Tools for Assessment

ENPEP


Contents:

| Overall Description | | Data Requirements | | Spatial Coverage | | Time Horizon | | Objective | | Issue Addressed and Basic Approach | | Adaptability | | Transferability | | Hardware and Software Requirements | | Bibliography |

Organisation : IAEA
International Atomic Energy Agency
P.O. Box 100, Wagramerstrasse 5
A-1400 Vienna, Austria
Contact Person: Mr. Pablo E. Molina
Tel: (43-1) 2360 ext. 2785
Fax: (43-1) 234564

Overall description

ENPEP is a set of micro-computer based energy planning tools that are designed to provide an integrated analysis capability. ENPEP begins with a macroeconomic analysis, develops an energy demand forecast based on this analysis, carries out an integrated supply/demand analysis for the entire energy system, evaluates the electric system component of the energy system in detail, and determines the impacts of alternative configurations. Also, it explicitly considers the impacts the power system has on the rest of the energy system and on the economy as a whole.

Data Requirements

- Base year energy balance - user selected level of detail;
- Base year energy prices;
- Energy technology performance;
- Energy technology costs;
- International energy price projections;
- Electric system load characteristics;
- Local environmental coefficients - optional.

Spatial coverage

Local, regional, national scales possible.

Time horizon

1. Short (1-3 years) to long-term (50 years maximum).
2. Annual time steps in Total Energy.
3. Annual, seasonal, monthly in Detailed Electric System Analysis.

Objective

- Energy policy analysis;
- Energy tariff development;
- Energy project investment analysis;
- Electric system expansion planning;
- Environmental policy analysis (for energy system).

Issues addressed and basic approach

Macroeconomic analysis
No macroeconomic model. Provides interface to external macroeconomic model(s).

Total energy system analysis

Demand analysis: Detailed evaluation of composition of demand by sector, subsector, fuel, useful energy. Growth of demand determined by macroeconomic variables and/or other user-specified parameters. Energy conservation and demand side management analysis capabilities;
Resource analysis: Representation of depletable resource availability and cost; Representation of renewable resource availability and cost;
Supply side analysis: Detailed evaluation of supply system configuration, both current and future. User-defined structure and level of detail;
Supply/demand balance: Non-linear, equilibrium solution for total energy system. Energy policy constraints can be imposed.
Detailed electric system analysis
Load curve: Computed from total energy system analysis or input separately by user;
Load characterization: Analysis of historical load data to develop hourly, seasonal and annual load characteristics;
Generation expansion analysis: Least cost optimization of system expansion plan (WASP III plus).
Environmental analysis
All environmental burdens computed as uncontrolled emissions, with alternative control equipment, under alternative environmental regulations, and with incremental cost of control.
Air-pollution: Treatment of main pollutants possible;
Water: Treatment of all pollutants and water consumption possible;
Solid waste: Treatment of all waste streams possible;
Land use: Treatment of facility land use and operational land requirements;
Occupational health and safety: Treatment of construction and operation illness, injury, fatalities.
Decision support analysis: Prototype decision making analysis module being developed.

Adaptability

Flexibility
Energy system structure and data input are adaptable to local conditions. Can be expanded with data development.

Future development
Continuing improvements in computational algorithms and features; development of graphical user interface; and development of Windows version. Development of an electricity system expansion analysis module WASP IV which handles fuel, generation and heat limitations, and environmental regulation constraints.

Transferability

User friendliness
Menu-driven, on-line help, error checking, graphic outputs; Graphical user interface under development.

Documentation
User manual, technical description available in English.

Training
3-4 weeks for Total Energy System Analysis;
3-4 weeks for Detailed Electric System Analysis;
Annual courses provided by IAEA; occasional courses provided by U.S. Department of Energy, US Agency for International Development, World Bank.

Case studies
Over 400 individuals from 60 countries have received formal training at Argonne on one or more ENPEP modules. In addition, IAEA has offered several regional courses on WASP III plus (ENPEP version). Also, several short courses (one to three weeks) on one or more ENPEP modules (e.g. BALANCE and IMPACTS) have been provided as part of particular projects. Case studies with one or more ENPEP modules have been conducted in many countries. Recent applications include: Malaysia, China, Colombia, Indonesia, Nepal, Turkey, Romania, Peru and the United States.

