02 and,

47:02 and management.

47:03 So

47:04 Ken referred to the fact that,

47:05 you know,

47:05 we have increased thresholds within,

47:08 within our,

47:08 you know,

47:09 the appraisal frameworks,

47:10 um,

47:11 so just give a context of where we've come from.

47:13 So

47:14 we,

47:14 we had a public spending code essentially,

47:16 um.

47:17 Was first

47:18 put together,

47:19 I say adopted a lot of those EU rules that,

47:21 that,

47:21 that,

47:21 that you mentioned in your presentation,

47:22 Tom,

47:23 uh,

47:23 and put some,

47:24 obviously some domestic guidance on it,

47:26 but in,

47:26 in 2013,

47:27 essentially we defined a major project as €20

47:30 million.

47:31 Um,

47:32 then in 2019,

47:33 we updated the,

47:34 the public spending code and we defined a major project as €100 million.

47:38 Uh,

47:38 and then,

47:39 as,

47:39 as Ken said in earlier this year,

47:41 it's now €200 million.

47:43 Now,

47:43 why IGS has been critical

47:45 to that is

47:47 essentially once something is defined a major project,

47:49 it tends to have to come into our department for a review

47:53 or to an external,

47:54 uh,

47:54 expert group for a review.

47:56 Uh,

47:57 so that's the kind of,

47:58 that's the kind of extra rigor that we apply.

48:00 So anything that falls under that essentially is,

48:02 is dealt with by the department,

48:03 the relevant department themselves.

48:06 So,

48:06 the having the IG's resource in the relevant departments

48:10 has,

48:11 you know,

48:11 I think allowed

48:13 those thresholds to increase overall,

48:16 particularly in the bigger departments that spend

48:18 a lot of capital

48:19 funding.

48:20 They tend to,

48:21 they do have good

48:23 strong I IGs resources.

48:25 They have,

48:26 I think,

48:26 particularly units that are supported at,

48:28 you know,

48:28 a senior level,

48:29 particularly at at at the principal officer grade,

48:32 usually headed up by,

48:33 by an economist with as the economist staff,

48:36 and they are the ones that are now tasked when,

48:39 when those projects that are under 200 million.

48:41 Stay within the sector.

48:42 They are tasked with essentially doing that,

48:44 that review,

48:45 that independent review of the project to assure

48:47 that it has met the kind of criteria,

48:49 uh,

48:50 under the code

48:51 that,

48:51 you know,

48:51 it,

48:52 it is making a good value for money case,

48:54 uh,

48:54 and will

48:55 deliver on the,

48:56 the kind of challenges that,

48:57 that,

48:58 that the,

48:58 the,

48:58 the

48:59 piece of infrastructure is due to meet.

49:01 So

49:01 I don't think we'd,

49:02 we'd have as much comfort here in,

49:04 in our department,

49:05 uh,

49:05 in myself and Ken's department.

49:07 Without the IG system

49:08 in those kind of bigger departments to,

49:10 to kind of do that job on,

49:11 on,

49:11 on,

49:12 you know,

49:13 do a similar job that Per might have done if the project came over to,

49:16 to us.

49:16 So

49:17 that's,

49:17 that's one key change on the kind of EIM side,

49:20 um,

49:20 so.

49:23 Thank you very much.

49:23 And I would echo again a point I made earlier on.

49:26 It's great that there is a website and that has a,

49:29 there's a good library there for people to

49:32 look through and

49:34 projects

49:35 that have been written about that they're interested in.

49:37 Could I switch back to you,

49:38 Evan,

49:40 and talk about the climate action plan.

49:42 Um,

49:42 which was,

49:43 is a first,

49:45 and it is,

49:46 it's legislation.

49:47 It's not just

49:49 a document,

49:50 a white paper

49:51 from government.

49:52 It's actually a

49:53 piece of legislation.

49:54 And,

49:55 and your department

49:56 is,

49:56 takes the lead role.

49:59 Is it fair to ask,

50:00 have you sufficient capacity within your department to manage

50:04 the implementation of this

50:06 very ambitious

50:07 Piece of legislation.

50:10 Thanks,

50:11 Tom.

50:11 I mean,

50:13 Look,

50:13 I,

50:13 I,

50:14 I,

50:14 I don't see this

50:16 particularly through an Irish lens.

50:17 I mean,

50:18 one could,

50:18 one could take the view that it's particularly

50:21 challenging from the Department of the Environment's perspective,

50:23 but I think,

50:24 you know,

50:24 globally it's a very,

50:25 it's,

50:26 it's very challenging.

50:27 We're talking about outside of wartime,

50:29 one of the biggest

50:30 mobilizations or,

50:31 or changes.

50:32 Um,

50:33 I mean,

50:33 obviously we,

50:34 we have COVID in mind as,

50:35 as

50:36 something recently,

50:37 but generally these kinds of societal transformations

50:40 don't occur,

50:41 so,

50:41 um.

50:42 So it is a big challenge.

50:44 I wouldn't shy away from that,

50:45 I wouldn't,

50:45 I wouldn't suggest otherwise,

50:46 but,

50:47 but I think um

50:49 Loved,

50:50 as the guys have alluded to there,

50:53 through I just through

50:54 Uh,

50:55 enhanced modeling,

50:57 we are ramping up,

50:58 but that's not to say that

51:00 that it isn't,

51:01 uh,

51:01 yeah,

51:01 really a challenge,

51:02 and a challenge that goes

51:03 and the and the climate action plan too,

51:05 again,

51:06 if people want to read it,

51:07 it's it's,

51:07 it's Googleable,

51:09 um,

51:10 but it's,

51:11 you know,

51:11 it's actions across the economy.

51:14 It's not just,

51:14 it's not just actions that

51:16 our department would be responsible for.

51:19 So it's quite a,

51:21 you know,

51:21 from

51:22 Agriculture,

51:23 to housing,

51:24 to

51:25 transport,

51:25 to energy,

51:26 like there's there's

51:28 transformations.

51:28 But these will be familiar to people um

51:31 all over the globe because they're not uniquely Irish challenges

51:35 and I suppose

51:36 um we were talking about it before,

51:38 before I came on,

51:39 you know.

51:40 Uh,

51:41 challenges have been highlighted by the IMF,

51:44 um,

51:45 and,

51:45 and they're,

51:46 but,

51:46 but they're,

51:47 what's true of Ireland is true of other countries,

51:49 um,

51:49 but I suppose looking at the IEA's recent document too,

51:52 there's there's kind of a quite

51:54 A good degree of positivity about what can be achieved.

51:57 So,

51:58 um,

51:58 a lot done,

51:59 a lot to do,

52:00 I think is that,

52:01 uh,

52:01 but,

52:01 but I think it is,

52:02 it is a challenge,

52:03 but um,

52:05 but it's not unique in that regard to Ireland.

52:08 Actually,

52:08 Evan,

52:08 you've stimulated me to dig into my papers

52:12 and think,

52:13 pull out something that I think

52:14 people will be interested in,

52:16 and it is that in Ireland

52:18 we have

52:19 a number of state-owned companies,

52:22 we call them state sponsored bodies,

52:24 and it's very interesting that

52:26 in the context of the,

52:27 of the climate action plan,

52:30 that

52:30 piece of legislation.

52:31 There's a specific document that has been

52:34 directed to each of the state bodies,

52:37 specifically on

52:39 climate action

52:41 and where targets have been set

52:43 for each of the state bodies for them to deliver

52:46 on it.

52:47 Indeed,

52:48 looking up to Bernard,

52:49 it may well be if,

52:50 if nothing else,

52:52 we May

52:52 do a list of references after this that might be useful,

52:57 because

52:58 the body that's overseeing this directive process,

53:02 looking for

53:03 state commercial,

53:04 state sponsored bodies to deliver on the

53:07 climate action

53:08 area,

53:08 the body is called New Era,

53:11 which is a lovely title of a body.

53:13 It was just you stimulated that thought that the trickle down,

53:16 it isn't just your department,

53:17 it is

53:19 so many other parts of our public sector

53:22 also have to have to deliver.

53:25 Uh,

53:25 I'm watching time and I'm only going to come back and I,

53:29 I think it probably

53:31 Chen and Kevin,

53:32 it's not.

53:33 Specifically

53:35 your two areas,

53:36 but you might have a view.

53:38 I had drawn attention to because it it it did have an impact in reading the budget,

53:43 uh,

53:44 last month.

53:45 Uh these two new funds,

53:47 if I could use the phrase countercyclical,

53:49 um,

53:51 would you have any

53:52 view you'd like to proffer,

53:54 or is it

53:55 completely outside your zone?

53:58 Oh,

53:58 I,

53:58 Tom,

53:59 I,

53:59 I,

53:59 again,

54:00 I think I can say little and Kevin,

54:01 Kevin can jump in as well,

54:03 um,

54:03 because I suppose the government announced two things and,

54:06 um,

54:07 they,

54:07 they get there's a little bit of confusion,

54:09 I suppose,

54:09 in,

54:09 in the media,

54:11 uh,

54:11 about it,

54:11 so,

54:12 um.

54:13 We announced that there's going to be increased capital spending of

54:16 about 2.25 billion over the over the coming three years.

54:19 Uh,

54:19 this is largely to deal with kind of inflationary pressures and,

54:23 and the intention is that this will be allocated

54:25 broadly as our

54:26 kind of capital decisions have,

54:28 have been taken.

54:29 Uh,

54:29 but then secondly,

54:31 the government specifically agreed to create,

54:33 um,

54:34 a new,

54:35 uh,

54:35 infrastructure fund that will be,

54:37 uh,

54:37 approximately €14 billion in size,

54:40 but within that then.

54:41 To ring fence at least 3.15 billion

54:45 for new climate

54:48 and nature and water quality spending over the period 26 to 30.

54:52 Um,

54:53 so this is essentially

54:55 Um,

54:56 fund new additional capital funding that will supplement

54:59 the existing projects that have been planned,

55:01 planned for that period,

55:03 um.

55:04 For us

55:06 This needs to be legislated for because it's going

55:08 to be coming from windfall corporation tax receipts,

55:11 as in it's going to be funded by corporation tax

55:13 receipts that we do not think will be recurring,

55:16 so it would not make sense for them to

55:17 form part of our kind of permanent expenditure commitments

55:20 because the revenue will not be permanent.

55:22 The revenue will be very,

55:23 very temporary,

55:24 so making.

55:25 You've talked about the previous crisis,

55:27 um,

55:27 um,

55:28 um,

55:28 Thomas,

55:29 but I think making permanent spending commitments on the basis of,

55:31 of transitory revenues,

55:33 certainly one of the key lessons learned,

55:35 learned from that period,

55:36 as was

55:37 the,

55:38 the,

55:38 the risks of overheating the economy.

55:40 So having those things in mind,

55:42 what we're looking at is additional capital spending over the period 26 to 30,

55:46 so a couple of years in,

55:47 in,

55:47 into the future.

55:49 To hopefully that to ease some of those constraints in the economy,

55:52 but also to give departments time to develop appropriate policies,

55:56 and then that spending will be for projects

55:58 that are capital and essentially once-off in nature,

56:01 because that will be the,

56:02 the only revenue that,

56:03 that's available for them.

56:05 So what our role is this needs to be legislated by our department of finance.

56:09 It needs to be adopted by our parliament.

56:11 They need to approve that that the government's,

56:13 uh,

56:14 the wisdom of the government's strategy,

56:15 I suppose,

56:15 in,

56:16 in,

56:16 in relation to this,

56:18 assuming that they do though,

56:19 um,

56:20 our department will likely play some role in

56:22 determining where those funds should be allocated.

56:25 And I suppose in that regard it's a,

56:27 it's a little early to talk about,

56:29 um,

56:30 specifics on it because again the government only agreed this a couple of weeks ago.

56:34 But I think very clearly

56:35 there'll be some kind of prioritization mechanism required

56:39 that can look at projects,

56:40 to look at the climate,

56:41 environmental characteristics

56:43 of individual projects

56:45 and assign them a ranking

56:47 uh to better informed decisions that might be taken by government

56:50 in relation to how it should allocate those funds.

56:53 And really I think what we're talking about here is an evolution

56:56 of,

56:57 of a scheme that we did a couple of years ago,

56:59 um.

57:00 I think it was 2 years ago,

57:01 the government up 3 at this stage,

57:03 the government updated its,

57:05 its capital spending plan,

57:06 the National Development Plan,

57:08 um,

57:09 for the period out to 2030.

57:11 But within that plan,

57:12 uh,

57:12 the government decided that every spending proposal

57:15 must be screened against a range of climate and environmental outcomes,

57:19 and every measure then must receive a traffic light-based score

57:24 against those rankings,

57:25 and that would be used to inform the

57:27 government's decision making on the allocation of funds.

57:30 So this was a big exercise that the Irish government did

57:33 through the climate unit working with in deck,

57:35 working with um

57:37 with with Kevin's team in,

57:38 in the NDP

57:40 to screen at the climate environmental characteristics for every program.

57:42 We're looking at mitigation,

57:44 adaptation,

57:45 impact on biodiversity,

57:46 water quality,

57:48 um,

57:48 and,

57:49 and so on,

57:49 on the impacts of those

57:51 to assign every project a score

57:53 and then to give every score a traffic light

57:56 to then kind of better informed government decision making on it.

57:59 So.

58:00 I think that gave us a good grounding.

58:02 It's imprecise,

58:03 it's qualitative in nature.

58:05 I think in terms of moving on from what we'd be looking at for the

58:08 next fund that we'd be trying to look

58:09 at something that's more quantitative in nature.

58:12 Again,

58:12 look at the specific environmental characteristics

58:15 of the individual investment programs,

58:17 and again,

58:18 trying then to prompt better policy making by departments by,

58:21 you know,

58:22 perhaps looking at the idea of adding additional scores

58:24 for things like the ability to leverage private finance.

58:27 Uh,

58:27 or indeed even if the economy is,

58:29 is still at capacity at that stage,

58:31 look at how we might look at the emissions

58:33 saved versus the labor intensity of construction projects.

58:36 Um,

58:37 but really these are very much kind of just initial thoughts at the outset.

58:40 There's a lot of thinking to be done both in our department and then by government

58:44 in terms of how we will make those decisions

58:46 in terms of the allocation of those funds,

58:48 but I do think it's a point of principle.

58:51 We should be creating a tool that,

58:53 that will give government

58:55 better information

58:56 to allow them to make better informed decisions when it comes to spending that,

59:00 spending those funds.

59:00 I think really that's what

59:02 capital investment uh policy and indeed green budgeting is,

59:05 is designed to do.

59:07 I'm not sure,

59:07 Kevin,

59:07 if there's anything you'd like to add to that.

59:11 Just,

59:11 just a small bit extra on the,

59:12 on the wider,

59:13 so yeah,

59:13 Ken can I

59:15 touched on the 3.15 and I will prioritize that.

59:18 The,

59:18 the wider,

59:19 I suppose the goal is

59:21 for,

59:21 as,

59:21 as you're saying,

59:22 Tom,

59:22 countercyclical fund as well,

59:24 uh,

59:25 and,

59:25 and we're seeking to put 2 billion per annum,

59:28 um,

59:28 from,

59:29 from next year

59:30 out to 2030 into,

59:31 into this fund,

59:32 um,

59:33 so total of 14 billion by,

59:35 by 2030

59:36 and.

