Malaysia's structural
transformation from low to middle income is a success story,
making it one of the most prominent manufacturing
exporters' in the world. However,... Show More +
like many other
middle income economies, it is squeezed by the competition
from low-wage economies on the one hand, and more innovative
advanced economies on the other. What can Malaysia do? Does
Malaysia need a new growth strategy? This paper emphasizes
the need for broad structural transformation; that is,
moving to higher productivity production in both goods and
services. This paper examines productivity growth for
Malaysia at the sectoral level, and constructs several
measures of the sophistication of goods and services trade,
and puts these comparisons in a global context. The results
indicate that Malaysia has further opportunities for growth
in the services sector in particular. Modernizing the
services sector may provide a way out of the middle income
trap, and serve as a source of growth for Malaysia into the future. Show Less -
Type: Policy Research Working Paper
Report#: WPS6427
Date: April 1, 2013
Author:
Flaaen, Aaron ;
Ghani, Ejaz ;
Mishra, Saurabh
The Malaysian economy maintained a
vigorous pace in the first nine months of 2012 despite
external headwinds. Continuing a trend in the past two
years, Malaysia's stronger-than-expected... Show More +
Gross Domestic
Product, or GDP growth in the first nine months of 2012 was
driven by rapid expansion of domestic demand while external
demand (and export-oriented industries) stagnated due to
continuing global uncertainty. Malaysia's low
participation of women in labor markets is linked to a
pattern whereby women do not return to work after marriage
and childbearing. Education alone is not sufficient to close
gender gaps as social norms and formal institutions continue
to affect the choices of all women. In the long-term, norms
need to evolve for gender gaps to be bridged; in the
meantime measures can be put in place to help men and women
balance responsibilities. Changing prevailing social norms
takes time. In the medium-term, supportive measures at all
stages of the life-cycle can be put in place, ranging from
flexi-work arrangements and expanded childcare options, to
incentives for more female participation in
'non-female' educational fields and job types.
While current initiatives to leverage on women's talent
are laudable, other policy options must be explored,
evaluated, and tailored, to enable Malaysian women to fully
contribute to Malaysia's transformation towards a
high-income, inclusive and sustainable economy. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper
Report#: 73922
Date: November 1, 2012
Author:
Sander, Frederico Gil ;
Carpio, Ximena del ;
Patrick, Katherine Sarah ;
Jalil, Intan Nadia
The Malaysian economy grew robustly in
2011, outperforming forecasts. Growth was driven by domestic
demand. Public consumption picked up more than expected
toward the... Show More +
end of the year and fixed investment was also
buoyant on higher investments by public and private
companies. Private consumption spending remained strong,
sustained by solid consumer credit, civil service bonus
payments, and firm commodity prices benefiting smallholders.
Inventories were a drag on growth as post- financial crisis
restocking was completed. There is momentum to the reform
agenda, but implementation could be accelerated. The
government's transformation programs registered notable
progress, but the challenge now is to go beyond quick wins
and accelerate the implementation of more difficult, but
critical, structural reforms that lie at the core of
transforming the economy into a high-income one.