Hardware and software requirements

Hardware
IBM/PC or compatible 386;
(math co-processor recommended);
2 MB RAM, 30 MB hard drive;
VGA Color Monitor.

Software
DOS 3.1 or higher.

Bibliography

Buehring, W.A., B.P. Hamilton, K.A. Guziel and R.R. Cirillo, ENPEP: An Integrated Approach for Modelling National Energy Systems, Argonne National Laboratory, February 1991.

Charalambous, C. et al., Energy Planning and Assessment of the Long-Run Marginal Costs Associated with the Generation Expansion Programme (An Overview of the Cyprus Case Study), UNDP/World Bank Project on Energy Planning for European and Arab State Countries, December 1988.

Cirillo, R.R. and C.M. Macal, Jamaica Integrated National Energy Planning Analysis, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, Illinois, February 1986.

Cirillo, R.R., C.M. Macal, and W.A. Buehring, The Use of Nonlinear Models for Energy Planning in Developing Countries: ENPEP as an Example, Proc. of the 25th Intersociety Energy Conversion Engineering Conference, vol. 4, pp. 360-363 (Aug. 12-17, 1990).

Charalambous, C., Generation Expansion Planning and Long-run Marginal Cost Calculations Using the ENPEP-(WASP) Computer Package, Proc. of an International Atomic Energy Agency Workshop on Experience in Energy and Electricity Supply and Demand Planning With Emphasis on MAED and WASP Among Member States of Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa, IAEA-TECDOC-607, pp. 41-78 (May 1991).

Coopers & Lybrand Associates in association with Merz & McLellan, Bangladesh Power Sector Tariff Study, Final Report, Executive Summary, United Nations Development Programme and the World Bank, August 1986.

Government of Argentina and U.S. Department of Energy, Republic of Argentina/United States Cooperative Energy Assessment, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, Illinois, 1982.

Hamilton, B.P., R.R. Cirillo, and W.A. Buehring, ENPEP: An Integrated Approach to Energy Planning, in Proc. 1992 International Symposium on Energy, Environment, and Information Management, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, Illinois, U.S.A., pp. 321-329 (Sept. 1992).

Hamilton, S., T.D. Veselka, and R.R. Cirillo, Structuring Energy Supply and Demand Networks in an General Equilibrium Model to Simulate Global Warming Control Strategies, 13th Annual North American Conference of the International Association for Energy Economics (Nov. 1991).

International Atomic Energy Agency, Experience in Energy and Electricity Supply and Demand Planning with Emphasis on MAED and WASP Among Member States of Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, IAEATECDOC607, Vienna, 1991.

Jusko, M.J. et al, Energy and Power Evaluation Program (ENPEP) Documentation and User's Manual, Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Systems Analysis, Development and Evaluation Group, Argonne National Laboratory, August 1987.

Koritarov, V.S., G. Conzelmann, and B.P. Hamilton, Turkey Coal Pollution Abatement Project: An Integrated Economic and Environmental Evaluation of Generating System Expansion Options, Argonne National Laboratory report to the World Bank (July 1993).

Macal, C.M., Overview of IDES: An Integrated Demand and Energy Supply Equilibrium Model, in Strategic Planning in Energy and Natural Resources, Lev, B et al.(eds.), North Holland, Amsterdam, 1987.

Mumtaz, A. et al., A WASP3 Based Electric System Expansion Planning Study for Pakistan with Constant and Variable Load Duration Curves, Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission, Islamabad, Pakistan, August 1990.

Republic of Korea and U.S. Department of Energy, Republic of Korea/United States Cooperative Energy Assessment, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, Illinois,1981.

World Bank, Proceedings of the General Review Seminar of Project Activities, Regional Energy Planning Project for European and Arab States (Phase II), Nicosia, Cyprus (Aug. 28-Sept. 4, 1991).