59:38 You know,

59:38 for,

59:39 particularly for the challenges that

59:41 Ireland has had in the past,

59:43 when,

59:43 when cycles hit and the,

59:44 and the bad time and the cycle hits,

59:46 uh,

59:46 as a small open economy,

59:48 which,

59:48 you know,

59:48 maybe

59:49 many of the,

59:49 the Caribbean economies would be,

59:51 would,

59:51 would be too

59:52 quite open to outside,

59:53 uh,

59:54 impacts if the,

59:55 the world economy is bad,

59:56 uh,

59:57 the Irish economy is

59:58 generally worse,

59:59 uh,

1:00:00 we get hit very badly,

1:00:01 and when that happens,

1:00:03 of all of the types of spending that we have.

1:00:05 Uh,

1:00:06 capital is by far,

1:00:07 by far the most,

1:00:08 uh,

1:00:09 you know,

1:00:09 cyclical in,

1:00:10 in that nature.

1:00:11 When,

1:00:11 when,

1:00:11 when bad times hit,

1:00:12 the,

1:00:13 the,

1:00:13 the types of things that get

1:00:14 stopped first are

1:00:16 tend to be public projects.

1:00:17 Um,

1:00:18 it's very hard,

1:00:18 it's much harder to cut,

1:00:19 you know,

1:00:20 wages or workforce or

1:00:22 welfare.

1:00:23 Uh,

1:00:23 it,

1:00:23 it tends to be easier not to just not to go ahead with a,

1:00:25 with a,

1:00:25 with a project.

1:00:26 So,

1:00:27 you know,

1:00:27 I think we,

1:00:28 we would,

1:00:28 we would absolutely support the,

1:00:30 the setting up of such a fund that

1:00:32 if a hard time comes in,

1:00:34 in the future.

1:00:35 Uh,

1:00:35 that at least we'd have,

1:00:36 you know,

1:00:37 some of these windfall receipts put aside

1:00:40 and that they can

1:00:41 allow a lot of kind of key projects and major projects,

1:00:43 to proceed,

1:00:45 um,

1:00:45 and hopefully kind of bridge that gap till,

1:00:47 till

1:00:48 obviously the,

1:00:48 the finances and revenues pick up,

1:00:50 pick up again.

1:00:50 So,

1:00:51 um,

1:00:52 but again,

1:00:52 yeah,

1:00:52 our,

1:00:52 our our department of finance colleagues will be leading on that and

1:00:55 the legislation required to set up that fund.

1:00:59 Thank you very much.

1:01:02 I

1:01:04 I'm getting signals,

1:01:06 Evan,

1:01:06 that I should close off at this stage.

1:01:08 There's nothing,

1:01:09 I know it's not your area,

1:01:10 but is any observation you'd like to make on it?

1:01:12 or you pass,

1:01:13 I go back to Bernard.

1:01:15 No,

1:01:15 listen,

1:01:15 I'm fine.

1:01:16 I don't want to take people's time.

1:01:17 I suppose the only thing I was just thinking on the last point was,

1:01:20 um,

1:01:21 you know,

1:01:21 when we're talking about appraisal and things like that,

1:01:23 we have this.

1:01:25 Could you speak into the mic,

1:01:26 Evan,

1:01:26 just it's harder to hear you.

1:01:28 Sorry,

1:01:28 apologies.

1:01:29 Uh,

1:01:30 so economists have this idea,

1:01:31 you know,

1:01:31 you internalize the external costs and you leave it to the market,

1:01:34 and that's nice and efficient,

1:01:35 and,

1:01:35 and there I was talking about this,

1:01:37 um,

1:01:38 extremely prescriptive plan about all the different

1:01:40 sectoral things that you need to do,

1:01:42 and I guess it's a marriage of those

1:01:44 different approaches to try and get something optimal.

1:01:49 Thank you very much.

1:01:51 Do I hand back to you,

1:01:52 Bernard,

1:01:52 and

1:01:54 to take up on external questions at this juncture?

1:01:57 Yeah,

1:01:57 thank you very much,

1:01:58 Tom,

1:01:58 for leading that and just thank you,

1:02:00 uh,

1:02:00 Ken,

1:02:01 Evan,

1:02:01 and Kevin,

1:02:02 uh,

1:02:03 for just giving us a lot to think about and just being,

1:02:05 uh,

1:02:06 I think also quite,

1:02:07 uh,

1:02:07 candid about both the

1:02:09 successes and some of the challenges that you're facing.

1:02:12 Um,

1:02:12 I do want

1:02:13 to invite

1:02:14 our colleagues from the Caribbean to share.

1:02:18 Uh,

1:02:18 some of their experiences,

1:02:19 perhaps how they relate to some of the challenges that you've mentioned,

1:02:22 uh,

1:02:22 as,

1:02:23 as Evan said,

1:02:23 you know,

1:02:24 these are,

1:02:24 are global,

1:02:25 they're not unique to Ireland.

1:02:26 Uh,

1:02:26 perhaps they may be able to share

1:02:28 some of the,

1:02:29 um,

1:02:30 You know,

1:02:30 how they're approaching some of the,

1:02:32 these challenges of integrating climate considerations

1:02:34 in their public investment planning,

1:02:36 um,

1:02:38 So,

1:02:38 just,

1:02:39 so I wanna just open the floor to that,

1:02:41 but before uh

1:02:43 the first person,

1:02:43 there is a question in the chat that

1:02:46 uh perhaps Tom or one of the other

1:02:48 panels can,

1:02:49 can respond to.

1:02:50 Um,

1:02:51 that was from uh Keyana Burke

1:02:54 who asked,

1:02:55 uh,

1:02:55 in,

1:02:56 in coming up with the key actions and priority actions for including

1:02:59 climate considerations and public investment management,

1:03:02 how important was support from external partners?

1:03:08 Evan,

1:03:08 you'd love to answer that question.

1:03:12 Oh

1:03:13 sure.

1:03:15 Sure.

1:03:15 I mean like external sort of

1:03:17 consultation is key to

1:03:20 everything,

1:03:21 in as much as like,

1:03:22 you know,

1:03:22 as I said,

1:03:23 this whole uh

1:03:25 There's no one department can look after this,

1:03:27 uh,

1:03:27 and even within our department we have energy and we have climate,

1:03:31 and you know,

1:03:32 uh,

1:03:32 but,

1:03:32 but as I said,

1:03:33 there's sectors,

1:03:34 and we talk about,

1:03:35 for example,

1:03:35 the just transition.

1:03:36 So for example,

1:03:38 uh,

1:03:38 it's,

1:03:39 it's

1:03:40 You,

1:03:40 you want to do these things again,

1:03:41 like from an economic point of view,

1:03:43 you can talk about what's efficient,

1:03:44 but you,

1:03:45 you,

1:03:45 you can't lump the costs on on one sector and think

1:03:48 that there's not going to be any fallout from that.

1:03:50 So you have to think about the the wider socioeconomic issues.

1:03:54 So I think uh external

1:03:57 partners and and and consultation are are critical

1:04:00 when you're when you're developing policies of this complexity.

1:04:04 Um.

1:04:05 And also,

1:04:05 you know,

1:04:06 also the expertise that you get because,

1:04:08 you know,

1:04:08 while we have been opening our game through

1:04:11 things like the the the IG's network,

1:04:14 you know,

1:04:14 uh people who work in specific sectors,

1:04:16 who have specific skill sets,

1:04:18 and you know,

1:04:19 using Tom's term again,

1:04:20 in capacity,

1:04:21 uh,

1:04:22 that that's critical so that you so that

1:04:24 you bring that knowledge into the decision making.

1:04:26 So,

1:04:26 um,

1:04:27 so how important,

1:04:28 very important I guess in answer to your question.

1:04:33 And,

1:04:33 and,

1:04:33 and just add,

1:04:36 yes,

1:04:36 no,

1:04:36 just just add,

1:04:37 Tom,

1:04:37 yeah,

1:04:38 look,

1:04:38 in terms of the

1:04:40 that,

1:04:40 that,

1:04:40 the public investment management and particularly the,

1:04:43 you know,

1:04:43 how it translates into our,

1:04:44 our,

1:04:45 our code or investment guidelines,

1:04:47 you know,

1:04:47 since absolutely since 2019,

1:04:49 it's,

1:04:49 it's

1:04:50 any changes that we've been proposing

1:04:52 have been,

1:04:53 I suppose we've done,

1:04:54 you know,

1:04:55 considerable amount of stakeholder engagement with

1:04:57 particularly first in first instance our

1:04:58 relevant departments,

1:05:00 um.

1:05:00 At the end of the day they're they're the,

1:05:02 you know,

1:05:02 departments and agencies that that are actually going to have to

1:05:05 apply this

1:05:06 to,

1:05:06 to the projects.

1:05:08 So there might be aspects maybe in as they're coming from a very uh

1:05:11 central treasury point of view that we thought might be

1:05:14 straightforward or simple,

1:05:15 but actually in a,

1:05:16 in its application,

1:05:18 not,

1:05:18 not so much,

1:05:19 um,

1:05:20 and then just specifically on the climate,

1:05:21 maybe,

1:05:21 maybe Ken can confirm,

1:05:22 but as I think Ken mentioned earlier we.

1:05:26 You know,

1:05:26 in terms of the next steps,

1:05:28 uh,

1:05:28 you know,

1:05:28 we,

1:05:28 we had

1:05:29 relied on the,

1:05:30 the,

1:05:30 the assistance of the OECD to,

1:05:32 to,

1:05:33 to assist us on that.

1:05:34 Um,

1:05:35 I,

1:05:35 I think what we were actually looking for in the main was,

1:05:37 you know,

1:05:37 the international experience,

1:05:39 and

1:05:40 I,

1:05:40 I say these,

1:05:40 these are complex challenges.

1:05:41 Uh,

1:05:42 it's,

1:05:42 it's,

1:05:43 it's very important,

1:05:44 I think,

1:05:44 for any country to see

1:05:46 are there other countries that are,

1:05:47 that are,

1:05:47 that are doing it?

1:05:48 Are they slightly ahead?

1:05:49 Is there any

1:05:50 lessons that have been learned that we can kind of take,

1:05:52 take on board,

1:05:53 uh.

1:05:54 Within our,

1:05:55 within our frameworks,

1:05:56 um,

1:05:57 and probably more likely there's,

1:05:58 there's countries that

1:06:00 have already started seeing the effects,

1:06:02 you know,

1:06:02 substantial effects due to climate change

1:06:05 that have had to,

1:06:05 you know,

1:06:06 already,

1:06:07 you know,

1:06:07 introduced a number of changes that maybe aren't

1:06:09 apparent yet for Ireland but

1:06:11 will become so,

1:06:12 uh,

1:06:13 so,

1:06:13 yeah,

1:06:14 no,

1:06:14 absolutely looking at that international picture as well,

1:06:16 I think is,

1:06:16 is key.

1:06:18 Yeah,

1:06:18 I just to add to that,

1:06:19 Kevin,

1:06:20 specifically on the climate side,

1:06:21 I mean,

1:06:21 really,

1:06:21 there,

1:06:22 there's,

1:06:23 there's two broad thrusts of what we're all trying to do here,

1:06:25 which is to better incorporate climate considerations

1:06:28 into our public investment management and appraisal

1:06:31 and also to reform our budgetary processes,

1:06:33 um,

1:06:34 so that climate is taken into account on,

1:06:36 on those.

1:06:37 And I mean,

1:06:38 as,

1:06:38 as everyone has kind of stressed their challenges that literally

1:06:40 every nation in the world is currently currently facing,

1:06:43 facing at the moment.

1:06:45 So in terms of some of that

1:06:47 external partnerships,

1:06:49 we found it very fruitful to engage through a couple of channels.

1:06:51 There's the OECD Paris Collaborative on green budgeting.

1:06:55 There's the bank's,

1:06:55 uh,

1:06:56 coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action,

1:06:59 uh,

1:06:59 not relevant I'm afraid to many audiences here,

1:07:02 but there's also a great degree of cooperation

1:07:04 facilitated by the Commission,

1:07:06 the EU Commission in terms of the European continent.

1:07:09 But there's also then just the kind of the,

1:07:10 the knowledge and experience that you gain

1:07:12 through through events like this as well.

1:07:15 And I think what's really important is the theoretical underpinnings of,

1:07:18 of these structures,

1:07:19 which again the bank,

1:07:20 the IMF,

1:07:21 um,

1:07:22 the OECD all do a wonderful job on producing background papers on,

1:07:25 but nothing beats that practical experience of hearing from other countries

1:07:29 and from other finance ministries

1:07:31 on the specific elements they've managed to introduce

1:07:35 within their countries,

1:07:36 the challenges

1:07:37 that they found while doing so,

1:07:38 and any kind of lessons learned.

1:07:40 I think that's one of the advantages now is

1:07:42 perhaps there's a few hurdles that can be jumped

1:07:44 or indeed avoided um through,

1:07:46 through,

1:07:46 um,

1:07:47 sort of understanding some,

1:07:48 some of these issues,

1:07:49 and I think as I said there are a few

1:07:51 uh active channels out there that that nations can participate in

1:07:55 as well as the kind of the more ad hoc events such as this so.

1:07:58 Just to say that I'd urge your,

1:08:00 your cooperation with,

1:08:01 with some of those events where,

1:08:02 where possible,

1:08:03 uh,

1:08:04 because we're all trying to achieve the same,

1:08:06 same objectives,

1:08:06 I think at the end of the day,

1:08:08 and from the perspective of finance ministers

1:08:10 all finding it a bit difficult

1:08:12 as to,

1:08:12 as to,

1:08:13 now we have to take on environmental science and,

1:08:15 and things that we wouldn't have had to in,

1:08:17 in,

1:08:17 in,

1:08:18 in previous iterations,

1:08:19 I suppose.

1:08:22 I had a brief,

1:08:23 brief point to that in answering the question,

1:08:25 right back to the consultation,

1:08:27 and,

1:08:28 and actually it's,

1:08:29 it's Kevin Meaney who drew my attention to this.

1:08:32 The fact that

1:08:34 Ireland the Irish government each year hosts

1:08:37 what's called

1:08:38 a national economic dialogue,

1:08:39 the full range of

1:08:41 social partners,

1:08:42 and one of the documents that I rolled off from

1:08:45 this summer's one was exactly on that point that Ken was saying.

1:08:49 Quote,

1:08:49 in terms of thinking about a sustainable future for all,

1:08:52 the green budgeting initiative brings a more

1:08:54 specific focus on embedding climate

1:08:56 and environmental goals within the budgetary process.

1:09:00 So just that another reference,

1:09:01 Bernard.

1:09:02 So we back to you,

1:09:03 Bernard.

1:09:03 OK,

1:09:03 thank you,

1:09:04 yeah.

1:09:04 So I know we have colleagues from Saint Lucia,

1:09:07 from Jamaica,

1:09:08 from Suriname,

1:09:09 from a variety of places.