Implementation can be assisted by increasing the
coordination of related reform efforts (such as safety nets
and education), building capacity within the civil service
to lead reforms, and working towards consensus in key areas
such as educational reform, subsidy rationalization and
broadening the tax base. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper
Report#: 67944
Date: April 1, 2012
Author:
Sander, Frederico Gil ;
Hanusch, Marek
This paper explores the stabilisation
properties of fiscal policy in Malaysia using a model
incorporating nonlinearities into the dynamic relationship
between fiscal... Show More +
policy and real economic activity over the
growth cycle. The paper also investigates how output
multipliers for government purchases may alter for different
components of government spending. The authors find that
fiscal policy in Malaysia has become increasingly
pro-cyclical over the last 25 years and establish that the
size of fiscal multipliers tend to change over the growth
cycle. A 1 Malaysian Ringgit rise in government (investment)
spending leads to a maximum output multiplier of around 2.7
during growth recessions, and around 2 in normal times. The
returns to government spending in Malaysia are greater when
the focus is on public investment, as opposed to
consumption. Changes in tax policy are less effective in
stimulating economic activity than direct government
spending. These results provide empirical backing to
conjectures in the recent literature implying that
procyclicality in fiscal policy reduces the effectiveness of
fiscal actions in emerging markets. Show Less -
Type: Policy Research Working Paper
Report#: WPS5982
Date: March 1, 2012
Author:
Rafiq, Sohrab ;
Zeufack, Albert
The Malaysian economy decelerated as
solid domestic demand was not sufficient to offset a
weakening external environment. Private consumption growth
continued at a healthy... Show More +
pace. Favorable rubber and palm oil
prices drove up incomes of smallholders while continued
employment and wage growth supported urban incomes. In
contrast, fixed investment was more volatile, with private
investment showing signs of picking up while public
investments lagged. Malaysia's overall balance of
payments recorded a larger surplus in the first half of the
year reflecting a widening current account surplus and
substantial net financial inflows. Malaysia's open
economy is expected to slow further in the remainder of 2011
and into early 2012 mainly due to the deterioration in the
outlook for external demand. Cities are central to
Malaysia's aspiration to become a high-income economy.
Smart cities are skilled and innovative. They play a crucial
role in catalyzing economic growth by generating
productivity gains through agglomeration economies. Smart
cities are green and sustainable. They ensure a high quality
of life to all citizens and the sustainability of economic
gains. Finally, smart cities are resilient. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper
Report#: 65613
Date: November 1, 2011
This fourth issue of the Malaysia
economic monitor is themed Brain Drain. The report reviews
recent economic developments, updates the World Bank's
view on the economic... Show More +
outlook, and analyzes-in the
report's thematic section-how Malaysia can manage brain
drain. The report is accompanied by an outreach effort to a
wide audience of policymakers, private sector leaders,
market participants, civil society, think tanks, journalists
and the public at large. The Malaysian economy staged a
strong recovery over the course of 2010, but the momentum of
growth had progressively weakened over the year. The strong
rebound was driven mainly by the domestic private sector,
with some support from commodity exports towards year-end.
Electronics underperformed, however, raising concerns about
underlying competitiveness. Private consumption remained
firm, despite flat sequential growth, amid favorable labor
and credit market conditions. In line with domestic demand,
growth in the services sector was sustained. Industrial
production picked up on better performance in
domestic-oriented industries, with capacity utilization at
normal levels again. Malaysia's positive growth
performance was accompanied by a build-up in inflationary
pressure and a surge in foreign capital inflows. The
intensification of competition in the region provides a call
for action. The recent increase as well as geographically
concentrated nature of poverty in Malaysia adds further to
this urgency. Show Less -
Type: Economic Updates and Modeling
Report#: 61483
Date: April 1, 2011
About a year ago, the Government of
Malaysia and the World Bank set up a knowledge partnership
centered on the policy objective of transforming Malaysia
into a high-income... Show More +
economy. The Malaysia economic monitor
series is a key pillar in this partnership and serves as a
platform for public discussion, analysis, and the sharing of
knowledge on the challenges facing Malaysia in achieving
this objective. This third issue of the Malaysia economic
monitor is themed inclusive growth. The report reviews
recent economic developments, updates the World Bank's
view on the economic outlook, and analyzes in the
report's thematic section how Malaysia can promote the
objective of inclusive growth. Following a spectacular
year-on-year recovery, the growth momentum of the Malaysian
economy is ebbing. After a period of crisis-related
volatility, the economy transitioned into more normal
patterns of growth: the pronounced inventory cycle began to
subside, private consumption became more buoyant, and fixed
investment picked up as capacity utilization gaps were
closed. Interrupting this process was the return of external
weakness, with exports slowing in the second quarter and
then contracting. Since import demand for export processing
did not react immediately, inventory volatility picked up
again. Achieving Malaysia's Vision 2020 goal of
high-income status requires average growth of 6 percent
during the 10th Malaysia plan period a marked improvement on
the 4.4 percent achieved over 2006- 2010. The challenge is
not only to boost the level of growth but to ensure that
growth is inclusive and sustainable. The policies and
projects of the Economic Transformation Program are the key
to meeting this challenge through greater, and
higher-quality, investment and productivity improvements. Show Less -
Type: Economic Updates and Modeling
Report#: 63943
Date: November 1, 2010
The Status of Projects in Execution
(SOPE) Report for FY10 provides information on all
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
(IBRD), International Development... Show More +
Association (IDA), and
trust funded projects that were active as of June 30, 2010.
