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Natalya Volchkova, CEFIR, Does Financial-Industrial Group Membership Affect Fixed Investment? Evidence from Russia This study estimates an accelerator model of fixed investment using a Russian industrial enterprise data set. The data set contains individual firms’ accounting data for 1996 and 1997. The sample of firms was divided into two subsamples, based on ownership structure. It compares sensitivities of investment to changes in net worth for unregistered financial-industrial groups and independent firms. Based on the empirical results, it concludes that the model works well when applied to Russian firms’ investment behavior in 1996–97. Russia’s financial system provided external finance primarily to the largest enterprises; most firms received no outside financing. Given the same investment opportunities and size class, medium and large firms from unregistered Russian financial-industrial groups invested a larger proportion of their retained earnings than did independent firms. This result is consistent with the hypothesis that banks in such groups—which are able to monitor financial flows of firms in the groups more easily than they can monitor independent firms—exercise systematic control over managerial actions. This efficiently reduces managerial discretion over retained earnings, which results in the implementation of a larger number of investment projects among these firms than among independent firms of the same size and with the same investment opportunities. These results indicate that the role played by banks in Russian financial-industrial groups differs from that played by banks in Japanese and Korean groups. Banks in Russian groups do not reduce the information asymmetry problem for group firms, but they could help solve the problem of contract enforcement in firms participating in those groups. In an economy with inefficient banking and financial systems, this would increase the volume of investment implemented by group firms relative to independent firms facing the same investment opportunities. Such integrated structures thus play an important role in an economy in which both insufficient investment and weak corporate governance are substantial impediments to structural and political reforms. |
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