1:09:10 So,

1:09:10 uh,

1:09:11 let's,

1:09:11 let me just pause for a moment and see if uh any of our Caribbean officials would be

1:09:16 willing just to share a little bit of their experience,

1:09:19 um.

1:09:25 You can raise your hand or you can unmute and

1:09:29 uh and

1:09:29 just jump in and.

1:09:44 I see there's uh Ms.

1:09:46 Thomas

1:09:47 from Saint Lucia.

1:09:48 Just a few comments.

1:09:50 Thank you for

1:09:51 The webinar,

1:09:52 I find the discussion very interesting and informative.

1:09:56 Um,

1:09:57 first of all,

1:09:59 just a little about Saint Lucia.

1:10:02 Small island,

1:10:03 small island developing state.

1:10:06 Very low growth rates and very highly indebted

1:10:11 economy and we are part of a monetary union

1:10:14 um with the OECS.

1:10:17 A couple of the challenges,

1:10:18 much of which was covered in the discussion today,

1:10:22 include,

1:10:23 but not limited to.

1:10:25 Again,

1:10:26 financing for disaster resilience.

1:10:29 Um,

1:10:30 as part of our successes,

1:10:32 the island,

1:10:33 we have in the past undertaken some key assessments,

1:10:37 um,

1:10:37 primarily associated with

1:10:41 Um,

1:10:42 developing a financing strategy for disaster risk

1:10:46 assessments as well as

1:10:49 assessing the volume of fiscal space that would be required to build resilience

1:10:55 and to be able to integrate

1:10:57 disaster and climate adaptation

1:11:01 requirements.

1:11:02 Um,

1:11:03 so some of these assessments have been done in the past and

1:11:07 it's been utilized to be able to inform government policy.

1:11:11 Another key challenge is that with respect to data

1:11:16 and

1:11:17 um

1:11:18 I would be interested in hearing some of the

1:11:22 experience from Ireland and how you dealt with that.

1:11:26 Um,

1:11:27 I know in our instance,

1:11:29 um,

1:11:30 particularly expenditure data

1:11:33 and capturing it out of the budget has been a challenge for us on the island.

1:11:38 I know recently

1:11:40 we undertook a change in our chart of.

1:11:42 accounts to be able to better manage that,

1:11:46 but

1:11:46 the actual utilization of the data is where

1:11:50 and better assessment of the data is,

1:11:53 is one of the areas that needs further

1:11:57 development.

1:11:58 As of,

1:11:59 as

1:12:00 one would expect the issues pertaining to

1:12:04 competencies and the tools

1:12:06 to be able to strengthen capacity.

1:12:09 For

1:12:10 doing this is continuously being

1:12:14 um pursued.

1:12:15 In that regard,

1:12:16 I would be interested in hearing a little about the

1:12:20 institutional arrangements you have and some of the competencies I heard

1:12:25 mention was made of,

1:12:27 I think you said IGs where you now have

1:12:31 um capacities related to

1:12:34 um economists in some of your

1:12:37 Your work,

1:12:38 um,

1:12:38 I would be interested in that,

1:12:40 but I do believe on Thursday we may be talking a little more about that.

1:12:45 And very importantly,

1:12:47 it would be remiss of me if I don't talk about the

1:12:50 critical support that the island is receiving in PFM from the,

1:12:55 the.

1:12:56 The CRIF,

1:12:58 um,

1:12:59 the facility that supported that exchange.

1:13:02 Um,

1:13:03 one of the areas of priority on the island that we've been working,

1:13:07 um,

1:13:08 steadily on is that of public asset management.

1:13:12 And

1:13:14 And from the perspective from PFM,

1:13:17 um,

1:13:18 the Department of Economic Development has

1:13:20 been working assiduously on strengthening the,

1:13:24 the Public Sector Investment

1:13:26 Program,

1:13:27 the PSIP.

1:13:29 To strengthen collaboration and strengthen assessments.

1:13:33 So we continue to work and this,

1:13:35 this discussion is very timely.

1:13:38 I am,

1:13:39 I will pause here to give an opportunity to others to come

1:13:43 in.

1:13:46 Over to you,

1:13:47 Bernard.

1:13:53 I'll start the answering by just

1:13:55 I mean thank you very much.

1:13:59 um,

1:14:00 I just start at the end in terms of IG's and and put a personal perspective of it

1:14:05 on it.

1:14:06 When I was in the Department of Transport for most of my career,

1:14:10 I was the senior economist,

1:14:12 but there were no other economists there at that juncture.

1:14:15 So I really

1:14:17 was very pleased,

1:14:18 uh,

1:14:19 personally when I saw.

1:14:21 In 2012,

1:14:22 2013,

1:14:23 the new Department of Public Expenditure and Reform

1:14:26 and the Minister Brendan Howlin and Robert Watts,

1:14:29 the Secretary General.

1:14:32 Actually structuring and setting this up because it,

1:14:36 I'm biased being an economist,

1:14:38 but I really think

1:14:39 economists have a very big role to play

1:14:42 and

1:14:42 to have a system that was cross-departmental,

1:14:47 I felt was really a very important.

1:14:49 One

1:14:49 while having a central

1:14:52 advisory

1:14:54 role being provided within the Department of Public Expenditure and Reform.

1:14:58 And again,

1:14:58 I come back and,

1:14:59 and,

1:14:59 and,

1:14:59 and I would

1:15:00 something else I will put down the full reference to it,

1:15:03 the fact that one can go online and

1:15:06 uh consult

1:15:07 the library and,

1:15:08 and

1:15:09 that may be something that would be helpful to you,

1:15:13 Ounta.

1:15:14 Thank you.

1:15:15 Absolutely.

1:15:16 Um,

1:15:17 if you could just leave the link in the chats,

1:15:20 we will definitely be interested in doing that.

1:15:23 Thanks again.

1:15:28 OK,

1:15:29 I don't know if anyone else I can,

1:15:30 well,

1:15:30 I can come back a bit,

1:15:31 just a bit about the point on um.

1:15:34 The capturing expenditure data on climate because that that is something that we,

1:15:40 we've done in Ireland we've we've done some work on it and again

1:15:42 maybe I can give a bit of a practical experience on it.

1:15:46 Um,

1:15:47 so I suppose one of the

1:15:49 key benefits of capturing climate related expenditure data

1:15:53 and the primary reason why Ireland did this in,

1:15:56 in,

1:15:57 I think it was 2018

1:15:59 was to be able to facilitate the issuance of green debt.

1:16:02 Um,

1:16:03 it was quite early stages in the market at that point,

1:16:05 but there was still

1:16:06 a treasury agency had identified a kind of a,

1:16:08 a,

1:16:09 a market gap or a market need or possible advantageous approach,

1:16:13 and

1:16:14 since then we've issued,

1:16:15 uh,

1:16:15 over €10 billion worth of,

1:16:17 of green bonds

1:16:19 to the market,

1:16:20 um,

1:16:20 which has broadened

1:16:22 the pool of,

1:16:22 of investors in Ireland's debt quite significantly,

1:16:25 hasn't necessarily given us an interest rate advantage on that debt.

1:16:29 But by broadening that debt,

1:16:31 we,

1:16:32 we,

1:16:33 I suppose,

1:16:34 increase the resilience of,

1:16:35 of that debt in,

1:16:36 in of itself

1:16:37 because it's held by by wider investors than

1:16:40 than what it would have been previously.

1:16:43 But to do that and to facilitate the issuing of a green bond.

1:16:46 You have to publish an allocation report every year,

1:16:50 uh,

1:16:50 alongside that bond,

1:16:51 showing where you've spent the proceeds of that bond.

1:16:55 So what that requires you to do

1:16:58 is I suppose to adopt a definition

1:17:00 of what you believe counts as green expenditure

1:17:03 and then to apply that definition of of green expenditure

1:17:07 to all the government's expenditures

1:17:10 to determine what counts for that process

1:17:12 and what doesn't count for that process.

1:17:15 So this is something we did in Ireland,

1:17:17 um,

1:17:17 we did it again within the climate unit,

1:17:19 so it's something that can be done by a small team of

1:17:22 of officials.

1:17:23 And I think when it comes to tagging,

1:17:25 there are now kind of multiple different

1:17:28 definitions in,

1:17:29 in use.

1:17:30 I'm sure,

1:17:30 I'm sure the bank has one,

1:17:32 certainly the commission has one,

1:17:33 but even beyond those institutions,

1:17:36 things like there's an international capital markets definition

1:17:39 that would be very much aligned with with what international

1:17:42 investors might expect in a in a green bond.

1:17:46 So I think then in terms of of of very practically then how do you implement this,

1:17:51 I think it's a matter of engaging with each of the ministries

1:17:54 in terms of all the spending programs that they have

1:17:57 in terms of applying this definition to those spending programs

1:18:00 and by engaging in a dialogue with those departments

1:18:03 to come to a mutually shared understanding

1:18:06 of what you believe the program's expenditures

1:18:08 that they have that meet the definition.

1:18:11 And then centralizing this

1:18:13 either in a parallel reporting structure to,

1:18:15 to your national budget.

1:18:17 So that is essentially what,

1:18:18 what we've done in Ireland.

1:18:19 We published

1:18:21 again for uh for a public consultation,

1:18:23 we approached green budgeting,

1:18:26 the definition that we used,

1:18:28 and then the results of this engagement

1:18:29 that we had with the individual line ministries

1:18:32 and departments

1:18:33 to get us towards that list of expenditure

1:18:36 that we that we now include in our annual budgetary documentation

1:18:40 and now underpins this

1:18:42 allocation report that we have to do

1:18:44 every year on,

1:18:45 on a green bond.

1:18:47 Um,

1:18:47 of course you mentioned as well that beyond identification

1:18:50 you need to move towards effectiveness of expenditure,

1:18:53 and this approach that I've talked about here

1:18:55 in terms of tagging expenditure doesn't do that,

1:18:57 but I think it's a very much

1:18:59 a first and necessary

1:19:01 step along the way to more,

1:19:03 uh,

1:19:03 in-depth discussions with those ministries

1:19:06 about improving the effectiveness of,

1:19:07 of expenditure,

1:19:09 and I really do think

1:19:10 it's a useful tool in of itself,

1:19:12 not just to facilitate the green bond.

1:19:14 But then also to prompt those discussions,

1:19:17 particularly around ministries that are maybe beyond your

1:19:19 Ministry of Energy and Environment and Climate Change,

1:19:22 who will understand

1:19:23 these definitions,

1:19:24 but your ministries of transport,

1:19:26 your ministries of agriculture,

1:19:28 your ministries of enterprise

1:19:30 will have um

1:19:31 less in-depth knowledge and understanding

1:19:33 of the sort of the pros and cons of the trade-offs of,

1:19:36 of identifying green expenditures.

1:19:38 So in other words,

1:19:39 I think it's a great first step

1:19:40 for both a finance ministry

1:19:42 and for the rest of government to start on a tagging exercise

1:19:45 that doesn't need to be complicated.

1:19:47 Again,

1:19:48 the EU Commission have very,

1:19:49 very complicated taxonomy.

1:19:51 You don't need to do that.

1:19:52 You can start with something as simple as

1:19:54 greenhouse gas mitigation and or greenhouse gas adaptation.

1:19:58 Start running the ruler

1:19:59 over your program expenditures

1:20:01 on that basis,

1:20:02 using a simplified definition for what constitutes those expenditures.

1:20:06 You can take inspiration from the French approach to green budgeting,

1:20:09 you can look at the OECD Rio markers that are used for,

1:20:12 um,

1:20:13 for foreign aid,

1:20:14 uh,

1:20:15 or indeed you can look at

1:20:16 people like the International Capital Markets Association

1:20:19 in,

1:20:19 in terms of definition.

1:20:21 So it's work,

1:20:22 uh,

1:20:22 and it will take up some time from senior officials,

1:20:25 but I do think it's a manageable,

1:20:27 uh,

1:20:27 bite-sized piece of work

1:20:29 that can be maybe adopted as,

1:20:30 as an appropriate first step.

1:20:33 Uh,

1:20:33 I see I have a question there as well about um

1:20:36 data tracking and how we started collecting in,

1:20:39 in data,

1:20:41 so.

1:20:42 I think that's a very good question because the first question is going to be,

1:20:46 well,

1:20:46 what level are you going to report to the public on your expenditures at?

1:20:50 I think that's very clearly the the first

1:20:53 decision.

1:20:54 Um,

1:20:54 and we took the decision early in the process that we were going to report

1:20:58 at the most granular level of data

1:21:00 that the Irish government makes available

1:21:02 to the general public.

1:21:04 We took that decision

1:21:06 because we believed it was very important for consistency.

1:21:09 So for either an investor in a green bond or indeed for one of our,

1:21:12 our,

1:21:12 our citizens

1:21:13 to be able to look at the general budget

1:21:15 and see that,

1:21:17 you know,

1:21:17 a program for energy efficiency has a budget of 10 million,

1:21:19 and then to look at our,

1:21:21 our,

1:21:21 our list of green expenditures,

1:21:23 be able to match that program expenditure with our list of green expenditures.

1:21:27 I think that's critical for,

1:21:28 for early stage credibility of,

1:21:30 of the program.

1:21:32 So what do we do in terms of steps as repeating myself a little bit here,

1:21:36 but I think the first thing is to adopt.

1:21:39 A definition,

1:21:40 deply what level of expenditures you want to apply that definition to,

1:21:45 and then I think you're applying that to the data,

1:21:48 to the budgetary data

1:21:50 that your line ministries

1:21:51 are already reporting.

1:21:53 Um,

1:21:53 so in other words,

1:21:54 we shouldn't be seeking,

1:21:56 at least in the first steps of this,

1:21:57 to collect new information.

1:21:59 It's about applying a definition

1:22:01 to that existing data that you have from your line ministries

1:22:05 and that you report to the public on.

1:22:07 There will be some subtleties and things like that that you'll come across in this,

1:22:12 particularly where you'll come across a

1:22:13 program that might have multiple objectives,

1:22:15 and again you'll have to take a decision then on how you report on that.

1:22:19 Do you use a tool such as the Rio markets which look at a proportion-based approach,

1:22:23 you know,

1:22:23 if something is 40% of expenditure.

1:22:26 In the Irish government,

1:22:27 we took a decision to be a little more precise and we said

1:22:30 only where we are satisfied

1:22:32 that the vast majority of expenditure on the program.

1:22:36 Contributes to the achievement of climate objectives,

1:22:39 are we satisfied tagging it,

1:22:41 um,

1:22:41 but again,

1:22:42 in terms of socializing this approach,

1:22:44 when you're thinking about all these things,

1:22:46 the definition,

1:22:47 the level of data,

1:22:48 the subtleties,

1:22:49 you can be working all of this into

1:22:50 a publication which can accompany your national budget,

1:22:53 which can explain how you came to these conclusions that you did,

1:22:56 and that will really get buy-in from stakeholders and

1:22:59 from the general public and from your political system.

1:23:02 And then as I said,

1:23:03 can form the basis

1:23:04 of future tools in terms of getting at the effectiveness of that expenditure,

1:23:08 or indeed can underpin your issuance of,

1:23:10 of green debt.