The report is intended to bridge the gap in information
available to the public between the project appraisal
document or program document, disclosed after the Bank
approves a project, and the implementation completion
report, disclosed after the project closes. In addition to
the project progress description, the FY10 SOPE report
contains project level comparisons of disbursement estimates
and actual disbursements, and a table showing the
loan/credit/grant amount and disbursements to date. Show Less -
Type: Annual Report
Report#: 57256
Date: October 3, 2010
In November 2009, the Government of
Malaysia and the World Bank signed a three-year partnership
agreement focused on the policy challenge of growing into a
high-income... Show More +
economy. The Malaysia economic monitor series is
a key pillar in this partnership and represents an effort to
promote discussion, analysis, and the sharing of knowledge
on the challenges ahead. This second issue reviews recent
economic developments, updates the World Bank's view on
the economic outlook, and analyzes in the report's
thematic section how Malaysia's economy can improve its
growth performance through innovation. The report is
accompanied by an outreach effort to a wide audience of
policymakers, private sector leaders, market participants,
civil society, think tanks, journalists and the public at large. Show Less -
Type: Economic Updates and Modeling
Report#: 66569
Date: April 1, 2010
Author:
Schellekens, Philip
This country level trade brief
summarizes insights from the world trade indicators database
as well as analyzes national impacts and responses to the
food crisis and... Show More +
global recession. The trade at a glance
tables for Malaysia provide a snapshot of key aspects of
trade policy and performance. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 72671
Date: December 1, 2009
This country level trade brief
summarizes insights from the world trade indicators database
as well as analyzes national impacts and responses to the
food crisis and... Show More +
global recession. The trade at a glance
tables for Malaysia provide a snapshot of key aspects of
trade policy and performance. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 72671
Date: December 1, 2009
Malaysia is emerging from one of the
worst export slumps in its economic history as manufacturing
and exports have started growing again. With East Asia
leading the... Show More +
recovery and advanced economies showing
progressive improvement, the Malaysian economy is projected
to grow at 4.1 percent in 2010, following a contraction of
2.3 percent in 2009. The medium-term outlook remains
promising with growth reaching 5.6 and 5.9 percent in 2011
and 2012, respectively, though that will depend on sustained
global recovery from the crisis. The overriding medium-term
challenge is for the Malaysian economy to join the select
group of high-income countries. Malaysia has experienced
solid growth over the last decades, but has relied on an
economic model predominantly based on capital accumulation,
although private investment rates never recovered from their
20 percentage point fall after the Asian 1997/98 crisis and
are now among the lowest in the region. For Malaysia to
climb the next step up the income ladder, it needs to focus
on improving the investment climate to raise investment
rates and focus on productivity growth. Against this
backdrop, the authorities are developing a 'new
economic model,' which will be squarely centered on
boosting productivity. Promising reforms have already been
announced in the areas of services and foreign direct
investment, which will help revitalize private investment. Show Less -
Type: Economic Updates and Modeling
Report#: 51624
Date: November 1, 2009
The Southeast Asian Tigers feel
threatened. Even though their growth rates have remained
above the average for the world and also above the average
for developing countries,... Show More +
their economic performance falls
short of that in the first half of the 1990s. The underlying
worry is that it presages the beginning of a downward trend,
the harbingers of which are lower rates of investment,
persistently low rates of total factor productivity, and low
levels of innovativeness. The Southeast Asian Tigers'
worries motivate three questions, which this book attempts
to answer. First, are the Tigers rightly threatened by a
creeping economic sclerosis or what some observers are
calling the middle-income trap? Second, if the threat is
real, what are the underlying causes? Third, are there ways
of neutralizing the problems and at least maintaining if not
raising the growth rates of the recent past? This book will
respond to these questions by means of a comparative
analysis of the Tiger economies that is centered on
Malaysia. This analysis draws on a comprehensive set of
techniques and indicators to assess competitive pressures,
