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The
Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE)
Crime
in Russia: Understanding Its Development During Transition: A Regional
Approach
by Rudiger Ahrend and Yury Andrienko
The decade of transition in the Russian Federation has been
accompanied by an unprecedented rise in crime. We investigate the reasons for
this increase and for differences in crime rates across Russian regions by
analyzing panel data for 70 Russian regions from 1990 to 1998. Using homicide as
a proxy for violent crime and larceny as a proxy for property crimes, we find
three factors that explain the proliferation of crime during transition: the
reduction in the percentage of crimes solved by the police, the increase in
alcohol consumption, and the increase in poverty and income. We find that the
largest share of violent crime in Russia is associated with aggression within
neighborhoods and families rather than connected to Mafia-like structures.
Rudiger Ahrend is an economist at RECEP and DELTA. Yuri
Andrienko is an economist at RECEP/CEFIR. For copies of this article, please
contact the authors at rahrend@recep.glasnet.ru or yandrienko@ recep.glasnet.ru.
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