1:23:11 But I think that tagging exercise is a great first step,

1:23:14 a great discipline

1:23:15 for line ministries and for the finance ministries to start off with.

1:23:19 Uh,

1:23:19 again,

1:23:20 if the World Bank are circulating links,

1:23:22 happy to provide links to some of the Irish

1:23:23 documents that I've talked about here that you can see

1:23:26 because in a lot of these documents,

1:23:27 we talked about how we came to the conclusions we did.

1:23:30 Quite openly because we're trying to persuade

1:23:32 stakeholders and bring them with us on

1:23:34 on this journey,

1:23:35 so happy to provide any of those links.

1:23:37 Chen,

1:23:37 thank you very much.

1:23:38 That would be very useful.

1:23:39 We do want to follow up with the participants with just resources,

1:23:42 uh,

1:23:43 a link to the recording and,

1:23:44 and other things.

1:23:45 So,

1:23:46 uh,

1:23:46 let me just,

1:23:47 before Alberto comes in to sort of close up our session,

1:23:50 I just wanna uh give officials from the Caribbean the final word if they,

1:23:54 if there's anyone else from the Caribbean that would like to

1:23:57 just,

1:23:58 uh,

1:23:58 give a comment or share a brief,

1:24:00 very brief experience.

1:24:09 OK.

1:24:10 Uh

1:24:12 Good morning,

1:24:12 Bernard.

1:24:13 Yes,

1:24:13 OK.

1:24:14 Yes,

1:24:14 Ms.

1:24:14 Lewis,

1:24:15 and good morning to all your panelists.

1:24:17 Just want to say that this morning's session was quite informative.

1:24:21 Um,

1:24:22 we

1:24:23 are also looking to infuse the climate

1:24:27 considerations in our public investment management system.

1:24:30 Um,

1:24:31 by law we are required to appraise projects,

1:24:34 um,

1:24:34 for environmental feasibility,

1:24:36 which of course will include considerations

1:24:39 of how the

1:24:40 environment itself could impact

1:24:42 um project success.

1:24:44 And so certainly this morning was quite beneficial.

1:24:46 I'm looking forward to

1:24:48 receiving the

1:24:50 presentations this morning

1:24:51 and the recordings

1:24:53 and also the other resources

1:24:55 that the

1:24:56 uh panelists have made reference to.

1:24:59 So thank you all very much.

1:25:03 Thank you very much.

1:25:04 And so you're from Jamaica,

1:25:05 yes.

1:25:07 Correct.

1:25:10 OK.

1:25:11 Uh,

1:25:11 well,

1:25:11 thank you very much,

1:25:12 and this is also an opportunity just to remind,

1:25:15 uh,

1:25:16 the colleagues that we will have a follow-up,

1:25:19 a second session this week

1:25:21 focusing a bit more on disaster

1:25:23 response and recovery with again public officials from Ireland.

1:25:27 Um,

1:25:27 and with that,

1:25:28 uh,

1:25:28 Alberto.

1:25:30 Thank you,

1:25:31 Bernard.

1:25:31 Can you hear me?

1:25:35 Yes,

1:25:35 we can hear you.

1:25:36 OK.

1:25:36 So,

1:25:37 no,

1:25:37 thank you,

1:25:37 thank you very much,

1:25:38 and I,

1:25:38 I will,

1:25:39 I will,

1:25:40 I'm going to be very brief actually because we are over the hour already,

1:25:43 but,

1:25:43 uh,

1:25:44 first,

1:25:44 let me,

1:25:44 you know,

1:25:45 reiterate,

1:25:46 uh,

1:25:46 our gratitude to our sponsors,

1:25:48 the government of Canada,

1:25:50 that,

1:25:50 uh,

1:25:50 allows us to have this kind of,

1:25:52 uh,

1:25:53 of exchanges and support that we are providing to,

1:25:55 to the Caribbean islands.

1:25:57 Uh,

1:25:58 in the context of this,

1:25:59 um,

1:25:59 this broader program.

1:26:01 It's,

1:26:01 uh,

1:26:01 it's very helpful for us,

1:26:03 uh,

1:26:03 to have that type of support that helps us,

1:26:05 you know,

1:26:06 not only to provide the support,

1:26:07 but also

1:26:08 to,

1:26:09 to learn and to innovate.

1:26:10 And I think this,

1:26:10 this,

1:26:11 uh,

1:26:11 this session is,

1:26:12 is very much about that.

1:26:14 Um,

1:26:14 of course,

1:26:14 thanks also to the

1:26:16 To the guest speakers and,

1:26:18 and,

1:26:18 and for sharing this,

1:26:19 uh,

1:26:19 this important and relevant uh experience that you have.

1:26:22 Uh,

1:26:23 Ireland,

1:26:23 of course,

1:26:23 is,

1:26:24 uh,

1:26:24 it's kind of a reference for the world in terms of uh how you have managed to,

1:26:28 to build and then develop this,

1:26:30 uh,

1:26:31 uh,

1:26:31 expenditure management program and planning,

1:26:34 uh,

1:26:34 processes,

1:26:35 uh,

1:26:35 with a focus on how to manage uh capital spending.

1:26:39 Uh,

1:26:40 and,

1:26:40 uh,

1:26:40 it is very interesting to see,

1:26:42 and,

1:26:42 and thank you,

1:26:43 uh,

1:26:43 thank you,

1:26:43 Tom,

1:26:44 for providing that background that this started,

1:26:46 uh,

1:26:46 very much,

1:26:47 you know,

1:26:47 many years ago,

1:26:47 and,

1:26:48 and it's,

1:26:49 uh,

1:26:49 it's very much about building capacity

1:26:52 and,

1:26:52 and the way that you presented it,

1:26:53 it's,

1:26:54 it's building that adaptive capacity because,

1:26:56 uh,

1:26:57 you know,

1:26:57 reality keeps changing,

1:26:58 context keeps changing,

1:26:59 challenges,

1:27:00 uh,

1:27:00 are coming,

1:27:01 uh,

1:27:01 up,

1:27:01 uh,

1:27:02 a new cha uh with new characteristics,

1:27:04 so we have to adapt that.

1:27:06 Uh,

1:27:06 very helpful,

1:27:07 I think,

1:27:08 for,

1:27:08 for,

1:27:08 uh,

1:27:09 also for our

1:27:10 Partners in the Caribbean to hear this experience,

1:27:14 uh,

1:27:14 from a different perspective,

1:27:16 you know?

1:27:17 This is,

1:27:17 I think,

1:27:17 an ongoing dialogue.

1:27:19 We will have that follow-up uh session on Thursday,

1:27:21 then we can focus a little bit more on the,

1:27:23 on the resilience aspects of that,

1:27:25 uh,

1:27:26 uh,

1:27:26 are the,

1:27:27 the,

1:27:27 the things that they are.

1:27:28 Caribbean,

1:27:29 uh,

1:27:29 uh,

1:27:30 partners are more interested,

1:27:31 uh,

1:27:32 of,

1:27:32 of course,

1:27:32 given their situation,

1:27:34 but the,

1:27:34 the way that you have presented how this has been evolving in,

1:27:38 in Ireland it's very interesting.

1:27:40 For example,

1:27:40 on how you have operated,

1:27:42 uh,

1:27:42 or how we are sort of streamlining your own system,

1:27:46 uh,

1:27:46 keeping this balance between,

1:27:47 you know,

1:27:48 proper,

1:27:49 proper ex ante,

1:27:51 uh,

1:27:51 analysis

1:27:52 with also some,

1:27:54 uh,

1:27:54 some level of agility in the process,

1:27:56 also to make decisions.

1:27:58 Uh,

1:27:58 um,

1:27:59 uh,

1:27:59 faster without compromising the quality.

1:28:02 Interesting to see,

1:28:03 you know,

1:28:03 how difficult it is to incorporate this climate dimension in the process.

1:28:07 And,

1:28:07 uh,

1:28:08 uh,

1:28:09 complex as it is,

1:28:09 you said,

1:28:10 uh,

1:28:11 that mitigation aspects are,

1:28:12 are,

1:28:12 uh,

1:28:13 uh,

1:28:14 would be incorporated,

1:28:15 but

1:28:16 adaptation seem,

1:28:17 seem to be even more difficult.

1:28:19 And,

1:28:19 uh,

1:28:19 and we agree with that.

1:28:20 And,

1:28:20 and that's precisely the challenge that we are experiencing

1:28:22 now in the Caribbean because that is the,

1:28:24 the,

1:28:24 the main focus.

1:28:25 So we will be very happy.

1:28:27 Happy to hear that,

1:28:28 that aspect as well.

1:28:30 Uh,

1:28:30 the other interesting point that came out in the discussion was also,

1:28:34 uh,

1:28:34 related to implementation capacity that I think is,

1:28:36 is another,

1:28:37 uh,

1:28:37 big challenge.

1:28:39 Uh,

1:28:39 and something that you mentioned that was a little bit,

1:28:41 uh,

1:28:41 new to me as well,

1:28:42 from your perspective with this,

1:28:44 uh,

1:28:44 challenge about the skills that are migrating,

1:28:47 migrating to other places,

1:28:49 and then you have to replace them.

1:28:51 Uh,

1:28:51 I think this is very relevant for the Caribbean islands because this is,

1:28:55 this is a phenomenon that is ongoing and you have to keep,

1:28:58 you know,

1:28:58 creating this.

1:28:59 This ability and capacity to respond.

1:29:01 So many of these things and,

1:29:02 and,

1:29:02 uh,

1:29:03 and of course,

1:29:03 from,

1:29:04 from having uh and the,

1:29:05 and the environmental perspective

1:29:07 to look at this as a in a multi-sector

1:29:10 whole of government approach,

1:29:11 I think that,

1:29:12 that is,

1:29:13 that is critical and,

1:29:14 and requires also that,

1:29:16 that type of approach

1:29:17 um to incorporate this dimension and,

1:29:20 and that requires actually a proactive action,

1:29:23 no,

1:29:23 it,

1:29:23 it,

1:29:23 it can,

1:29:24 it cannot be uh brought in only with you,

1:29:26 with your normal um.

1:29:28 With the normal principles of,

1:29:30 of managing public investments,

1:29:32 but do you have proactively to incorporate these dimensions as well.

1:29:35 So many important messages,

1:29:36 I think,

1:29:37 uh,

1:29:38 from our Caribbean,

1:29:39 um,

1:29:39 er partners,

1:29:40 uh,

1:29:41 we are hoping that this dialogue is helpful.

1:29:43 We know that,

1:29:44 uh,

1:29:44 the main challenge now is to look into these

1:29:48 issues related to

1:29:49 disaster,

1:29:50 uh,

1:29:51 and climate-informed

1:29:52 public investment management.

1:29:54 Uh,

1:29:55 risk assessment in the process

1:29:57 and building the capacity so that we can

1:30:00 develop this as part of our systems.

1:30:02 Uh,

1:30:03 something that came up,

1:30:04 uh,

1:30:04 at the end,

1:30:05 uh,

1:30:05 from,

1:30:06 from,

1:30:06 from one of the,

1:30:07 um,

1:30:08 Caribbean representatives is,

1:30:10 is also this focus on asset management,

1:30:13 which is not only,

1:30:14 you know,

1:30:14 building the new investments,

1:30:15 but also making sure that our existing assets are also,

1:30:19 uh,

1:30:20 uh,

1:30:20 um,

1:30:21 resilient.

1:30:22 So,

1:30:22 um,

1:30:23 yeah,

1:30:23 with that,

1:30:24 uh,

1:30:24 I think,

1:30:24 you know,

1:30:25 uh,

1:30:25 all of this has been really relevant and helpful.

1:30:28 Uh,

1:30:28 we hope we will have,

1:30:29 uh,

1:30:29 this follow-up conversation on Thursday,

1:30:31 and,

1:30:32 uh,

1:30:32 I'm hoping,

1:30:33 of course,

1:30:33 that we will make it more participatory then and,

1:30:35 and hear more also from,

1:30:37 uh The perspective from the Caribbean so that we can get

1:30:40 some,

1:30:40 uh,

1:30:40 some of your views,

1:30:42 uh,

1:30:42 and recommendations on how to continue this.

1:30:44 So again,

1:30:45 thank you very much for this.

1:30:46 I think it was very helpful and thank you,

1:30:48 Bernard and team for organizing

1:30:50 and,

1:30:50 and looking forward to have the conversation on Thursday.

1:30:55 Thank you all.

1:30:58 Uh,

1:31:02 Thank you and stay tuned to receive the recording.

1:31:05 Bye-bye.