to gauge industrial and technological capabilities, and to
indicate some of the directions industrial change in
Southeast Asia could take. Thus, the book seeks not only to
view industrial evolution in the region from a comparative
perspective taking account also of what is happening and has
happened in other parts of East Asia but also to illuminate
this ongoing and uncertain process using some of the latest
empirical techniques devised for this purpose. The balance
of this chapter provides the developmental and international
contexts with reference to which these questions will be
addressed. It explains the book's preferred angles to
tackling them. The chapter also outlines the contents of the
volume and foreshadows the principal findings and conclusions. Show Less -
Type: Knowledge Economy Study
Report#: 51278
Date: October 1, 2009
Author:
Yusuf, Shahid; Nabeshima, Kaoru;
In the decades prior to the Asian
financial crisis, the Malaysian economy experienced rapid
growth and a significant structural transformation. It went
from an economy... Show More +
that relied on agriculture and commodities
to one dominated by manufacturing and services. Since then,
however, Malaysia's growth has slowed to a level well
below its key competitors in Asia, including the large
labor-surplus economies of China and India. The economy
seems to be caught in a middle-income trap, unable to remain
competitive as a high-volume, low-cost producer and unable
to move up the value chain and achieve rapid growth by
breaking into fast growing markets for knowledge, and
innovation-based products and services. The Malaysian
authorities have expressed their commitment to regain their
earlier growth and reposition their economy as a rapidly
growing, knowledge-based, high value-added and high income
economy. A key element of their strategy is to encourage
Malaysians to invest more of their savings at home, instead
of abroad. Equally important is the need to improve the
quality of that investment. As part of this effort, the
Economic Planning Unit (EPU) of the Prime Minister's
Department launched a second Malaysia Productivity and
Investment Climate Survey in 2007 (PICS-II) to assess
whether and how the investment environment had changed since
the first survey in 2002 (PICS-I). This report presents the
analytical results of the second survey, which covers nine
manufacturing industries and five selected business support
services industries. Show Less -
Type: Investment Climate Assessment (ICA)
Report#: 49137
Date: August 1, 2009
This country level trade brief
summarizes insights from the world trade indicators database
as well as analyzes national impacts and responses to the
food crisis and... Show More +
global recession. The trade at a glance
tables for Malaysia provide a snapshot of key aspects of
trade policy and performance. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 71142
Date: December 31, 2008
This country level trade brief
summarizes insights from the world trade indicators database
as well as analyzes national impacts and responses to the
food crisis and... Show More +
global recession. The trade at a glance
tables for Malaysia provide a snapshot of key aspects of
trade policy and performance. Show Less -
Type: Brief
Report#: 71142
Date: December 31, 2008
The services sector occupies a large and
growing component of the Malaysian economy, accounting for
nearly 54 percent of aggregate production and 57 percent of
national... Show More +
employment. Of the 1.9 million jobs that were
created during the past ten years, fully 1.8 million were
located in the services sector. As levels of income per
capita continue to rise in Malaysia, the emphasis on
services as a source of employment creation and income
growth can be expected to increase. The purpose of this
study is to examine the performance of the Malaysian
services-producing industries in detail, both in comparison
to the goods-producing sector as well as the
services-producing industries in other countries. The study
has six primary components. First, in order to provide a
macroeconomic context, we compute measures of labor
productivity and total factor productivity (TFP) growth at
the level of the total economy and three major sectors of
agriculture, industry, and services. Second, the author
extends the productivity analysis to the level of the 12
principle service-producing industries, and compares their
performance with comparable industries in Korea, Taiwan, and
Thailand. Third, the author use available data on five
detailed industries (airlines, banking, telecommunications,
land transport, and port operations) to construct measures
of productivity performance, with an emphasis on
international comparisons where possible. Fourth, the author
analyzes the current state of Malaysia's external trade
in services, and its potential for growth in the future.
