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  • Speech by World Bank Africa Region VP, Callisto Madavo: AIDS, Development, and the Vital Role of Government, delivered at the 12th World AIDS Conference, Geneva, Switzerland, June 30, 1998. Also see World Bank press release.
  • World Bank Discussion Paper: World Bank HIV/AIDS Interventions: Ex-ante and Ex-post Evaluation, June, 1998, World Bank Discussion Paper No. 389. (Abstract and full paper in PDF format.) The AIDS epidemic is one of the greatest development challenges of the 20th century. Since 1986, the World Bank has supported member countries' efforts to fight the epidemic in many ways including committing over US$550 million to HIV/AIDS prevention and mitigation efforts. This paper, the first comprehensive study of all World Bank HIV/AIDS-related activities, assesses the appropriateness of Bank interventions from the perspective of public economies and reviews the economic evaluation and implementation of projects.
  • Paper presented at 12th World AIDS Conference, Geneva: Funding Priorities for HIV/AIDS Crisis in Thailand, delivered at Paper presented at "Funding and Policy" at the 1998 World AIDS Conference in Geneva, Switzerland, June, 1998. By Pakdee Pothisiri PhD (Permanent Secretary Office, Ministry of Public Health, Thailand), and (from Health Systems Research Institute, Thailand) Viroj Tangcharoensathien MD, PhD, Jongkol Lertiendumrong MD, DHS, Vijj Kasemsup MD, and Piya Hanvoravongchai MD.
  • Paper by Mead Over, World Bank: The Macroeconomic Impact of AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa, June, 1992. (Abstract and full paper in PDF format.) The earliest conjectures regarding the impact of the AIDS epidemic in severely affected countries presumed that the disease would cause substantial declines in such conventional measures of macro-economic performance as the growth of GNP per capita. This paper written in 1992, together with other papers that are cited in Chapter 1 of "Confronting AIDS," were the first to provide detailed calculations of the probable magnitude of these impacts. Now that some countries have in fact attained the 21% adult prevalence rate that was hypothesized in this paper, its projections are particularly relevant. Whether they are accurate is more difficult to determine. However, the continued macro-economic growth of such severely affected countries as Uganda and Botswana, despite serious AIDS epidemics, seems to support the predictions of this paper that the impact of the epidemic on per capita GNP growth will be small. The possibility remains that profound, cumulative "disruption effects" of the epidemic not modeled in these papers will manifest themselves in the coming years.
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