showAllTimestamps
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transcript
So good morning. I'm Bernard Meyers, a senior public sector specialist at the World Bank's Washington headquarters, and I work with colleagues in the governance practice, including Erskazinsky to support disaster resilience and responsive public financial management in the Caribbean through the Canada-Caribbean Resilience Facility. Uh, well, one of our goals is to bring examples of international good practice from both within and from outside the Caribbean region. To give inspiration to policy reforms that you may be considering in your countries. This week we have the opportunity to hear Ireland's experience in building capacity for Public Investment Management PIM and integrating climate resilience into the planning and budgeting processes. Um, I'd like to welcome the officers from the Caribbean who've really carved out time today to connect to the meeting, and I hope that you will share your own suggestions for future, um, knowledge exchanges, uh, as we plan those. A recording of this event will be available afterwards for those who joined, uh, and there's a second, uh, part of the series with Ireland that's going to take place Thursday, and there'll be a reminder about that. Perhaps I can give a just a brief overview of the agenda. In today's webinar, we'll hear about Ireland's experience in building and sustaining capacity for effective public investment management, um, the impact of economic volatility on planning capacity, and how climate considerations are integrated in the planning process. Well, opening remarks from Gail Richardson, the World Bank's portfolio Operations Manager for the Caribbean, to be followed by a brief 10-minute presentation from Tom Ferris, a former senior economist from the Department of Transport in Ireland, to give some institutional context to Ireland's evolution and public investment management. And Tom will then lead a discussion with our 3 panelists from the Irish government, Kevin Meaney, And Ken Clearly from the Department of Public Expenditure, National Plan uh Delivery and Reform, it's a long name. And Evan McMahon from the Department of Environment, Climate and Communications. Then immediately after the panel, we want to hand the floor to our officials from the Caribbean to share just a little bit of your own challenges and successes in building capacity for effective PIMM and integrating climate change considerations. Uh, we aim to save about 20 to 25 minutes for sharing country experiences and any questions you have for the panelists, and then Alberto Leighton, the practice manager for governance and public sector institutions. Uh, we'll close the meeting with his observations and reflections. So with that, I'd like to invite Gyle to give her Uh, opening remarks. Uh, Gayle, over to you. Thank you. Can you hear me? Yes, we can. OK, terrific. Glad to be a part of, and given the list of speakers and uh discussions that we're planning to have for this meeting, I would very much like to keep my, um, opening remarks very short. I'm eager to hear what you have to say. So yes, and Gail Richardson, I manage the portfolio of the World Bank in the Caribbean, and, um. I'm excited about this panel discussion and this topic because it is the highest priority for us as the World Bank Group and what we can do to support countries that are grappling. We all saw the challenges that we faced just this year with Hurricane Adalia, Tropical Storm Ian, the um most recent one with a Category 5 hurricane. Otis in Mexico that led to the loss of, of life. I was in Dominica on October 21st when we had tropical storms Tammy come through and although the damage was minimal, uh, the, the pain or the fear that you experienced uh from, from people living in Dominica was profound and A real eye opener for me. So we all know about the importance of quality infrastructure and also mitigating the impacts of climate change more broadly, but quality public infrastructure is really key to our strategy to um both minimize the impact of these storms and provide a, a safe environment for the people on the ground. So, uh, within this context, I want to thank Profusely, the Canadian Caribbean Resilience Facility, CRF as we call it, and it has been uh not only for hosting this this seminar, but also for the, the Um, making available some extremely important resources that have been used for providing technical assistance, capacity building, developing our partnerships, and, um, it's been instrumental in delivering just in time support to accelerate the implementation of projects and bolster the resiliency. Uh, so Canada's commitment obviously goes beyond the, the CRI, um, the CRF, and, and we're very grateful for their public, um, and their public positions and reminders to the global community about the importance of this topic. Most recently, Prime Minister Trudeau in the meeting with the, um, last month's Canada CARICOM discussion summit in Ottawa. Um, reaffirming Canada's commitment and, and indeed we, we, we are hopeful that more countries will join in this endeavor. Um, so I very much want to welcome to the government of Ireland to this conversation, so we're very well aware of your commitment and dedication to this topic, and indeed, we're, I'm personally quite intrigued by the A Better World, which seems to provide a nice framework for engagement and, and a demonstration of the government of Ireland's commitment to the topic, these topics, a range of topics, but Not only having a better world prepared and released, but also the, the commitment of the government of Ireland to increase its financing for development and, um, you know, and, and more broadly, and we're, we're eager to deepen our engagement on this particular topic. So, um, we're, we're happy to have this knowledge exchange experience being taking place, and I'm very grateful to Bernard and the team for organizing it. I'm eager to hear from the countries themselves too about their thoughts and reflections and what we can do to, to better assist them. Um, so I wanna just end by reaffirming our commitment to the Caribbean countries to support their efforts in this agenda of greater resiliency. Um, express again our appreciation to the government of Canada for their tremendous support and interest in our part on expanding our, the, our engagement with the government of Ireland. So let's have this seminar be a, a terrific and important step forward. Thank you so much. I'm eager to hear the panelists. Tom, uh, feel free to, I think, uh, Mark will be projecting your slides. Well, that's fine. Yeah, great. So we start with the first. Good morning everybody, uh, lovely to be here. Um, and so we start with the first slide. And the second slide, in, in, in making my short presentation, this little 6 sections. Two little sections on the EU, 2 on the fiscal crisis, one on significant changes that I think people will be interested in, and the last is planning for the future. My big point there is, uh, things keep moving, things don't stand still. But let me give you a very quick historical context. 60 years ago, the Irish economy was very inward looking. Net emigration and population were in decline. And that reflected limited employment and weak income generating capacity. But, there was a seminal report in 1957 written by Doctor Ken Whittaker, who was head of the Department of Finance, and he argued that, quote, sooner or later, protection will have to go and the challenge of free trade, accepted. And that's what happened. It did take some time. It wasn't easy. Free trade agreement with Britain, membership of the EU in 1973, and they helped transform the Irish economy, helped greatly by inward foreign direct investment. That was quite a catalyst. And Ireland's Industrial Development Authority played an extremely important role in attracting foreign firms into Ireland. Also, the raising educational attainment of the labor force influenced greatly the growth of the economy. But it was the EU membership that was that extra ingredient slide to. And there is this phrase we use a lot, capacity building, but it was the opening up of markets, the single market in the European Union, and then some significant funds from the EU as well as the adoption of the euro currency. But let you, let me give you my definition of capacity building. It's the ability of people and organizations to improve their management skills and expertise in order to manage the areas of work for which they're responsible, but we can all do better in terms of improving, creating, and adapting our professional capacity over time. And that's where the advent of the EU meant that many changes and innovations impacted on the Irish public sector. Take just one innovation, the EU set up a dedicated evaluation unit in the late 1990s in Ireland, and that was used to oversee the allocation of EU funds for the national development and operational program. But more importantly, that unit advised and assisted the Irish civil servants and the commission on the evaluation of EU structural Funds, and that unit also coordinated and promoted best practice. When I was preparing this seminar, I went and dug around, still could find a hard copy of Working rules and Cost-benefit analysis 1999. Next slide, please. And that's where the real benefit had come. The funds are great, but it's the fact that institutional changes had to occur as well. That's where the Irish civil services got their wake-up call, and I was one there at that stage. We had to quickly learn what was required to manage EU funds to be part of a process that hadn't been there previously. So it was a transformative effect that was experienced by the Irish Civil Service. As the poorest member of the then EU, Ireland in 1993 had been weak in terms of negotiating ability, but its rights as a member state were enshrined in the EU laws that they'd signed up to, and the diverse membership of the EU meant that conditions could be formed to further Irish economic interest. So that participation in the structures of the European Union helped develop a broad awareness and capability. lessons were learned, experiences were gained. In short, capacity was being built up through the Irish public sector. On the next slide. If I may. And that just, I will very briefly, it's to look at it to show that where one had been in, in a stovepipe to an extent in, in a ministry doing work, suddenly you had to engage using the guidelines, doing the appraisal, doing the planning, and having uh coordinating committees widely represented at meetings where things were evaluated. So the circle was there in terms of the planning. Uh, the appraisal, the building, and then the back check to see how did we do. And so we can move to the next slide. The next slide is recognizing that things didn't go perfectly for Ireland at all, at all. Well, we're doing very well up to 2008, export, export-led growth was doing very well. There came a change with the fact that from the year 2000, growth was continuing, but there was a property price and construction bubble taking place. And while the boom sustained employment and output growth until 2007, when the banks fueled the boom, they exposed themselves both to the funding and solvency pressures. And then in throughout the world, there were fiscal crises. Ireland's governments had brought about industrial peace with tax reductions, but that reduction in tax meant that the tax base was increasingly vulnerable to a turndown. So, among the triggers of a property bubble was the sharp fall in interest rates followed by Euro membership. And the Eurozone didn't serve Ireland well at that stage. Signs that should have been there about excesses were not distributed significantly. And without those prompts, Irish policymakers neglected the basics of public finance, wage policy, and bank regulation. And so we were badly hit by the financial crisis. So I'll show you this slide, we now move to the next one. My, my main reason for giving this particular one because here we are back to capacity again. Capacity badly dented in that employment fell by 14% between 2007 and 2011. The rate of unemployment soared, an increase of 10% between 2007 and 2011, so lots of emigration. Lots of losses of skilled people. And these negative developments affected Ireland greatly. The loss of corporate memory, the loss of skilled jobs and emigration. Now, recovery did take place. Before I say something on that, let me go to the next slide, which is Ireland had to tolerate the troika. The Troika came to town, and the Troika being the IMF, European Central Bank, European Commission, on a bailout of nearly 70 billion. Ireland met all the targets, so there's a very perceptible track record there. Targets were set, some of them quite onerous. But they were met and Ireland successfully exited at the end of 2013, and so the recovery started. But it had had to take on board many changes in terms of budgetary management, multi-year fiscal planning, and a return to planning in a national development planning context, because of course investment had suffered during the fiscal crisis. The very last line of that slide is significant because it was with a piece of legislation, the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council was set up, and this is a body that still plays a very important role in the Irish context. Putting my own language on it, there's a healthy tension between the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council and Irish government, but it's there, it, it, it is set in legislation and it provides an independent assessment of official budgetary forecasts. And fiscal policy objectives, and indeed in very recent times has produced a significant paper on climate change, which allows me to move to my next slide. And, and we here it is a new government after the fiscal crisis. And since Gay used an acronym, I, I get, I am allowed the freedom to use an acronym. I would call thisender because it's the Department of Public Expendituturn and Reform with the added name of National Development Plan in the middle of it. So. At this juncture in 2011, it was set up for the first time following a splitting of the old Department of Finance into two. Finance continuing to do its important work on the economy, fiscal and financial policy goals. Deepender or as it was then, deeper, managing public expenditure and also a very good innovation, the Irish Government Economic and Evaluation Service IGS and I would suggest to people they may well like to visit that website by Googling it after this seminar because it's quite a useful library of documents that they have produced in their work. And that lets me move to my next slide. And in my next slide, we, we do come to tender and and it makes for this seminar being very topical and timely because so much continues to happen in this context. The fact that the tender uh with this new title has a new function in terms of financing climate action er in particular. Has been responsible as well for the National Development plan, because National Development Plan is a an important tool in the overall development of economic and fiscal policy. The spending code, and again, having to think about language, I felt it was worth saying a little about this so this clarity about what it is in Ireland. It is a code. Yes, and it has rules, procedures and guidance for money stand and value for money standards. So it's guidance on how to carry out economic appraisal, apply the values one does in terms of test discount rates, etc. and it's incumbent on each accounting officer and each state agency to ensure they comply with it and and that they manage capital budgets overall and capital individual projects as well. And so to the next uh slide. Which is my last slide. And it is again capturing the fact that for the first time, Ireland has a Climate Action Act, which sets down specifically responsibilities right through the public sector and indeed into the private sector. And for this, I'm mentioning a third department, Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications, and we're very happy to have a representative from that department at this seminar. Again, in terms of timeliness, it's very interesting that in the budget for 2024, on the 10th of October, there are two funds. Which have been introduced and they will be set down on legislation, and there's a reference there, people may wish to look afterwards at the regulatory impact assessment carried out on them. Basically, in very simple terms, it is to have a means over a period of time in the economy to counteract and smooth out any downturns that might occur in the economy. Thank you, Bernard. I have stuck to my 10 minutes. Thank you very much, Tom. Uh, before you begin the pan panel, I just wanted to encourage, uh, our participants to add any comments or questions in the chat. Uh, they will be seen by everyone. If you don't want them to be seen, you could send them to BA, BEA, and, um, and she will, uh, share them anonymously. Uh, I also just wanna, um, Take a moment just to encourage you also uh to think about after the panel, uh, to share your own country experiences, uh, perhaps you've had similar experiences as the Irish experience, feel free to share those, or also, uh, just challenges you may experience, successes you may have experienced in building capacity and integrating, uh, climate considerations. So, and with that, uh, over back to you, Tom, with the panel. Thank you very much. Um, and I want to thank our three panelists. Uh, they've been very helpful to me in preparing for this. And so let me start into it with with with a question to Ken Cleary from Deepender using that acronym acronym again. It is very interesting to note that your minister Pascal Donoghue announced in the recent budget that New infrastructure guidelines will be published in the coming weeks to ease the administrative burden of approving the National Development Plan. Unquote Hey, Ken, could you tell us what impact the new guidelines are likely to have? Yeah, thanks, Tom. Uh, first of all, I'll just introduce myself to everyone if that's OK. Hi everyone, my name is Ken Cleary. I'm a principal officer at the Department of Public Expenditure, National Development Plan Delivery and Reform, or, uh, as Tom calls itender, which, which is we also do here. Um, I'm responsible for the department's climate research unit and I'm also responsible for expenditure management on energy and environment and climate change matters, uh, in, in the department, so. We tend to work very closely with uh my, my climate research side and with my responsibility for expenditure on energy and climate matters. We work very closely with colleagues in the National Investment Office, uh, in, in two respects. One, it's making sure that the public spending code, these rules that we've talked about here adequately incorporate climate considerations. But to tend to make sure that they're fit for purpose and that they can actually be used uh effectively and efficiently by departments as developing capital expenditure proposals. And I think I get a really interesting view on that, on the sort of the, the theory side of it working uh on climate research, ensuring that it takes account of those climate considerations. But then also with my role dealing with the departments on energy and climate change, making sure that what's actually developed can be workable and implementable. In the time frame that we needed to be for developing complex capital infrastructure projects and really that's what the minister's quotes were all about. It's making sure that the thresholds in terms of which the point at which we employ the level of analysis that we apply is appropriate for the size of the project. But then also making sure that the steps and the accountability for completing those various steps are, are, are appropriately aligned and appropriately balanced. So what we've changed really in the code and, and are in the process of finalizing that at the moment is to move it back to just two consent stages for government for those most significant projects. The government will only look at projects twice. They look at the preliminary business case. And then they will look at the final business case. And that's very important and it was a very deliberate strategy to look at those two cases, because the preliminary business case is effectively has the department settled on the right option to solve the policy issue in question. So this should be right at the start of the process when the department is considering, well we have a policy problem here, we have a host of options here, and here's our preliminary business case. To select which one we think is the most appropriate tool to solve the problem in question. So that's where we want government approval, so to ensure that that the entire government system is bought into this, the proposed solution by the department being the right one to address the policy point in, in, in, in question. And secondly then, the only time the government will then be asked to look at the project again is at the final business case stage of it, when we've gone through the tendering for the works to support um the project in question. So again, when we're absolutely sure this is the project we're delivering, here's all the risks, costs, benefits, and here's the pre-tender or here's the post tender