Fifth, the author considers how changes in the educational
attainment of the workforce contribute to the performance of
the services sector and to economic growth more broadly. In
a concluding section, the author provide a brief report on
the quality of the available data necessary to compute
indicators of economic performance and suggest areas of
greatest need for improvement. Show Less -
Type: Development Policy Review (DPR)
Report#: 69755
Date: October 21, 2008
The Status of Projects in Execution
(SOPE) report for FY08 provides information on all
International Bank and Rural Development
(IBRD)/International Development Association... Show More +
(IDA) projects
that were active on June 30, 2008. The report is intended to
bridge the gap in information available to the public
between the project appraisal document, disclosed after the
Bank approves a project, and the implementation completion
report, disclosed after the project closes. In addition to
the project progress description, the FY08 SOPE report
contains project level comparisons of disbursement estimates
and actual disbursements, and a table showing the
loan/credit/grant amount and disbursements to date for all
active projects. Show Less -
Type: Annual Report
Report#: 49678
Date: October 11, 2008
The corridor between Malaysia and
Indonesia is the second largest remittance outflow for
Malaysia and the largest remittance inflow for Indonesia. In
the East Asia and... Show More +
Pacific Region, Indonesia is the second
largest supplier of labor migration with 680,000 overseas
worker contracts concluded in 2006 alone. Since 2003, the
number of contracts has more than doubled. Malaysia, in
general, is a destination for foreign workers because of its
economic performance and government recruitment policies
aimed to alleviate labor shortages. In addition to these
factors, the cultural and geographical proximity of
Indonesia makes Malaysia a destination for both documented
and undocumented Indonesian migrant workers. This report is
a combined effort between the Financial and Private Sector
Development and the East Asia and Pacific Social Development
units of the World Bank. It is part of a series of studies
under both the global Bilateral Remittance Corridor Analysis
program and the Indonesia Female Migrant Worker Program. The
report analyzes the transfer of remittances by Indonesian
migrant workers known as Tenaga Kerja Indonesia (TKI). The
main objective of this report is to contribute to
policymaking efforts to increase the impact that remittances
have on economic growth and poverty reduction in Indonesia,
and investigate options for attracting more migrants to use
the formal sector. The report aims to provide a descriptive
overview of the Malaysia-Indonesia remittance corridor and
to suggest some policy avenues for improving access to
formal remittance transfer channels; increasing the
transparency of the flows and cost structure; and
facilitating the transfer of remittances, particularly for
undocumented and female migrant workers. Show Less -
Type: Publication
Report#: 44836
Date: July 17, 2008
Author:
Hernandez-Coss, Raul ;
Brown, Gillian ;
Buchori, Chitrawati ;
Endo, Isaku ;
Noor, Wameek ;
Naovalitha, Tita ;
Todoroki, Emiko ;
Mar, Cynthia
Malaysia is a multiethnic,
upper-middle-income country that has relied heavily on
income from its natural resources to engineer successful
diversification into manufacturing... Show More +
and sharply increased
incomes for all ethnic groups. This paper examines the role
of the policy-making process and national leadership in
effecting this structural change and growth with equity. It
discusses the government's role in transforming
corporate ownership patterns while nurturing industrial
enterprises into niche products within complex value-added
chains. At the same time, the paper underscores the
difficulties and costs of attempting to move into areas
where an economy has no strong advantages, in this case
heavy industries. Privatization is seen to have been a
powerful tool for expanding private enterprise despite
limited entrepreneurial skills, but it is questionable as a
sustainable strategy; the aggressive formation of new firms
seems to offer better long-term prospects. An appropriate
regime of policy making and implementation is required,
characterized by political determination, stability, high
attention to growth with equity, experimentation, and an
ability to learn through implementation, both at home and
from the experience of others. These are key factors
accounting for the relative success of Malaysia. Nothing in
the Malaysian experience suggests that it is possible or
desirable to undertake reforms serially; in fact, the
evidence suggests that the 'reform cluster'
approach to policy implementation is more effective because
it addresses several coordination problems at the same time. Show Less -
Type: Working Paper (Numbered Series)
Report#: 57726
Date: January 1, 2008
Author:
Bhattasali, Deepak ;
Aznam Yusof, Zainal