actual prices that the government is going to pay for this project in question. So simplifying that down to two steps. Uh, we're still going to have external reviews of major projects, but we're changing the threshold for those to be above 200 million. And then the departments themselves will be the approving authorities, and they will have just 3 steps in terms of that preliminary business case that I've talked about will go to government. Then also a step on pre-tender, again, are we certain that what we're selecting here in terms of the works is the right mix of them, and then at that final business case. So 3 steps for the approving authority, 2 steps for government, with an additional step at external review. Where it's above 200 million. So those are the main changes. We think that still retains the core elements of what the code is seeking to do, which is to lead to better policymaking and better projects. But we do think this streamlined approach will be more effective at doing that and insurers, um, should streamline the pro the process of projects through the code. The other changes that we're making to the code are largely climate related. And in particular, we're proposing to very significantly increase the shadow price of carbon that we apply to investment appraisal. We're doing this because we price carbon in the, in our public spending code and the new infrastructure guidelines according to the marginal cost of abatement. So in other words, we look at the infrastructure over the lifetime of its of its existence, um, 20 to 30 years is, is, is typical, and we assess the impact on emissions that project will have over that timeline. We then price those emissions according to what it will cost the government to abate any extra greenhouse gas emissions that the project may give rise to that marginal abatement cost of, of abatement. And that marginal cost then is linked to our climate targets. Um, we have very aggressive climate targets in Ireland, which you'll hear a lot more from Evan, uh uh uh later, and we have worked with research institutes and universities in Ireland. To, to know what the marginal abatement cost will be for achieving those targets, and I said we're working that now into our public spending code, and because our targets have very significantly increased since the last time we looked at our public spending code, so too will the shadow price of carbon. And we're proposing a shadow price of carbon that is, I suppose, multiples of the current level it is at the moment. We've also been working with the OECD and with some others on valuing climate adaptation. Sounds like it'll be of a lot of interest to the, to the Caribbean. And we're also then going to look at the role that ecosystem services and biodiversity can play in the public spending code. Although that will not be ready for this version of the public spending code, that's a more medium term task, but one that we do think is, is necessary because with climate mitigation. As I said, it's quite easy to link monetary values to our climate targets. Well, easy is probably the wrong word, but there's a theoretical framework for doing so, and one that's readily understandable by the practitioners of this code. Um, but in terms of how we might provide for climate adaptation, how we might value ecosystem services, and how we might value biodiversity, these are thornier problems, which will not be in this round of revision of the code, but something we've committed to, to working to over, over time. So that's a very quick favor, Tom, but I hope it gives you some sense of, of what we're doing at the moment. That that's, that's very helpful. I'll just make one comment because it's something that I, I keep an eye on, and, and it is. Deepender, forgive me for using the depender, and your minister haven't been afraid to make changes when they have seen under the heading of fit for purpose to make those changes, albeit there have been changes made in December 2019 in the rollout. Now these are changes that are required and they are going to be made. So let me move on to Kevin Meaney. Kevin, And the topicality on my question is that last Friday, the IMF staff's concluding statement, having been on their mission to Ireland, they stated that strengthening public investment, efficiency and ensuring timely execution of the capital budget will be critical to deliver on the government's ambitious goals in the national development plan while ensuring value for money, unquote. Is your department doing enough to meet these aspirations from the IMF? Tom, yeah, yeah, and, uh, just give a quick introduction. Yeah, so Kevin Meaney, uh, from the same department as, as, as Ken, so the Department of Public Expenditure, NDP Delivery and reform. So yeah, no, no thanks, Tom. Um, yeah, the, so that particular question, you know, I say we, we actually had a meeting with the IMF, uh, uh, last week when they're, they're over on their, their, uh, visit, uh, uh, and, and reviewing, I suppose, the Irish system and finances and, uh. So, yeah, I know, we had a, we had a chance to kind of go through some of the issues as we see it and, and maybe some of the solutions that we are trying to, to put in place. So, yeah, to your question, absolutely, um, we're in the, I suppose in, in the initial process of, of, of reviewing and, and, and definitely reforming some of our processes. So, uh, since, uh, around this time last year, there was, there was, there was a change of government, um, the same party stayed in, but the, in terms of the, the personnel. They, they changed roles. So, uh, in particular, our current ministers, uh, Mr. Pascal Donoghue, and he came back to this department, uh, in, in December of last year, uh, and alongside the, uh, the, um, I suppose the, the role, the existing role, uh, as you, you said out Tom earlier in your slides, that the name of the department changed, so we had the additional term national Development Plan delivery. So it was added into the title of our, of our department. So over opening three months of this year, um, we set out, um, to, to do a, a, a proposed approach to government exactly how we are going to boost essentially national development plan delivery, boost, uh, you know, the efficiency, uh, and, and the delivery of our national development plan and our, and our public capital projects. So we came forward in March of this year, uh, with, with a proposed approach, uh, with 6 priority actions, uh. So Ken actually quite eloquently covered in in the main action one, which was very much around our public spending code and, and infrastructure guidelines, Essentially trying to simplify the process, uh, but keeping all the rigor, uh, of, you know, the appraisal processes. It was, it was the amount of times I think it had to go for external reviews and the amount of times I had to go for decision was causing some blockages, uh, particularly for big projects, uh, in the system and. We had a review. We, we had quite a lot of dialogue with, with partner organizations, departments, uh, and as Ken said, I, you know, we, we, we put in some substantial changes around the process. Uh, so hopefully that will see some, you know, as I say, in terms of timelines to bring projects to approval for government, some shortening of that process. The second action was, was centered very much on, on public procurement, uh, and, and, and the kind of. Dynamic between the public agencies and, and, and the private sector, uh, so this seems to be a common issue with many countries we've talked to, talked to, and I'm sure it may be an issue in, in the Caribbean, particularly around, you know, the amount of construction inflation we've seen, uh, in recent, particularly the last two years. Uh, there have been a lot of challenges to delivery of public capital projects that were underway, that, that contracts have been signed on, but even those that were close to, you know, close to signing or close to delivery. So there's been substantial changes made to our, our, our procurement processes to allow a greater level of price variation within, within the clauses, you know, absolutely, we want to get the best value for money, uh, for, for projects, but in a, in a, in a state where there is double figure inflation, it's, it's only fair that, you know, the public does share. Some of that burden with, with the, with the, with the developers and the and the and the the construction industry, uh, so that there had to be essentially some move from, from the public side. And then there's, there's a, there's a longer term, I think, uh, pathway of work to kind of simplify the processes, allow for more, we would, we would say more collaborative engagement between the two sides. Uh, and the final, uh, is the final stage is to, you know, try to increase productivity and efficiency, particularly through digitization of the sector. So, in our contracts, we will be demanding, you know, um, The type of things such as building information modeling and, and, and, you know, good digital processes to allow us to understand exactly what is going into our, our buildings and, and, and, and our infrastructure, uh, it will not only allow us to kind of track program delivery, uh, better, but even touching on some of the points Ken raised, it will actually allow us to track carbon embodiment, uh, better also. And then the final, just the final key action, uh, it's, it's, it's centered around our ministers now come. Pretty much on board. He, he's now chairing this, uh, it's essentially the National Development Plan delivery board. Previously it was, it was at official level. It was secretaries general, but now it's the minister himself, uh, is chairing this group. So actions that really are key to delivery and, and I think one of the, the critiques, I think the IMF centered on was our planning system. So there's a series of actions around our, under our planning system to try and improve. Uh, it's delivery improved the, you know, the decision making process and, and the, the speed at which it comes to decisions. Um, there's a new bill, a new, sort of new legislative underpinning for our planning system. It expected to go through the parliament in the next couple of weeks, uh, and it will probably take a bit of time getting through the parliament, but it will be commenced very shortly. Uh, we're reviewing our national planning framework, which is essentially our spatial strategy for, for the country. Uh, uh, that, that's to be done every 6 years, but we're commencing that this year, uh, and it's due to be reviewed, uh, by around April next year. And then very much there's a look at the wider, uh, capability within the planning system. Do we have enough planners? Do we have enough ecologists, uh, those types of skill sets. To allow us to kind of make timely decisions, uh, on, on planning just to, to give some context of the people are not, uh, as aware of Ireland's, uh, particular challenge we've had is we actually had a planning system. Our, our main consenting body is, is on board for all the planning board. It did, uh, it had a lot of personnel issues, uh, for, for, in the last 18 months, and it really, uh, it was whittled down to a very short amount of people on, on that board. Uh, so decisions weren't happening, happening in a timely manner. And in addition to that, uh, we've had some challenges, uh, and when we're focusing on climate, we've had some challenges in the interaction between the planning system and the environmental assessments and regulations that need to be met, uh. As part of a planning process, uh, with a lot of, a significant level, uh, greater level of kind of legal challenge and judicial reviews of planning decisions that have been an issue. So the planning, the new planning bill, you know, some of the key targets is to obviously set a kind of more, uh, critical timelines and, and, uh, timely processes by which those, those approvals can take place. And then just, just center on two final actions that, that the minister himself is kind of leading on. One is around for very much around public sector delivery, and I know Tom, you've, you know, touched on things like IGs and, and the skill sets that we do have, uh, in the public system. We still have, it's, it, it, it's fair to say a shortage of critical skill set in the public system. Now this comes after the financial crisis that we did have, um, you know, construction, essentially in the country did. Grind down to very bare maintenance essentially, uh, in terms of the public system. So a lot of our skill sets and, and the people like engineers, architects, uh, all the trades people, uh, a lot, a lot left the country, uh, and, and haven't come back since. So it has been a gradual process of, of trying to build that back up, both in the private sector and the public sector. Uh, so we have many key actions around, you know, what can we do to encourage people into the sector, uh, with, with support from the education system, with support from our social protection system, trying to, uh, you know, boost the, the labor supply more broadly and to get some of that obviously into, into the public sector as well. So I, I might, I might leave that there, Tom. That's kind of just some of the key actions that we have underway. Thank you very much. A very quick. Addendum is, it it it was very interesting that Minister Pascal Donoghue, who had been minister in Deer in December 2019, then moved to Minister for Finance, so that he was coming back with a very fresh view at the end of 2022, and he certainly is making his, his mark that in terms of making the needed adjustments. So I'll move on at this stage to ask. Evan, and you can introduce yourself. Evan, who's from, well, introduce yourself and then I'll ask you a question. Is that OK? That's fine, yeah. So Evan McMahon is my name. I'm a senior economist in the Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications. Sorry, did you get that? I just realized I didn't hold the microphone up to my mouth, so I can, I can speak again. Everybody hear that your, your hand. They don't know what a is. I heard you. Evan McMahon anyway, Department of Environment, Climate and Communications. Thank you very much. And again, it was looking around, and I had mentioned in my opening statement about the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council and the advent of that council. But they, on their website, they have a report on climate change, a very recent report. And in it, they Suggest that quote, more work is needed to improve the modeling and precision of the climate change impacts we estimate in this paper, unquote. Would you agree with that statement is your department actively engaged in such work? Yeah, well, I mean, listen, you know, um, what is it they say, all models are wrong, but some are useful, so I think the more, the more the better. I have no issue with that. I suspect, you know, the IFAC who you mentioned in your presentation, are a fiscal advisory group. So, um, I think where their perspective was coming from was like, Traditionally, organizations of that nature wouldn't have particularly dipped their toe into this area, but everyone now realizes, central banks, anyone who's involved with, with thinking about, um, just, you know, investment needs, understands the climate isn't isn't somewhere peripheral in a department like mine. It's, it's an issue that you know, is ubiquitous, because it's going to impact everything. So I think where they were coming from was, you know, They in IFAC need to kind of think about this more, but, but quite apart from them, I think we or anyone involved, uh, probably, it's a highly complex area. So, um, so I wouldn't, I certainly wouldn't have any difficulty with that statement. I come back then Uh, right, right through Ken and, and maybe either yourself. Or Kevin in terms of, I'd, I'd like to hear a little bit more for our people who are on this seminar to the significance of the advent of IGS as an instrument in the public sector. Which would, which of you would like to, sure, well, Tom, I might come in on that and give, give you my take on it, and then Kevin can feel free to jump in afterwards if, if, if that suits, because again I think we have slightly differing models, even though we're from the same department like we, we, we look at these policy issues with, with slightly different lenses sometimes, um, and just really to follow up on Evan's previous point as well, um, in terms of fiscal Advisory council, obviously in the finance ministry here in the Public Expenditure ministry. Um, the pronouncements of the fiscal Advisory council are, are something that we pay attention to. And again, what it really showed up for me, I, I think was even more so than their projections of the kind of investment requirements was how, how strikingly they differed depending on the policy mix adopted by government. Um, that the outcomes were, were quite, quite different, and again that was backed up by recent IMF and World Bank reports that, that shows, you know, getting the policy mix wrong on this can lead to public debt levels that are kind of 45% higher than they would be otherwise. And again, I'm not sure there's many countries in the world that will be able to service debt levels that are 45% in excess of where they are today, given that we're still adjusting from, from, from COVID and everything else, so. How do we go about doing this? Um, well, I think that brings it right back down to your question. How we start getting comfortable in terms of building the models, understanding the models, making these projections is by leaning on resources like IGs that are there and were established for exactly this kind of reason. It's not that the Irish government never recruited economists before, before 2000, before the creation of ISIS. It was just that there was never a centralized channel for them, and there was never the kind of permanent centralized economic uh experiences broadly based across departments, uh, in a way that it hasn't been in, in the past. So in that regard, I think that IIS has, has been a, a, a, a, a critical resource for the government. And I'll give you a couple of practical examples from that. I mean, one is we, I just undertake a series of expost spending reviews of, of policy programs on a, on a periodic basis. And we do, particularly in the climate research unit, we generally engage with departments and development of these and we've published a few very, very significant papers that have changed kind of policy uh development in Ireland and changed policy outcomes from, for the better. And some of these can only be done from the center. One example is looking at the supports that are available for electric vehicles. I mean, when we looked at this, we saw that there were supports coming from a finance ministry, our transport ministry, our energy ministry, from local authorities, and from, from a whole host of these. So trying to accumulate how much the government was actually spending on EVs, and then weigh this against the emission savings that the purchase of an EV was giving us over time, allowed us to put a value on the cost per ton being that was being saved. But then also it allowed us to put this cost against, well, here's the projected uptake pathway we have for the deployment of, of electric vehicles in Ireland, and we can see from that then we can see that we're going to lose billions in taxation revenues in, in terms of vehicle sales. But also then if the supports were unchanged, we'd have a massive liability on the public expenditure side, and from that we're able to draw policy conclusions to say that look, um, the supports, the current level of supports as it was at the time are unaffordable. But, you know, an appropriate policy outcome is to start toning down those supports for which we achieve the least benefit in terms of supporting hybrid vehicles or things like this, so there's a pathway or a glide path downwards from, from those high, high subsidies. So that's just one practical example in terms of an ex post policy review that I just have contributed to, but also in terms of the IIS resources that we have with the department and backed against that IFAC question. We're currently building a CGE model um with one of our economic think tanks, so that again, when the government is considering or implementing a climate policy, we can plug that into the CGE model and see the economy-wide impacts uh of, of this proposal before we adopt it, and that essentially gives us an early warning, particularly to the distributional consequences of some of the climate policies that the, that the government might be contemplating, because again, for a finance ministry. Knowing who the losers in a particular policy are going to be, gives you an insight into where the sort of the the the requests or the demands or the calls for additional funding are, are likely to come from. So, That's just a flavor of some of the work that I've just been doing on the climate side. Would we be able to do this without IIS? I'm, I'm not sure, but certainly we wouldn't be able to do it in this structured way. And again, having the structure of, of, of ISIS and the tradition of publishing policy documents like this allows us to say. You know, so it's not government saying that we have to come out and cut electric vehicle grants or anything like this. It's saying that, you know, independent economic expertise from the Irish government's evaluation services suggests that these things are unaffordable in the long run. It maybe smooths the passage towards policy decisions that might otherwise be be politically unpalatable, so it has a real practical benefit as well as that theoretical and empirical benefit it has as well, so. I'm not sure I've gone on a fair bit there, I'm not sure Evan or Kevin, if you'd like to add anything to that on your, on your perspective. Yeah, no, thanks, thanks, Ken and Tom. Yeah, I would, sorry, Tom, yeah, no, no, yes, please, yeah, just, just, uh, in the strictly in the, I think the public investment space and, and, and, and management. So Ken referred to the fact that, you know, we have increased thresholds within, within our, you know, the appraisal frameworks, um, so just give a context of where we've come from. So we, we had a public spending code essentially, um. Was first put together, I say adopted a lot of those EU rules that, that, that, that you mentioned in your presentation, Tom, uh, and put some, obviously some domestic guidance on it, but in, in 2013, essentially we defined a major project as €20 million. Um, then in 2019, we updated the, the public spending code and we defined a major project as €100 million. Uh, and then, as, as Ken said in earlier this year, it's now €200 million. Now, why IGS has been critical to that is essentially once something is defined a major project, it tends to have to come into our department for a review or to an external, uh, expert group for a review. Uh, so that's the kind of, that's the kind of extra rigor that we apply. So anything that falls under that essentially is, is dealt with by the department, the relevant department themselves. So, the having the IG's resource in the relevant departments has, you know, I think allowed those thresholds to increase overall, particularly in the bigger departments that spend a lot of capital funding. They tend to, they do have good strong I IGs resources. They have, I think, particularly units that are supported at, you know, a senior level, particularly at at at the principal officer grade, usually headed up by, by an economist with as the economist staff, and they are the ones that are now tasked when, when those projects that are under 200 million. Stay within the sector. They are tasked with essentially doing that, that review, that independent review of the project to assure that it has met the kind of criteria, uh, under the code that, you know, it, it is making a good value for money case, uh, and will deliver on the, the kind of challenges that, that, that the, the, the piece of infrastructure is due to meet. So I don't think we'd, we'd have as much comfort here in, in our department, uh, in myself and Ken's department. Without the IG system in those kind of bigger departments to, to kind of do that job on, on, on, you know, do a similar job that Per might have done if the project came over to, to us. So that's, that's one key change on the kind of EIM side, um, so. Thank you very much. And I would echo again a point I made earlier on. It's great that there is a website and that has a, there's a good library there for people to look through and projects that have been written about that they're interested in. Could I switch back to you, Evan, and talk about the climate action plan. Um, which was, is a first, and it is, it's legislation. It's not just a document, a white paper from government. It's actually a piece of legislation. And, and your department is, takes the lead role. Is it fair to ask, have you sufficient capacity within your department to manage the implementation of this very ambitious Piece of legislation. Thanks, Tom. I mean, Look, I, I, I, I don't see this particularly through an Irish lens. I mean, one could, one could take the view that it's particularly challenging from the Department of the Environment's perspective, but I think, you know, globally it's a very, it's, it's very challenging. We're talking about outside of wartime, one of the biggest mobilizations or, or changes. Um, I mean, obviously we, we have COVID in mind as, as something recently, but generally these kinds of societal transformations don't occur, so, um. So it is a big challenge. I wouldn't shy away from that, I wouldn't, I wouldn't suggest otherwise, but, but I think um Loved, as the guys have alluded to there, through I just through Uh, enhanced modeling, we are ramping up, but that's not to say that that it isn't, uh, yeah, really a challenge, and a challenge that goes and the and the climate action plan too, again, if people want to read it, it's it's, it's Googleable, um, but it's, you know, it's actions across the economy. It's not just, it's not just actions that our department would be responsible for. So it's quite a, you know, from Agriculture, to housing, to transport, to energy, like there's there's transformations. But these will be familiar to people um all over the globe because they're not uniquely Irish challenges and I suppose um we were talking about it before, before I came on, you know. Uh, challenges have been highlighted by the IMF, um, and, and they're, but, but they're, what's true of Ireland is true of other countries, um, but I suppose looking at the IEA's recent document too, there's there's kind of a quite A good degree of positivity about what can be achieved. So, um, a lot done, a lot to do, I think is that, uh, but, but I think it is, it is a challenge, but um, but it's not unique in that regard to Ireland. Actually, Evan, you've stimulated me to dig into my papers and think, pull out something that I think people will be interested in, and it is that in Ireland we have a number of state-owned companies, we call them state sponsored bodies, and it's very interesting that in the context of the, of the climate action plan, that piece of legislation. There's a specific document that has been directed to each of the state bodies, specifically on climate action and where targets have been set for each of the state bodies for them to deliver on it. Indeed, looking up to Bernard, it may well be if, if nothing else, we May do a list of references after this that might be useful, because the body that's overseeing this directive process, looking for state commercial, state sponsored bodies to deliver on the climate action area, the body is called New Era, which is a lovely title of a body. It was just you stimulated that thought that the trickle down, it isn't just your department, it is so many other parts of our public sector also have to have to deliver. Uh, I'm watching time and I'm only going to come back and I, I think it probably Chen and Kevin, it's not. Specifically your two areas, but you might have a view. I had drawn attention to because it it it did have an impact in reading the budget, uh, last month. Uh these two new funds, if I could use the phrase countercyclical, um, would you have any view you'd like to proffer, or is it completely outside your zone? Oh, I, Tom, I, I, again, I think I can say little and Kevin, Kevin can jump in as well, um, because I suppose the government announced two things and, um, they, they get there's a little bit of confusion, I suppose, in, in the media, uh, about it, so, um. We announced that there's going to be increased capital spending of about 2.25 billion over the over the coming three years. Uh, this is largely to deal with kind of inflationary pressures and, and the intention is that this will be allocated broadly as our kind of capital decisions have, have been taken. Uh, but then secondly, the government specifically agreed to create, um, a new, uh, infrastructure fund that will be, uh, approximately €14 billion in size, but within that then. To ring fence at least 3.15 billion for new climate and nature and water quality spending over the period 26 to 30. Um, so this is essentially Um, fund new additional capital funding that will supplement the existing projects that have been planned, planned for that period, um. For us This needs to be legislated for because it's going to be coming from windfall corporation tax receipts, as in it's going to be funded by corporation tax receipts that we do not think will be recurring, so it would not make sense for them to form part of our kind of permanent expenditure commitments because the revenue will not be permanent. The revenue will be very, very temporary, so making. You've talked about the previous crisis, um, um, um, Thomas, but I think making permanent spending commitments on the basis of, of transitory revenues, certainly one of the key lessons learned, learned from that period, as was the, the, the risks of overheating the economy. So having those things in mind, what we're looking at is additional capital spending over the period 26 to 30, so a couple of years in, in, into the future. To hopefully that to ease some of those constraints in the economy, but also to give departments time to develop appropriate policies, and then that spending will be for projects that are capital and essentially once-off in nature, because that will be the, the only revenue that, that's available for them. So what our role is this needs to be legislated by our department of finance. It needs to be adopted by our parliament. They need to approve that that the government's, uh, the wisdom of the government's strategy, I suppose, in, in, in relation to this, assuming that they do though, um, our department will likely play some role in determining where those funds should be allocated. And I suppose in that regard it's a, it's a little early to talk about, um, specifics on it because again the government only agreed this a couple of weeks ago. But I think very clearly there'll be some kind of prioritization mechanism required that can look at projects, to look at the climate, environmental characteristics of individual projects and assign them a ranking uh to better informed decisions that might be taken by government in relation to how it should allocate those funds. And really I think what we're talking about here is an evolution of, of a scheme that we did a couple of years ago, um. I think it was 2 years ago, the government up 3 at this stage, the government updated its, its capital spending plan, the National Development Plan, um, for the period out to 2030. But within that plan, uh, the government decided that every spending proposal must be screened against a range of climate and environmental outcomes, and every measure then must receive a traffic light-based score against those rankings, and that would be used to inform the government's decision making on the allocation of funds. So this was a big exercise that the Irish government did through the climate unit working with in deck, working with um with with Kevin's team in, in the NDP to screen at the climate environmental characteristics for every program. We're looking at mitigation, adaptation, impact on biodiversity, water quality, um, and, and so on, on the impacts of those to assign every project a score and then to give every score a traffic light to then kind of better informed government decision making on it. So. I think that gave us a good grounding. It's imprecise, it's qualitative in nature. I think in terms of moving on from what we'd be looking at for the next fund that we'd be trying to look at something that's more quantitative in nature. Again, look at the specific environmental characteristics of the individual investment programs, and again, trying then to prompt better policy making by departments by, you know, perhaps looking at the idea of adding additional scores for things like the ability to leverage private finance. Uh, or indeed even if the economy is, is still at capacity at that stage, look at how we might look at the emissions saved versus the labor intensity of construction projects. Um, but really these are very much kind of just initial thoughts at the outset. There's a lot of thinking to be done both in our department and then by government in terms of how we will make those decisions in terms of the allocation of those funds, but I do think it's a point of principle. We should be creating a tool that, that will give government better information to allow them to make better informed decisions when it comes to spending that, spending those funds. I think really that's what capital investment uh policy and indeed green budgeting is, is designed to do. I'm not sure, Kevin, if there's anything you'd like to add to that. Just, just a small bit extra on the, on the wider, so yeah, Ken can I touched on the 3.15 and I will prioritize that. The, the wider, I suppose the goal is for, as, as you're saying, Tom, countercyclical fund as well, uh, and, and we're seeking to put 2 billion per annum, um, from, from next year out to 2030 into, into this fund, um, so total of 14 billion by, by 2030 and. You know, for, particularly for the challenges that Ireland has had in the past, when, when cycles hit and the, and the bad time and the cycle hits, uh, as a small open economy, which, you know, maybe many of the, the Caribbean economies would be, would, would be too quite open to outside, uh, impacts if the, the world economy is bad, uh, the Irish economy is generally worse, uh, we get hit very badly, and when that happens, of all of the types of spending that we have. Uh, capital is by far, by far the most, uh, you know, cyclical in, in that nature. When, when, when bad times hit, the, the, the types of things that get stopped first are tend to be public projects. Um, it's very hard, it's much harder to cut, you know, wages or workforce or welfare. Uh, it, it tends to be easier not to just not to go ahead with a, with a, with a project. So, you know, I think we, we would, we would absolutely support the, the setting up of such a fund that if a hard time comes in, in the future. Uh, that at least we'd have, you know, some of these windfall receipts put aside and that they can allow a lot of kind of key projects and major projects, to proceed, um, and hopefully kind of bridge that gap till, till obviously the, the finances and revenues pick up, pick up again. So, um, but again, yeah, our, our our department of finance colleagues will be leading on that and the legislation required to set up that fund. Thank you very much. I I'm getting signals, Evan, that I should close off at this stage. There's nothing, I know it's not your area, but is any observation you'd like to make on it? or you pass, I go back to Bernard. No, listen, I'm fine. I don't want to take people's time. I suppose the only thing I was just thinking on the last point was, um, you know, when we're talking about appraisal and things like that, we have this. Could you speak into the mic, Evan, just it's harder to hear you. Sorry, apologies. Uh, so economists have this idea, you know, you internalize the external costs and you leave it to the market, and that's nice and efficient, and, and there I was talking about this, um, extremely prescriptive plan about all the different sectoral things that you need to do, and I guess it's a marriage of those different approaches to try and get something optimal. Thank you very much. Do I hand back to you, Bernard, and to take up on external questions at this juncture? Yeah, thank you very much, Tom, for leading that and just thank you, uh, Ken, Evan, and Kevin, uh, for just giving us a lot to think about and just being, uh, I think also quite, uh, candid about both the successes and some of the challenges that you're facing. Um, I do want to invite our colleagues from the Caribbean to share. Uh, some of their experiences, perhaps how they relate to some of the challenges that you've mentioned, uh, as, as Evan said, you know, these are, are global, they're not unique to Ireland. Uh, perhaps they may be able to share some of the, um, You know, how they're approaching some of the, these challenges of integrating climate considerations in their public investment planning, um, So, just, so I wanna just open the floor to that, but before uh the first person, there is a question in the chat that uh perhaps Tom or one of the other panels can, can respond to. Um, that was from uh Keyana Burke who asked, uh, in, in coming up with the key actions and priority actions for including climate considerations and public investment management, how important was support from external partners? Evan, you'd love to answer that question. Oh sure. Sure. I mean like external sort of consultation is key to everything, in as much as like, you know, as I said, this whole uh There's no one department can look after this, uh, and even within our department we have energy and we have climate, and you know, uh, but, but as I said, there's sectors, and we talk about, for example, the just transition. So for example, uh, it's, it's You, you want to do these things again, like from an economic point of view, you can talk about what's efficient, but you, you, you can't lump the costs on on one sector and think that there's not going to be any fallout from that. So you have to think about the the wider socioeconomic issues. So I think uh external partners and and and consultation are are critical when you're when you're developing policies of this complexity. Um. And also, you know, also the expertise that you get because, you know, while we have been opening our game through things like the the the IG's network, you know, uh people who work in specific sectors, who have specific skill sets, and you know, using Tom's term again, in capacity, uh, that that's critical so that you so that you bring that knowledge into the decision making. So, um, so how important, very important I guess in answer to your question. And, and, and just add, yes, no, just just add, Tom, yeah, look, in terms of the that, that, the public investment management and particularly the, you know, how it translates into our, our, our code or investment guidelines, you know, since absolutely since 2019, it's, it's any changes that we've been proposing have been, I suppose we've done, you know, considerable amount of stakeholder engagement with particularly first in first instance our relevant departments, um. At the end of the day they're they're the, you know, departments and agencies that that are actually going to have to apply this to, to the projects. So there might be aspects maybe in as they're coming from a very uh central treasury point of view that we thought might be straightforward or simple, but actually in a, in its application, not, not so much, um, and then just specifically on the climate, maybe, maybe Ken can confirm, but as I think Ken mentioned earlier we. You know, in terms of the next steps, uh, you know, we, we had relied on the, the, the assistance of the OECD to, to, to assist us on that. Um, I, I think what we were actually looking for in the main was, you know, the international experience, and I, I say these, these are complex challenges. Uh, it's, it's, it's very important, I think, for any country to see are there other countries that are, that are, that are doing it? Are they slightly ahead? Is there any lessons that have been learned that we can kind of take, take on board, uh. Within our, within our frameworks, um, and probably more likely there's, there's countries that have already started seeing the effects, you know, substantial effects due to climate change that have had to, you know, already, you know, introduced a number of changes that maybe aren't apparent yet for Ireland but will become so, uh, so, yeah, no, absolutely looking at that international picture as well, I think is, is key. Yeah, I just to add to that, Kevin, specifically on the climate side, I mean, really, there, there's, there's two broad thrusts of what we're all trying to do here, which is to better incorporate climate considerations into our public investment management and appraisal and also to reform our budgetary processes, um, so that climate is taken into account on, on those. And I mean, as, as everyone has kind of stressed their challenges that literally every nation in the world is currently currently facing, facing at the moment. So in terms of some of that external partnerships, we found it very fruitful to engage through a couple of channels. There's the OECD Paris Collaborative on green budgeting. There's the bank's, uh, coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action, uh, not relevant I'm afraid to many audiences here, but there's also a great degree of cooperation facilitated by the Commission, the EU Commission in terms of the European continent. But there's also then just the kind of the, the knowledge and experience that you gain through through events like this as well. And I think what's really important is the theoretical underpinnings of, of these structures, which again the bank, the IMF, um, the OECD all do a wonderful job on producing background papers on, but nothing beats that practical experience of hearing from other countries and from other finance ministries on the specific elements they've managed to introduce within their countries, the challenges that they found while doing so, and any kind of lessons learned. I think that's one of the advantages now is perhaps there's a few hurdles that can be jumped or indeed avoided um through, through, um, sort of understanding some, some of these issues, and I think as I said there are a few uh active channels out there that that nations can participate in as well as the kind of the more ad hoc events such as this so. Just to say that I'd urge your, your cooperation with, with some of those events where, where possible, uh, because we're all trying to achieve the same, same objectives, I think at the end of the day, and from the perspective of finance ministers all finding it a bit difficult as to, as to, now we have to take on environmental science and, and things that we wouldn't have had to in, in, in, in previous iterations, I suppose. I had a brief, brief point to that in answering the question, right back to the consultation, and, and actually it's, it's Kevin Meaney who drew my attention to this. The fact that Ireland the Irish government each year hosts what's called a national economic dialogue, the full range of social partners, and one of the documents that I rolled off from this summer's one was exactly on that point that Ken was saying. Quote, in terms of thinking about a sustainable future for all, the green budgeting initiative brings a more specific focus on embedding climate and environmental goals within the budgetary process. So just that another reference, Bernard. So we back to you, Bernard. OK, thank you, yeah. So I know we have colleagues from Saint Lucia, from Jamaica, from Suriname, from a variety of places. So, uh, let's, let me just pause for a moment and see if uh any of our Caribbean officials would be willing just to share a little bit of their experience, um. You can raise your hand or you can unmute and uh and just jump in and. I see there's uh Ms. Thomas from Saint Lucia. Just a few comments. Thank you for The webinar, I find the discussion very interesting and informative. Um, first of all, just a little about Saint Lucia. Small island, small island developing state. Very low growth rates and very highly indebted economy and we are part of a monetary union um with the OECS. A couple of the challenges, much of which was covered in the discussion today, include, but not limited to. Again, financing for disaster resilience. Um, as part of our successes, the island, we have in the past undertaken some key assessments, um, primarily associated with Um, developing a financing strategy for disaster risk assessments as well as assessing the volume of fiscal space that would be required to build resilience and to be able to integrate disaster and climate adaptation requirements. Um, so some of these assessments have been done in the past and it's been utilized to be able to inform government policy. Another key challenge is that with respect to data and um I would be interested in hearing some of the experience from Ireland and how you dealt with that. Um, I know in our instance, um, particularly expenditure data and capturing it out of the budget has been a challenge for us on the island. I know recently we undertook a change in our chart of. accounts to be able to better manage that, but the actual utilization of the data is where and better assessment of the data is, is one of the areas that needs further development. As of, as one would expect the issues pertaining to competencies and the tools to be able to strengthen capacity. For doing this is continuously being um pursued. In that regard, I would be interested in hearing a little about the institutional arrangements you have and some of the competencies I heard mention was made of, I think you said IGs where you now have um capacities related to um economists in some of your Your work, um, I would be interested in that, but I do believe on Thursday we may be talking a little more about that. And very importantly, it would be remiss of me if I don't talk about the critical support that the island is receiving in PFM from the, the. The CRIF, um, the facility that supported that exchange. Um, one of the areas of priority on the island that we've been working, um, steadily on is that of public asset management. And And from the perspective from PFM, um, the Department of Economic Development has been working assiduously on strengthening the, the Public Sector Investment Program, the PSIP. To strengthen collaboration and strengthen assessments. So we continue to work and this, this discussion is very timely. I am, I will pause here to give an opportunity to others to come in. Over to you, Bernard. I'll start the answering by just I mean thank you very much. um, I just start at the end in terms of IG's and and put a personal perspective of it on it. When I was in the Department of Transport for most of my career, I was the senior economist, but there were no other economists there at that juncture. So I really was very pleased, uh, personally when I saw. In 2012, 2013, the new Department of Public Expenditure and Reform and the Minister Brendan Howlin and Robert Watts, the Secretary General. Actually structuring and setting this up because it, I'm biased being an economist, but I really think economists have a very big role to play and to have a system that was cross-departmental, I felt was really a very important. One while having a central advisory role being provided within the Department of Public Expenditure and Reform. And again, I come back and, and, and, and I would something else I will put down the full reference to it, the fact that one can go online and uh consult the library and, and that may be something that would be helpful to you, Ounta. Thank you. Absolutely. Um, if you could just leave the link in the chats, we will definitely be interested in doing that. Thanks again. OK, I don't know if anyone else I can, well, I can come back a bit, just a bit about the point on um. The capturing expenditure data on climate because that that is something that we, we've done in Ireland we've we've done some work on it and again maybe I can give a bit of a practical experience on it. Um, so I suppose one of the key benefits of capturing climate related expenditure data and the primary reason why Ireland did this in, in, I think it was 2018 was to be able to facilitate the issuance of green debt. Um, it was quite early stages in the market at that point, but there was still a treasury agency had identified a kind of a, a, a market gap or a market need or possible advantageous approach, and since then we've issued, uh, over €10 billion worth of, of green bonds to the market, um, which has broadened the pool of, of investors in Ireland's debt quite significantly, hasn't necessarily given us an interest rate advantage on that debt. But by broadening that debt, we, we, I suppose, increase the resilience of, of that debt in, in of itself because it's held by by wider investors than than what it would have been previously. But to do that and to facilitate the issuing of a green bond. You have to publish an allocation report every year, uh, alongside that bond, showing where you've spent the proceeds of that bond. So what that requires you to do is I suppose to adopt a definition of what you believe counts as green expenditure and then to apply that definition of of green expenditure to all the government's expenditures to determine what counts for that process and what doesn't count for that process. So this is something we did in Ireland, um, we did it again within the climate unit, so it's something that can be done by a small team of of officials. And I think when it comes to tagging, there are now kind of multiple different definitions in, in use. I'm sure, I'm sure the bank has one, certainly the commission has one, but even beyond those institutions, things like there's an international capital markets definition that would be very much aligned with with what international investors might expect in a in a green bond. So I think then in terms of of of very practically then how do you implement this, I think it's a matter of engaging with each of the ministries in terms of all the spending programs that they have in terms of applying this definition to those spending programs and by engaging in a dialogue with those departments to come to a mutually shared understanding of what you believe the program's expenditures that they have that meet the definition. And then centralizing this either in a parallel reporting structure to, to your national budget. So that is essentially what, what we've done in Ireland. We published again for uh for a public consultation, we approached green budgeting, the definition that we used, and then the results of this engagement that we had with the individual line ministries and departments to get us towards that list of expenditure that we that we now include in our annual budgetary documentation and now underpins this allocation report that we have to do every year on, on a green bond. Um, of course you mentioned as well that beyond identification you need to move towards effectiveness of expenditure, and this approach that I've talked about here in terms of tagging expenditure doesn't do that, but I think it's a very much a first and necessary step along the way to more, uh, in-depth discussions with those ministries about improving the effectiveness of, of expenditure, and I really do think it's a useful tool in of itself, not just to facilitate the green bond. But then also to prompt those discussions, particularly around ministries that are maybe beyond your Ministry of Energy and Environment and Climate Change, who will understand these definitions, but your ministries of transport, your ministries of agriculture, your ministries of enterprise will have um less in-depth knowledge and understanding of the sort of the pros and cons of the trade-offs of, of identifying green expenditures. So in other words, I think it's a great first step for both a finance ministry and for the rest of government to start on a tagging exercise that doesn't need to be complicated. Again, the EU Commission have very, very complicated taxonomy. You don't need to do that. You can start with something as simple as greenhouse gas mitigation and or greenhouse gas adaptation. Start running the ruler over your program expenditures on that basis, using a simplified definition for what constitutes those expenditures. You can take inspiration from the French approach to green budgeting, you can look at the OECD Rio markers that are used for, um, for foreign aid, uh, or indeed you can look at people like the International Capital Markets Association in, in terms of definition. So it's work, uh, and it will take up some time from senior officials, but I do think it's a manageable, uh, bite-sized piece of work that can be maybe adopted as, as an appropriate first step. Uh, I see I have a question there as well about um data tracking and how we started collecting in, in data, so. I think that's a very good question because the first question is going to be, well, what level are you going to report to the public on your expenditures at? I think that's very clearly the the first decision. Um, and we took the decision early in the process that we were going to report at the most granular level of data that the Irish government makes available to the general public. We took that decision because we believed it was very important for consistency. So for either an investor in a green bond or indeed for one of our, our, our citizens to be able to look at the general budget and see that, you know, a program for energy efficiency has a budget of 10 million, and then to look at our, our, our list of green expenditures, be able to match that program expenditure with our list of green expenditures. I think that's critical for, for early stage credibility of, of the program. So what do we do in terms of steps as repeating myself a little bit here, but I think the first thing is to adopt. A definition, deply what level of expenditures you want to apply that definition to, and then I think you're applying that to the data, to the budgetary data that your line ministries are already reporting. Um, so in other words, we shouldn't be seeking, at least in the first steps of this, to collect new information. It's about applying a definition to that existing data that you have from your line ministries and that you report to the public on. There will be some subtleties and things like that that you'll come across in this, particularly where you'll come across a program that might have multiple objectives, and again you'll have to take a decision then on how you report on that. Do you use a tool such as the Rio markets which look at a proportion-based approach, you know, if something is 40% of expenditure. In the Irish government, we took a decision to be a little more precise and we said only where we are satisfied that the vast majority of expenditure on the program. Contributes to the achievement of climate objectives, are we satisfied tagging it, um, but again, in terms of socializing this approach, when you're thinking about all these things, the definition, the level of data, the subtleties, you can be working all of this into a publication which can accompany your national budget, which can explain how you came to these conclusions that you did, and that will really get buy-in from stakeholders and from the general public and from your political system. And then as I said, can form the basis of future tools in terms of getting at the effectiveness of that expenditure, or indeed can underpin your issuance of, of green debt. But I think that tagging exercise is a great first step, a great discipline for line ministries and for the finance ministries to start off with. Uh, again, if the World Bank are circulating links, happy to provide links to some of the Irish documents that I've talked about here that you can see because in a lot of these documents, we talked about how we came to the conclusions we did. Quite openly because we're trying to persuade stakeholders and bring them with us on on this journey, so happy to provide any of those links. Chen, thank you very much. That would be very useful. We do want to follow up with the participants with just resources, uh, a link to the recording and, and other things. So, uh, let me just, before Alberto comes in to sort of close up our session, I just wanna uh give officials from the Caribbean the final word if they, if there's anyone else from the Caribbean that would like to just, uh, give a comment or share a brief, very brief experience. OK. Uh Good morning, Bernard. Yes, OK. Yes, Ms. Lewis, and good morning to all your panelists. Just want to say that this morning's session was quite informative. Um, we are also looking to infuse the climate considerations in our public investment management system. Um, by law we are required to appraise projects, um, for environmental feasibility, which of course will include considerations of how the environment itself could impact um project success. And so certainly this morning was quite beneficial. I'm looking forward to receiving the presentations this morning and the recordings and also the other resources that the uh panelists have made reference to. So thank you all very much. Thank you very much. And so you're from Jamaica, yes. Correct. OK. Uh, well, thank you very much, and this is also an opportunity just to remind, uh, the colleagues that we will have a follow-up, a second session this week focusing a bit more on disaster response and recovery with again public officials from Ireland. Um, and with that, uh, Alberto. Thank you, Bernard. Can you hear me? Yes, we can hear you. OK. So, no, thank you, thank you very much, and I, I will, I will, I'm going to be very brief actually because we are over the hour already, but, uh, first, let me, you know, reiterate, uh, our gratitude to our sponsors, the government of Canada, that, uh, allows us to have this kind of, uh, of exchanges and support that we are providing to, to the Caribbean islands. Uh, in the context of this, um, this broader program. It's, uh, it's very helpful for us, uh, to have that type of support that helps us, you know, not only to provide the support, but also to, to learn and to innovate. And I think this, this, uh, this session is, is very much about that. Um, of course, thanks also to the To the guest speakers and, and, and for sharing this, uh, this important and relevant uh experience that you have. Uh, Ireland, of course, is, uh, it's kind of a reference for the world in terms of uh how you have managed to, to build and then develop this, uh, uh, expenditure management program and planning, uh, processes, uh, with a focus on how to manage uh capital spending. Uh, and, uh, it is very interesting to see, and, and thank you, uh, thank you, Tom, for providing that background that this started, uh, very much, you know, many years ago, and, and it's, uh, it's very much about building capacity and, and the way that you presented it, it's, it's building that adaptive capacity because, uh, you know, reality keeps changing, context keeps changing, challenges, uh, are coming, uh, up, uh, a new cha uh with new characteristics, so we have to adapt that. Uh, very helpful, I think, for, for, uh, also for our Partners in the Caribbean to hear this experience, uh, from a different perspective, you know? This is, I think, an ongoing dialogue. We will have that follow-up uh session on Thursday, then we can focus a little bit more on the, on the resilience aspects of that, uh, uh, are the, the, the things that they are. Caribbean, uh, uh, partners are more interested, uh, of, of course, given their situation, but the, the way that you have presented how this has been evolving in, in Ireland it's very interesting. For example, on how you have operated, uh, or how we are sort of streamlining your own system, uh, keeping this balance between, you know, proper, proper ex ante, uh, analysis with also some, uh, some level of agility in the process, also to make decisions. Uh, um, uh, faster without compromising the quality. Interesting to see, you know, how difficult it is to incorporate this climate dimension in the process. And, uh, uh, complex as it is, you said, uh, that mitigation aspects are, are, uh, uh, would be incorporated, but adaptation seem, seem to be even more difficult. And, uh, and we agree with that. And, and that's precisely the challenge that we are experiencing now in the Caribbean because that is the, the, the main focus. So we will be very happy. Happy to hear that, that aspect as well. Uh, the other interesting point that came out in the discussion was also, uh, related to implementation capacity that I think is, is another, uh, big challenge. Uh, and something that you mentioned that was a little bit, uh, new to me as well, from your perspective with this, uh, challenge about the skills that are migrating, migrating to other places, and then you have to replace them. Uh, I think this is very relevant for the Caribbean islands because this is, this is a phenomenon that is ongoing and you have to keep, you know, creating this. This ability and capacity to respond. So many of these things and, and, uh, and of course, from, from having uh and the, and the environmental perspective to look at this as a in a multi-sector whole of government approach, I think that, that is, that is critical and, and requires also that, that type of approach um to incorporate this dimension and, and that requires actually a proactive action, no, it, it, it can, it cannot be uh brought in only with you, with your normal um. With the normal principles of, of managing public investments, but do you have proactively to incorporate these dimensions as well. So many important messages, I think, uh, from our Caribbean, um, er partners, uh, we are hoping that this dialogue is helpful. We know that, uh, the main challenge now is to look into these issues related to disaster, uh, and climate-informed public investment management. Uh, risk assessment in the process and building the capacity so that we can develop this as part of our systems. Uh, something that came up, uh, at the end, uh, from, from, from one of the, um, Caribbean representatives is, is also this focus on asset management, which is not only, you know, building the new investments, but also making sure that our existing assets are also, uh, uh, um, resilient. So, um, yeah, with that, uh, I think, you know, uh, all of this has been really relevant and helpful. Uh, we hope we will have, uh, this follow-up conversation on Thursday, and, uh, I'm hoping, of course, that we will make it more participatory then and, and hear more also from, uh The perspective from the Caribbean so that we can get some, uh, some of your views, uh, and recommendations on how to continue this. So again, thank you very much for this. I think it was very helpful and thank you, Bernard and team for organizing and, and looking forward to have the conversation on Thursday. Thank you all. Uh, Thank you and stay tuned to receive the recording. Bye-bye.
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Integrating Climate Resilience into Public Investment Management Insights from the Irish Experience
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Integrating Climate Resilience into Public Investment Management Insights from the Irish Experience
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In this webinar we’ll discuss how Ireland was able to build the institutional capacity for sustained growth, where they have been forced to adapt and evolve, and the impact that climate change considerations are having on how Ireland plans for future public investment.
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